Overview: Planning to achieve

Tyrone TooleAberor DachwanBudiadi

2

Program and Workshop Activities

Opening and Project Overview

2. Benefits of a strengthened road maintenance policy

1. Planning to achieve & NTB planning activities

3. Maintenance delivery capacity & options

5. Output-based funding of roads

4. Output-based road maintenance

Way Forward

Workshop

Activity 3

Workshop

Activity 2

Workshop

Activity 1

Panel feedback

3

The Management Cycle

Policies

Classification & Standards

Needs Assessment

Performance Monitoring

Implementation

Finance & Resources

Highway Management Information

•Inventory•Condition•Resources•Treatments•Productivity•Unit Costs•Economic

data

Planning

Strategies

Programming

Project PreparationOperations

Policy Research

------------- -------------

Service Provider Manager

OwnerPublic reporting

4

Have we sold the benefits &outcomes to users?

Lots of money – desirable standards

Less money

Are our budgets sufficient?

Are our standards appropriate?

What are the consequences on the network?

What can or should we do?

Are our solutions appropriate?

5

Increased recognition of the importance of an effective network

– Delivering community benefits– As an engine for growth

Realisation of the disbenefits of a lack of action– Increased transport costs– Loss in asset value– Impacts on society

Treating roads as a business– Selection of viable investments– Setting performance goals– Choosing appropriate management and delivery arrangements– Implementing sustainable solutions– Ensuring sufficient and stable funding– Getting customer feedback

A change in focus

1. What condition

should our roads be in?

2. What is the actual

condition of our Roads?

3. What is being done to address any gap?

4. What level of funding would be

required to address findings?

SafetyEfficiencyRetained

value

Pavements, Configuration & Bridges

Performance criteria & condition

Data issues

Program management

Project selection

Outcomes

Engagement

Performance audit

7

Linking policy and outcomes: Pathway to progress

Policy & Planning• Policy & objectives

• Appropriate standards

• Asset condition & use

• Funding adequacy & predictability

• Funding allocation

• User engagement

• Quality

Implementation

• Delivery capacity

• Enabling environment

• Efficiency & effectiveness

Outputs & Outcomes

• Performance

• Accountability

• Transparency

• Commitment

8

Planning to achieve: Take home messages

1. Stated policy & supportive objectives2. Comprehensive process with checks and

balances3. Realistic targets and pragmatic process4. Published plans5. Customer involvement6. Reporting7. Effective feedback loop8. Business improvement plans

NTB planning studies & situational analysis

Tyrone TooleAberor DachwanBudiadi

11

National and regional development objectives

• Statements by the Government of Indonesia• Pro growth, Pro jobs, Pro poor, Pro environment• Corridor Connectivity agenda - addressing service bottlenecks -

o Reduce price and service disparitieso Accelerate poverty reductiono Enhance competitiveness

• Statements by regional representatives• sustainable tourism, agriculture and fisheries• effective corridors

o 500 km of key routeso Less unstable roads

• Statements by development partners

12

Planning priorities & targets

• Provincial roads in NTB• % stable roads from 46% to 72% by 2014• Lombok

o Accessibility 40%o Mobility 60%.

• Sumbawao Accessibility 60%o Mobility for 40%.

• Accessibility o minimum surface widths and surface typeo no potholes, cracking or rutting

• Mobility - target width 7m

14

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Surface Type Proportions - Review Province Networks

no type

Village/unformed/impassable

Earth

Telford

Unbound Mac. / gravel

Penetration Macadam

Rigid / concrete

Asphalt

West JavaCentral

Java Bali NTBWest

Sulawesi

Stable Condition 88.2 95.6 90.4 46.0 24.6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Stab

le P

ropo

rtion

of N

etw

orl L

engt

h (%

)

Stable Condition RatingReview Province Networks

Reported surface types & road condition: Phase 1

15

16

Distribution of road roughness

• 50% good or fair condition• significant disparities:

• Lombok 26% unstable• 10% passable with difficulty

• Sumbawa 65% unstable• 35% passable with difficulty

17

Distribution of road width

• 45% by length below minimum target• 35% in Lombok• 60% in Sumbawa

• 95% below desirable target• 87% in Lombok• 98% in Sumbawa

19

Road characteristics & condition: Phase 2

• Widespread issues of a maintenance nature• Lack of effective asset preservation

• Need to restore short lengths of failed sections

• Absence or ineffective drainage system and crown height

• Extensive lengths of poor surfaces

•Impact on seasonal access and mobility.

• Similar issues on P & K roads

•Similar solutions would be appropriate

20

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

4209

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099

4210

042

051

4205

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050

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035

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037

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090

4208

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4209

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092 1

4209

2 242

093

AADT

-M

-O

Distribution of AADT by road link(Non-urban only): Non-Motorcycles

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

4209

842

099

4210

042

051

4205

242

050

4204

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048 2

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4209

2 242

093

AADT

-M

-O

Distribution of AADT by road link (Non-urban only): All vehicles

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

AADT

-M

-O

Distribution of AADT by road link (Non-urban only): All vehicles

0500

100015002000250030003500400045005000

AADT

-M-O

Distribution of AADT by road link(Non-urban only): Non-Motorcycles

Traffic levels and composition

• < 100 to > 5,000 light & commercial AADT• Motorcycles increase AADT by a factor of 3

or 4, and provide access and mobility• Traffic levels in Sumbawa 1/5th those in

Lombok.

21

Current budgets and needs: Provincial Roads

Scope $ millions

Current Annual RM &PM Budget 2.7

2008/09 Annual Roads_Budget 13.4

2011/13 Estimated Annual Roads_Budget 18.7*

Phase 1 – Estimated Sustainable Preservation budget 8.3

Phase 2 – Estimated Sustainable RM budget 6.2

Phase 2 – Estimated Sustainable Preservation budget 14.1

Phase 2 - Backlog for Asphalt_Pavements 41.5

Phase 2- Backlog_for Pavements & Improvements 122.5

* Includes Governor & DPRD agreed 3 year funding

22

Roughness trend – unconstrained (sealed roads)

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Provincial-VLProvincial-M

Roug

hnes

s

23

Spreading out the task: Provincial roads

20122013

20142015

20162017

20182019

20202021

20222023

20242025

20262027

20282029

20302031

0

5

10

15

20

25

Annual costs & treatments for sealed roadsConstrained 'Optimum'

ReconstructionPeriodic & rehabilitationRoutine & holding

Year

Annu

al c

ost (

$ m

illio

ns)

24

Roughness trend – spreading the task (sealed roads)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

Roug

hnes

s Provincial VL constrained

Provincial M constrained

25

Planning priorities and decision support: Phase 1

• Community demands or political decisions.• Use of network data.

General Procedures for Planning Maintenance

identified from network data

identified by community demands or political decisions

identified from historical trends

other methods

Lombok Tenggah does not use SK77, the reason being that:

The Kabupaten Parliament does not believe the guidelines are sufficiently aspirational, and not in line with the interests of the communities.

26

Main challenges in establishing sustainable road maintenance

1. The absence of clear directives , technical guidelines & effective coordination.

2. Maintenance and preservation activities not in keeping with community needs and aspirations.

3. Extensive lengths of very poor road conditions which impact accessibility and mobility.

4. Maintenance and asset preservation underfunded.5. Little money for routine maintenance.6. Serious mismatch between medium budgets.

27

Draft road maintenance policy statement

I. Systematic management II. Better coordination forum and stakeholder

engagementsIII. Best practice technical guidelines and specifications.IV. Optimise funding allocations to roads and ensure

their effective use

28

Example immediate actions

1. Governor and provincial and regency parliaments to:• allocate sufficient money• choose appropriate priorities• enforce guidelines and planning

2. DGH/Agents review and evaluate plans.3. DGH updates and disseminates guidelines4. Regional governments implement guidelines.