Power Calculation for QTL Association

34
Power Calculation for QTL Association Pak Sham, Shaun Purcell Twin Workshop 2001

description

Power Calculation for QTL Association. Pak Sham, Shaun Purcell Twin Workshop 2001. Biometrical model. GenotypeAAAaaa Frequency(1-p) 2 2p(1-p)p 2 Trait mean-ada Trait variance  2  2  2 Overall meana(2p-1)+2dp(1-p). P ( X ) =  G P ( X | G ) P ( G ). - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Power Calculation for QTL Association

Page 1: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Power Calculation for QTL Association

Pak Sham, Shaun Purcell

Twin Workshop 2001

Page 2: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Biometrical model

Genotype AA Aa aa

Frequency (1-p) 2 2p(1-p) p2

Trait mean -a d a

Trait variance 2 2 2

Overall mean a(2p-1)+2dp(1-p)

Page 3: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

P(X) = GP(X|G)P(G)

P(X)

X

AA

Aa

aa

Page 4: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Equal allele frequencies

A

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

-5 -3 -1 1 3 5

Page 5: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Rare increaser allele

A

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

-5 -3 -1 1 3 5

Page 6: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Linear regression analysis

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

aa Aa AA

Page 7: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Power of QTL association - regression analysis

N = [z - z1-] 2 / A2

z : standard normal deviate for significance z1- : standard normal deviate for power 1-A

2 : proportion of variance due to additive QTL

Page 8: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Required Sample Sizes

QTLvariance10%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

0 0.05 0.1

Significance level

Sa

mp

le s

ize

80% power

95% power

50% power

Page 9: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Power of likelihood ratio testsFor chi-squared tests on large samples, power is

determined by non-centrality parameter () and degrees of freedom (df)

= E(2lnL1 - 2lnL0)

= E(2lnL1 ) - E(2lnL0)

where expectations are taken at asymptotic values of maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) under an assumed true model

Page 10: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Between and within sibships components of means

Page 11: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Variance/Covariance explained

The better the fit of a means model:

- the greater the explained variances and covariances

- the smaller the residual variances and covariances

Page 12: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Variance of b- component

Page 13: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Variance of w- component

Page 14: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Covariance between b- and w- components

Page 15: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Null model

Page 16: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Between model

Page 17: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Within model

Page 18: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Full model

Page 19: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

NCPs for component tests

Page 20: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Determinant of a uniform covariance matrix

])1([)( 1 bsabaA sS

Page 21: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Determinants of residual covariance matrices

Page 22: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

NCPs of b- and w- tests

Page 23: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Definitions of LD parametersB1 B2

A1 pr + D ps - D p

A2 qr - D qs + D q

r s

pr + D < min(p, r)

D < min(p, r) - pr DMAX = min(ps, rq)

= min(p-pr, r-pr) D’ = D / DMAX

= min(ps, rq) R2 = D2 / pqrs

Page 24: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Apparent variance components at marker locus

N/22 where

Page 25: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Exercise: Genetic Power CalculatorUse Genetic Power Calculator, Association Analysis option

Investigate the sample size requirement for the between and within sibship tests under a range of assumptions

Vary

sibship size

additive QTL variance

sibling correlation

QTL allele frequencies

marker allele frequencies

D’

Page 26: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

N for 90% powerIndividuals

0 - 10% QTL variance

QTL, Marker allele freqs = 0.50

D-prime = 1

No dominance

Type I error rate = 0.05

Test for total association

Page 27: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

QTL variance

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1

QTL variance

N

Page 28: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

QTL variance

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1

QTL variance

NC

P p

er

ind

ivid

ua

l

Page 29: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Effect of sibship size

Sibship size 1 - 5

Sib correlation = 0.25 , 0.75

5% QTL variance

QTL, Marker allele freqs = 0.50

D-prime = 1

No dominance

Type I error rate = 0.05

Page 30: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Total

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

0.1

1 2 3 4 5

Sibship size

NC

P p

er

ind

ivid

ua

l

T r = 0.25

T r = 0.75

Page 31: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Within

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

1 2 3 4 5

Sibship size

NC

P p

er

ind

ivid

ua

l

W r = 0.25

W r = 0.75

Page 32: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Between

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

1 2 3 4 5

Sibship size

NC

P p

er

ind

ivid

ua

l

B r = 0.25

B r = 0.75

Page 33: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Exercises1. What effect does the QTL allele frequency have

on power if the test is at the QTL ?

2. What effect does D’ have?

3. What is the effect of differences between QTL and marker allele frequency?

Page 34: Power Calculation for  QTL Association

Allele frequency & LDQTL allele freq = 0.05, no dominance

Sample sizes for 90% power :

Marker allele freq 0.1 0.25 0.5

D’ 1 1 1

N 205 625 1886

Marker allele freq 0.1 0.25 0.5

D’ 0.5 0.5 0.5

N 835 2517 7560