Playing the Numbers

16
Playing the Numbers 1 Success from Persistence

description

Playing the Numbers. Success from Persistence. Getting to PARIS. Placing Penny Bets How Much to Open Shutout The Big NO The Why (Not) Going for the Action. Iowa Hold ‘ Em Smart Money Ace in the Hole The Parlay Come on Baby!. Placing Penny Bets. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Playing the Numbers

Page 1: Playing the Numbers

Playing the Numbers

1

Success from Persistence

Page 2: Playing the Numbers

Getting to PARIS

• Placing Penny Bets• How Much to Open• Shutout• The Big NO• The Why (Not)• Going for the Action

• Iowa Hold ‘Em• Smart Money• Ace in the Hole• The Parlay• Come on Baby!

2

Page 3: Playing the Numbers

Placing Penny Bets

• 1997 participated in a small pilot for TANF– 53 matches – none of them an Iowa claim– Cumbersome data manipulation

• Deemed cost/benefit loss• Lost the penny toss

3

Page 4: Playing the Numbers

How Much to Open

2005 • PARIS Board visit – calls - emails• National Directory of New Hires

– Labor intensive – negative results– Expensive data– Negatively impacted desire for PARIS

4

Page 5: Playing the Numbers

SHUTOUT

• 2006 – Developed a proposal for one of the PARIS implementation grants

• Limited internal support• Some technical assistance• Got to the window too late

5

Page 6: Playing the Numbers

The BIG NO

• PARIS Board visit• DC Iowa office questions• Washington State (Bill) questions• Extensive report in response to Dept

Inspections and Appeals and Governor’s office

6

Page 7: Playing the Numbers

The Big NO!!

7

Page 8: Playing the Numbers

The Why (Not)

• Quality Control error rates• Known to Agency• Confidentiality• Jockeying for IT position• Waiting on technology• Lack of resources to work the data

8

Page 9: Playing the Numbers

Going for the Action2009 Breakthrough!

– MOU signed for Interstate and VA– Interstate data pilot

2010 Charter and Study Group!CMS Directors Letter

9

Page 10: Playing the Numbers

Iowa Hold ‘Em

• Manual data review• Inability to act on data• Folded on new VA MOU• Minimum required effort• Responding only to other States• Cumbersome PARIS “Hotline”

10

Page 11: Playing the Numbers

Smart Money

• Data wise guy • Triple state matches• Double SNAP matches • SNAP out of state usage

11

Page 12: Playing the Numbers

Ace in the Hole

• Let the data do the talking• Investigators on board• Wisconsin data exchange• Articulating the Dream

– Again and again and again…….

12

Page 13: Playing the Numbers

The Parlay

• It’s ALL about Program Integrity• Integrated Claims Unit• VA interest• Support grows

13

Page 14: Playing the Numbers

Come On and Make My Day

• Getting the funding• Design event• Building the Unit• Implementation

14

Page 15: Playing the Numbers

State Matches

15

Data Submitted

SSN Submitte

d Matches

2 + Other States

30 Day Delay

MatchesMay-09 494,612 2836 2604Aug-09 511,958 4142 30 3089Nov-10 527,284 3816 34 975Feb-10 541,444 4318 33 3710

May-10 557,161 3545 32 2947Aug-10 563,092 4812 31 4797Nov-10 581,967 4486 41 3636Feb-11 584,702 4486 36 4247

May-11 598,613 4338 30 3413Aug-11 600,175 5818 33 4470Nov-11 612,631 0 0 0

Page 16: Playing the Numbers

Thank You!Linda Mount

[email protected]

16