Possibility - Will the changing role of NOC’s affect how we are ope … - Kaj Hugo...
Transcript of Possibility - Will the changing role of NOC’s affect how we are ope … - Kaj Hugo...
Will the changing role of NOC’s affect how we are ope ating in the f t e?operating in the future?
Kaj H. Fredriksen
2008 h hUTC 2008, 4th-5th June, Bergen
Presentation Overview
• FMC Technologies at a glance
• What the researchers are telling us
• FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
• FMC & NOC’s - Today
• FMC & NOC’s – The competitive environment
• SummarySummary
FMC Technologies at a Glance1884 1884 –– Bean Spray Pump CompanyBean Spray Pump Company
1920s1920s –– Food Machinery CompanyFood Machinery Company1920s 1920s –– Food Machinery CompanyFood Machinery Company
FMC Technologies at a Glance
DefenceDefence GoldGold ChemicalsChemicals
EnergyEnergyAgricultureAgriculture
Aircraft Handling Aircraft Handling SystemsSystems
Food Food ProcessingProcessing
FMC Technologies at a Glance2007 Revenue: $4.6 Billion
Energy Production Segment
• Subsea Trees & Controls
2007 Revenue: $4.6 Billion
• Subsea Manifolds
• Subsea Processing Systems
• Surface Wellheads
Energy Systems
79%
• Surface Wellheads
Energy Processing Segment
• Fluid Control
• Loading Systems
• Measurement Solutions
Airport Systems
8 %FoodTech
13 %
• Citrus Extractors• Loaders
Announced intention to spin-off Airport and FoodTech in mid-2008
• Freezing Systems
• Food Processing Systems
• Deicers
• Boarding Bridges
• RampSnake
5
p
FMC Technologies at a Glance
1957 1957 –– FMC acquires Oil Centre Tools HoustonFMC acquires Oil Centre Tools Houston
FMC Technologies at a Glance
BergenAnchorageKongsberg
DunfermlineEdmonton
Calgary
St. John’s
Halifax
Aberdeen
Sens
Bergen
Stavanger
AnchorageSt Petersburg
Houston
Villahermosa MaracaiboMuscatNouakchott
CairoAlgiers
Singapore
Villahermosa Maracaibo Lagos
Eq. Guinea
Luanda
Johor
JakartaPointe Noire
Abidjan
Rio De JaneiroMacae
Luanda
Perth
20072007 –– FMC strategically positioned to meet the needs of our customersFMC strategically positioned to meet the needs of our customers2007 2007 FMC strategically positioned to meet the needs of our customersFMC strategically positioned to meet the needs of our customers
The ResearchThe ResearchThe Research The Research A New Environment?A New Environment?
Research – the new environment
NOC Oil ReservesNOC Oil Reserves
11%6%
NOC Oil Reserves (Equity Access)
Full IOC
Oil Reserves Held by New Russian Companies
<25% of Oil AccessibleWW Proven Oil Reserves:
1,148 bill. bbl11%6%
NOC Oil Reserves (Equity Access)
Full IOC
Oil Reserves Held by New Russian Companies
<25% of Oil AccessibleWW Proven Oil Reserves:
1,148 bill. bbl11%6%6%
Full IOC Access
11%6%6%
Full IOC Access
77%NOC Oil Reserves
(Limited Equity Access)
77%NOC Oil Reserves
(Limited Equity Access)(Limited Equity Access)(Limited Equity Access)
Source: Robin West, PFC Energy ”The service industry in a time of change”, presentation, 20 April 2006
Research – the new environment
Source of comment : Anon, Accenture, ”the national oil company – transforming the
“a buoyant oil price has removed the need for “a buoyant oil price has removed the need for external financing of some major projects”external financing of some major projects”
, , p y gcompetitive landscape for global energy”, p2, 2006
Research – the new environment
“NOC national goals:“NOC national goals:••Wealth creation for the nationWealth creation for the nation••Industrialisation and economic development”Industrialisation and economic development”••Industrialisation and economic developmentIndustrialisation and economic development
Source of comment : Amy Myers Jaffe Rice University ”The changing role of National OilSource of comment : Amy Myers Jaffe, Rice University The changing role of National Oil Companies in International Energy Markets” Presentation, March 1 2007
Research – the new environment
“the emerging role of service companies as “the emerging role of service companies as a pseudoa pseudo--substitute for IOC’s”substitute for IOC’s”
NOC IOCNOC IOC
Service Companies
Source of comment : Anon, Accenture, ” the national oil company – transforming the competitive landscape for global energy”, p9, 2006
Research – the new environment
FMC senior management meetingFMC senior management meeting October 2007October 2007FMC senior management meeting FMC senior management meeting –– October 2007October 2007
Research – the new environment
KongsbergKongsbergDunfermlineDunfermline
HoustonHouston
SingaporeSingaporeSingaporeSingapore
Rio De JaneiroRio De Janeiro
Research – the new environment
Metering & Control Systems
Light Well
Control Systems
Surface Well Systems Light Well
Intervention
Systems
Subsea Drilling Systems
Standard Subsea Trees
SubseaProcessing
Systems
Subsea Manifold
Trees
Guidelineless Deepwater Trees
Smart Well Control Systems Subsea Template
SystemsROV Tie-In Systems
Research – the new environment
National Oil Companies
C ti ” ” i t?Creating a ”new” environment?
oror
Creating a more competitive environment?
FMC & National Oil CompaniesFMC & National Oil CompaniesFMC & National Oil CompaniesFMC & National Oil CompaniesThe last 50 yearsThe last 50 years
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
1957 - FMC Objectives:1957 - FMC Objectives:
Expand Internationally
Move into offshore sectorMove into offshore sector
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
**Restricted AccessRestricted Access
Rio De JaneiroRio De Janeiro
**19601960
high import tariffshigh import tariffs**high import tariffshigh import tariffs
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 yearsy
1956 1956 –– CBV established in Santo Cristo CBV established in Santo Cristo -- RioRio
1960 1960
1960 1960 –– Signing of licence agreement Signing of licence agreement CBV & OTC (FMC) H tCBV & OTC (FMC) H t
Market entry Brazil Market entry Brazil thru thru
licence agreementlicence agreementCBV & OTC (FMC) HoustonCBV & OTC (FMC) Houston
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
CBV Surface Wellhead Brazil industry standardCBV Surface Wellhead Brazil industry standardCBV Surface Wellhead Brazil industry standardCBV Surface Wellhead Brazil industry standard
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
1974 1974 –– Petrobras make discovery in Campos basinPetrobras make discovery in Campos basin
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
1977 1977 –– First subsea tree for PetrobrasFirst subsea tree for PetrobrasEspada FieldEspada Field
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
After 38 years 1998 After 38 years 1998 –– FMC buys CBVFMC buys CBV
2007 2007 –– FMC CBV mainly localised positionsFMC CBV mainly localised positionsy py p
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
SingaporeSingapore
neutral hub neutral hub for for
Middle & Far EastMiddle & Far East
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
**
1980s 1980s –– MalaysiaMalaysiaPSCs PSCs -- Petronas manage procurement Petronas manage procurement
& service contracts& service contracts
P i it l l iP i it l l iPriority local companiesPriority local companies
30 years30 years –– Far EastFar East
19881988–– FMC Malaysia FMC Malaysia –– Pasir GudangPasir Gudang
30 years 30 years Far EastFar EastTransition Nationals to management Transition Nationals to management
positionspositions
1975 1975 –– FMC Singapore (key hub)FMC Singapore (key hub)
1975 to 1980s1975 to 1980s
19861986 FMC JakartaFMC Jakarta SantanaSantana
Market entry Far EastMarket entry Far Eastthruthru
local manufacturelocal manufacture19861986–– FMC Jakarta FMC Jakarta -- SantanaSantana
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
1975 1975 –– skilled Oil & Gas personnel scarceskilled Oil & Gas personnel scarceScarce resources command higher salariesScarce resources command higher salaries
AberdeenAberdeenHome of UK Home of UK Oil & Gas IndustryOil & Gas Industry
North Sea
1975 1975 –– FMC Dunfermline UK (key hub)FMC Dunfermline UK (key hub)
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 yearstechnicianstechnicians labourerslabourers inspectorsinspectors
welderswelderstest engineerstest engineers machinistsmachinists
1975 1975 –– Scotland's central belt Scotland's central belt –– existing engineering and manufacturing skillsexisting engineering and manufacturing skillsCosts approximately 11 5% lower than AberdeenCosts approximately 11 5% lower than AberdeenCosts approximately 11.5% lower than Aberdeen Costs approximately 11.5% lower than Aberdeen
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
19 years 19 years –– UKUKTransition UK personnel to Transition UK personnel to
management positionsmanagement positions
1975 1975 -- US Personnel US Personnel expatriated expatriated
to transfer technologies to UKto transfer technologies to UK
1985 1985 –– Dunfermline’s 1st subsea tree installedDunfermline’s 1st subsea tree installedPhillip’s Hewitt fieldPhillip’s Hewitt field
May 2007 May 2007 UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown
Talks with apprenticesTalks with apprentices1975 Market entry UK1975 Market entry UK
thruthruexisting industrial baseexisting industrial basegg
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
K b NK b NKongsberg NorwayKongsberg Norway
1987 Market Entry Norway1987 Market Entry Norway –– Alliance / JV with indigenous companyAlliance / JV with indigenous company1987 Market Entry Norway 1987 Market Entry Norway –– Alliance / JV with indigenous companyAlliance / JV with indigenous company
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
1972 to 1994 1972 to 1994 –– Norway’s local content policyNorway’s local content policy
Preference to Norwegian suppliersPreference to Norwegian suppliers
Must be competitiveMust be competitive
Research CoResearch Co--operation Incentivesoperation Incentives
Knowledge Transfer IncentivesKnowledge Transfer Incentives
1972 to 1994 1972 to 1994 –– Norwegian content essential to operate in NorwayNorwegian content essential to operate in Norway
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years
**1987 FMC & kongsberg 1987 FMC & kongsberg
alliancealliance
System capabilitySystem capability
**XX--Mas treesMas trees**Topside controlsTopside controls**TieTie--in systemsin systems
y p yy p y
**HIPPSHIPPS
**ManifoldsManifolds
**WellheadsWellheads
1994 FMC kongsberg1994 FMC kongsberg
**Subsea controlsSubsea controls**manifoldsmanifolds
**WellheadsWellheads
**1994 FMC kongsberg 1994 FMC kongsberg Subsea A.SSubsea A.S
**Knowledge transfer & Knowledge transfer & hh titi**5K5K **15K15K
research coresearch co--operationoperation5K5K
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years1994 1994 –– Statoil’s 5 year subsea supply & service agreementStatoil’s 5 year subsea supply & service agreement
1994 Statoil1994 Statoil -- a contributor to our standardisation of technologya contributor to our standardisation of technology1994 Statoil 1994 Statoil a contributor to our standardisation of technologya contributor to our standardisation of technology
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years**UKUK **NorwayNorway**UKUK
**
1995 to 1997 1995 to 1997 UK technicians train & UK technicians train & supervise Norwegian supervise Norwegian
t h i i t blt h i i t bltechnician to assemble technician to assemble & test completions& test completions
**X/Mas TreeX/Mas Tree
Kongsberg
Dunfermline**Tubing HangerTubing Hanger
**Technology transfer to Technology transfer to NorwayNorway
**Tree CapTree Cap **Final Assembly and testFinal Assembly and test
FMC & NOC’s - The last 50 years**Improved Oil Recovery Technologies Improved Oil Recovery Technologies –– Game Changing InnovationsGame Changing Innovations
**Statoil TordisStatoil Tordis
Subsea ProcessingSubsea Processing**Subsea Processing Subsea Processing TechnologiesTechnologies
**Light well intervention Light well intervention **ggtechnologiestechnologies
**Thru Tubing Rotary DrillingThru Tubing Rotary Drilling
**2000 Statoil 2000 Statoil –– A driver behind our future technologiesA driver behind our future technologies
FMC & National Oil CompaniesFMC & National Oil CompaniesFMC & National Oil CompaniesFMC & National Oil CompaniesTodayToday
FMC & NOC’s - TodayIncreases with
Min
**Today New Frontiers bring New ChallengesToday New Frontiers bring New Challenges
Current Minimum
Increases withMauritania
EG
**Today New Frontiers bring New ChallengesToday New Frontiers bring New Challenges
Execution support Ivory Coast
Libya
Current Maximumy
Egypt
C
Manifold + Suction Anchors + Guidebases + Xmas Tree Assembly
Congo
Angolay
Industrial CapabilityLead Time
Nigeria
S th Af iLead TimeProjects/Well Count
South AfricaMax
**Policy Induced Resource Scarcity ?Policy Induced Resource Scarcity ?**Policy Induced Resource Scarcity ?Policy Induced Resource Scarcity ?
FMC & NOC’s - Today**Since 1999 FMC invested US $18m in AngolaSince 1999 FMC invested US $18m in Angola
**FMC Workshops / Office / Storage FMC Workshops / Office / Storage –– 18,588m218,588m2
**Sonangol driverSonangol driver -- maximise local contentmaximise local content
**Developing Angolese EmployeesDeveloping Angolese Employees**Developing Angolese manufactureDeveloping Angolese manufacture
**Sonangol driver Sonangol driver -- maximise local contentmaximise local content
FMC & NOC’s - Today
180
200**FMC Angola EmployeesFMC Angola Employees
140
160
**Original commitmentOriginal commitment44 Angolans 44 Angolans -- 20062006**2006 2006 -- Expatriate to Angolan ratio 70% (original target 60%)Expatriate to Angolan ratio 70% (original target 60%)
80
100
120
A l
Total
40
60
Angolans
Expats
0
20
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Expats
**2013 Goal 2013 Goal –– 97% “localised” positions97% “localised” positions
**Sonangol driverSonangol driver -- maximise local contentmaximise local contentSonangol driver Sonangol driver maximise local contentmaximise local content
**Investing in Angolan ManufactureInvesting in Angolan Manufacturet **2005/62005/6
**Total Girassol / JasminTotal Girassol / Jasmin45 well development45 well development **Total RosaTotal Rosa
23 well development23 well development **BP Greater PlutoniaBP Greater Plutonia45 well development45 well development
cal C
onte
ntnt
ribut
ion
**2004/52004/5
**2005/62005/6
Loc
Co
**20002000
**Sonangol driverSonangol driver maximise local contentmaximise local content
**Jumper + manifold fabricationJumper + manifold fabrication+ PGB+ PGB**Jumper fabricationJumper fabrication
Investment in baseInvestment in base **Jumper + manifold fabricationJumper + manifold fabrication+ PGB + Xmas tree assembly+ PGB + Xmas tree assembly
**Sonangol driver Sonangol driver -- maximise local contentmaximise local content
FMC & NOC’s - Today
**Final Assembly & testFinal Assembly & test
**Kits from UKKits from UK
**Modular “Kit Tree”Modular “Kit Tree”
**Final inspectionFinal inspection**Kits from USKits from USLuanda
Kits from USKits from US
**BP Greater Plutonia BP Greater Plutonia –– local content planlocal content plan
**Sonangol driver Sonangol driver -- maximise local contentmaximise local content**shipmentshipment**shipmentshipment
FMC & NOC’s - Today**6 months training Angola6 months training Angola
**recruitment & selectionrecruitment & selection
**9 to 12 months Training in Europe9 to 12 months Training in Europe**diplomasdiplomas
FMC & NOC’s - Today
**1st BP tree assembled in Angola1st BP tree assembled in Angolagg
**2nd BP tree assembled in Angola2nd BP tree assembled in Angola**2nd BP tree assembled in Angola2nd BP tree assembled in Angola **2nd BP tree assembled in Angola 2nd BP tree assembled in Angola
installed at 1,400m on sea bedinstalled at 1,400m on sea bed**2nd BP tree assembled in Angola 2nd BP tree assembled in Angola pre installation checks on rigpre installation checks on rig
FMC & NOC’s - Today**Over time policies increase Over time policies increase
local content %local content %
**Manufacturing PGB,s Manufacturing PGB,s **Jumpers Jumpers
Angolan FabricatorsPetromar
**Manifold systems Manifold systems Mauritanian FabricatorsCOMECA
**Supplier development $ Supplier development $
PetromarSonamet
AlgoaFreidlander
COMECA**Limited resources Limited resources
**Limited capacity Limited capacity **
New / local subNew / local sub--suppliers suppliers require dedicated QA require dedicated QA
personnel to avoidpersonnel to avoidFreidlanderMetalurgica De Viana
**Policy created scarcity of resourcesPolicy created scarcity of resources Generally equipment costs increase 2 5 to 4 timesGenerally equipment costs increase 2 5 to 4 times
**Increase price $ Increase price $
personnel to avoid personnel to avoid compromising quality compromising quality
**Policy created scarcity of resources Policy created scarcity of resources -- Generally equipment costs increase 2.5 to 4 timesGenerally equipment costs increase 2.5 to 4 times
FMC & NOC’s - Today
120
140**FMC Angola FMC Angola –– local staff turnoverlocal staff turnover
80
100
20
40
60
**Angola licence roundAngola licence round **Angola licence roundAngola licence round
0
Total Locals 16 22 45 62 57 57 95 119
Total Left 2 1 4 13 6 4 16 6
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
**Licence rounds Licence rounds
Loss of experienced staffLoss of experienced staff**higher salaries higher salaries **
IOC / NOCIOC / NOCsecuritysecurity
Duration of licence Duration of licence
Service companyService company**
Loss of experienced staff Loss of experienced staff to to
IOC’s & NOC’sIOC’s & NOC’s **job security job security **Service companyService company
securitysecurityduration of projectduration of project
**Without sustainable businessWithout sustainable business –– project specific service costs increaseproject specific service costs increaseWithout sustainable business Without sustainable business project specific service costs increaseproject specific service costs increase
FMC & National Oil CompaniesFMC & National Oil CompaniesFMC & National Oil CompaniesFMC & National Oil CompaniesThe New EnvironmentThe New Environment
FMC & NOC’s – The new environment
**FMC Nusajaya MalaysiaFMC Nusajaya MalaysiaNew facility to support Petronas subsea business New facility to support Petronas subsea business
Approx 30 mins
**ExpansionExpansion
**ExistingExisting
**FMC SingaporeFMC Singapore**FMC SingaporeFMC SingaporeExpansion for growing NOC/ IOC subsea business in far East Expansion for growing NOC/ IOC subsea business in far East
FMC & NOC’s – The new environment
**DrillingDrilling
**Avoiding Ice BergsAvoiding Ice Bergs
**InterventionsInterventions
**Gazprom Gazprom -- Technology studies for Shtokman and other Arctic offshore Technology studies for Shtokman and other Arctic offshore d l t i B t & Kd l t i B t & Kdevelopments in Barent & Kara seasdevelopments in Barent & Kara seas
FMC & NOC’s – The new environment
**Offshore RussiaOffshore RussiaThe future is local contentThe future is local content
**September 2007September 2007**September 2007 September 2007 official opening of FMC Polytechnic Centreofficial opening of FMC Polytechnic Centre
Good advice from FMC’s director of salesGood advice from FMC’s director of sales
**Good advice from FMC s director of sales Good advice from FMC s director of sales
& business development& business development
“Study hard and you to can have a “Study hard and you to can have a business card like mine”business card like mine”**1st group of students commence 6 month 1st group of students commence 6 month
post graduate module in subsea technologypost graduate module in subsea technology
**2006 joint venture investment2006 joint venture investment FMC & St Petersburg Polytechnical UniversityFMC & St Petersburg Polytechnical University**2006 joint venture investment 2006 joint venture investment –– FMC & St Petersburg Polytechnical UniversityFMC & St Petersburg Polytechnical University
In SummaryIn Summary
**In SummaryIn Summary
FMC FMC SingaporeSingapore
**Technology Technology standardisationstandardisation **Improved oil Improved oil
recovery studiesrecovery studies**
FMC FMC PolytechnicPolytechnic
Opened RussiaOpened Russia
**11stst surface treesurface tree
**SingaporeSingaporeNeutral NOC Neutral NOC
locationlocation **FMC MalaysiaFMC Malaysia
Local Local manufacturing manufacturing
PetronasPetronas
FMCFMC E t bli hE t bli h**Technology Technology
studies Russiastudies Russia
**FMC Dunfermline FMC Dunfermline
UKUKExisting Existing
Manufacturing Manufacturing i f t ti f t t
**11stst Subsea Subsea tree UKtree UK
**FMC FMC buys buys KOSKOS
**EstablishEstablish
FMC AngolaFMC AngolaLocal contentLocal content
**Malaysia Malaysia subsea subsea facilityfacility
infrastructureinfrastructure
**11stst diverless treediverless tree
**FMC Kos FMC Kos alliancealliance
**11stst guideless treeguideless tree
**TechnologTechnology transfer y transfer to Norwayto Norway
**FMC Licence FMC Licence agreement agreement
CBVCBV**LWI LWI
implementationimplementation
**FMC buy OCTFMC buy OCT**
FMC IndonesiaFMC IndonesiaLocal manufacturing Local manufacturing
PetraminaPetramina
**FMC FMC buys buys CBVCBV**
Petrobras Petrobras discover oildiscover oil
Campos BasinCampos Basin
T h lT h lWorlds 1Worlds 1stst
bb
pp
1957 1961 1975 1982 1986 1988 19981994
**11stst FMC Subsea FMC Subsea treetree **11stst deepwater deepwater
recordrecord **11stst subsea subsea manifoldmanifold
20072000 2006
**TechnologTechnology transfer y transfer to Angolato Angola **
subsea subsea processing processing
system system installedinstalled
19601961
1974 1977 1985 1990 19951987 1999 2004 2007
In SummaryIn SummaryyyThe changing environment The changing environment
&& 1957 to 20071957 to 2007& & NOC policies NOC policies
Challenging / ManageableChallenging / Manageable
1957 to 20071957 to 200750 Years of experience!50 Years of experience!
Ready to tackle the futureReady to tackle the futureg g gg g g
FMC / NOCFMC / NOCtechnology studiestechnology studies
Service company / NOC Service company / NOC technology studiestechnology studiestechnology studiestechnology studies
A A mutually mutually beneficial relationshipbeneficial relationship
technology studiestechnology studies
Encourage all NOC’s.Encourage all NOC’s.Reserves are harder to findReserves are harder to findbeneficial relationshipbeneficial relationship
WARNING: WARNING: Good service companies are a limited resourceGood service companies are a limited resource
Thank youThank you