Potential and implementation plans for offshore wind … · Potential and implementation plans for...
Transcript of Potential and implementation plans for offshore wind … · Potential and implementation plans for...
Potential and implementation
plans for offshore wind energy
Hamburg, 21 October
Wojciech P. Cetnarski PWEA President
is a non-governmental organisation active since 1999,
having more than 100 member companies
a member of:
European Wind Energy Association
Global Wind Energy Council
PWEA
Polish Wind Energy Association
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Wind energy development in Poland
Source: Ministry of Economy
Small turbines [MW] Onshore [MW]
Offshore [MW]
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Current development status of offshore wind energy in Europe
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Total – as of 31 12 2012:
• Installed capacity in the EU in 2012: 4 995 MW.
• Such capacity may produce 18 TWh of electricity per year, i.e. 0.5% of total EU electricity demand.
• Offshore wind farms in Europe are located in 10 countries (UK – 2 947.9 MW – 58.9% of Europe's capacity; Denmark - 921 MW – 18.4%).
2012 only:
• Total capacity connected to the grid: 1 166 MW, i.e. 33% more than in 2011
• Investments in excess of – €4 billion.
www.dongenergy.com www.cleantechnics.com www.foundocean.com
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• Growth of the shipyard and naval industry,
which is already significantly involved in
offshore energy projects on North See.
• Development of the offshore supply chain
industries.
• Development of coastal areas – mainly ports
and logistic services.
• Greater energy self-reliance.
• Substantial contribution to the achievement
of the EU targets and strategies concerning
counteracting climate change after 2020.
What offshore may bring to Poland
Offshore wind energy in Poland
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• 65 location applications filed
• 25 permits issued
• 8 permits paid for (approximately € 25 million)
• 9 permits have expired
• 8 permits awaiting payment (approximately € 10 million)
• 23 permits refused
łódzkie
dolnośląskie
kujawsko-pomorskie
opolskie
ślaskie
małopolskie
lubelskie
świętokrzyskie
podkarpackie
Szczecin
Gdynia/ Gdańsk
Istniejąca infrastruktura portowa
Potencjalne lokalizacje dodatkowej infrastruktury
logistycznej dla MEW
Główne lokalizacje potencjalnych MFW (do 6 GW)
Granica strefy ekonomicznej
Granica morza terytorialnego
Producenci sprzętu lub komponentów dla MEW w UE
Potencjalne lokalizacje infrastruktury technicznej dla
MEW w Polsce
Kołobrzeg
Darłowo
Ustka/Słupsk
Władysławowo
Świnoujście
Existing and potential infrastructural and technological base for offshore wind energy in
Poland, E&Y own work
The „Offshore wind energy – analysis of benefits for the Polish economy and development determinants” report
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• Report developed by Ernst &Young for PWEA
• First report estimating the impact of offshore wind energy
development in Poland on the economy
• Analysis of the current and future offshore wind energy
development until 2025 in 3 installed capacity scenarios and an
analysis of investment impact on the Polish economy
www.renewableenergyfocus.com worldmaritimenews.com www.suite101.com
6,0
3,5
1,0
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2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
GW
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Development of the first investments (costless operation of the support scheme)
Development scenarios
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The report analyses three offshore wind energy
development scenarios for Poland until 2025:
• 6.0 GW – rapid development scenario (base scenario).
• 3.5 GW – moderate development scenario.
• 1.0 GW – slow development scenario.
Offshore wind installed capacity development scenarios for Poland, 2012 - 2025, E&Y own work
Avoided CO2 Emissions
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Avoided CO2 emissions in the three offshore wind development scenarios until 2025, E&Y own estmates
40 million tCO2
27 million tCO2
2 million tCO2
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2
3
4
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6
7
8
0 0.5 1 1.5 2
GW
Avoided CO2 emission costs – PLN billion
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
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1. Although Poland has very high potential for offshore wind energy development as well as for the development of offshore industry and auxiliary services no clear regulatory framework for offshore has been proposed by the government so far.
2. Works on the draft RES Act, transposing the RES Directive and redefining the RES support system (RES Act) is currently being finalized by the government, bot no details regarding offshore wind support mechanism were published up to date.
3. Without such a clear and supporting RES Act, defining the support for offshore wind, Poland is going to play only a secondary role in development of this industry.
Regulatory Environment
www.offshorewind.biz
Summary
1. Offshore wind energy is a great opportunity for the national
shipbuilding and port industry, where Poland has substantial
experience and competence.
2. Ensuring relevant logistical base for offshore projects in Poland
will not only boost development of coastal areas, but also
contribute to the decrease of actual costs of the projects, i.e. the
decrease of support and logistics costs.
3. For several years Polish entrepreneurs have been demonstrating
their strength and determination, winning contracts in the
offshore sector, building ships, towers, foundations, platforms
and equipment for offshore wind farms.
4. The use of the Poland’s potential and the support for the Polish
economy by offshore wind energy investments will be possible
only if clear and stable regulatory solutions for the sector are
implemented.
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