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Established in 1896, Power Engineering magazine is the comprehensive voice of the power generation industry that provides readers with the critical information needed to remain efficient and competitive in today's market. For three years in a row, Power Engineering has been named the most read and useful magazine in the power industry. Power Engineering Online provides up-to-the-minute energy news, stock quotes, five years of searchable editorial archives, power generation conference schedule and details, and an industry product and services guide. Power Engineering is part of the PennWell energy group, the largest U.S. publisher of electric power industry books, directories, maps and conferences.

Transcript of Power Engineering May 2013

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  • May 2013 www.power-eng.com

    NUCLEAR SAFETYDEVELOPING A STRATEGY

    GAS TURBINESINCREASING EFFICIENCY AND FLEXIBILITY

    WIND TURBINESOPTIONS FOR LUBRICATION AND MAINTENANCE

    the magazine of power generation

    NATURAL GAS:NATURAALLLLLL GGGAS:NATURAAAALLLLLLLLL GAS:Investing in theRevolution

    thhe magazine of power generatiion e

    117YEARS

    1305pe_C1 C1 5/7/13 8:56 AM

  • March 2013 www.power-eng.com

    EMISSIONS CONTROL UNDERSTANDING YOUR OPTIONS

    HYDROPOWER THE POWER OF REHABILITATION

    PRB COAL CHALLENGES AND SOLUTIONS

    the magazine of power generation

    Wind Turbine TECHNOLOGY CHOICES

    NHA S

    pecia

    l

    Adve

    rtisin

    g Sec

    tion 3

    5-47

    117YEARS

    the magazine of power generation

    the magazine of power generation

    A quick start guide to MAXIMIZING our interactive features.Welcome to the Digital Edition of

    SHARE an article or page via social media.

    Click PAGES to view thumbnails of each page and browse

    through the entire issue.

    Easily browse all BACK ISSUES.

    SEARCH for specific articles or content.

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    DOWNLOAD the issue to your desktop.

    PRINT any or all pages.SHARE an article via email.

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  • March 2013 www.power-eng.com

    EMISSIONS CONTROL UNDERSTANDING YOUR OPTIONS

    HYDROPOWER THE POWER OF REHABILITATION

    PRB COAL CHALLENGES AND SOLUTIONS

    the magazine of power generation

    Wind Turbine TECHNOLOGY CHOICES

    NHA S

    pecia

    l

    Adve

    rtisin

    g Sec

    tion 3

    5-47

    117YEARS

    the magazine of power generation

    the magazine of power generation

    A quick start guide to MAXIMIZING our interactive features.Welcome to the Digital Edition of

    SHARE an article or page via social media.

    Click PAGES to view thumbnails of each page and browse

    through the entire issue.

    Easily browse all BACK ISSUES.

    SEARCH for specific articles or content.

    View the table of CONTENTS and easily navigate directly to an article.

    DOWNLOAD the issue to your desktop.

    PRINT any or all pages.SHARE an article via email.

    Easily NAVIGATE through the issue.

    Click directly on the page to ZOOM in or out. Fit the issue to your screen.

    TabTransition_Template.indd 1-2 3/19/13 6:03 PM

  • For info. http://powereng.hotims.com RS# 1

    1305pe_C2 C2 5/7/13 8:56 AM

  • www.power-eng.com 1

    OPINION

    BY RUSSELL RAY, MANAGING EDITOR

    COAL:An Important Option

    The outlook for coal-f red

    power production in the U.S.

    is not as ominous as most

    people think. Predictions of the death

    of coal-f red power are based on hype

    from enthusiastic idealists and unwit-

    ting journalists caught in a popular

    campaign against coal.

    The transition to gas-f red generation

    will continue, which is a good thing.

    Increasing the use of this nations large

    supply of shale gas will lead to fewer

    emissions, better eff ciency and more

    diversity.

    But coal will continue to be the

    backbone of the nations power

    sector because of its reliability and

    affordability. The natural gas industry,

    for a number of reasons, is not ready to

    take the lead in providing most of the

    nations power supplies. Most power

    producers acknowledge this risk. There

    are too many questions about reserves,

    pipeline capacity and pricing. Whats

    more, the increasing use of natural

    gas as a transportation fuel and the

    opportunity to sell U.S. gas supplies

    overseas at higher prices creates a large

    amount of risk, which means power

    producers will need signif cant coal

    capacity to mitigate that risk. After all,

    the nations grid was built around coal,

    which makes coal largely more reliable

    than gas.

    Coal will remain the dominant

    source of power generation in the

    U.S. for the next 27 years, according

    to the Department of Energys Annual

    Energy Outlook, which was released

    last month. Coal will account for 35

    percent of the nations power in 2040,

    down from 42 percent in 2011, the

    report showed. Gas will be used to

    produce 30 percent of the countrys

    power supplies in 2040, up from 24

    percent in 2011. The amount of power

    produced from renewable resources

    will grow from 13 percent in 2011 to

    just 16 percent in 2040.

    The lions share of future demand

    will be met with whats left of the

    nations existing f eet of coal-f red

    plants, upgraded at great cost with

    emission control technologies.

    However, its not enough. In the

    name of reliability and affordability,

    power producers should be given the

    option of building new generation

    fueled with coal. Right now, they dont

    have that option. It was eliminated

    under a new greenhouse gas rule that

    essentially bars the construction of

    a coal-f red plant in the U.S. It is one

    of the most ill-conceived rules ever

    proposed by the EPA.

    But the book on new emission stan-

    dards for coal-f red plants is still be-

    ing written. Just last month, the EPA

    delayed the release of its greenhouse

    gas standard for new plants. The agen-

    cy said it needs more time to review

    more than 2 million comments on the

    rule. Industry observ-

    ers say the delay

    means the agency

    may revamp the

    rule in a way that

    returns to power

    producers the op-

    tion of construct-

    ing new genera-

    tion f red by coal.

    Given that op-

    tion, I believe

    U.S. power

    producers will

    bear the added cost of pollution con-

    trols and pursue new coal projects as a

    tool to mitigate the enormous risk and

    vulnerability posed by natural gas.

    Meanwhile, the market is telling us

    that coal should play a starring role

    in this nations plan to meet demand

    with reliable and affordable energy.

    In March, the use of coal-f red

    generation was 21 percent higher

    than the same month last year,

    according to Genscapes Generation

    Fuel Monitoring Service. The use of

    gas-f red generation and renewable

    power fell 11 percent and 14 percent,

    respectively.

    Natural gas prices are rising much

    faster than coal prices, prompting

    power producers to use more coal to

    meet demand. Gas prices have risen

    60 percent in the last year, while coal

    prices have increased just 2 percent

    during the same period.

    Giving power producers the option

    to pursue new coal projects by

    establishing a reasonable GHG limit for

    coal is a compromise that achieves the

    right balance between environmental

    concerns and economic concerns. Lets

    hope the EPA is listening.

    If you have a question or a com-

    ment, please contact me at russellr@

    pennwell.com.

    1305pe_1 1 5/7/13 9:05 AM

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    DEPARTMENTS

    1 Opinion

    4 Industry News

    8 Clearing the Air

    10 Gas Generation

    12 View On Renewables

    14 Demand Response

    16 Nuclear Reactions

    18 What Works

    70 Products

    72 Generating Buzz

    FEATURES No. 5, May 2013

    26 SPECIAL REPORTNatural GasExecutive Roundtable

    Executives from the fastest growing sector of U.S. power generation sit down with Power Engineering to discuss issues currently affecting gas power generation, including EPA regulation and cost issues.

    117VOLUME

    38 Gas TurbinesWith an increased amount of U.S. power generation coming from

    both renewable energy and natural gas, Power Engineering examines

    the latest innovations in gas-turbine technology that can

    accommodate the variability of wind and solar power.

    52 Nuclear Safety in 2013:An Overview

    Associate Editor Denver Nicks gives an overview of where the nuclear

    industry currently stands on safety as plant operators deal with increased

    concern and scrutiny in the aftermath of the Fukushima incident.

    46 SteamTurbine Rehabs

    Learn about the challenges and possible outcomes of

    steam turbine rehabilitation, which can allow a power

    producer a chance to optimize an entire turbine design.

    60 Wind Turbine Lubrication and Maintenance

    Wind turbines represent a large investment to their owners

    and may present unique challenges when it comes to

    lubrication and maintenance.

    1305pe_2 2 5/7/13 9:05 AM

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    INDUSTRY NEWS

    Coalition of states threaten EPA with suit over NSPS delayTen states, the District of Columbia

    and New York City have sent a letter to

    the U.S. Environmental Protection Agen-

    cy threatening to sue over the delay in

    f nalizing the New Source Performance

    Standard.

    The notice provided EPA 60 days be-

    fore the lawsuit is f led. EPAs deadline

    to f nalize the NSPS rule was April 13.

    The other states joining the action are

    Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Massa-

    chusetts, New Mexico, Oregon, Rhode

    Island, Vermont and Washington.

    The rule was originally introduced in

    March 2012 while Lisa Jackson was EPA

    administrator. Gina McCarthy has been

    nominated to take her place.

    NRG Energy proposes three gas-f red projects in New YorkNRG Energy is proposing at least one

    new natural gas-f red power plant and

    possibly two others to replace the loss of

    generation from the 2,037 MW Indian

    Point nuclear power plant in New York if

    it is shut down.

    NRG is proposing a combined-cycle

    natural gas-f red power plant that would

    replace oil- and gas-f red units at the 580

    MW Astoria plant in New York City. That

    plant would cost up to $1.5 billion and

    produce between 520 MW and 1,040

    MW.

    NRG is also proposing a new plant at

    the site of the closed Lovett coal-f red

    power plant. Reports have said closing

    the plant could cost electricity customers

    as much as $800 million.

    In January 2012, a main generator out-

    put breaker failed, and the missing in-

    sulation caused a startup transformer to

    short circuit, causing a loss of offsite pow-

    er. The NRC said during an augmented

    inspection the following September that

    plant owners did not properly supervise

    contractors and that they missed improp-

    erly connected wires that led to the elec-

    trical short.

    Mississippi Power requests $540mn more for the Kemper County IGCC plantMississippi Power asked state regula-

    tors for an additional $540 million to

    build the 582 MW Kemper County inte-

    grated gasif cation combined-cycle power

    plant. The cost to build the plant is now at

    $3.42 billion.

    Due to a settlement agreement with

    the state Public Service Commission, the

    utility cannot recover the overruns from

    customers. Instead, Mississippi Power is

    reporting a $540 million loss for the f rst

    quarter. The plant is expected to begin

    operations in May 2014.

    DOE announces nuclear fuel storage research The U.S. Department of Energy an-

    nounced a new dry storage research and

    development project to be led by the Elec-

    tric Power Research Institute.

    The project will design and demon-

    strate dry storage cask technology for

    high burn-up spent nuclear fuels that

    have been removed from commer-

    cial nuclear power plants. Burn up

    Five-year uprate project completed at Turkey PointFlorida Light & Powers Turkey Point

    nuclear power plant came back online

    April 17 after a f ve-year uprate project in-

    creased the output.

    The $3 billion project was originally es-

    timated to cost half as much. It was pro-

    posed in 2007, but construction did not

    begin until 2010. Unit 4 was upgraded

    and connected to the grid on April 17.

    Unit 3 was completed in 2012. Unit 4

    will gradually be scaled up to 100 percent

    output, at which point, the plant will be

    capable of producing an extra 525 MW, or

    15 percent above its pre-uprate capacity.

    U.S. solar industryputs people to workin all 50 statesThe Solar Foundations interactive map

    shows that California leads the nation in

    the number of workers employed in the

    solar industry. Arizona, New Jersey, Mas-

    sachusetts, Pennsylvania, Colorado, New

    York, Texas, Michigan and Ohio round

    out the top ten states for solar jobs.

    The maps also break down jobs by sub-

    sector in each state, compiling data on in-

    stallation jobs, manufacturing jobs, sales

    and distribution jobs and project devel-

    opment jobs.

    ABB sued over nuclear plant shutdownKansas City Power & Light and other

    co-owners of the Wolf Creek nuclear

    power plant in Kansas are suing ABB for

    more than $25 million in damages for

    claims that ABB did not perform proper

    repairs on a startup transformer that led

    to a 10-week shutdown at the plant in

    2012.

    The repairs involved electrical path-

    ways for redundant offsite power sources

    that keep safety systems running without

    interruption. An April 2011 inspection

    showed that the replacements were not

    properly insulated.

    1305pe_4 4 5/7/13 9:06 AM

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    INDUSTRY NEWS

    hydroelectric plant near Great Falls.

    The single, 60 MW unit replaced

    smaller units with a combined capac-

    ity of 35 MW that were installed be-

    tween 1910 and 1930, which increased

    the output by 70 percent. The new unit

    began commercial operation on April

    22.

    The overhaul also included a new

    turbine with wider f ow passages and

    fewer rotating surfaces for increased

    f sh safety and a $38 million, 100 kV

    interconnection project that will con-

    nect the f ve hydropower plants to

    NorthWestern Energys grid.

    Fluor to continue nuclearO&M work with PG&EPacif c Gas & Electric (PG&E) ex-

    tended a contract with Fluor Corp. for

    operations and maintenance work at

    the Diablo Canyon units 1 and 2 in

    California.

    The initial contract was awarded in

    May 2010. Fluor will continue to pro-

    vide ongoing maintenance, modif ca-

    tion and outage services for the units.

    Wind power projectin Ontario breaks groundSamsung Renewable Energy Inc. and

    Pattern Energy Group broke ground on

    the 270 MW South Kent wind project

    in Ontario on April 30.

    The project will use 124 turbines

    made up of Siemens blades and CS

    Wind towers.

    There will be approximately 300

    workers on-site during construction,

    with 500 workers expected during

    peak construction periods. The proj-

    ect is scheduled to be completed in the

    spring of 2014.

    power from the Navajo Generating Sta-

    tion in Arizona and the Intermountain

    Power Plant in Utah.

    LADWP is selling its share of the Na-

    vajo plant to the Salt River Project by the

    end of the year, and has already approved

    an amendment to its contract with the

    Intermountain plant to switch to receive

    the output from a smaller gas-f red power

    plant in southern California.

    The ratepayer advocate also said end-

    ing the contract with the Navajo plant

    three years ahead of the termination date

    could cost between $150 million and

    $200 million.

    Construction beginson 579 MW solar projectin CaliforniaMidAmerican Solar and SunPower

    Corp. started major construction at the

    579 MW Antelope Valley solar projects

    in California. SunPower is designing and

    developing the projects, while MidAmer-

    ican Solar owns them. SunPower is also

    the engineering, procurement and con-

    struction contractor and will provide op-

    erations and maintenance services under

    a multi-year agreement. Southern Cali-

    fornia Edison has two power purchase

    agreements for the output

    The plant is expected to be completed

    by the end of 2015.

    Overhaul completed at Montana hydroelectricpower plantPPL Montana completed a three-

    and-a-half year, $209 million ex-

    pansion at the now 60 MW Rainbow

    relates to the power extracted from

    reactor fuels. The work builds on the

    steps the DOE is taking in FY 2013,

    and has proposed for FY 2014, to sup-

    port a new strategy for the back end of

    the nuclear fuel cycle.

    Gas plant relocation could cost Canadian taxpayers $275mnA decision to end construction on a

    280 Mw natural gas-f red power plant

    in Mississauga, Ontario, and relocate

    it to Sarnia will likely cost taxpayers

    $275 million, according to the Ontario

    Auditor General.

    Construction on the plant began in

    June 2011, but after the general elec-

    tion the following October, the Liberal

    Party said it would cancel construction

    of the plant. At the time, the party said

    the costs would be around $190 mil-

    lion once a litigation settlement was

    included. However, a special report

    said total costs are about $351 million,

    but that is offset by an estimated sav-

    ings of about $76 million.

    LAs move from coalcould cost $600mnLos Angeles Mayor Antonio Villarai-

    gosas plan to end the use of coal-f red

    generation could cost the city more than

    $600 million, according to the LA Times.

    The ratepayer advocate for the Los An-

    geles Department of Water and Power

    (LADWP) said he was not sure what that

    effect would have on electric bills. Cur-

    rently, the city receives 39 percent of its

    1305pe_6 6 5/7/13 9:06 AM

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    CLEARING THE AIR

    costs by installing a solution today

    that will only be regretted later as it

    may be too costly to operate because

    of the increase in costs for intangibles

    required. Some more expensive solu-

    tions upfront may offer certainty of

    outcome for many years to come by

    eliminating the need for externalities

    such as sorbents or other chemical

    additions. These running costs could

    rise due to supply and demand issues,

    transportation, etc. But you can say the

    cost of money is more pressing now.

    We all know the pay me now or pay me

    later routine, just keep these factors in

    front of you.

    Many decisions face our coal f eet

    today. Retrof t, retirement, gas conver-

    sions all come with various costs, risks

    and yes uncertainty. And, there are

    more regulations that are coming that

    will most certainly play a signif cant

    role in making these decisions even

    more diff cult. The National Ambient

    Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) and

    Green House Gas (GHG) regulations

    are just two more giant gorillas in the

    waiting room, not to mention water

    eff uent guidelines, 316(b) and coal

    combustion residue. Will your MATS

    solutions add complications to your

    wastewater streams or solid byprod-

    ucts? Will they contribute to GHG /

    CO2 emissions?

    These daunting facts may favor

    the consideration of shutting down a

    coal asset. We wouldnt say that the

    decision to shut down a plant is easy,

    as we know many factors come into

    play. Each plant has its own set of

    Utilities have until April 2015 to

    comply with the Mercury and

    Air Toxics Standard, otherwise

    known as MATS. If you do the math in

    regards to evaluating your options in-

    cluding bidding and procuring a solu-

    tion, the time is running short to pull the

    trigger on deciding the fate of your plant.

    In some cases, depending upon your spe-

    cif c needs, time may be too short to im-

    plement the necessary technologies and

    avoiding generation interruption (GI).

    You (Joe) may be forced to take a unit off

    line while the changes are being installed

    and commissioned.

    Many solutions to meet MATS

    may be less onerous then you think.

    Companies supplying technology

    solutions are willing to provide proven

    options that could be implemented in

    stages. Remember not to paint yourself

    into a corner by electing a solution that

    will get you into compliance now but

    force you into other issues down the

    road. Economical heartburn can result

    from having to rip out equipment

    that was installed in a location that is

    needed for future upgrades.

    Drill a step deeper and remember

    when making plans or decisions now

    to consider what will be implemented

    next. Always think smart and do not

    overlook something obvious like

    layouts with future upgrade potentials,

    auxiliary transformer sizing or draft

    system sizing when making decisions

    about a technology solution.

    There are many cases where there is

    more than one solution for meeting

    MATS. It could be attractive to save

    specif c factors to evaluate including

    the impacts on the local economy. Re-

    powering is in some cases possible,

    but nothing can justify an outcome

    that leaves our nation with voids

    of depleted energy and a less than

    dependable grid. Natural gas prices

    have made this even more complex

    and at the same time easier for some to

    determine their path ahead for MATS

    compliance.

    Logically, it would make sense to

    have a balanced portfolio of energy

    sources and fuel mix which will include

    coal. Clean coal technology is real and

    available today. Dont leave your coal

    plant behind without considering all

    of the available options.

    This write-up would be incomplete

    without mentioning MATS for new

    units, although few in the U.S. are

    building or planning new coal-f red

    plants at this moment. We do not see

    good reasons for new units to have

    so much more stringent limits than

    existing ones. After all, the same state-

    of- the-art pollution control equipment

    is used for retrof t and new build units.

    Limits too low to measure accurately

    and repeatedly present tremendous

    uncertainties to owners and suppliers

    alike and yet contribute little to protect

    the environment.

    It may take some time for these

    newer rules to impact specif c utility

    units, but the clock is ticking, and the

    pressure is on. Fasten your seat belts

    and lets giddy up.

    Think Smart, Act Fast and Enjoy the

    ride.

    MATS Its Timeto Giddy Up or GIJoeBOB NICOLO, DIRECTOR, AQCS, HITACHI POWER SYSTEMS AMERICA, LTD.

    1305pe_8 8 5/7/13 9:06 AM

  • Founded in 1988, PIC has been a leader in the

    power generation industry for over 20 years. We

    are experts at managing multi-faceted projects

    including start-up and commissioning, operations

    and maintenance, installation, turbine outages,

    mechanical services and technical services.

    Combine these capabilities with our responsive

    approach and global resources, and its easy to

    see why those who know choose PIC.

    25The Best Of The Best

    www.picworld.com

    YEARS EXPERIENCE

    READY TO MANAGE

    YOUR NEXT POWER PROJECT.

    Founded in 1

    98

    8

    For info. http://powereng.hotims.com RS# 4

    1305pe_9 9 5/7/13 9:06 AM

  • www.power-eng.com10

    GAS GENERATION

    gas emissions since 1992.

    Natural gas combined-cycle tur-

    bines are also far more eff cient than

    boilers or other forms of combustion

    about 40 percent more power comes

    from each unit of energy input.

    Perhaps most importantly, utilities

    are responding to the broad scientif c

    consensus of our nations prolonged

    abundance of natural gas and the low,

    steady prices that will accompany con-

    tinued development.

    ABUNDANT BY ANY

    ESTIMATE

    This game-changing abundance and

    the potential for consumer savings

    have become key factors in the energy

    choices of some of our biggest custom-

    ers. As representatives of the nations

    largest independent natural gas pro-

    ducers, Americas Natural Gas Alliance

    (ANGA) has been working with utili-

    ties, independent generators, regula-

    tors, organized markets and legisla-

    tors to ensure conf dence in the ability

    of natural gas to fulf ll the major and

    growing role it now plays in U.S. power

    generation.

    Thanks to the shale gas revolution,

    North Americas recoverable resource

    base is projected to last for generations.

    Todays expectations of natural gas

    production in the lower 48 states are

    dramatically higher than they were

    in 2007, the year before shale-driven

    abundance was truly recognized. Nat-

    ural gas productivity has led to dra-

    matic decreases in price, resulting in

    impressive consumer savings. Conser-

    vatively, U.S. utility consumers are sav-

    ing more than $50 billion per year, and

    by some measures more than twice

    The promise of shale gas has

    been dominating the energy

    debate for several years now.

    But the conversation is shifting from

    the potential to the practical in the

    choices utilities are making, in the fa-

    cilities and pipelines being built and in

    the real, tangible progress being made

    in reducing our greenhouse gas emis-

    sions. In other words, shale gas has ar-

    rived, and its here to stay.

    TURNING IT ON

    In the last decade, natural gas-f red

    power generation has accounted for

    the lions share of electricity additions

    in the U.S., making up 73 percent of

    new capacity. Together with wind,

    the two have captured 99 percent of

    all new generation capacity. Until just

    recently, however, many of these ad-

    ditions were sitting dormant, under-

    utilized and passed over for coal-f red

    generation.

    The tide is changing. In April 2012,

    for the f rst time in history, actual gen-

    eration produced from natural gas-

    f red plants equaled that produced

    from coal-f red plants, at 96 million

    MWh apiece. Market share still de-

    pends on relative prices, but this was

    an important landmark.

    Why the change? For one, natural

    gas is our cleanest conventional fuel,

    emitting far less NOx, SOx, and CO2

    and none of the particulates or mer-

    cury. This means cleaner air and, more

    practically, fewer hurdles to construc-

    tion. It is precisely this use of more

    natural gas in power generation that,

    according to the U.S. Energy Informa-

    tion Administration, last year helped

    us reach our lowest level of greenhouse

    that, thanks to the drop in natural gas

    prices.

    TO MARKET TO MARKET

    There is little credible debate about

    the fact that abundant natural gas sup-

    plies are available and could be used

    virtually anywhere in the U.S. Today,

    we have over 2.4 million miles of natu-

    ral gas pipelines. On a national level,

    16,000 miles of interstate pipeline

    have been approved in the last decade,

    the largest amount in 40 years. By con-

    trast, only 900 miles of electric trans-

    mission lines have been approved.

    Our role has been to assure all par-

    ties of the large supplies that now are

    produced, often right in the market

    area. The distance natural gas now

    has to travel to market has dropped

    dramatically, thanks to shale gas pro-

    duction in 30 states. Take for example

    the Marcellus and Utica shales: two

    impressive resources that are being

    produced near major industrial and

    population areas precluding our his-

    toric reliance on long pipelines to get

    gas where it needs to go.

    A PROMISE FULFILLED

    As the shale gas revolution has come

    of age, we have seen the enormous

    promise of this resource fulf lled; as a

    base load- capable fuel that is cleaner,

    available at stable prices and vastly

    abundant. Our air quality has seen its

    greatest improvement in 20 years, ca-

    pacity additions and actual generation

    are up dramatically, and this f exible

    resource is being delivered to market

    via a rapidly expanding pipeline in-

    frastructure. Shale has indeed arrived,

    and its here to stay.

    Shale Gas Comes of AgeMICHELLE BLOODWORTH, VICE PRESIDENT OF STATE AFFAIRS AND BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT, AMERICAS NATURAL GAS ALLIANCE

    Author

    Michelle works with

    ANGAs State Affairs

    Committees, as well

    as utilities, regulators,

    legislators and other

    business-to-business

    stakeholders to

    communicate the

    economic and envi-

    ronmental benef ts

    of the increased use

    of clean, abundant,

    domestic natural gas.

    Prior to off cially join-

    ing the ANGA team in

    2010, Michelle was

    extensively involved

    in its creation through

    her previous position

    with ANGA member

    company Energen,

    where she spent

    more than 20 years.

    Michelle served as

    the f rst co-chair of

    ANGAs Communica-

    tions Committee and

    has made signif cant

    contributions to the

    organizations devel-

    opment.

    1305pe_10 10 5/7/13 9:06 AM

  • For info. http://powereng.hotims.com RS# 5

    1305pe_11 11 5/7/13 9:06 AM

  • www.power-eng.com12

    VIEW ON RENEWABLES

    BY TOM LEVY, MANAGER, TECHNICAL & UTILITY AFFAIRS, CANADIAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION

    Wind energys contributions of

    clean power in North Ameri-

    ca in 2012 grew signif cantly.

    The U.S. installed over 13 GW of new

    wind capacity. In Canada, utilities con-

    nected nearly 1 GW of new wind capacity.

    The cumulative global capacity of wind

    energy is now approaching 300 GW. This

    growth is not by accident it has been

    driven by forward thinking policy, and

    has been enabled through sophisticated

    design, tools and technologies.

    There are many widely known and

    accepted benef ts that wind energy de-

    velopment brings to communities the

    overwhelming positive environmental

    attributes, increased taxes, revenue and

    job creation. What is less well known are

    the positive attributes that wind energy

    brings to the bulk power grid. The pri-

    mary purpose of the electrical system is

    to deliver electricity on demand, when

    needed reliably, safely and affordably.

    The introduction of wind energy on the

    electrical grid must not cannot com-

    promise these underlying principles. The

    modern power grid was designed based

    on one-way f ow of electricity from a

    centralized power source to a distributed

    customer. Wind energy does not neces-

    sarily f t this mould, and power engineers

    have gone to great lengths to ensure that

    wind energy can be interconnected with

    the power grid without compromising

    system reliability. In fact, wind farm and

    system operators have sophisticated tools

    that allow this f exible source of electric-

    ity to provide clean electricity to the trans-

    mission system in a reliable manner if it

    could not accomplish this, all of the ben-

    ef ts that wind has would be lost.

    In Ontario, wind energy now repre-

    sents an increasing portion of the prov-

    inces generation f eet. Centralized Fore-

    casting will be implemented to more

    accurately predict variable wind and solar

    generation output, and is an essential

    tool for the Independent Electricity Sys-

    tem Operator (IESO) to maintain system

    reliability and market eff ciency. This

    Centralized Forecasting service is similar

    to services implemented in most jurisdic-

    tions with comparable amounts of wind

    generation.

    Let us back up just a bit. Humans have

    been harnessing energy from the wind

    for literally thousands of years. The late

    1800s saw the f rst documented use of

    wind energy to create electricity. Prior to

    this, wind energy was used for produc-

    tion of mechanical power that pumped

    water or ground grain. During the oil

    embargos of the 1970s, engineers saw the

    potential of an unlimited fuel source to

    create electricity. The wind generators of

    the 1970s were rudimentary in their de-

    sign relative to the sleek and modern ma-

    chines that are being built today. These

    earlier models produced limited amounts

    of electricity, and they did not have so-

    phisticated power electronics to eff cient-

    ly manage their operation. These were the

    early designs; they were a squirrel cage

    induction motor that had to disconnect

    from the electrical grid when there was a

    fault or a blackout. But they opened the

    eyes of engineers and planners, and while

    the industry faced a few hills and valleys,

    varying policies and the like, those early

    wind energy pioneers continued to see a

    limitless energy potential.

    Fast forward thirty years. Engineers

    have advanced wind energy technology

    from these early designs into the present

    day sophisticated doubly fed induction

    motors or Type 4 full converters. These

    are marvels of engineering. They bring

    with them SCADA systems that permit re-

    mote operation and fault detection; they

    contain advanced controls, sensors and

    state-of-the-art power electronics. Mod-

    ern wind turbines now have the capacity

    to contribute to the reliable operation of

    the bulk power transmission system.

    The 2011 IEEE Special Edition (Vol. 9,

    No. 6, Nov/Dec 2011) reports that mod-

    ern wind turbines have a myriad of offer-

    ings voltage and var control/regulation;

    fault ride-through capabilities; real power

    control, ramping and curtailment; prima-

    ry frequency regulation; inertia response;

    short-circuit duty control. This evolution

    in wind energy technology is not by ac-

    cident the need to ensure that the mod-

    ern wind turbine is a good citizen on the

    grid has been driven by an overarching

    need to invest in our electrical system,

    which is in part being driven by demands

    of society for cleaner, less impactful elec-

    tricity sources. The demand that we clean

    up our act is not at the expense of reliable

    and affordable electricity wind energy

    more than f ts this role, and has clearly

    risen to the challenge just ask Texas,

    California, Iowa, Denmark, Ontario - or

    even a little Canadian province called

    Prince Edward Island.

    North American Utilities Commit to Reliable, Affordable Wind Energy

    1305pe_12 12 5/7/13 9:06 AM

  • Powerful Player in PowerTIC is one of the leading industrial contractors serving todays Power industry. With over 44,000 MW of installed capacity, TIC is consistently ranked in Engineering News-Record (ENR) as one of the Top 10 contractors for Power and/or Cogeneration installations.

    TICs extensive power experience spans a variety of technologies, fuel types and confgurations, including Gas/Combustion Turbine installations in both combined and simple cycle operation; large Coal-Fired and other fossil fueled plants including both sub-critical boilers and supercritical steam generators, Integrated Gasifcation Combined Cycle (IGCC) projects, and Renewable Energy including Wind, Geothermal, Solar and Hydroelectric facilities, plus Alternative Fuels plants.

    TIC - The Industrial Company9780 Mt. Pyramid Court, Suite 100Englewood, CO 80112(970) 871-7209

    TIC-INC.COMFor info. http://powereng.hotims.com RS# 6

    1305pe_13 13 5/7/13 9:06 AM

  • www.power-eng.com14

    DEMAND RESPONSE

    optimization of DR resources across pro-

    grams or geography; Device technologies

    not using or supporting open standards

    for communications protocols and mes-

    sages; No performance measurement ca-

    pabilities or settlements ; Very little inte-

    gration into back off ce systems; No data

    sync across disconnected systems

    STAGE 4: DEMAND RESPONSE

    MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS (DRMS)

    When DR challenges reach a level of

    complexity, frustration, and operational

    risk at which tools are not being effec-

    tively used, or when the cost of operating

    many disparate systems in parallel is sig-

    nif cant enough, or when the lack of in-

    tegration and automation investment in

    large-scale harmonization, there is a cost

    effective solution implement a DRMS.

    A DRMS is an integrated command and

    control system that manages the entire

    lifecycle of DR programs and resources

    across customer segments, device types,

    and communications technologies. It

    also acts as the integration hub managing

    all DR related data f ows between opera-

    tional and back off ce systems.

    The Market for DR is maturing at every

    level. Utilities like Nevada Energy have

    proven the value and shown that DRMS

    is the ultimate command and control

    tool for forecasting and eff ciently using

    DR so control rooms can preserve reli-

    ability, energy traders can hedge against

    high prices, and network planning en-

    gineers can push out infrastructure up-

    grade projects and direct capital to more

    pressing needs.

    Whether you are just beginning your

    DR journey, in the middle of it, or at

    Maturity Level 4, it is never too soon to

    consider the savings and f exibility of DR,

    and of implementing a DRMS.

    Demand Response (DR) is a

    proven alternative to adding

    new generation with an ap-

    proach that is zero-carbon, cost-effective

    and environmentally-friendly.

    DR technologies deliver a temporary

    adjustment in energy consumption

    usually due to a severe network reliability

    issue or extremely high price in the real

    time energy market. It is an effective tool

    for postponing capital expenditures in re-

    lieving network reliability constraints, or

    avoiding spikes in energy prices and en-

    ergy consumption. But what is the path to

    implementing a successful DR strategy?

    This article examines the traditional

    4-stage Demand Response (DR) Maturity

    Model. There are points along the DR ma-

    turity path when a utility fully embraces

    and implements DR such that it becomes

    a real and reliable resource, but there can

    be challenges in f elding successful DR

    programs.

    The market for DR is heating up. Utili-

    ties of all sizes with multiple DR programs

    in place are growing their portfolios.

    Much of the industry is not implement-

    ing its f rst DR program, but perhaps its

    eighth or tenth.

    THE UTILITY DR

    MATURITY LIFECYCLE

    STAGE 1: GETTING STARTED

    Most utilities use some form of DR

    perhaps just a phone call to a few large

    industrial customers to reduce energy

    consumption during a network reliability

    emergency, or a legacy residential hot wa-

    ter heater cycling program.

    These f rst load reduction programs

    usually were launched to preserve reli-

    ability. They reduce overall network

    outages and provide either time for a

    network upgrade or replace the need for

    network upgrades all together. For Retail-

    ers, Coops, and Munis in Texas and oth-

    er markets where scarcity pricing allows

    peak energy prices to reach $5,000 per

    MW this year and up to $7,000 in 2014,

    it is not hard to justify DR. The measur-

    able success of these programs usually

    prompts utilities to extend DR deploy-

    ment until the targeted network segment

    or audience is saturated.

    STAGE 2: SCALE & LEARN

    Whether the f rst program was a suc-

    cess or failure, need often arises for an-

    other program, possibly due to network

    capacity issues, avoiding peak energy

    prices, or the unfavorable economics of

    building high cost peaker plants.

    Usually, the latest available device

    technology is studied and deployed in a

    new program with different rules often

    targeted at new customer segments or

    load prof les. A DR Aggregator is some-

    times hired to handle part of, or most of

    the DR management recruiting cus-

    tomers, installing devices, scheduling DR

    events when needed and signaling the

    devices to reduce energy consumption.

    In either case, a new program is created

    with new rules, incentives, device tech-

    nology and even new communications

    infrastructure.

    STAGE 3: DR CHALLENGES EMERGE

    Multiple DR programs, device technol-

    ogies, and communications paths man-

    aged by multiple systems can quickly

    become unmanageable.

    Typical challenges faced by utilities

    include: No single system for register-

    ing customers and devices; No single

    view or forecast of DR availability by

    network segment; No ability to forecast

    device response prof les or snap back; No

    The Market for Demand Response

    the DR MaturityModel Perspective

    BY MARK TRIPLETT, MANAGING DIRECTOR, DRMS, ALSTOM GRID

    1305pe_14 14 5/7/13 9:06 AM

  • For info. http://powereng.hotims.com RS# 7

    1305pe_15 15 5/7/13 9:06 AM

  • www.power-eng.com16

    NUCLEAR REACTIONS

    Blind Squirrels and ChinaBY BRIAN SCHIMMOLLER, CONTRIBUTING EDITOR

    I cant say I put much stock in the

    adage that posits, Even a blind

    squirrel f nds a nut once in a

    while. Seems to me that the squirrel

    would encounter some other predator,

    or the front tire of a passing car, long

    before f nding that nut. I may have to

    re-evaluate my lack of faith in that say-

    ing, however, in light of a crystal ball

    prognostication I made a few years ago

    in this column.

    Back in early 2011, I offered f ve

    Lead-Pipe Cinch Predictions, one of

    which concerned Chinas burgeoning

    nuclear program. I boldly predicted

    that China would offer a nuclear plant

    design for export within f ve years. Not

    only was this blind squirrel right, but I

    was right three years ahead of schedule

    (maybe that means I was wrong).

    In early February, an executive at

    Chinas state nuclear corporation,

    SNPTC, said that the reactor being

    built for export the CAP1400

    would be ready the end of 2013. The

    exploration of business opportuni-

    ties on the world market will begin in

    2013, Gu Jun was cited as saying in

    the China Daily newspaper. The third-

    generation CAP1400 reactor, which is

    based on the AP1000 design, was de-

    veloped through a 2008 agreement be-

    tween SNPTC and Westinghouse, and

    there are reportedly plans in place for

    a larger, more advanced version called

    the CAP1700.

    While the Westinghouse association

    will certainly add some validity to the

    technical viability of the Chinese reac-

    tor on the world market, commercial

    success outside China will likely take

    some time. Global familiarity with the

    Chinese design and with the track re-

    cord of Chinas operating nuclear f eet

    is limited.

    Still, I hesitate to hazard a guess as

    to how long that some time might

    be. Whatever the guess, export suc-

    cess will probably come sooner than

    expected. With 18 operating reactors,

    China currently breaks into the top

    10 in terms of countries with the most

    number of operating reactors, but with

    28 more under construction, and doz-

    ens more in the planning and develop-

    ment stages, China will soon be rival-

    ing the United States for the top spot.

    And no one can say that China is sat-

    isf ed with older designs. China is the

    only country where two of the worlds

    most advanced designs the Westing-

    house AP1000 (at Sanmen) and the

    Areva EPR (at Taishan) are being

    built. Beyond the CAP1400, China has

    a memorandum of understanding in

    place with Areva and EDF to develop a

    new 1,000 MW Generation III reactor

    that would be common to EDF, Areva,

    and the China Guangdong Nuclear

    Power Corp. (CGNPC).

    Operationally, China is also deploy-

    ing modern technology to standardize

    and improve eff ciency. CGNPC, for

    example, recently completed an ambi-

    tious three-year effort to implement

    f nancial and enterprise asset manage-

    ment software from SAP at Daya Bay,

    which will help the plant coordinate

    daily operations, maintenance, supply

    chain, and f nancials. CGNPC plans to

    use this as the foundation for manag-

    ing a nuclear f eet that will exceed 20

    units in the next decade.

    So whos on the list of potential early

    buyers of Chinese nuclear technology?

    South Africa is one possibility, based

    on its plan to build six new nuclear

    power stations by 2030 to deal with

    that countrys energy supply challeng-

    es. Turkey is another, with plans for a

    5,000 MW nuclear facility in the Black

    Sea province of Sinop. China is report-

    edly on Turkeys short list along with a

    Japanese-French consortium.

    Even if China doesnt win either of

    these awards, there are a few elements

    in Chinas favor that will ultimately

    convince someone to take the chance.

    One is money. Financing a large mod-

    ern nuclear plant is a roughly $10 bil-

    lion investment, and China has the

    deep pockets to support a given coun-

    try in turning nuclear ambitions into

    commercial reality. Another is time. As

    more countries consider embarking on

    commercial nuclear programs, China

    will continue gaining experience from

    the construction and operation of the

    newest generation of nuclear reactors

    in the world. Theyll be ready.

    So keep your eyes on China. The day

    is coming when a Chinese reactor will

    be nearer to you than the provinces

    of Guangdong and Guangxi. For now,

    Ill bask in the glory of a prediction

    come true.

    Just dont ask me about one of the

    other prognostications I made back in

    2011that the U.S. Congress would

    pass legislation allocating signif cant-

    ly more money to the loan guarantee

    program. Apparently, this squirrel was

    too blind to f nd that nut.

    1305pe_16 16 5/7/13 9:07 AM

  • For info. http://powereng.hotims.com RS# 8

    1305pe_17 17 5/7/13 9:07 AM

  • www.power-eng.com18

    WHAT WORKS

    part of the VRT offering, the AE Utility

    inverters can perform Zero Voltage Ride-

    Through (ZVRT), High Voltage Ride-

    Through (HVRT) and LVRT. The AE Util-

    ity inverters followed the utility required

    timing prof le and quickly ramp back up

    after an event has cleared. VRT allows

    the inverters to ride through disturbance

    events and enables the generation station

    to stay online, and limit the revenue lost

    to the investors while helping to stabilize

    the grid. This event successfully demon-

    strated the LVRT capabilities of the AE

    Utility PV Inverters. The Solar Stations

    graphs provide data for PG&E to better

    understand the impacts of inverters with

    LVRT capabilities to support the grid in

    areas with a high penetration of distrib-

    uted generation.

    Figure 2 displays the voltage and cur-

    rent waveforms captured by the SEL re-

    lay at Westside Solar Station during the

    February LVRT event. It can be seen that

    the current temporarily increases for ap-

    proximately 2 cycles at the inception of

    the fault. This is expected behavior as

    the units are operating at less than 50%

    of their nameplate rating. When the line

    voltage began to drop, the units attempt-

    ed to maintain a constant output power

    The 30 Advanced Energy (AE) 500

    kW 1kV DC Utility PV Inverters

    at PG&Es 15MW Westside Solar

    Station successfully passed multiple low

    voltage sag events. This sites inverters

    are equipped with Voltage Ride-Through

    (VRT) capabilities and are connected to a

    Pacif c Gas & Electric substation outside

    of Fresno, Calif.

    AE 500kW 1kV Inverters at PG&Es

    Westside Solar Station

    On March 17, 2012, there were a to-

    tal of 4 low voltage events caused by

    momentary phase to phase faults on an

    adjacent 12 kV circuit which is fed from

    the same substation where this Solar

    Station is connected. The Solar Station

    is equipped with a Schweitzer Engineer-

    ing Laboratories (SEL) relay at the 12kV

    switchgear. The oscillography traces from

    the SEL relay at Westside Solar Station

    showed close to a 50% voltage depression

    at the 12 kV bus for approximately 7 cy-

    cles. During each of these events the units

    were between 20 percent and 80 percent

    of full-power. All the inverters remained

    online, demonstrating the Low Voltage

    Ride-Through (LVRT) capability of AEs

    Utility inverters.

    A similar event occurred on Feb. 7,

    2012, when the adjacent feeder experi-

    enced a short circuit condition causing

    both A and B phases at the connected

    substation to experience a 50 percent

    voltage sag which activated the inverters

    LVRT capabilities. The protective relays

    on the faulted 12 kV circuit detected

    the short circuit and cleared the fault in

    approximately 7 cycles. The inverters

    successfully rode through the event and

    returned to normal operation upon clear-

    ance of the short circuit condition. The

    SEL graphs were collected and reviewed

    by PG&Es Renewable Resource Develop-

    ment department.

    VRT timing prof les are features of-

    fered in the AE Utility inverters. They

    provide the inverter the ability to stay

    connected with the grid under these ex-

    ternal fault conditions. While there are

    no specif c VRT requirements imposed

    by the existing interconnection require-

    ments at this time, PG&E voluntarily

    implemented the VRT feature at this

    solar site to demonstrate the benef ts of

    having these features.

    VRT enables inverters to stay online

    during grid disturbances and produce

    reactive power to stabilize the grid. As

    Advanced EnergyPV InvertersRide-Through PG&E Low Voltage EventsBY ANASTASIOS HIONIS, PE, UTILITY APPLICATIONS ENGINEER, AE SOLAR ENERGY & STEVEN NG, PE, MANAGER, ENGINEERING RENEWABLE RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT, PACIFIC GAS & ELECTRIC

    AEVRT & Utility Profles 1p. u. Volta

    ge

    1.2

    1

    0.8

    0.6

    0.4

    0.2

    01 0 1 2 3 4

    SecondsThe VRT profle for the AE Utility PV Inverters is programmable to multiple regional profles

    such as for FERC 661, NERC, & ERCOT, shown above.

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    AEVRT

    1305pe_18 18 5/7/13 9:07 AM

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    and the AC current increased up to the

    AC current limit before the LVRT features

    were activated.

    The February and March LVRT

    events at Westside Solar Station pro-

    vided PG&E with the actual data to

    demonstrate the effect of successful

    LVRT. It is expected that large PV Solar

    Stations, such as Westside Solar Sta-

    tion, will be required to be equipped

    with VRT features in the near future.

    The following are the two guiding doc-

    uments that utilities and the system

    operators are using to develop the VRT

    requirement for large PV generating

    stations:

    NERC Standard PRC-024

    The Technical Justif cation for the

    New WECC Voltage Ride-Through

    (VRT) Standard, A White Paper De-

    veloped by the Wind Generation

    Task Force (WGTF), dated June 13,

    2007, a guideline approved by WECC

    Technical Studies Subcommittee.

    As utilities connect more large PV

    projects onto the grid, it becomes more

    important that these large PV projects be

    equipped with VRT capabilities to stay

    online during grid disturbances.

    Voltage and current plot from the SEL

    relay at Westside Solar Station2

    This plot confrms that the Advanced Energy Utility PV inverters successfully rode throughthe February low voltage event.

    VA(kVVB(kV

    )VC(kV) IA IB

    IC

    50

    0

    50

    5

    0

    5

    IA IB IC VA(kV) VB(kV) VC(kV)

    2.5 5.0 7.5 10.0 12.5 15.0

    Cycles

    1305pe_20 20 5/7/13 9:07 AM

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    Two TRIM-NOX(R) urea injection skids with the day tanks, f ow meters and control panels with HMI operator touch screens. Each of the two boilers had its own injection system and each injection system controlled three injec-tors. Photo courtesy of Nationwide Boiler

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  • www.power-eng.com26 www.power-eng.com26

    The discussion centered on the future of

    gas-f red generation, the sustainability

    of todays low gas prices and the poten-

    tial impact of increasing environmental

    regulation.

    The participants were: Tom Alley,

    vice president of generation for EPRI;

    Scott Austin, manager business devel-

    opment for Bechtels thermal business

    line; Amy Ericson, vice president gas

    product platform for Alstom Power;

    and Toby Thomas, vice president gen-

    erating assets for AEP.

    What follows is a transcript, edited for

    length and style, of that discussion.

    POWER ENGINEERING: With the re-

    cent increase in the price of natural

    gas, do you see power plants con-

    tinuing to turn to it as the preferred

    fuel choice as they have for the past

    several years?

    AMY ERICSON: Theres one thing that

    we know for certain, and thats that fossil

    fuel prices are uncertain and will remain

    uncertain. Its interesting particularly

    Power Engineering sat down with four executives to discuss the future of gas-f red generation in the U.S. and the potential impact of increasing environmental regulation.BY JUSTIN MARTINO, ASSOCIATE EDITOR

    Natural gas is becom-

    ing more important

    in the power gen-

    eration industry each

    year. With increas-

    ingly strict regulations on emissions

    controls and growing concerns about the

    environment, more companies are look-

    ing to natural-gas f red generation as a

    reliable, clean source of energy.

    Natural gas-f red plants can also quick-

    ly increase to peak load, making the fuel

    a good complement to renewable energy

    sources, and are also faster and less ex-

    pensive to build than many other power

    sources. With the growing use of natural

    gas, however, many questions remain to

    be answered about the fuel sources cost,

    the increasing reliance on natural gas over

    other fuel sources and upgrading natural

    gas pipelines to cover the increased usage,

    among other issues.

    I recently moderated a roundtable

    discussion with executives from Ameri-

    can Electric Power, Electric Power Re-

    search Institute, Alstom and Bechtel.

    over the past several years that weve seen,

    not just in the US but globally, an obvious

    connection between coal and gas usage

    and pricing. Weve seen gas generation

    go up in the US on the heels of the low

    prices, and weve seen that usage temper

    while there has been a comeback a bit in

    coal. I think these f uctuations are what

    were going to continue to see. In fact,

    we hear from our customers that at this

    point, theyre taking a long-term view.

    Theres no doubt that their interest in us-

    ing natural gas for electricity has grown

    steadily for the reasons that arent likely

    1305pe_26 26 5/7/13 9:07 AM

  • www.power-eng.com 27

    Alstom Power, which is working to create new technology for the power industry,

    recently delivered GT24 natural gas turbines to the El Sauz Plant in Mexico. Photo

    courtesy of Alstom.

    1305pe_27 27 5/7/13 9:07 AM

  • www.power-eng.com28

    of a coal plant, so when folks are trying to

    plan and build, gas is certainly one of the

    least cost options. Smaller staff, easier to

    site gas is just an easy decision, and it re-

    ally concerns me that the industry doesnt

    have the f exibility to provide more diver-

    sity. Again, I think everybody is kind of

    being led in that direction.

    ERICSON: I can tell you from a tech-

    nology development perspective that

    we preach diversity. We invest in diverse

    technologies, and its exactly for this pur-

    pose, and for the protection of supply and

    price and policy and even public atti-

    tudes because they change in time. But

    I would have to say that the prospect of all

    gas and renewables in the future is prob-

    ably not the optimal prospect for the U.S.

    and for the industry, and I think people

    probably agree with that.

    AUSTIN: From a Bechtel perspective,

    weve been around for about 115 years.

    Weve seen the peaks and the valleys of

    gas pricing over that time and the desire

    to move forward with gas in the current

    environment. I would concur with Amys

    comment that maintaining diversity from

    a capability perspective is an important

    to go away, which would be the match-

    ing of renewables and the speed with

    which they can be constructed and com-

    missioned. Personally, from an Alstom

    perspective, we def nitely see the trend

    toward natural gas continuing.

    TOM ALLEY: I think that the pricing

    change we see here for units that are op-

    erating on the margin, the coal units that

    are operating right on the margin, may

    come back into play, but for a regulated

    utility, I dont see that impacting their

    business very much. For the unregulated

    generators out there, it may open up a

    little opportunity for a highly-eff cient,

    environmentally-controlled coal plant

    to come back into play, because theyve

    been under a lot of pressure with the low

    gas prices. I dont see this pricing change

    really inf uencing the industry much.

    SCOTT AUSTIN: Based on the informa-

    tion that weve received and interaction

    were having with our customers, I would

    echo Toms comments that what were

    seeing here in the U.S. is a lean toward

    new builds from a natural gas perspec-

    tive. Given the outlook of the relatively

    stable $5 to $7 range in the long term, we

    would see the gas-f red generation being

    the mid-term selection.

    POWER ENGINEERING: EPA regula-

    tions are making it more expensive to

    operate coal-f red power plants. With

    some of the rules coming out, it may

    be almost impossible to build new

    coal-f red plants. With more com-

    panies building natural gas-f red fa-

    cilities to compensate for that, does

    that raise concerns about maintain-

    ing f eet diversity?

    TOBY THOMAS: We certainly do have

    concerns from a fuel diversity perspec-

    tive. In any long term view, if you focus

    too much on one fuel or one technology,

    youre going to potentially have problems

    long term. You def nitely want to be di-

    versif ed. The other side of it is that the

    more power plants you have relaying on

    gas pipelines, the more potential risk you

    have to grid reliability. On those warm

    summer days, youre starting to get close

    to peak f ows on gas pipelines, similar

    to what you see with the winter heating

    load, and sooner or later somebodys go-

    ing to have to get cut. You can build a

    gas-f red power plant, but you do have to

    line up the fuel supply not necessarily

    the commodity but the transportation to

    make sure you can get gas when you need

    it. Also, if the pressure on that gas pipe-

    line goes too low, all those gas plants are

    coming off.

    ALLEY: I would say Im def nitely con-

    cerned about diversity. I think the indus-

    try is being led down a path toward natu-

    ral gas as a destination fuel source. We

    hear it in the presidents recent State of the

    Union Address. We see the EPA rulings for

    Mercury and Air Toxic Standards putting

    extra pressure on the coal plants and coal

    plants closing. We see the EPA proposed

    rulings for greenhouse gas emissions for

    the New Source Performance Standard,

    which put a lot of pressure on coal. I think

    the very eff cient natural gas combined

    cycle plants can meet that standard at

    least as its proposed, but not coal plants.

    Plus, a gas plant is about one-third the

    cost of a nuclear plant and half the cost

    Toby Thomas

    Scott Austin

    Amy Ericson

    Tom Alley

    1305pe_28 28 5/7/13 9:07 AM

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    manage that situation pretty well. I dont

    foresee that EPA rulings are going to

    heavily impact the business. I dont think

    you can say there will be no impact, but

    I just dont see a heavy impact. Im more

    concerned, when it comes to gas pricing,

    with the demand side of the equation,

    with as many industries as we see moving

    toward gas. Its not just the electric sector.

    Its transportation. Weve seen some an-

    nouncements recently on locomotives

    being converted to natural gas. The au-

    tomobile industry is looking at it. The

    chemical industry is looking at it. There

    is a lot of discussion about whether the

    U.S. ends up being a exporter of natural

    gas. I see all of this having a much greater

    impact on the pricing than I would EPA

    regulations.

    POWER ENGINEERING: One thing

    it seems people are concerned

    about on the volatility of natural

    gas is so many other places uses

    natural gas as well, while coal

    is predominately used for power

    generation. How much does that

    factor into the equation?

    THOMAS: There are a lot of petro-

    chemical ref neries and others that can

    use natural gas, and you could potentially

    increase demand quite a bit. On the pow-

    er generation side, weve spent hundreds

    element that we strive for, to be able to

    facilitate the diversity thats needed in

    our energy mix as a nation. We look to

    our customers to make those decisions as

    demand warrants, and we stand ready to

    implement those technology solutions as

    theyre appropriate.

    POWER ENGINEERING: The EPA is

    starting to look at the affects of hy-

    draulic fracturing on the environ-

    ment. Is there a concern the EPA

    may make rules that make fracking

    an uneconomical source for obtain-

    ing natural gas and cut down on the

    current gas reserves?

    ALLEY: The EPA and other government

    agencies are all sorting out the jurisdic-

    tion over fracking and everything associ-

    ated with it. Weve seen a lot of discussion

    about the water use and cleaning up wa-

    ter from fracking were sitting at a wa-

    ter conference right now in Atlanta and

    some of the technologies were looking

    at are actually coming out of that indus-

    try so I think the industry is trying to

    The 550-megawatt combined cycle natural gas-f red

    J. Lamar Stall Unit at AEPs Arsenal Hill Power Plant in

    Louisiana went into commercial operation in June 2010.

    Photo courtesy of AEP.

    1305pe_30 30 5/7/13 9:07 AM

  • www.power-eng.comFor info. http://powereng.hotims.com RS# 18

    of millions, if not billions, to build a pow-

    er plant, youre kind of stuck with it for a

    while, so its certainly a concern to add to

    the volatility. We have a lot more supply

    now, but it wasnt that long ago we had

    double digit gas prices because the mar-

    ket thought supply/demand was tight. It

    doesnt take too many traders and others

    that feel things are tightening up to really

    start pushing the market. Will it happen?

    I certainly dont know. Im not an expert

    on that, but its a concern.

    POWER ENGINEERING: What ben-

    ef ts do you receive from a natural

    gas-f red plant as opposed to a

    coal-f red plant using state of the art

    technology that would cut down its

    emissions, or a power project using

    renewable resources?

    ERICSON: Many plants are operating

    with daily starts and stops or on a season-

    al basis, and this operating is changing

    throughout the lifetime of these plants,

    which are coming up on their 10-year

    or 12-year installation date. The reasons

    that are driving that are the renewables

    penetration and, again, the f uctuation of

    fossil prices. Those arent likely to change,

    and the beauty of natural gas is that its

    always available. Not just that its always

    available, because certainly so are nuclear

    and coal, but that it can actually deliver

    large amounts of electricity directly onto

    the grid in a short period of time for ex-

    ample, 450 MW in 10 minutes. And so I

    do think that given the changing market

    conditions and the need for f exibility,

    natural gas generation is being chosen

    because it can respond when it needs to

    respond. It can be f exible.

    AUSTIN: I would concur with Amys re-

    marks there. From a general perspective,

    it was alluded to earlier that the initial

    capital cost of a combined cycle plant is

    much lower than a coal plant. The time

    frame to implement the construction is

    probably on the order of magnitude of

    half of the schedule. The obvious envi-

    ronmental benef t weve spoken about

    and the operability f exible that Amy just

    described, I think, are very important

    variables when you speak about natural

    gas. At Bechtel, were currently build-

    ing several combined cycle plants. Were

    building three signif cant plants in Texas

    for Panda Power Funds, which are good

    examples of this technology in operation

    or in deployment. These projects have

    state of the art environmental controls

    and will be some of the cleanest plants

    in the nation when theyre built. One of

    the things theyre able to do is respond

    to f uctuations in the grid. For example,

    within 10 minutes the plants will be to

    50 percent capability, and within 30 min-

    utes be at base load. When the wind stops

    blowing in west Texas, there are plants

    that are going to be able to support the

    grid and provide an opportunity for more

    deployment of renewable resources.

    THOMAS: The number of people it

    takes to run a comparably sized com-

    bined cycle natural gas plant are far less,

    so my f xed costs are lower. Most of my

    bigger costs are variable costs, so if Im

    not running the plant Im not incurring

    those costs. Operational f exibility is

    probably the biggest piece of it, meaning

    that when Im not making money I can

    shut down. Whether youre in the regu-

    lated or competitive power business, you

    still try to dispatch your units economi-

    cally to either save customers money on

    the regulated side or maximize prof tabil-

    ity on the competitive side. Having a low-

    er f xed cost is a big