POLICY DIRECTIONS David Bray, Economic and Policy Services Pty Ltd.
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Transcript of POLICY DIRECTIONS David Bray, Economic and Policy Services Pty Ltd.
Technical Issues
Supply chains, networks and globalisation accepted thinking
Mode choice - movement rather than mode perhaps there – for non-urban transport
Future growth in demand considerable growth anticipated
Providing adequate system capacity a challenge need for robustness relative cost of infrastructure and operations timing
Technical issues - continued
Economic growth Renewed emphasis
Productivity Operational efficiency
Safety Public views and government actions
Environment Firmly on the agenda Limited agreement on best ways forward
Technical issues - continued
Technical issues given less emphasis Capital financing Pricing Urban transport
The policy process
Sabatier (1999) “Theories of the Policy Process”
Some common themes for more comprehensive frameworks (multiple streams, punctuated equilibrium, advocacy coalition) Policy communities Policy windows Policy entrepreneurs
Also role for policy diffusion, funnel of causality, etc
Implications
We do not control the agenda Though we try to varying degrees to
influence it We are part of policy communities We need to have policy analysis
available To support policy communities For when it is needed
Two related issues – Ease of Change Different capacity for transport sub-
sectors to accommodate growth, ranging through: Aviation Road transport and logistics Rail transport Urban transport
In part related to the complexity of action
- and Rationale for Action
Can discern presented policies and proposals that are Demand led Supply led Vision or Aspirational – which can be
Principles based Outcome based
All have merits and risks
Policy Directions - Achievements Some big issues are in place
Labour aspects of micro-economic reform Concern for efficiency gains Role of rail given clearer prominence and
framework is in place In general, fixed assets and operations are
separated for all modes A productive tension Negative effect of protection
Safety also given new prominence
Infrastructure
Providing capacity Anticipating demand Prioritising projects Scheduling implementation
Auslink Have we replaced one moral hazard with
another? Road infrastructure
How much road infrastructure? Sustaining road assets - how to increase
discipline?
Safety
How to improve walking-the-walk Limits to what can be done internally
The importance of demand led approaches Community buy-in and behaviour change Giving politicians the support they need
Environment
The awakening giant Different perspectives on solutions Need to keep research and policy
analysis broad-based and current Importance of public attitudes and
response
Strategic planning
International practice Germany, Greater Mekong Subregion, China
What does this mean for us – some needs Understand context Recognise drivers of change Understand the available policy instruments Commit to following through Clear thinking; coordination; innovation &
trialling Implications of planning in a market economy
Pricing
Progress in Germany In Australia
Has Phase I ended – in a stalemate? Future needs
Keep policy analysis current Look for short term opportunities,
eg fixed to variable pricing Potential role for insurance companies
Urban transport
The lumbering giant General concurrence on the vision Limited success to date Will need to consider the roles for
Demand led and planned outcome approaches
Persuasion, prices and regulation policy instruments