PLANNING, POLICY AND GOVERNMENTAL AFFAIRS SEPTEMBER 24…
Transcript of PLANNING, POLICY AND GOVERNMENTAL AFFAIRS SEPTEMBER 24…
PLANNING, POLICY AND GOVERNMENTAL AFFAIRS SEPTEMBER 24, 2021
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SUBJECT Impact of Delta Variant on Public Education (K-20)
APPLICABLE STATUTE, RULE, OR POLICY Idaho Code § 33-3730
BACKGROUND/DISCUSSION Dr. Kathy Turner, Deputy State Epidemiologist at Idaho’s Division of Public Health will provide a brief data update on COVID-19 in Idaho. The presidents of Idaho’s public four-year institutions will provide their own current assessment of COVID-19 data points and what public health measures are in place on their respective campuses. Additionally, Andy Grover of the Idaho Association of School Administrators will provide an overview of the current impacts on Idaho public schools (K-12).
IMPACT Information provided may inform future action or guidance.
ATTACHMENTS Attachment 1 – Idaho Data Update
STAFF COMMENTS AND RECOMMENDATIONS This will be an opportunity for the full Board to publically hear and discuss COVID-19 data and mitigation measures on campuses.
BOARD ACTION This item is for informational purposes only.
1
Idaho data updateGovernor’s Coronavirus
Work GroupSeptember 13, 2021
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2y = 25.059x - 1E+06
R² = 0.2387
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Record: December 9, 2020: 2,298 casesMost recent daily high rate: September 17, 2021: 1,730 cases
Most Recent Trend of Total Cases30-day average daily case count: 99914-day average daily case count: 1,134
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3Daily PCR/NAT results received electronically
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December 1, 2020 September 11, 2021
A transmission error resulted ina large hospital system sending2 days worth of data on one day
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5Cases among children 5-12 years: 2021The incidence rate among children 5-12 years reached the highest rate over the
course of the outbreak to 319 cases per 100,000 population.
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6Cases among teens 13-17 years: 2021The incidence rate among teens 13-17 years was 589 cases per 100,000population last week, the highest rate over the course of the outbreak.
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8 717patients
192patients
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9COVID-19 patients on ventilator: last 30 days
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12/18/2020: 63 patients
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10Proportion of ICU stays: 2021 complete months
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18.3%15.9% 16.6% 16.1% 18.0%
15.6%
22.9% 22.9%
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11Deaths by age group: mid-April – third week of September
3.2%
40.8%
56.0%
2020
18-49 50-79 80+
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12Vaccine breakthrough cases
5,605 Cases
Or approximately 0.73% of fullyvaccinated people
512 Variantsof public health interest or concern
Variant CountAlpha 26Beta 1Delta 355Gamma 4Iota 1Mu 5
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24884 341 20 85 125 151 159 865 2870 1329
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January February March April May June July August* September*
Month of Vaccination Month of Illness
Comparison of Month Vaccination Completed and Month of Illness
*Through September 18
Avg time between vaccination and illness: 136 days
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14Vaccine Type
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Janssen Moderna PfizerVaccinated Idahoans Vaccinated Cases
Vaccine Type Among Vaccine Breakthrough Cases vs. Vaccinated Idahoans
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15Rates by vaccination status since May 15Event Total Total Fully Vaccinated
July 17 (mid-date)Rate Among Fully
Vaccinated
Cases 5,319 681,931 780.0 / 100,000Fully Vaccinated
Hospitalizations 186 681,931 27.3 / 100,000Fully Vaccinated
Deaths 57 681,931 8.4 / 100,000Fully Vaccinated
Event Total Total Not Fully VaccinatedJuly 17 (mid-date)
Rate Among Not FullyVaccinated
Cases 46,787 1,157,175 4,043 / 100,000Not Fully Vaccinated
Hospitalizations 1,942 1,157,175 167.8 / 100,000Not Fully Vaccinated
Deaths 457 1,157,175 39.5 / 100,000Not Fully Vaccinated
Population of Idaho: 1,839,106 (2020 US Census)
People who arevaccinated are
over 6 times lesslikely to be
hospitalized forCOVID-19 if theybecome infected
However, they areover 5 times lesslikely to become
infected in the firstplace
RR:
5.2
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16Vaccination status of cases May 15 – Sep 11
4,416,10.1%
39,256, 89.9%
Cases
Fully VaccinatedNot Fully Vaccinated
164,8.9%
1,683, 91.1%
Hospitalizations
Fully VaccinatedNot Fully Vaccinated
43,12.0%
316, 88.0%
Deaths
Fully VaccinatedNot Fully Vaccinated
Fully vaccinated:
SARS-CoV-2 was detected ≥14 days after receiving the second dose of a 2-dose series or a dose of 1-dose COVID-19 vaccine, with no history of a positive PCR test in the 45 days prior.
24,8.6%
256, 91.4%
ICU Stays
Fully VaccinatedNot Fully Vaccinated
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17Take away from the rate ratio calculations
During May 15 – September 11 there wereabout:• 34,800 cases,• 1,500 hospitalizations, and• 250 deaths
That likely would not have occurred if thepopulation were fully vaccinated
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