Phase 2 of CCAFS

Philip Thornton

Training of GIMPS, Madrid1 April 2014

3

Over-arching objectives

 

1. To identify and test pro-poor adaptation and mitigation technologies, practices, and policies for food systems, adaptive capacity and rural livelihoods

2. To provide diagnosis and analysis that will ensure cost effective investments, the inclusion of agriculture in climate change policies, and the inclusion of climate issues in agricultural policies, from the sub-national to the global level

CCAFS Theory of Change

Transition from old CCAFS to CCAFS Phase 2

• Via a “refresh phase, 2015-2016; Phase 2 proper starts 2017

• Refresh phase proposal being submitted to the CO today

• All CRPs are tasked with defining “Flagship Programmes” and a move to Results-Based Management (resource allocation and evaluation)

• CCAFS plans to have a Phase 2 structure by 2015: four FPs rather than 4 Themes (which map fairly well)

• CCAFS involved in a trial of RBM for 2014 (along with 4 other CRPs) – the regional pieces of FP4

• Necessitates a Theory of Change, Impact Pathways, and a process

FP 1: Climate-smart practices

1. Improved technologies and practices for climate-smart agriculture

2. Methods, approaches and capacity for local adaptation planning

3. Innovative mechanisms for scaling up and out, including building local capacity to innovate

FP 2: Climate Information Services and Climate-Informed Safety Nets

1. Methods of improving near-term climate forecasts

2. Methods of communicating climate information and advisories

3. Climate-informed insurance products for women and men farmers

4. Tools and options to manage the whole food system

FP 3: Low-emissions agricultural development

1. Measurement of small-scale farming emissions

2. Tools and approaches to assess mitigation options

3. Support to national low emissions development plans and finance (e.g. NAMAs)

4. Improving innovation systems for mitigation5. Information systems and analysis supporting

sustainable commodity initiatives

FP 4: Policies and institutions for resilient food systems

1. Data, models and scenarios to understand impacts of climate change

2. Decision support tools for targeting policy development and making investment choices

3. Analysis of strengths and weaknesses of current and emerging policy

4. Analysis and experimentation concerning novel decision-making processes

FP 1: Climate-smart practices

FP 2: Climate information services and climate-informed safety nets

FP 3: Low emissions development

FP 4: Policies and institutions for a resilient food system

20 million farmers have transformed their agricultural practices to be climate-smart

Build the resilience of 10 million farmers to climate-related risk

By 2025

25 countries will have enabling agricultural, climate change and food security policies, with a 50% increase in investments

20% reduction of GHG emissions while enhancing food security in at least seven countries

Who / how to pull this together?

• FP4 tasked with piloting processes for this new way of doing business

• Six selected projects from a competitive call for regional activities now underway

• A shift from a logframe approach to an impact pathway approach based on a Theory of Change (ToC): need to define pathways from research and its outputs and results towards outcomes, i.e. changes in behaviour

• GIMPS set up to expand the capacity to help with the process (in FPs, regions, centres)

Proposed timeline for RBM, 2014

1-5 April: Training module 1: TOC/ impact pathways / M+E for GIMPS 30 April: FP4 global IP and M&E strategy finalised (building on GIMPS input) May - Jul: Working group members facilitate the production of impact pathways with indicators for M&E in FPs 1, 2 and 3, and WA, EA, SA and SEA 1 July: Second FP4 “lessons learned” note circulated Aug - Sep: Review of impact pathways and indicators in terms of aggregation and progress towards IDOs 20-24 October, DC: Module 2 training – operationalising M&E for CCAFS Phase 2 - for GIMPS 1 November: Third FP4 “lessons learned” note circulated 22 November: Draft reporting to the Consortium Office on the FP4 trial 30 November: FP4 baseline to monitor the global indicators completed (GIMPS) Nov - Dec: Finalization of CCAFS Global flagship and regional impact pathways with M&E plans

Last comments

• This is radical change – definitely not business as usual

• Timing is very tight for other FP and regional IPs: best to avoid too much retro-fitting

• We don’t entirely know what we’re doing: social learning writ large

• All CRPs and Centres will need to develop capacity in ToC, IPs, and appropriate M&E

• CCAFS is involved in one set of processes for RBM and M&E: no guarantee that the Consortium Office will adopt what we are trialling

• Although we don’t entirely know what were doing, neither does anyone else …