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Ponderosa pine Current Map 6a. Projected habitat of ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa Douglas ex Lawson & C. Lawson). The left image is an expected frequency (% canopy cover projected to the ground) for the 1961-1990 normal period, representing long-term climate condition and model training data. The right image models habitat for the 1997-2006 period, representing a recent (25-year) climate trend. 1997-2006 Recent Average 1961-1990 Climate Normal

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Page 1: Ponderosa pine Current - University of Alberta › ... › ponderosapine.pdf · Ponderosa pine – 2050s Map 6c. Projected habitat of ponderosa pine for the 2041–2070 normal period

Ponderosa pine – Current

 

  

Map 6a. Projected habitat of ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa Douglas ex Lawson & C. Lawson). The left image is an expected frequency (% canopy cover projected to the ground) for the 1961-1990 normal period, representing long-term climate condition and model training data. The right image models habitat for the 1997-2006 period, representing a recent (25-year) climate trend.

1997-2006 Recent Average1961-1990 Climate Normal

Page 2: Ponderosa pine Current - University of Alberta › ... › ponderosapine.pdf · Ponderosa pine – 2050s Map 6c. Projected habitat of ponderosa pine for the 2041–2070 normal period

Ponderosa Pine – 2020s

 

                       

Map 6b. Projected habitat of ponderosa pine for the 2011–2040 normal period according to 18 climate change projections. The left image is an average expected frequency (% canopy cover projected to the ground). The right image represents agreement of species presence/absence projections for 18 general circulation models.

2020s GCM Agreement 18 GCMs for 2020s

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Ponderosa pine – 2050s

 

                       

Map 6c. Projected habitat of ponderosa pine for the 2041–2070 normal period according to 18 climate change projections. The left image is an average expected frequency (% canopy cover projected to the ground). The right image represents agreement of species presence/absence projections for 18 general circulation models.

2050s GCM Agreement 18 GCMs for 2050s

Page 4: Ponderosa pine Current - University of Alberta › ... › ponderosapine.pdf · Ponderosa pine – 2050s Map 6c. Projected habitat of ponderosa pine for the 2041–2070 normal period

Ponderosa pine – 2080s

 

                       

Map 6d. Projected habitat of ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) for the 2071–2100 normal period according to 18 climate change projections. The left image is an average expected frequency (% canopy cover projected to the ground). The right image represents agreement of species presence/absence projections for 18 general circulation models.

2080s GCM Agreement 18 GCMs for 2080s