Political Leadership in Yugoslavia: Evolution of the ... · C00226670 J_')th Year R-3049/1...

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    R-3049/1

    Political Leadership in Yugoslavia: Evolution of the League of Communists (U)

    A Ross Johnson

    November 1983

    Intelligence Information

    Not Releasable to Foreign Nationals

    limited to U.S. Government Agencies Only

    No DTIC Distribution

    Do Not Quote or Reproduce Without Permission from Rand.

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    The Rand Publications Series: The Report is the principal publication doc-umenting and transmitting Rand's major research findings and final research results. The Rand Note reports other outputs of sponsored research for general distribution. Publications of The Rand Corporation do not neces-sarily reflect the opinions or policies of thP. sponsors of Rand research.

    Published by The Rand Corporation

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    Political Leadership in Yugosl,avia: Evolution of the League of Communists (U)

    A Ross Johnson

    November 1983

    Intelligence Information

    Not Releasable to Foreign Nationals

    limited to U.S. Government Agencies Only

    No DTIC Distribution

    Classified by 00254 form dated 11/3/80 for Contract MOA903-8l·C·0096 and multiple sources

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    This material contains INTELLIGENCE INFORMATION, as indicate d below:

    Rand Control No.

    R-3049/1 Intelligence Information obtained by Author's Name)

    A. Ross Johnson under the authority of (Client

    from (Source Agency(sJ) Da te(s) of source material(s)

    CIA, Department of State 1972-83

    er item: Nature of Intelligence Information and location in publication or oth

    Intelligence concerning the Yugoslav politica 1 leadership contained on all classified pages.

    Neither foreign nationals nor immigrant aliens, regardless of clearan ce, may have access to intel-ligence information without proper authority.

    Limitations on use by Rand staff: ed to support the wntract This Rand material contains intelligence information releas

    under which this material was prepared. Su.ch information m revealed by Rand to any outside individual or agency (except

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    PREFACE

    (U) This report examines the dynamics of political leadership and

    the prospects for leadership stability in post-Tito Yugoslavia. It

    appraises the importance of the republican vs. the federal political

    base of the Yugoslav leadership. It is focused on the evolution of the

    League of Communists of Yugoslavia (LCY) since the late 1960s and

    especially on the issue of the importance and role of the LCY's

    constituent republican and provincial organizations. It attempts to

    illuminate the sources and mechanisms of political leadership and

    decisionmaking in Yugoslavia and thus to contribute to U.S. government

    assessments of Yugoslavia's likely future development and stability.

    This study was conducted under a contract with the Office of

    the Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Policy and

    was funded jointly by that Office; the Bureau of Intelligence and

    Research, Department of State; the Directorate of Net Assessment,

    Department of Defense; and the Office of European Affairs, Central

    Intelligence Agency.

    (U) This report is addressed to officers and analysts in the

    co-sponsoring agencies and other U.S. government officials. It reviews

    developments in the LCY through ~larch 1983 and thus incorporates the

    experience of 35 months "after Tito"--a period sufficiently long to

    permit assessing the functioning of the political system in the absence

    of its architect and former supreme arbiter.

    The report is based on a review of Yugoslav and Western open-

    source materials, intelligence reports, and discussions with Yugoslav

    and western officials and analysts. In the course of the research, the

    author spent five ~eeks in Yugoslavia in October-November 1981. He

    discussed Yugoslav developments with some 70 federal and republican

    Party and government officials, journalists, and intellectuals in

    Belgrade, Ljubljana, Zagreb, Sarajevo, and Skopje. He held additional

    discussions in Yugoslavia in July 1982. Some findings from the field

    research that contributed to the present study were reported in Rand

    ~ote N-1813, Impressions of Post-Tito Yugoslavia: A Trip Report, by

    A. Ross Johnson, January 19o2.

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    This· report is primarily concerned with the issue of how political

    leaders emerge in Yugoslavia and deals principally with the LCY. It does

    not attempt to provide a general assessment of Yugoslavia's political

    or economic prospects, or of Yugoslavia's international position. The

    report traces the devolution of power within the LCY over the past 20

    years and suggests how leadership authority is established on a decen-

    tralized basis and how decisionmaking requires interregional consensus.

    Leadership changes and related political controversies are traced for

    some of the LCY's constituent republican and provincial organizations--in

    Croatia, Serbia, Vojvodina, and Kosovo. Limitations on fieldwork and

    difficulties in obtaining regional primary materials precluded more

    detailed examination of policymaking at the republican/provincial and

    lower levels. The central thesis of this study highlights the

    importance of additional attention to the republican and provincial

    Party organizations and more systematic analysis of the careers of their

    leaders.

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    SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

    The Yugoslav political system evolved from centralism in the

    initial post-World War II period to federalism in the 1960s and quasi-

    confederalism in the 1970s. As the Party introduced a less doctrinaire

    and more participatory political system after 1950, Yugoslavia's

    multinational composition exerted a major influence on the Yugoslav

    polity. Communist leaders of the constituent regions of Yugoslavia (the

    six republics and two provinces) pursued regional economic, cultural-

    national, and then directly political interests, and this undermined the

    supranational Yugoslavism that Tito and the Yugoslav Communists

    attempted to forge during and after the Partisan War. The Yugoslav

    state was reconstituted on a quasi-confederal basis by the 1974

    Constitution. Federal posts were staffed on the basis of

    republica11/provincial parity. All-Yugoslav policy decisions required

    consensus among the regions.

    The Yugoslav Communist Party (known as the League of Communists of

    Yugoslavia (LCY) since 1952) has also been decentralized. The ~inch

    Party Congress of 1969 rP.cognized the powers of the constituent

    republican and provincial LC organizations. The LCY Presidency (or

    Presidium), Central Committee, and other bodies were reconstituted on

    the basis of parity representation of the republican/provincial LC

    organizations. Earlier, the Party Secretariat had been abolished. In

    the early 1970s, following an upsurge of nationalism in Croatia and

    elsewhere, Tito attempted to reconstruct an autonomous federal Party

    center. He failed, because revolutionary supranational Yugoslayism had

    dissipated, and because newly appointed regi0nal Party leaders promoted

    regional interests even more vigorously than had their purged

    predecessors. By the late 1970s, Tito abandoned the attempt to

    counterpose a more centralized LCY organizational basis to the quasi-

    confederal organizational principles of the Yugoslav state. Instead, he

    sought to institutionalize and depersonalize the system of collective

    leadership and decisionmaking based bn interregional consensus. The

    relatively smooth functioning of this system since Tito's death is

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    testimony to both the success of that effort and Tito's diminished

    personal role in the political system in his final years.

    The LCY continues to affirm that it is a unified political

    organization, with one Congress, Central Committee, Presidency, and

    other bodies, and that it functions on the basis of "democratic

    centralism." Both history and the self-interest of subfederal LCY

    leaders argue against any formal change in this principle. Proposals

    advanced by LCY theorists since Tito's death to formally modify

    "democratic centralism" or otherwise formally proclaim a change in the

    principles of LCY organization in the direction of greater explicit

    "Party federalization" have not found official support at any level.

    But in practice, the LCY has evolved from a centralized to a federal

    organizational basis. The Party "center" has become a "federal center."

    The federal LCY disposes of almost none of the apparatus of a

    traditional Communist Party, although it lacks a Secretariat, a cadre of

    central officials, and centralized information channels. The federal

    LCY functions on the basis of interrepublican consensus on both policies

    and personnel. In recent years, the federal LCY has intervened in the

    affairs of only one of its constituent suborganizations, Kosovo, in

    1981; and that case involved not "central" intervention but the united

    stand of other regional officials under crisis conditions.

    The decentralization or "republicanizationn of the LCY appears irreversible. The process of decentralization developed "from below"

    (unlike the introduction of "self-management" in Yugoslavia, which was

    decreed from above). It was only partially and temporarily reversed by

    Tito's efforts at recentralization in the early 1970s. Today there is

    no significant support within the LCY for recentralization. It is

    instructive to compare the criticisms of excessive decentralization of

    the LCY that are being advanced today with similar criticism at the turr

    of the 1970s. Then, nearly all reformist Party intellectuals who had

    not succumbed to the nationalist bacillus called for reconstruction of

    an LCY "political center" entailing recentralization, albeit voluntary

    and mutually accepted. 1 Such views suggested that there was some

    1 See, e.g., the series of articles in Gledist:a and Praxis in 1971, especially articles by Vojin Rus and Branko Horvat in Gledista, No. 5/6, 1971.

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    support within the Yugoslav elite for Tito's efforts at partial

    recentralization at that time. Today, such voices are almost totally

    absent/ and when they do appear, they are labeled "unitarist," i.e.,

    centralist. Since Tito's death, the only significant calls for

    recentralization of the LCY have come from Serb theorists or junior

    officials who are either known for or immediately suspected of being

    motivated by Serbian nationalism. 3

    The republican and provincial LC organizations are not "Stalinist"

    in either their role in the political system or their internal

    organization. Most specific decisions on republican-level policy issues

    are reached outside of LC forums, with the communal (opst ina) assemblies

    and social councils (drustveni odbori) playing key roles in this

    respect. Yet the republican LC organizations remain the ultimate

    arbiters on republican-level issues, and in general they play a more

    active role vis-a-vis the republican governmental and public machinery

    than does the LCY vis-a-vis federal organs.

    Dacentrali.zation of the LCY has had common effects on all the

    republican and provincial Party organizations. The postwar Communist

    generation has gradually supplanted the Partisan generation in the

    leadership of all subfederal Party organizations. Leadership rotation

    i.;as introduced in the early 1970s; this appeared to be "musical chairs"

    among a stable group of professional politicians. Continuity in the

    occupancy of regional Party leadership posts existed only for the

    president, and the principle of rotation was extended to include the top

    republican Party posts as well in 1982.q Judging by analysis of career

    2 A notable exception is Fuad ~luhic, the Bosnian Muslim theoretician who has consistently advocated a non-federalized Party as the backbone of a federalized state (see Muhic 1 1981). Yet Hubie declared in late 1982 that there had been insufficient criticism of "uni tar ism" (i.e., centralist tendencies) prior to the Twelfth Party Congress (Muhic, 1982).

    l Today. just as in interwar Yugoslavia, Great Serbianism is the only possible national basis for centralism, since Serbs are the largest national group, numbering 36 percent of the total population, and the only group t.:ith co-nationals in most regions of the country.

    q Republican Party presidents were chosen for one-year terms in the spring of 1982. In the spring of 1983, some but not all were reelected for a second year, as LCY officials began to reinterpret Tito's legacy of leadership rotation, arguing it was fully valid at the federal level

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    profiles in the Croatian, Serbian. and Vojvodina Party organizations,

    the republican/provincial Party leaderships acquired a more regional and

    less federal character during the 1970s (suggesting a tendency in career

    patterns, just as in economic activity, of greater regionalization).

    The individual republican/provincial political elites have presented

    varying profiles. The Serbian and Croatian elites have evidently

    experienced more internal dissension than their counterparts in

    Bosnia.,.Hercegovina, Slovenia, Macedonia, Montenegro, Vojvodina, and

    (until 1981) Kosovo. In the last year, more cohesive, moderate, and less

    nationalist (in the case of Serbia) leaderships have emerged in Croatia

    and Serbia.

    Decentralization of the LCY has raised issues for the LC Serbia not

    faced by the other subfederal organizations. In the 1970s, as Kosovo

    and Vojvodina (constituent provinces of Serbia) gained republic-like

    powers, an effort was made to reconcile their status with the integrity

    of Serbia as a republic through a divergence between practice and theory . analogous to (but perhaps more transparent than) that which existed in

    the federal LCY. The compromise soltitions struck in t.he mid-1970s came

    unstuck shortly thereafter, and were subsequently made even more

    unworkable by the crisis in Kosovo and the Serbian nationalist backlash

    that it fanned. The slogan of the Albanian nationalists, "Kosovo a

    Republic, 0 is official heresy in the provinces just as in the Serbian

    republic; yet the provincial LC organizations--Vojvodina even more

    energetically than Kosovo--continue to demand and largely enjoy

    republican- like po•.:ers. The result has been considerable de facto

    asymmetrical federalization of the LC Serbia, for the provincial LC

    organizations have won a voice in all-Serbia affairs that gives them

    influence over developments in faerbia proper (i.e., the area outside the

    provinces), whereas Serbia proper has no corresponding say in the

    provinces. The issue of ho~ to deal with the provinces has induced a

    higher level of differences among and tension within the LC Serbia

    leadership than in the other republican Party leaderships.

    but had been carried to the extreme at lower levels, e.g., "Experience in the federal organs in a multinational community is one thing, while experience in municipalities and in executive organs is another." (Ribicic interview, Tanjug, December 5, 1982, Foreign Broadcast Information service, FBIS-EEU, December 8, 1982.)

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    Regional and organizational affinities in the LCY have proven

    stronger than purely national ties. It is the Serbian·dominated LC

    Vojvodina leadership that has defended provincial prerogatives

    vis-a-vis the LC Serbia, while the LC Bosnia and Hercegovina, in whose

    leadership Serbs constitute the largest national group, has strongly

    defended the prerogatives of the republican LC organizations and warned

    against "Great Serbian" pretensions. Serbs in the LC Croatia

    leadership have generally opposed hegemonic tendencies in the LC Serbia.

    Outside Serbia.proper, only tha Serbian minority in the Kosovo Party

    leadership (still dominated by Albanians) has proven to be an ally of

    the Serbian Party. Hence, it is an oversimplification to equate the

    divergent interests of the republican and provincial Communist Parties

    with nationalism. Tabulations of Yugoslav leaders by nationality alone

    are misleading and should be avoided.

    Heightened economic problems since the Twelfth LCY Congress of mid-

    1982 have challenged the LCY to achieve greater unity and discipline, so

    that Yugoslavia can carry out the tough economic stabilization measures

    that are required and limit the economic fragmentation of the country.

    Whether and ho~ such leadershi~ cohesion can be obtained remains an open

    question. There have been no changes in personnel policy or institutional

    organization and no internal Party discussions that would point to any

    significant possibility of an administrative recentralization of the

    LCY. Hence, effective decisionmaking presupposes continuation and

    refinement of the process of interregional consensus-building within

    the LCY, rather than any alternative. The LCY, like the country itself,

    cannot be recentralized. 5

    s That judgment should not prejudice appraisal of the outcome of LCY policies (or of the cohesion of Yugoslavia generally). Some recent developments, including ehe results of the 1980 Yugoslav census and public opinion polls, may well signify an increase in dual consciousness in Yugoslavia, involving national identification with a particular nation or nationality but civic identification with Yugoslavia as a state. (Matvejevic, 1982, argues this thesis.) And hypothetical recentraliza~ion imposed by a minority (i.e., by the Serbs), if it could somehow be achieved, could easily worsen raeher than improve the prospects for stability.

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    The focus of appraisals of the Yugoslav leadership should be

    shifted from the federal to the republican/provincial level. Present

    and likely future LCY leaders are (to rephrase Tito) "men from the

    republics who are republicans," meaning that they must retain a strong

    political base and constituency in a republican LC organization. If the

    LCY is to remain a viable and effective political force in Yugoslavia,

    federal leaders must presumably view Yugoslavia's interests in somewhat

    broader terms than was the case when they occupied republican-level

    posts and must act accordingly, retaining some of that all-Yugoslav

    perspective when they again move to republican-level jobs. But rotation

    of personnel between the republics/provinces and the federation is to be

    expected. A "federal" LCY official or any other "Yugoslav" leader who

    remains too long in a federal post or otherwise loses support in his

    parent republican LC organization is unlikely to have a political

    future, either in the federation or in the republic. A new group of

    more "centralist" Yugoslav leaders is unlikely to emerge. The first

    question to ask about a present or prospective "Yugoslav" leader is not

    whether he has advanced "beyond" the republican level but whether he

    remains a leading member of the republican political elite.

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    ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

    D The author would like to express his appreciation to the officers of the Bureau of European Affairs and the Bureau of

    Intelligence and Research, Department of State; the American Embassy,

    Belgrade; the American Consulate General, Zagreb; the Office of the

    Assistant Secretary for International Security Policy and the

    Directorate of Net Assessment, Department of Defense; the National

    Security Council; and the Office of European Affairs, Central

    Intelligence Agency, who facilitated this research in a variety of ways,

    including engaging in discussions on substantive issues, providing

    access to intelligence and other research materials, and facilitating

    field research in Yugoslavia.

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    GLOSSARY

    AVNOJ Anti-Fascist Council of the Popular Liberation of Yugoslavia cc Central Committee FEC Federal Execu.tive Council

    LC League of Communists

    LCC League of Communists of Croatia

    LCK League of Communists of Kosovo LCS League of Communists of Serbia LCV League of Communists of Vojvodina LCY League of Communists of Yugoslavia YPA Yugoslav People's Army

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    CONTENTS

    PREFACE

    SUMMARY AND CONCLVSIO:\S

    ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

    GLOSSARY

    TABLES

    Section I. INTRODliCTION

    I I. FROM CENTRALISM TO QliASI-CONFEDERALIS~! Economic :\ationalism ................................... . Cultural-Social Nationalism ............................ . Reconstitution of the State

    III. HlPACT OF DECE:\TRALIZATION ON THE PARTY Initial Decentralizatio.n ............................... . Attempted Reconstruction of a Party Cent·er · ............. . Reassertion of Republican Influence .................... . The Post-Tito Period ................................... .

    IV. DEVELOPHENTS I~ THE REPvBLICA!\ Ai\D PROVI:\CIAL LC ORGA!\IZATIO'.llS ........................................ .

    Introduction ........................................... . Leadership of the LC Croatia ........................... . Leadership of the LC Serbia ............................ . The Provincial LC Leaderships .......................... .

    BIBLIOGRAPHY

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    v

    xi

    xiii

    xvii

    1

    3 3 4 7

    13 13 20 27 31

    46 46 47 50 54

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    TABLES

    1. Leadership Turnover in the LCC Presidency ..................... 49 2. Leadership Turnover in the LCS Presidency .................. 51 3. Leadership Turnover in the LCV Presidency . ................... 55 4. Leadership Turnover in the LCK Presidency .................... 57

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    Miles

    BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA

    Sarai••O

    - - - Republic boundary

    YUGOSLAVIA

    Autonomous province boundary

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    I. INTRODUCTION

    The following propositions are widely recognized among U.S.

    government and other Western officials and analysts who are concerned

    with Yugoslavia:

    • Yugoslavia is a decentralized country whose six constituent

    republics and two "quasi-republics" (Kosovo and Vojvodina, the

    constituent provinces of Serbia that have achieved de facto

    most of the prerogatives of the republics) play a key role in

    economic and political decisionmaking.

    Tito has been "succeeded," not by any individual, but by a

    collective leadership, with occupancy of individual positions

    rotating frequently.

    The Communist Party (known as the League of Communists of

    Yugoslavia (LCY) since 1952) differs from Soviet-type Communist

    Parties, in both its less disciplined internal organization and

    its less directive political role.

    These three strands of recent Yugoslav political development have

    not been sufficiently analyzed in combination. The process of

    interrepublican bargaining in the federal Parliament on sometimes hotly

    contested economic and other issues has been observed since the early

    1970s. The frequent rotation of Party as well as state leaders has been

    equally apparent in the last few years. Western observers have

    generally viewed the Party and the army as the principal integrative

    institutions in Yugoslavia under the decentralized political and

    economic conditions that have prevailed since the early 1970s. Analyses

    stressing the confederal nature of decisionmaking in state and public

    ("self-management") bodies have sometimes posited a "Party center"

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    isolated from these decentralized currents. 1 Yet there has been

    relatively little analysis of the Party itself. 2

    (U) This report. addresses the extent to which the LCY has been

    "confederalized" like the rest of the Yugoslav system. 3 As such, the

    report seeks to answer the following questions: On what basis--federal

    appointment, confederal bargaining, or otherwise--do Yugoslav political

    leaders emerge and maintain their positions? By what standards can the

    Western observer judge the relative power of various Yugoslav leaders?

    What are the implications of this structure for the future of the

    political system and the stability of Yugoslavia?

    (U) Section II reviews the background of political decentrali-

    zation in Yugoslavia outside the Party structure. This summary review,

    covering ground familiar to the specialist-reader, is the necessary

    context for considering the evolution of the Party itself. Section III

    examines the changes in the organization and role of the LCY since the

    late 1960s. Section IV considers at greater length key developments

    within republican and provincial Party organizations.

    1 (U) This was the case with two recent doctoral dissertations on the subject: Burg, 1980; Ramet, 1981. (Full references are given in the Bibliography.)

    2 (U) The best treatment is Shoup, 1979. Also, Haber!, 1976, and Carter, 1982, are useful for developments through the mid-1970s.

    3 c=]The role of the military as an integrative institution affected by political decentralization is analyzed in two Rand studies, Johnson 1977, 1980; and in a CIA analysi

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    II. FROM CENTRALISM TO QUASl-CONFEOERALISM

    The Yugoslav Communist political system has, in its 40 years of

    existence, undergone far-reaching changes. The revolutionary

    dictatorial centralism established at the end of World War II has, with

    fits and starts, given way to a post-revolutionary, less coercive,

    decentralized system. Tito imposed centralized Communist rule on

    Yugoslavia, yet under Tito the Yugoslav state evolved into a

    semi-permissive quasi-confederation.

    This section will review the major steps in that process as they

    affected governmental, administrative, and "self-management"

    institutions. 1 Only in the context of this larger political structure

    is it possible to understand the evolution of the LCY itself. The Party

    leadership and Party organs were, of course, chiefly responsible for

    charting and implementing the decentralization of the political system,

    but discussion of the impact o~ the Party itself will be deferred to

    Section III.

    ECONOMIC NATIONALISM

    The decentralization of Yugoslavia can be dated to 1965, when a

    major economic reform was introduced, intended to ensure economic

    development by further reducing centralized state control over the

    economy and orienting it more toward world markets.

    The primary impulse behind the 1965 reform was the disinclination

    of the republican political leaderships in the more-developed .. North" of

    the country to continue subsidizing the industrialization of the less-

    developed 11South.u 2 The reform spawned so-called "dinar nationalism"--

    the espousal by republican officials in the North and South of the

    particular economic interests of their respective republics or regions.

    1 See Johnson, 1974, for a more detailed discussion. 2 In terms of level of economic development, the 11North" includes

    Slovenia, Croatia·Slavonia, Vojvodina, and Belgrade and its Serbian environs; the 11South" includes Bosnia-Hercegovina, Croatia south of the Sava and Dalmatia, Serbia proper except for the Belgrade area, Montenegro, ~lacedonia, and Kosovo. (See Burks, 1971, pp. 52-59.)

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    Once political opposition to the 1965 reforms was overcome with the

    ouster of Aleksandar Rankovic (the Party Secretary in charge of cadre

    and security affairs and heir-apparent to Tito), 3 their implementation

    gave rise to a series of disputes involving republican economic

    interests. These conflicts included:

    • The Slovene road-building crisis of 1969, when the Slovene

    government demonstratively resigned (but later withdrew its

    resignation) to protest the exclusion of Slovenia from

    participation in a World Bank infrastructural developmental

    loan (Slovenia lost that round, but won--i.e., shared in

    similar World Bank loans--on many other occasions).

    Controversy over the Belgrade-Bar railway project, promoted by

    "Southern" Yugoslavia to give the South its own international

    port, but opposed by Slovenia and Croatia as a wasteful

    duplication of transportation resources (the rail line was

    eventually built).

    • Disputes over the role in Croatia of Belgrade-based banks and

    foreign trade firms, which were accused by Croatian leaders of

    siphoning off foreign exchange earnings from tourist and export

    industries in Qroatia (the role of the Belgrade firms was

    limited in the 1970s). 4

    Such economic conflicts, highly political in and of themselves,

    fueled more directly political controversy (reviewed below). They were

    also the backdrop for--and in some cases directly inspired--the revival

    of cultural-social nationalism as well, which in turn further fanned

    political conflict.

    CULTURAL-SOCIAL NATIONALISM

    The Communist Party is the only political force that rose above the

    national hatred that undermined the stability of Yugoslavia, a country

    3 See Section III. 4 See Johnson, 1974, p. 9.

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    with a complex multinational character, during World War II. 5 The Party effectively utilized the slogan "Brotherhood and Unity" in its rise to

    power during the war when Yugoslavia was dismembered and occupied by

    Nazi Germany and its allies. The "founding" charter of Communist

    Yugoslavia, the proclamation of the second session of the Anti-Fascist

    Council of the Popular Liberation of Yugoslavia (AVNOJ), called for the

    reconstitution of Yugoslavia as a federal state that recognized the

    autonomy as well as unity of its constituent nations. A federal constitution was promulgated in 1946 to appease national sensitivities,

    but the Communist political system imposed after the war was essentially

    unitary. Espousing revolutionary; supranational Yugoslavism, the Party

    leadership believed that forced socioeconomic modernization would end

    the disparity of economic development in different regions of the

    country and in the process would forge the many national groups into one

    Yugoslav nation.'

    The vision of supranational Yugoslavism faded in the 1960s. In the

    process of promoting specific regional economic interests, the

    republican political leaderships began to stress the cultural/ethnic

    interests of their respective national groups. This occurred first in

    the republics, with "unhistoric nations" affirming their national

    existence for the first time in postwar Yugoslavia (the ~1acedonians in

    Macedonia, the Slav Huslims in Bosnia). But it also occurred in the

    North, especially in Croatia, where subsidization of the economic

    development of the South became a prime national grievance. The

    national consciousness of Yugoslavia's constituent "historic" and newly . ~ emerging nat1ona~ groups thus triumphed over the original supranational

    "Yugoslav" vision of the Communist Party leadership.

    The result was greater linguistic and cultural-national

    self-expression in the late 1960s by all of Yugoslavia's constituent

    national groups:

    5 See Johnson, 1974, pp. 5-6; Hondius, 1968. 6 See Shoup, 1968.

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    • Display of national emblems, suppressed in the 1950s by the

    secret police, became legitimate.

    • Old national anthems were revived and new ones were written, to complement the official state anthem.

    • The 1971 census dropped the term "Yugoslav" as a national

    • category.

    Albanian and Hungarian supplemented Serbian, Croatian,

    Slovenian, and Macedonian as official state languages.

    • The nationalities (as distinct from the "nations," e.g.,

    Romanians in the Vojvodina) established their own cultural

    associations and began to use their own languages in dealing

    with local officialdom. 7

    Given the extent of intermingling of Yugoslavia's many national

    groups8

    and the recent history of bloody national conflict, it was

    inevitable that manifestations of national affirmation within a larger

    Yugoslav community would be accompanied by signs of defensive and

    exclusive nationalism which, carried to the extreme, portended

    secession. As early as 1967, for example, a part of the Slovene

    intelligentsia had espoused a form of Slovene nationalism with

    separatist and religious overtones. The Slovene political leadership

    successfully suppressed this current, while continuing to promote

    Slovenia's economic interests within Yugoslavia. 9 At the same time, a

    less powerful (but Church-influenced) Serbian nationalist current arose

    in Serbia and Montenegro. ~!ore important for the future, as internal

    security measures were relaxed in Kosovo following Rankovic's ouster,

    Albanian nationalist demonstrations occurred; 10 these served as the

    catalyst for the "takeover" by Albanians from Serbs of the political

    apparatus in Kosovo.

    7 See Johnson, 1974, p. 17. • Yugoslavia's various national groups are not located in compact

    regional settlements but are intermingled without assimilation throughout most of the six republics and two provinces; only Slovenia is virtually homogeneous nationally.

    9 See Hartl, 1968, pp. 81-111. 10

    See Ramet, "Problems of Albanian Nationalism," 1981.

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    In 1970-1971, a Croatian nationalist movement gained momentum in

    Croatia, a multinational republic. 11 The exponents of Croatian national

    interests sought in effect to transform the Serbian population of

    Croatia (some 15 percent of the total) into a national minority. The

    Communist Party itself in Croatia began to lose political control to an

    alternative, non-Communist organization, the Hatica Hrvatska, the

    historical Croatian cultural organization that increasingly resembled a

    typical nineteenth century national-radical political organization. The

    Hatica more than doubled its number of local committees and increased

    its membership thirtyfold in a year. Croatian intellectuals debated

    the economic "exploitation" of Croatia. Campaigns were begun to oust

    Serbian officials and purify the Croatian language of Serbianisms.

    Extreme nationalists called for Croatia's membership in the United

    Nations, a national army, and even revisions of the republic's borders.

    These developments fueled Serbian nationalism in Croatia (and

    elsewhere in Yugoslavia); in some regions Serbian nationalists gained

    control of local veterans' organizations, thus raising a second

    organizational challenge to the Party. After months of indecision, Tito

    intervened in December 1971, forcing the ouster of the Croatian

    leadership and instigating a wide-ranging purge of the Croatian

    political apparatus. An "anti-nationalist" campaign ensued, although no

    effort was made to reverse the trend of the previous decade toward non-

    separatist national affirmation.

    RECONSTITUTION OF THE STATE

    Reborn as a federal state in theory at the end of World War II,

    Yugoslavia was, as noted, in fact highly centralized in the initial

    postwar period. But the processes of economic decentralization and

    cultural/national reaffirmation by the constituent national groups

    traced above resulted in the late 1960s in a devolution of authority and

    decisionmaking from the federal to the republican level (termed

    11 Unlike the other episodes of nationalism just recounted, there is a considerable literature on the Croatian crisis of 1971. See Rusinow, 1972; Lendvai, 1972; Crisis, 1972; Johnson, 1974, pp. 18-19.

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    "republicanization, 11 in Yugoslav political parlance). This led in turn

    to a fundamental restructuring of the Yugoslav state after 1971.

    The first step in this process occurred in 1967-1968, when

    constitutional amendments enhanced the importance in the federal

    assembly of the Chamber of Nations--in which the republics were

    represented on the basis of parity. New legislation mandated

    applic.ation of a national "key" (proportional national representation)

    in the federal bureaucracy. The assembly committees took on new

    importance in federal decisionmaking, as they became the forum for tough

    interrepublican bargaining. Decisions on specific economic, social, and

    other issues were generally reached in governmental bodies, rather than

    Party organs--a shift of responsibility for decisionmaking on concrete

    policy issues from Party to state bodies that had begun in the 1950s.

    But achievement by the republics of real influence over federal

    decisions carried ~ith it the danger of paralysis, and this in fact

    occurred in late 1970 when the Federal Executive Council (FEC) was

    unable to carry through economic stabilization measures because of the

    absence of ~hat had by then become necessary interrepublican consensus.

    The possibility of a vacuum of central authority led Tito to

    propose in September 1970 the establishment of a collective state

    Presidency, 12 with representatives from each republic; in Tito's view,

    the representatives should be "men from the republics who are not

    republicans" 13 and who could represent general all-Yugoslav interests.

    Tito may have thought of the collective Presidency per se as a

    sufficient organizational adjustment to the weakening of central power.

    But his initiative in fact focused the attention of the Yugoslav

    political elite on the basic structure of the state.

    The result was a fundamental restructuring of the Yugoslav state.

    In mid-1971, after much interrepublican bargaining, 21 additional

    amendments to the 1963 Constitution were adopted, which in effect

    reconstituted the federal bodies as instruments of the republics,

    composed of their own representatives on the basis of parity. 14 As Tito

    12 Throughout this report, "Presidency" means the top collective leadership body (predsednistvo), sometimes translated as "Presidium."

    13 Speech by Tito in Zagreb, September 21, 1970, Borba, September 22, 1970.

    1 ~ See Burks, 1971, pp. 31-38.

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    bad proposed, a Presidency was established as the collective head of

    state, with three members from each republic, two from each province,

    and Tito himself. The FEC was reconstituted on the basis of parity.

    The republics assumed many powers formerly exercised by the federation,

    including some of the responsibilities for internal security.

    Republican-level authorities began to play a significant role in

    military affairs as Yugoslavia emphasized territorial defense. 15 The

    federal status of the provinces was enhanced (to the ~ismay of

    influential circles in Serbia). Amendment 18 provided for their status

    as components of the federation, as well as parts of the Serbian

    republic.

    Adoption of the 1971 constitutional amendments was followed

    immediately by a crackdown on nationalism in Croatia in December 1971

    and a purge of "nationalists 0 and "liberals" elsewhere in the country in

    1972. This evident political backtracking notwithstanding, the process

    of reconstituting the Yugoslav state on a quasi-confederal 1 ' basis

    continued and was formalized in 1974, with the passage of a new

    constitution. The 1974 Constitution provided, in contrast to previous

    practice, that in the federal Parliament, the Feder~l Chamber as well as

    the Chamber of Republics and Provinces (as the Chamber of Nations was

    renamed) be constituted on the basis of parity. The state Presidency

    was reduced from 23 to 9 members but remained composed of

    representatives from the republics and provinces op the basis of parity.

    Article 33 stipulated mandatory interrepublican agreement before formal

    consideration of major legislation in the federal parliament.

    This quasi-confederal state structure chartered by the 1974

    Constitution has now been in place for nine years-·three of them

    following Tito's death. During this entire period, the decentralized

    structure itself has not been seriously questioned in Yugoslavia. Eight

    constitutional amendments were enacted in 1981 to formalize the

    is The impact of these developments on the military is discussed at length in Johnson. 1977, 1980, 1981.

    u The term "quasi-confederal" is used in this report to describe the Yugoslav state since the mid-1970s, which has been more decentralized than any contemporary federal system but more unified than a confeder-ation. ·

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    succession arrangements, but they did not affect federal-republican

    relations. 17 Since the early 1950s, constitution-writing and associated

    constitutional debates have served as a vehicle for addressing

    fundamental political and structural issues in Yugoslavia (in contrast

    to the mobilizational constitutional pseudo-discussions in Soviet bloc

    countries). The absence of such constitutional debate in Yugoslavia

    since 1974 suggests general acceptance of the quasi-confederal

    restructuring of the state completed in the mid-1970s and the absence of

    major challenges to the system of interrepublican consensus-building

    that it legitimized.

    To be sure, following the outbreak of unrest in Kosovo in 1981,

    Serbia sought to increase the accountability of the provinces (Kosovo

    and Vojvodina) to the Serbian republic. Yet advocacy by some Serbian

    theorists and publicists of constitutional changes to this end 18 were

    not endorsed by the Serbian leadership, which called for implementation,

    not revision, of the constitutional provisions on the status of the

    provinces. 19 In reaffirming support for the post-1974 constitutional

    order, Serb leaders have emphasized the federal and republican

    constitutional provisions on the integrity of the Serbian republic

    (including the provinces), which if translated into practice would

    signify a reduction of the additional prerogatives (beyond those

    specified in the Constitution) the provinces have achieved de facto

    since 1974.

    Such efforts have been sharply--and to date successfully--rebµffed

    by the provincial leaderships. The key to their success is the fact

    that there are two provinces, not one. The Kosovo provincial

    leadership, reshuffled in 1981, has continued to defend provincial

    prerogatives even as it has sought to contain Albanian nationalism in

    17 Stankovic, 1981. 18 For example, the call by a professor from Bosnia-Hercegovina for

    a reassessment of the 1971 and 1974 constitutional arrangements, at a discussion organized by the Marxist Center of the LC Serbia, reported in Danas, June 22, 1982. See also Bosnian leader Branko Mikulic's rebuttal, in criticism of an unnamed individual who questioned the 1974 Constitution (Tanjug, August 19, 1982, FBIS-EEU, August 24, 1982).

    19 See the discussion in Section III.

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    Kosovo. 10 Yet the new Kosovo provincial leadership, preoccupied with

    attempting to stabilize Kosovo, has remained on the defensive.

    It has fallen to the Vojvodina leadership (dominated by Serb

    nationals from the province) to defend provincial rights vis-a-vis the

    Serbian republic. Article 330 of the Serbian Constitution provided that

    the Serbian assembly could pass legislation binding on the republic as a

    whole (including the provinces), but the provinces won de facto veto

    power over such legislation in the late 1970s. Some elements in Serbia

    tried to reverse this practice in 1981, in terms of pending legislation

    on the 1981-1985 republican economic plan and a new republican national

    defense law. Vojvodina's sensitivities have been respected to date (but

    with the consequence that Serbia failed to enact this legislation). 11

    Vojvodina has publicly based its 0 defense on the 1974 Constitution ("We

    agreed there was no place for the thesis on constitutional changes"),

    yet in fact the province defended not only its rights as specified in

    the Constitution but the practices of the late 1970s that further

    elevated the status of the provinces as elements of the federation,

    rather than parts of the Republic of Serbia. 11

    As Yugoslavia's economic situation worsened at the turn of the

    1980s, the complex quasi-confederal state structure established in the

    1970s was able to reach economic policy decisions only with great

    delays. Political circles in the South began to speak of the need for

    greater independent powers in the economic sphere for federal

    governmental bodies. In September 1982, Najdan Pasic (President of the

    Serbian Constitutional Court), in a publicized letter to the LCY

    Presidency, warned that the principle of mandatory republican consensus

    20 See the reported comments of Hajredin Hoxha (position not identified) at the LC Serbia and Marxist Center discussion, Danas, June 22, 1982.

    21 Vojvodina exerted its prerogatives in other bodies as well. In December 1982, the Vojvodina Socialist Alliance (the mass political organization) refused to agree to a proposed decision of the Serbian Socialist Alliance standardizing ceremonies on Uprising Day in Serbia, claiming that Vojvodina's interests were neglected (Borba, December 18, 1982). .

    22 See Politika, June 27, 1981; Shoup, 1981, p. 4; report of LC Vojvodina Provincial Committee President Bosko Krunic, Tanjug, December 21, 1981 (FBIS-EEU, January 7, 1982). The complex titles of Yugoslav leadership positions are at times simplified throughout this report.

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    was being carried to the extreme. 23 At Pasic's suggestion, a "political

    stabilization" commission was established under the chairmanship of

    Tihomir Vlaskalic, former head of the Serbian Party organization. But

    concrete constitutional or legislative proposals to modify the principle

    of consensual decisionmaking have yet to be advanced, suggesting again

    the extent to which--for better or worse--interrepublican consensus has

    become the publicly unchallengeable basis of decisionmaking in

    Yugoslavia's state bodies.

    This review of the transformation of the centralized Yugoslav state

    into a quasi-confederation has--intentionally, but of course

    artificially--largely omitted discussion of the role of the Party, in

    fact the dominant political force in Yugoslavia and thus the real power

    behind this evolution. What has been the role of the LCY in the

    restructuring of the Yugoslav state? Has the Party remained a unified

    political organization in a decentralized state? How much has the Party

    itself undergone a similar decentralizing transformation? These issues

    are addressed in the following section.

    23 " ••• we should investigate to see where the framework established

    by the Constitution for applying the principle of mandatory consensus in decisionmaking has been exceeded ... what was, for understandable reasons, accepted as the method of making decisions on certain specifically enumerated issues ... has been spontaneously extended to almost all areas of political and self-management decisionmaking ... 11 (Politika, September 29, 1982). Pasic returned to ~his subject in December 1982, criticizing the "spontaneous extension and near abuse of the principle of mandatory decisionmaking by consensus" (Borba, December 23, 1982).

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    111. IMPACT OF DECENTRALIZATION ON THE PARTY

    The previous section traced the urepublicanization" of the Yugoslav

    polity since the 1960s. This process was in fact centered within the

    Party itself, and as such it affected the structure and organization of

    the Party even befor.e the state apparatus was decentralized.

    INITIAL DECENTRALIZATION

    The process of urepublicanizationu was, as noted in Section II,

    born from disputes within the Yugoslav leadership over economic policy

    during the economic downturn of the early 1960s. Conservatives led by

    Rankovic sought to strengthen the influence of the central Party/police

    apparatus over the economy (and the country at large). Tito's speeches

    and Party documents of the period reflected this conservative impulse, 1

    yet in fact reform views espoused by the Croatian and Slovene Party

    leaderships and .economic officials and managers throughout the country

    won out; systematic economic reform, further downplaying state control

    and emphasizing market forces, was announced at the Eighth Party

    Congress in 1964 and introduced in mid-1965.

    During this period, Rankovic firmly controlled the Party's central

    organizational machinery, as he had since 1945. That he was unable to

    affect more strongly the outcome of the Eighth Congress or block the

    1965 economic reform was testimony to the degree to which the LCY had

    evolved away from the Bolshevik/Soviet model as early as 1964. In

    particular, it suggested the degree to which both the size and reach of

    the central Party apparatus and its accepted function within the

    political system had diminished. 2

    Following its landmark Sixth Congress of 1952, the LCY sought to

    adapt itself to the post-totalitarian, decentralized political system it

    introduced in Yugoslavia without diluting entirely its Leninist core.

    Organizational changes implemented in the 1950s, including

    1 E.g., Tito's speech in Split in May 1962. i The number of acknowledged LCY functionaries declined from 11,930

    in 1950 to 2,579 in 1957 to 1 1 123 in 1964 (Knezevic, 1979).

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    decentralization or abolishment of much of the Party's organizational

    machinery and many personnel control (nomenklatura) prerogatives,

    sharply differentiated the LCY from other ruling Communist parties.

    Although the LCY refused to allow organized political opposition, its

    commitment to a redefinition of its leading role, emphasizing

    ideological guidance and political activity over administrative command,

    was more than rhetoric. The LCY largely abandoned the Leninist

    aspiration--practiced in Yugoslavia between 1945 and 1949-·of social

    engineering. 3 The limits on the powers of the central apparatus and the

    beginnings of a process of decentralization within the Party itself were

    evident at the Eighth Congress: The role of the Secretariat was reduced

    and the republican LC Political Secretaries became members ex officio of

    the LCY Executive Committee (as the top LCY body was then called).

    Although Rankovic failed to block endorsement of economic reform at

    the Eighth Congress and introduction of the reform the following year,

    he continued efforts to thwart its implementation, utilizing the Party

    bureaucracy and secret police. His efforts were finally and decisively

    rebuffed at the Fourth "Brioni" Central Committee Plenum in mid-1966,

    when Ti to or.de red his political demise. A purge of Rankovic supporters

    in the security police and the Party apparatus, especially in Serbia,

    followed.

    The "Rankovic affair" forced the LCY leadership to focus explicitly

    (for the first time since the Sixth Congress of 1952) on the role of the

    Party itself. The Brioni Plenum established a top-level commission

    charged with examining the Party's role in light of past and pending

    changes in the political system. The Fifth Plenum of fall 1966 was

    largely devoted to this question. On that occasion Mijalko Todorovic, a

    Central Committee Secretary, noted:

    ... it has not been made sufficiently clear what is really meant by the ideological-guiding role of the League of Communists, what it originates in, how it should be exercised, what effect it wjll have on the organizational forms of the League of Communists, and so forth. 4

    3 See Shoup, 1969; Johnson, 1972. ~Socialist Thought end Practice, October-December 1966, pp. 30-59,

    at 36.

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    One significant organizational change occurred at the Fifth Plenum

    itself: The Central Committee Secretariat, reduced in power at the

    Eighth Congress, was now abolished.

    The subsequent months witnessed a wave of critical reappraisals of

    the Party's role by theoreticians and political leaders alike, who,

    inter alia, challenged the continued validity of the Leninist principle

    of "democratic centralism," endorsed the possibility of different formal

    views within the Party, and even granted the legitimacy of intra-Party

    "groupings." 5 A number of Party theoreticians advanced theses about the

    Party's proper organization and role that were more radical than those

    aired when the Party's role was first subjected to critical examination

    in 1952. Yet this ferment had a limited effect on official LCY policy,

    indicating that even after Rankovic's demise, the advocates of £ar-

    ranging democratization of the LCY were in the minority. In April 1967

    the LCY issued official "theses" on the role of the Party, 6 but these

    were more a restatement of existing practices than a formula for

    fundamental organizational change. The same was true of LCY

    "directives" of June 1968. 1 Proponents of democratization of the LCY

    continued to put forward proposals to this end in the second half of

    1967 and early 1968. Whatever resonance these initiatives might have

    had was reduced by the student demonstrations in Belgrade in mid-1968, a

    challenge to Party control which resulted in renewed emphasis on Party

    discipline and unity.

    If the year 1968 did not bring the "democratization" of the LCY, it

    nonetheless brought a fundamental restructuring of the Party in the

    sense of its ''republicanization." In the course of the intra-Party

    discussion on the role and organization of the LCY initiated at the 1966

    Brioni Plenum, republican-level Party figures called for a redefinition

    of "democratic centralism, 11 not in terms of relaxing Party discipline

    binding on individual Party members, but in terms of enhanced

    prerogatives of the constituent republican Party organizations within

    5 Details are given in Shoup, 1979, pp. 333-334, and Haberl, 1976, pp. 51-58.

    6 Politika, April 27, 1967. 7 Komunist, June 6, 1968.

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    the LCY. Mito Hadzi-Vasilev, an ideologist of the LC Macedonia, was

    perhaps the most outspoken on this subject:

    The issue of the majority and the minority in reaching important political decisions and in constituting the leading organs of the League of Communists of Yugoslavia must be approached in a new way ... independently of the number of delegates of this or that republican organization of the League of Communists, political decisions must be reached which are acceptable to all the republican organizations and each one individually .... No majority, no matter how overwhelming, can in and of itself justify a decision ... within the LCY if it is clear that the decision is unacceptable to and cannot be carried out by even only one republican organization. 8

    Another Macedonian Party theorist offered ideological justification for

    "republi.canization" with the claim that LCY organizations had to realize

    "partial interests" as well as "general interests" and that "the LC

    Macedonia legitimately had to represent specifically Macedonian

    interests." 9

    This explicit call for empowering the republican Party

    organizations with a veto power over LCY decisions was not, then or

    subsequently, endorsed by any authoritative LCY body. But it reflected

    the reality of devolution of power within the LCY to the republican

    level in the wake of the Brioni Plenum and the virtual dismantling of

    the LCY's central administrative apparatus. Such reorganization of the

    LCY was, as noted at the time, the "logical consequence" of the economic

    and social reforms of the mid-1960s; 10 the latter both caused and

    presupposed the former.

    The shift in the locus of power and authority within the LCY from

    the center to the republics was formalized in the fall of 1968. 11 The

    1 Cited in Haber!, 1976, p. 59. 9 Stojan Tomic, in Preglad, July-August 1967, as quoted in Haber!,

    1976, p. 60. 10 Deseta konferencija, 1969, p. 60. 11 An early indication was the discontinuing in 1967 of a unified

    version of Komunist, the LCY weekly, and its replacement by pine editions (for the six republics, the two provinces, and the army); the latter edition is the one received by foreign subscribers. (Personal interview with a former chief editor of the Slovene edition, October 1981.)

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    tense international atmosphere in the wake of the Soviet occupation of

    Czechoslovakia. served to hasten rather than brake this process. The key

    development was the convening of t~e republican Party organization

    congresses in November-December 1968, in preparation for the upcoming

    Ninth LCY Congress. For the first time, the republican congresses were

    held before rather than after the LCY Congress and could thus influence

    rather than merely ratify its outcome. The republican congresses not

    only selected delegates to the LCY Congress, but they chose the members

    of the new LCY "central" leadership bodies as well. The distinctiveness

    of the republican LCY organizations was emphasized as they adopted their

    own individual Party statutes, distinct from the LCY statute. The

    provincial Party organizations of Kosovo and Vojvodina gained

    substantial autonomy from the Serbian Party organization. 12

    The Ninth LCY Congress, held in March 1969, formalized the expanded

    powers and autonomy that the republican Party organizations had gained

    at the expense of the Party center since the Eighth Congress.

    Republican delegates to the Ninth Congress were bound by the decisions

    of the respective republican congresses. The top organs of the LCY

    were completely revamped. A Presidency 13 was established as the new

    supreme Party body, replacing the Central Committee; it was set up on

    the basis of strict parity, with seven representatives chosen by each of

    the six republican Party organizations and three representatives each

    from the two provincial Party organi~ations 1 ~ and from the ·army Party

    organization. The LOY Conference was established, with standing members

    selected on a parity basis, as a policymaking body intended to convene

    more frequently than a Party Congress. Thus the Ninth Congress

    introduced the practice followed to .this day of proportional

    representation of the republican/provincial Party organizations in LCY

    Congresses (in terms of number of delegates) but parity representation

    in leadership organs. 15 The Ninth Congress resolution proclaimed the

    u Henceforth in this report, 11 republican" generally means republican and provincial.

    13 Predsednistvo, often translated as "Presidium." 14 Vojvodina Party leader Hirko Canadanovic led the drive for

    representation on the Presidency for Vojvodina and Kosovo. 15 The principle is discussed by Andrija Dujic, in Reorganizacija,

    1970, p. 101.

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    UNCLASSIF'IED - 18 -

    basis on which the LCY was now constituted:

    Instead of binding them in a centralized fashion, the League of Communists of Yugoslavia realizes a creative ideological-political synthesis of the views, positions, activities, and initiatives of the Leagues of Communists of the socialist republics. 16

    New amendments to the Party statute at the Ninth Congress abolished the

    remaining centralized organs for cadre affairs, formalizing the prior

    devolution of power on these matters to republican Party secretariats

    and cadre commissions. The republican LC organization (not the federal

    LCY) became the highest instance of appeal for a Party member.

    Devolution of political power within the LCY to the

    republican/provincial level also meant rejuvenation of the Party's

    cadre. After the mid-1960s, younger Party.officials of the postwar

    generation moved into leadership posts; this pro~ess was hastened after

    Rankovic's demise and after multiple-candidate, secret-ballot elections

    were introduced at the level of the communal (opstina) and district

    (srez) LC organizations. A significant if limited democratic reform was

    thus introduced in the LCY and contributed to the "republicanization" of

    1968-1969. 11 The generally better educated and more reformist postwar

    Communist generation replaced the "old comrades" of the Partisan era--

    in the backward South as well as in the better~developed North. The

    Ninth LCY Congress ratified this generational change: The new LCY

    Presidency contained only 12 members of the old Central Committee.

    Evidently fearing that the new Presidency established at the Ninth

    Congress would be excessively influenced by the republican Party

    organizations, Tito proposed shortly before the Congress the formation

    of an additional top-level body, an Executive Bureau. This body was

    i. Devet i kongres, 1969, p. 4.16. 17 Bilandzic, 1973, p. 258. Todorovic stressed that cadre

    rejuvenation "from below" was "bringing pressure to bear on the federation to solve problems" (Komunist, October 15, 1970). Data on the LC Vojvodina Provincial Committee demonstrates the extent of the rejuvenation. Only 24 percent of the 1960 Committee were postwar Party members; but 64 percent of the 1965 Committee and 92 percent of the 1968 Committee had joined the LCY after 1945 (Knezevic, 1979, p. 151).

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    duly established by the Ninth Congress (over objections from the

    republics--the LC Macedonia protested at the Congress itself), albeit on

    the same principle of republican parity as the Presidency and formally

    responsible to it. In theory, the Presidency and the Executive Bureau

    enjoyed independent powers (and the Presidency reached decisions by a

    two-thirds majority vote); in practice, the supreme LCY organs

    themselves increasingly became instruments of the republican Party

    organizations--albeit the Executive Bureau less than the Presidency.

    Unanimity (i.e., the right of republican veto) was never formally

    adopted as the basis for passing decisions but was de facto observed;

    there is no known case since 1970 of a republican Party position being

    overruled at the federal LCY level, except in the crisis situations of

    1971 (Croatia) and perhaps in 1981 (Kosovo). Official and unofficial

    LCY commentaries generally rejected the legitimacy of "outvoting"

    (majorizacija) in top LCY bodies. 18 The consequence was that after the

    Ninth Congress, the supreme LCY bodies--like the federal governmental

    bodies--were often stalemated when the republican Party leaderships

    could not agree among themselves.

    Following the Ninth Congress, LCY theoretical discussions reflected

    the practice of interrepublican consensus within the LCY and portended

    the further federalization of the Party. Such political leaders as

    Crvenkovski and Milosavlevski of Macedonia openly called for the

    federalization of the LCY. Others were somewhat more cautious; Tripalo

    of Croatia depicted the LCY in late 1970 as combining elements of both a

    "unified political organizationtt and a "federation of Communist

    Parties." 1 ' Such voices were opposed by theoreticians from Serbia, who

    warned that federalization meant the paralysis and disintegration of the

    LCY (some of the same individuals would employ the same arguments a

    decade later), yet the reformist Serbian Party leadership headed by

    Latinka Perovic and Marko Nikezic failed to endorse the criticism. 20

    11 In 1970, Croatian leader Tripalo referred to the defeat of the principle of consensus in 1968 (Reorganizscija), evidently in the June 1968 directive; yet it was apparently tacitly accepted.

    19 Reorganizacija, 1970. 20 Documentation is provided in Haberl, 1976, pp. 132ff.

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    The powers of the republican Party organizations were further

    consolidated in early 1970 at the Tenth Plenum of the LC Croatia, which

    dealt with the so-called 11 Zanko affair." Zanko, a Serb from Croatia who

    was a federal assembly delegate (and vice-chairman) and LCY Conference

    member, was recalled from Belgrade for refusing to accept the directives

    of the LC Croatia. This case demonstrated that the republican Party

    organizations had won de facto recognition of an "imperative mandate" of

    delegates to federal bodies; when so instructed, delegates had to adhere

    to positions taken by the republican authorities.

    The process of restructuring the LCY "from below" permitted and

    encouraged, but was then overshadowed by, the nationalist revival in

    Croatia in 1970-1971 reviewed in Section II. Having first encouraged

    that revival to increase its own legitimacy and authority vis-a-vis

    Belgrade, the Croatian Party leadership headed by Tripalo and Kucar

    " mass found itself by mid-1971 more prisoner than orchestrator of the national movement" in Croatia. With the outbreak of student

    demonstrations in Zagreb in December 1971, Tito intervened to force the

    ouster of the Tripalo-Kucar leadership and its replacement by a new

    leadership headed by Milka Planinc. 21

    ATTEMPTED RECONSTRUCTION OF A PARTY CENTER

    The outcome of the Croatian crisis of 1971 showed that however

    much power had accrued to the republican Party organizations at the

    expense of the Party center, Tito still had the personal authority to

    replace a republican-level leadership (although he said it bad been

    "difficult"). Yet in so doing, Tito did not "create" substitute

    Croatian leaders but (by his own account) let the crisis develop to a

    certain point 22 and then threw his support to rival leaders who had

    backing ~ithin the LC Croatia (if not the Croatian population at large)

    whose dissatisfaction with the Tripalo-Kucar line had become evident in

    the second half of 1971. 2 >

    21 See Rusinow, 1972. 22 Tito, remarks to the Presidency of the trade unions, in

    FBIS-EEU, December 20, 1971. 23 See Antic, 1971.

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    Tito acted through the LCY Executive Bureau (which issued the first

    official call, on December 8, for a change in the Croatian leadership),

    yet the Croatian crisis evidently suggested to Tito, Kardelj, Vlahovic,

    and other central Party leaders that the Executive Bureau itself (to

    which Tripalo, along with Bakaric, had been appointed by the LC Croatia)

    was excessively influenced by the subfederal LC organizations and was

    therefore unable to fulfill the integrating and supervisory functions

    Tito had evidently envisaged for it. After the change of leadership in

    Croatia, Vlahovic, speaking for Tito, announced plans to revamp the

    Executive Bureau, reducing it to eight members who would be physically

    present in Belgrade, would have individual functional responsibility for

    different "sectors," i.e., different areas of federal LCY affairs, and

    although selected by the republican LCY organizations, would not be

    bound by an "imperative mandate" from them. 14 This enhanced role of the .

    Executive Bureau was resisted by the republican Party organizations,

    including the LC Serbia leadership (which warned, at the 23rd LCY

    Presidency session, of the danger of new central Party "secretaries"),

    but was nonetheless duly endorsed at the Second Conference of the LCY in

    January 1972. The Conference also established the post of Executive

    Bureau Secretary, intended to rotate yearly, which was assumed by Stane

    Dolanc from Slovenia.

    In the wake of the Croatian crisis of 1971, the LCY reemphasized

    its internal unity and its responsibility for developments throughout

    the Yugoslav political system, especially personnel policy. When

    repetition of this injunction in leadership speeches and at the Second

    Conference failed to have the desired effect on the republican LC

    organizations, Tito took stronger action. In September 1972, Tito and

    the Executive Bureau issued a letter to Party members calling for

    greater "ideological and political unity of action," demanding attention

    to the pri~ciples of "democratic centralism, .. and threatening expulsions

    from the Party.

    24 Proceedings of the 23rd Session of the LCY Presidency, December 20, 1971, FBIS-EEU, December 21, 1971.

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    Focusing now on perceived nationalism and favoritism toward

    economic managers in regions other than Croatia, Tito concluded that the

    reformist Serbian Party leadership, headed since Rankovic's ouster by

    Latinka Perovic and Marko Nikezic, had to be replaced. This occurred in

    October 1972; once again Tito showed he was able to replace a republican

    LC leadership--one that was more firmly entrenched than had been the

    Tripalo-Kucar team in Croatia. But for the first time, Tito encountered

    real difficulty in effecting a leadership change in the LCY--an

    indication of how weak the central Party organizational levers had

    become, even when reinforced by Tito's personal authority. Only after

    two and a half weeks, and after Tito's effort to dictate to the Serbian

    Party Central Committee by packing it with lower-level officials

    initially failed, was the LC Serbia leadership changed. 25 And only

    after the leadership change in Serbia did the LCY Presidency endorse

    retroactively the September letter.

    The new President of the Serbian Party, Tihomir Vlaskalic, was a

    pro-reform professor of economics who had been a member of the Serbian

    Central Committee since 1968, while its new Secretary, Nikola Petronic,

    was a young member of the Central Committee Secretariat with prior

    experience in the Belgrade Party organization. Thus the new leaders of

    the Serbian Party did not surf ace from the polit:ical 11underground 11 of

    Rankovic followers who had been retired aft.er 1966 but who retained some

    following in Serbia; they were relatively inexperienced political

    unknowns.

    The year 1973 brought further selective removals of major leaders

    in other republics who had become vulnerable to charges of excessive

    "nationalism" or "liberalism." The LC Vojvodina leadership headed by

    Hirko Canadanovic, ~hich had pressed the cause of near-republican_ status

    for the provincial LC organizat:ion in 1969 and which had been allied

    with Nikezic and Perovic, was replaced. Yet the LC Kosovo leadership,

    headed by Mahmut Bakali, which was equally assertive in promoting

    provincial rights, remained in office. In Macedonia, Secretariat member

    Nilosavlevski (a prominent "federalist" in 1967-1968) was ousted; yet

    his patron Crvenkovski (as noted above, an early advocate of republican

    25 For details see Stankovic, 1972; Moraca, 1977, pp. 316-324.

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    powers within the LCY) initially retained his off ice (to be shunted

    aside in 1974). The leaderships of the Slovene, Bosnian, and

    ~!ontenegrin Party organizations were not affected.

    Tito clearly intended these leadership changes to counter the

    extensive decentralization within the LCY of the preceding five years

    and to secure greater cohesion and unity within the Party. There was no

    attempted reversion to the pre-1966 status, but Tito did attempt to

    revive an LCY "political centeru which would not supplant the republican

    and provincial LC organizations but would have sufficient autonomous

    standing to influence them and ensure that LCY policies affecting the

    country as a whole were formulated expeditiously and implemented

    uniformly. The Executive Bureau began to assert itself as a federal

    Party leadership organ--a process furthered by Stane Dolanc's retention

    of its secretaryship following the expiration of his initial one-year

    mandate.

    The modified organizational relationships within the LCY that Tito

    insisted on to strengthen Party unity were ratified in the resolution

    and Party statute adopted at the Tenth LCY Congress in May 1974. The

    amended Party statute took a stronger stand against intra-Party

    factionalism and emphasized democratic centralism more than had the 1969

    statute. 2 ' Yet although many observers at the time interpreted the

    Tenth Congress as indicating a recentralization of the Party, that

    judgment was an overstatement.

    The resolution of the Tenth Congress proclaimed that while the LCY

    could not be permitted to degenerate into a coalition of republican

    Parties, neither could it revert to a "centralist 'supra-republican'

    organization. 1127 And in fact, the republican Party organizations and

    leaderships continued to enjoy extensive powers. The Congress

    reestablished the LCY Central Committee with 165 members, and reaffirmed

    the Presidency (with 39 members) as the supreme LCY organ. It retained

    the Executive Bureau, now renamed the Executive Committee, and increased

    it to 12 members. All these bodies were constituted by republican and

    provincial delegation, carried out at congresses of the republican and

    provincial LC organizations which again, just as in 1968-1969, preceded

    H Stankovic, 1973, provides a detailed analysis. 27 Deseti kougres, 1974, p. 229.

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    the Congress, 28 No effort was made to reestablish a unitary

    nomenklatura; control of cadres remained essentially a republican--

    not a central--function.

    The Tenth LCY Congress met only two months after promulgation of

    the 1974 Constitution which, as noted in Section II, completed the

    reconstitution of the Yugoslav state on a quasi-confederal basis. Tito

    and his remaining close associates of the Partisan generation--Kardelj

    (Slovenia), Bakaric (Croatia), Stambolic (Serbia), Kolisevski

    (Macedonia), and Vlahovic (Montenegro)--evidently believed that a more

    unified LCY could provide the necessary political backbone for the

    decentralized Yugoslav system. Yet in fact the Tenth Congress itself

    marked not the beginning but: the high tide of recentralization within

    the LCY. Whatever Tito's inteniions, the Party's internal structure

    could not be isolated from the federal and confederal principles

    accepted after the mid-1960s as the only viable basis of the Yugoslav

    political system, given Yugoslavia's mult.inational composition. Revived

    national consciousness, reinforced by a natural disinclination on the

    parL of subfederal LC leaders to surrender political power and personal

    status, first limited and eventually undermined Tito's efforts to

    rebuild an autonomous Party center.

    In early 1975, the LCY Presidency was increased to 48 members, now

    including all 12 Executive Committee members (only six were included in

    the Presidency selected at the Tenth Congress) and thus blurring the

    distinction between the two bodies. 29 This reduced the importance of

    21 The Presidency was composed of five members from each republic, three from each province, two from the army Party organization, and Tito. The Executive Committee was composed of six secretaries, who were also Presidency members (one from each republic), and six other members, also Central Committee members but not Presidency members, one each from the army Party organization and the two provinces, plus one each from Bosnia, Hacedonia, and Serbia. Thus while the Presidency and the Central Committee were constituted on the basis of republican parity, the Executive Committee itself was not. This discrepancy led to a change in the Executive Committee in early 1975, discussed below.

    29 The six non-secretary members of the Executive Committee were made Presidency members. To maintain republican parity on the Presidency, three additional members from Croatia, Hontenegro, and Slovenia were appointed. This crucial point was ignored in analyses of the day stressing the centralizing impact of the Tenth Congress, e.g., Slobodan Stankovic, "Yugoslav Central Committee Enlarges Presidium," Radio Free Europe Research, March 3, 1975.

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    the Executive Committee, which in fact failed to play the semiautonomous

    role its precursor, the Executive Bureau, had played in 1972-1974, prior

    to the Tenth Congress. The balance of republican/provincial vs.

    "central" LCY power shifted again in favor of the former.

    Thi"s shift occurred because the republican and provincial LCY

    leaderships continued to use the parity basis on which supreme LCY

    organs were constituted to pursue the "partial interests" of their

    individual regions. 30 In Slovenia, Bosnia, Montenegro, and Kosovo, the

    same leadership groups that had first charted the road of

    "republicanization" at the turn of the 1970s remained in place. The

    "post-purge" le.aderships in Croatia, Serbia, Macedonia (where leadership

    change was much more limited), and Vojvodina likewise pursued the

    interests of their own regions (and regionally based political elites).

    The post-1971 Planinc leadership of the LC Croatia represented, as

    noted, a genuine element in the Croatian Party, one that had be.en

    overshadowed by Tripalo and Kucar's attempted alliance with the "mass

    national movement." Under Planinc, Croatia in fact obtained most of the

    economic prerogatives nationalists had demanded in 1969-1971. In

    Macedonia, Tito's wartime lieutenant, Lazar Kolisevski, had been pushed

    to the sidelines by Crvenkovski and others in the late 1960s for

    resistance to the devolution of power to the republican LC

    organizations. After 1974, Kolisevski resumed the helm of the LC

    Macedonia, yet in the late 1970s he too became a defender of the

    "partial interest.s" of l'!acedonia. The new Serbian leadership evidently

    had less (if any) indigenous support in the Serbian Party when it first

    assumed office in 1972. Yet, even if it could not have come to power

    without Tito's int.ervention, it too found itself representing Serbian

    republican interests within the LCY--albeit less forcefully and without

    the "liberal" overtones of its predecessor.

    This propensity to promote Serbian interests was reinforced by a

    challenge 11 frorn within," in the form of a claim by the LC Kosovo

    leadership and the "post-purge" LC Vojvodina leadership for greater

    Jo Dolanc, addressing the Slovene Party organization in early 1977, lamented "the habit of making democratic centralism valid only so far as the border of a republic" (Politike, February 18, 1977).

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