PERTAMINA ENERGY OUTLOOK 2015 -...
Transcript of PERTAMINA ENERGY OUTLOOK 2015 -...
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
MINISTRY OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES
DIRECTORATE GENERAL OF NEW, RENEWABLE ENERGY AND ENERGY CONSERVATION
PERTAMINA ENERGY OUTLOOK 2015
Ritz Carlton-Jakarta, 4 December 2014
Delivered By:
Rida Mulyana
Director General of New, Renewable Energy and Energy Conservation
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
I. ENERGY: CURRENT CONDITION 3
II. ENERGY POLICY AND TARGET 5
III. THE POTENTIAL OF NRE RESOURCES AND EC IMPLEMENTATION 7
IV. POLICY BREAKTHROUGH AND STRATEGY FOR NREEC DEVELOPMENT AND
UTILIZATION 9
V. WHAT’S HAVE WE DONE AND WHAT’S NEXT 12
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
1. Energi has become a basic needs;
2. The Indonesian economy grew by 5-6% per year with a population growth of 1,2% per year Energy Growth 7 – 8% per year;
3. Dependence on fossil energy is still high, while its reserves are limited;
4. The sources of new renewable energy has not been optimized.
Oil 49,7 %
Gas 20,1 %
Coal 24,5 %
NRE
5,7%
INDONESIA AS A NET OIL IMPORTER
TOTAL OF PRIMARY ENERGY: 1176 MBOE
ENERGY MIX PRIMARY ENERGY (MBOE)
Oil 584
Coal 288
Gas 236
NRE 67
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
1. ENERGY CONSERVATION: to increase energy efficiency on
supply and demand side, e.g industrial sector, transportation,
household and commercial.
2. ENERGY DIVERSIFICATION: to increase the share of new
renewable energy use in the primary energy mix. e.g:
NEW ENERGY
a. Liqiufied Coal
b. Coal Bed Methane
c. Gasified Coal
d. Nuclear
e. Hidrogen
f. Others methane
RENEWABLE ENERGY
a. Geothermal,
b. Hidro,
c. Bioenergy,
d. Solar,
e. Wind,
f. Ocean wave and current.
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
*) Preliminary figures up to December 2013 excluding biomass and the use of non-energy
NO NEW RENEWABLE ENERGY RESOURCES INSTALLED CAPACITY
(IC)
RATIO OF IC/RESOURCES (%)
1 2 3 4 5 = 4/3
1 Hydro 75,000 MW 7,572 MW 10.1 %
2 Geothermal 28,910 MW 1,403.5 MW 4.9 %
3 Biomass 32,654 MW 1,717.9 MW 5.4 %
4 Solar 4.80 kWh/m2/day 48.05 MW -
5 Wind 3 – 6 m/s 1.87 MW -
6 Ocean 49 GW ***) 0.01 MW ****) -
7 Uranium 3,000 MW *) 30 MW **) -
*) Only in Kalan – West Borneo
**) As a center of research, non-energy
***) Source: National Energy Council
****) BPPT’s Prototype
NO SECTOR ENERGY CONSUMPTION PER
SECTOR 2012 (MBOE) *)
POTENTIAL OF ENERGY
CONSERVATION
TARGET OF SECTORAL
ENERGY
CONSERVATION (2025)
1 Industry 305 (39,7%) 10 – 30% 17%
2 Transportation 311 (40,4%) 15 – 35% 20%
3 Household 92 (12%) 15 – 30% 15%
4 Commercial 34 (4,4%) 10 – 30% 15%
5 Others (Agriculture, Construction, and Mining)
26 (3,4%) 25% -
POTENTIAL OF NRE RESOURCES
POTENTIAL OF ENERGY CONSERVATION
Source: Draft on National Energy Conservation Master Plan 2011
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
1. Revision/enhancement of existing regulations:
which relate with NRE priority and clarity on management/permitting
issues;
on the FiT provide more simplicity yet firm capacity addition per
annum;
on the market price index which could be linked with MOPS provide
more assurances in terms of subsidy allocation;
Grid connectivity regulation particularly for integrating intermittent RE
source.
2. Financing:
Revolving fund for energy conservation program/activities;
New mechanism in the form of guarantee for RE projects (f/e risk
guarantee fund, geothermal exploration fund).
3. Mandatory:
Acceleration for biofuel mandatory (increased percentage per annum);
RPS for utility company / off taker.
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
1. Improvement of national electricity supply through the development of
Geothermal and Hydro Power Plant.
2. Improvement of access to electricity in remote and frontier areas through
Microhydro and Solar PV Power Plant.
3. Development of Bioenergy Power Plant including based on agricultural
waste and municipal waste for electricity supply as well as increasing
environment cleanliness.
4. Pilot projects deployment for wind, ocean current and wave power plant in
the context for heightening the commercialization stage.
5. Biofuel utilization (in the form of solid, gas, and liquid) for fuel oil substition.
6. New energy development (CBM and shale gas) both commercially and
directly in accordance with existing conventional energy regulation in their
undertaking.
7. Increasing efficiency in the energy supply, undertaking, and utilization.
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
RENEWABLE ENERGY POWER PLANT REGULATION POLICY
1. MEMR Regulation No. 10/2012
2. MEMR Regulation No. 17/2013
3. MEMR Regulation No. 19/2013
4. MEMR Regulation No. 21/2013
5. MEMR Regulation No. 17/2014
6. MEMR Regulation No. 22/2014
7. MEMR Regulation No. 27/2014
Implementation of New Energy and Renewable Energy Infrastructure Ceiling Price for Solar Photovoltaic Based Power Plant FiT for Municipal Solid Waste Based Power Plant List of Projects to Accelerate Development of Power Plant Using Renewable Energy, Coal and Gas Transmission Ceiling Price for Geothermal Based Power Plant FiT for Hydro Based Power Plant FiT for Biomass and Biogas Based Power Plant
NO ENERGY TYPE
CUMULATIF INSTALLED CAPACITY AS OF 2014 (MW)
OFF GRID ON GRID TOTAL
1 GEOTHERMAL - 1,403.50 1,403.50
2 HYDRO 71.30 7,501.00 7,572.30
3 BIOENERGY 1,626.00 91.90 1,717.90
4 SOLAR 43.05 5.00 48.05
5 WIND 0.10 1.77 1.87
6 HYBRID 0.54 0.54
T O T A L 1,740.89 9,003.17 10,744.16
21% from
cumulative
installed capacity
of national power
plant in 2014 of
51,981 MW
ACHIEVEMENT OF RE POWER PLANT INSTALLED CAPACITY
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
MANDATORY OF BIOFUEL UTILIZATION
1. Utilization 10% biodiesel (B-10) mixed by diesel fuel and will increase to 20% (B-20) by 2016 and 30% (B-30) by
2020.
2. The need for biofuels will increase significantly doubled by 2016 (the implementation of B-20) and 1.5 times in
2020 (the implementation of B-30).
3. With the condition of the installed capacity of the existing biodiesel industry, biodiesel plant new investment should
be accelerated to anticipate the needs of the growing.
REGULATION POLICY ACHIEVEMENT
MEMR Regulation No. 25/2013 that has been revised to MEMR Regulation No. 20/2014
Mandatory policy of biofuel utilization: 10% biodiesel blended (B-10) since 1st September 2013
Biofuel utilization increased significantly from year to year. Utilization of biodiesel for domestic consumption in 2013 amounted to 1,05 million KL (an increase of 56,62% from the use of biodiesel in 2012).
*) Status September 2014
There is a lead time between production and distribution data about 428 kL
ACHIEVEMENT OF BIODIESEL PRODUCTION
Biodiesel industry production capacity : 4,47 million
KL/year
MAP OF BIODIESEL INDUSTIES
190 243
1,812
2,221
2,805
3,217
70 20
1,453 1,552
1,757
1,358
119 223 359
669
1,048 1,219
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*
Th
ou
san
d k
L
Production Export Domestic
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
1. Improving coordination between stakeholder related on NREEC
development (Academic, Business, Government, and Community);
2. Encourage the local supporting industries (appliances and services
related to NREEC);
3. Encourage the national banking to involve on NREEC development;
4. Dissemination on energy efficiency program to all community;
5. Development of new renewable energy infrastructure by the
Government;
6. Incentive on NREEC development (fiscal policy support, RE subsidy,
Feed-in Tariff policy, market creation through mandatory policy,
investment policy).
Energy and Mineral Resources for People’s Welfare
JALAN PEGANGSAAN TIMUR NO. 1, MENTENG, JAKARTA 10320
Phone: +62 21 39830077 Fax: +62 21 31901087
www.esdm.go.id - www.ebtke.esdm.go.id
MINISTRY OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES DIRECTORATE GENERAL OF NEW RENEWABLE ENERGY AND ENERGY CONSERVATION