Peter Lynch 8 Growth Stocks
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Transcript of Peter Lynch 8 Growth Stocks
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8/2/2019 Peter Lynch 8 Growth Stocks
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Peter Lynch
GROWTHSTOCKS
8PeterLynch
http://www.forbesnewsletters.com/http://www.forbesnewsletters.com/http://www.newsletters.forbes.com/servlet/ControllerServlet?Action=DisplayMainPage&SiteID=es_764&Locale=en_US&productID=35988900&pgm=79916200 -
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Peter Lynch, perhaps the greatest mutual fund manager of all-time, guided Fidelity Investment's Magellan
Fund to a 29.2% average annual return from 1977 until his retirement in 1990, almost doubling the S&P
500's 15.8% yearly return over that time. Lynch's common sense approach and quick wit made him one of
the most quoted investors on Wall Street. ("Go for a business that any idiot can runbecause sooner or later, any
idiot probably is going to run it," is one of his many pearls of wisdom.)
Lynch's approach centers on a variable that he is famous for developing: The price/earnings/growth ratio, or
"PEG." The PEG divides a stock's price/earnings ratio by its historic growth rate to find growth stocks selling on
the cheap. Lynch's rationale: The faster a firm is growing, the higher the P/E multiple you should be willing topay for its stock.
Lynch is known for saying that investors can get a leg up on Wall Street by "buying what they know," but that's
really just a starting point for him; his strategy goes far beyond investing in a restaurant chain you like or a retailer
whose clothes you buy.
Along with the PEG, he focused on fundamental variables like the debt/equity ratio, earnings per share growth
rate and net cash. It's important to note that Lynch used different criteria for different categories of stocks, with the
three main categories being "fast-growers" (stocks with EPS growth rates of at least 20% per year); "stalwarts" (stocks
with growth rates between 10% and 20% and multi-billion-dollar sales); and "slow-growers" (those with single-digit
growth rates and high dividend payouts).He also used special criteria for financial stocks.
Guru tracking Web siteValidea.com's Peter Lynch model portfolio is up 84.6% since inception in 2003 vs. 36.5%for the S&P 500. Included in this report are eight current "Lynch" favorites selected based on the strategies below.
P/E Growth Ratio
The investor should examine the P/E relative to the growth rate, based on the average of the 3- and 4-year historical
EPS growth rates using the current fiscal year EPS estimate, for a company. This is a quick way of determining the
fairness of the price.
EPS Growth Rate
The Lynch-inspired methodology favors companies that have several years of fast earnings growth, as these compa-
nies have a proven formula for growth that in many cases can continue many more years. This methodology likes to
see earnings growth in the range of 20% to 50%, as earnings growth above 50% may be unsustainable.
Total Debt/Equity Ratio
Less debt equals less risk according to this methodology. This ratio is one quick way to determine the financial strength
of the company.
Sales and P/E Ratio
For companies with sales greater than $1 billion, this methodology likes to see the P/E ratio remain below 40. Large
companies can have a difficult time maintaining a growth rate high enough to support a P/E above this threshold.
Net Cash Position
A bonus for a company is having a Net Cash/Price ratio above 30%. Lynch defines net cash as cash and marketable
securities minus long-term debt. According to this methodology, a high value for this ratio dramatically cuts down on
the risk of the security. Keep in mind, however, that a low Net Cash/Price ratio does not adversely affect the company
as it is a bonus criterion.
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Source: Validea.com
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GT ADVANCED TECHNOLOGIES (GTAT)Provides equipment and services for the solar and LED industries
P/E Growth (PEG): 0.14 P/E: 6.24
EPS Growth: 45.8% Total Debt/Equity: 0
Sales: $873.4M Net Cash Position: 38.1%
KULICKE & SOFFA INDUSTRIES (KLIC)Designs and manufactures semiconductor assembly equipment
P/E Growth (PEG): 0.19 P/E: 7.08
EPS Growth: 36.4% Total Debt/Equity: 22.2
Sales: $801.6M Net Cash Position: 44.4%
Source: Yahoo Finance
Source: Yahoo Finance
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OMNIVISION TECHNOLOGIES (OVTI)Designs, develops and markets semiconductor image-sensor devices
P/E Growth (PEG): 0.44 P/E: 11.22
EPS Growth: 25.3% Total Debt/Equity: 5.8
Sales: $937.5M Net Cash Position: 42.7%
HUMANA (HUM)Offers health and supplemental benefit products
P/E Growth (PEG): 0.46 P/E: 10.40
EPS Growth: 22.8% Total Debt/Equity: NA
Sales: $36.8B Net Cash Position: 52.2%
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Source: Yahoo Finance
Source: Yahoo Finance
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INTERNATIONAL RECTIFIER (IRF)Designs, manufactures and markets power management semiconductors
P/E Growth (PEG): 0.57 P/E: 14.54
EPS Growth: 25.4% Total Debt/Equity: 0
Sales: $1.1B Net Cash Position: 33.0%
TERNIUM (TX)Latin American company that manufactures and processes flat and long steel products
P/E Growth (PEG): 0.62 P/E: 8.92EPS Growth: 10.8% Total Debt/Equity: 34.6
Sales: $9.2B Net Cash Position: 35.8%
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Source: Yahoo Finance
Source: Yahoo Finance
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TECH DATA (TECD)Distributes information technology products and offers logistics management
P/E Growth (PEG): 0.44 P/E: 11.60
EPS Growth: 26.3% Total Debt/Equity: 5.4%
Sales: $26.5B Net Cash Position: NA
FOREST LABORATORIES (FRX)Develops, manufactures and sells branded and generic forms of ethical drug products
P/E Growth (PEG): 0.57 P/E: 8.27
EPS Growth: 14.5% Total Debt/Equity: 0%
Sales: $4.7B Net Cash Position: 43.7
Source: Yahoo Finance
Source: Yahoo Finance
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