Perspectives of the Global Nuclear Energy Industry on ......Nuclear Energy Industry on Radiological...

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Sylvain Saint-Pierre Director, WNA Outreach Initiative Director for Environment and Radiological Protection World Nuclear Association Perspectives of the Global Nuclear Energy Industry on Radiological Protection of the Environment World Nuclear Association (WNA) Perspectives of the Global Nuclear Energy Industry on Radiological Protection of the Environment World Nuclear Association (WNA) 1 IAEA Coordination Group on RP of the Environment Vienna, Austria September 28, 2010

Transcript of Perspectives of the Global Nuclear Energy Industry on ......Nuclear Energy Industry on Radiological...

  • Sylvain Saint-PierreDirector, WNA Outreach InitiativeDirector for Environment and Radiological ProtectionWorld Nuclear Association

    Perspectives of the Global Nuclear Energy Industry

    on Radiological Protection of the Environment

    World Nuclear Association (WNA)

    Perspectives of the Global Nuclear Energy Industry

    on Radiological Protection of the Environment

    World Nuclear Association (WNA)

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    IAEA Coordination Group on RP of the Environment

    Vienna, Austria

    September 28, 2010

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    World Nuclear Association - WNA

    The trade association of the global nuclear industry with a worldwide membership

    • Based in London, UK

    • WNA: http://www.world-nuclear.org

    • WNN: http://www.world-nuclear-news.org

    Our membership makes us unique, global and truly representative

    • Over 180 industry enterprises from over 30 countries

    • Over 90% of world uranium production and nuclear power generation

    Note: See the Annex for more introductory info on WNA

    Our membership makes us unique, global and truly representative

    • Over 180 industry enterprises from over 30 countries

    • Over 90% of world uranium production and nuclear power generation

    Note: See the Annex for more introductory info on WNA

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    The Biggest Challenges of this Era

    We are in a new era where growing

    …the two are closely interconnected…

    … and they must be tackled together

    …the two are closely interconnected…

    … and they must be tackled together

    are the key challenges…

    Energy needsHealth Environmental & Health Issues

  • The Biggest Challenges of this EraSecuring energy and electricity generation supplies over the long term

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    Source: International Energy Agency (IEA) 2009, Ref erence Scenario

    Mtoe – Million tonnes of oil equivalentTWh – Terawatt hour

    World population:1950: 2.5 billions; 2009: 6+ billions; 2050: 9 billions

    Average growth (2007-2030) ≈ 1.6% per year

    +45% over 2006-2030 from ≈ 12,000 to 17,000 Mtoe

    Average growth (2007-2030) ≈ 2.5% per year

    +75% over 2006-2030 from ≈ 20,000 to 34,000 TWh

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    The Biggest Challenges of this EraFossil-based energy and electricity generation supplies is unsustainable

    Going from 12,000 to 17,000 Mtoe over 2007 to 2030

    Going from 28 to 41 Gt of CO2 energy-related emissions over 2007 to 2030

  • 2020 – 2029 ≈ current

    The Biggest Environmental Challenge of this EraLong-term climate change consequences from greenhouse gases

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    2090-2099 ≈ 100 years

    Scenario B1

    Scenario A1B

    Scenario A2

    Source: IPCC AR4

  • OECD/International Energy Agency (IEA) -World Energy Outlook (WEO) 2009

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    We are now on course for a 6°C rise & rising energy costWe are now on course for a 6°C rise & rising energy cost

    Limiting temperature rise to 2°C will require big emission reductionsLimiting temperature rise to 2°C will require big emission reductions

    A 450 path towards Green Growth would bring substantial benefits:

    >much less air pollution & huge health benefits

    A 450 path towards Green Growth would bring substantial benefits:

    >much less air pollution & huge health benefits

    This Green Growth path consists of nuclear, renewable energy and fossil fuel (with as much as carbon capture & storage as possible)This Green Growth path consists of nuclear, renewable energy and fossil fuel (with as much as carbon capture & storage as possible)

    To achieve this, long-term atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases need to stabilize at no more than 450 ppmTo achieve this, long-term atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases need to stabilize at no more than 450 ppm

  • 11.9

    17.8

    8.5

    WEO 2009Electricity generation and CO2 emissions

    What is the size of the issue?What is the size of the issue?

    8

    19,756

    34,292

    29,939

    Over 2007-2030

    Energy generation going from ≈ 20,000 to 30,000 TWh

    Over 2007-2030

    Reducing CO2 emissions from 11.9 down to 8.5 Gt

    Over 2007-2030:Hydro ≈ x 2; Wind ≈ x 16; Other Renewable ≈ x 8

    Nuclear ≈ x 2; Fossil fuel ≈ flat-down (CCS)

  • Centering RP on today’s world challenges

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    EnergyEnergy ClimateChangeClimateChange

    Environment and Health

    Environment and Health

    Nuclear is key for the huge environmental and health benefits that it brings

    Nuclear is key for the huge environmental and health benefits that it brings

    CO2reductions

    CO2reductions

    EnergyNeedsEnergyNeeds

    Broad Risk on the Environment-Health

    Broad Risk on the Environment-Health

    No longer isolated from each other

    True risk must be weighed by each energy source contribution to curtail pollution and GHG emissions

    No longer isolated from each other

    True risk must be weighed by each energy source contribution to curtail pollution and GHG emissions

    Tiny Radiation RiskTiny Radiation Risk

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    1. Climate change1. Climate change

    2. Air pollution (all kinds)2. Air pollution (all kinds)

    100 th? Exposure to radiation => localised and inconsequential100 th? Exposure to radiation => localised and inconsequential

    5. Urban developments5. Urban developments

    3. Water pollution (all kinds)3. Water pollution (all kinds)

    ‘n’ th? Nuclear waste management and disposal => “ “ “ “‘n’ th? Nuclear waste management and disposal => “ “ “ “

    4. Intense industrial activities (chemical, oil/gas, agriculture, fishery, forestry, etc.)4. Intense industrial activities (chemical, oil/gas, agriculture, fishery, forestry, etc.)

    Reality Check on World Environmental ChallengesHow tiny are radiation risks?

    RP issues have only a minor role in proportion to their size . They are not part of World Environmental Challenges that humanity is facingRP issues have only a minor role in proportion to their size . They are not part of World Environmental Challenges that humanity is facing

    100 ‘n’ th? RP of animals and plants => “ “ “ and occur very rarely100 ‘n’ th? RP of animals and plants => “ “ “ and occur very rarely

  • Where all of this should fit within the UN and IAEA policies

    A clear policy is needed on energy, climate change and environment and health at the UN levelA clear policy is needed on energy, climate change and environment and health at the UN level

    Such a policy needs to be “distillated” at the IAEA level, with a clear recognition of the key role of nuclear energy as part of the solution

    Such a policy needs to be “distillated” at the IAEA level, with a clear recognition of the key role of nuclear energy as part of the solution

    For greater efficiency, such a policy should sit on top of the IAEA safety standards as a way to balance effort on nuclear energy and safety

    For greater efficiency, such a policy should sit on top of the IAEA safety standards as a way to balance effort on nuclear energy and safety

  • Paradoxically, the key role of nuclear energy in real planet-wide protection of the environment and health is overlooked

    by IAEA’s policies and standards

    Paradoxically, the key role of nuclear energy in real planet-wide protection of the environment and health is overlooked

    by IAEA’s policies and standards

    Where this should fit within the UN and IAEA policies

    Safety Guides

    Safety Requirements

    Safety Fundamentals = SF-1

    UN-derived IAEA Policy on Nuclear Energy, Climate Change and Environment-Health

  • Where this should fit within the UN and IAEA policies

    FUNDAMENTALSFUNDAMENTALS REQUIREMENTSREQUIREMENTS GUIDESGUIDES

    UN-derived IAEA Policy on Nuclear Energy, Climate Change and Environment-Health

  • On the environment, concentrations are well below any level that would be of concernsOn the environment, concentrations are well below any level that would be of concerns

    There are strong evidences all around the world which show that under normal circumstances, nuclear sites pose no issues at all

    There are strong evidences all around the world which show that under normal circumstances, nuclear sites pose no issues at all

    Where should RP of the environment fit within IAEA

    Under the current RP system, both human health and environment is adequately protectedUnder the current RP system, both human health and environment is adequately protected

  • To which extent one needs to demonstrate… the obvious?To which extent one needs to demonstrate… the obvious?

    To which extent a society can afford this in a world of competing real priorities?To which extent a society can afford this in a world of competing real priorities?

    Where is the regulatory need?Where is the regulatory need?

    As views earlier, the world and countries are not short of challenges & priorities in energy, environment and health

    As views earlier, the world and countries are not short of challenges & priorities in energy, environment and health

    Where should RP of the environment fit within IAEA

  • “E.2. Information Exchange

    23. There are three main purposes for the Agency’s work relevant to information exchange:

    1. To clarify policy and scientific information relating to the protection of nonhuman

    species;

    2. To inform Member States about the available tools, models and methods that may be

    used in the assessment of impacts on biota, to provide for intercomparison of methods

    and to advise on the possible implications of any revised standards for regulation of

    radionuclides entering or present in the environment;

    3. To develop an international consensus on the need for, and, if necessary, the form and

    content of, standards that address the protection of non-human species.

    Activity: To foster information exchange on the protection of non-human species to allow for early identification of issues by regulators, by national bodies of research and expertise in radiation protection and by other key stakeholders.

    Timing: Continuously, following adoption of the Plan of Activities.”

    “E.2. Information Exchange

    23. There are three main purposes for the Agency’s work relevant to information exchange:

    1. To clarify policy and scientific information relating to the protection of nonhuman

    species;

    2. To inform Member States about the available tools, models and methods that may be

    used in the assessment of impacts on biota, to provide for intercomparison of methods

    and to advise on the possible implications of any revised standards for regulation of

    radionuclides entering or present in the environment;

    3. To develop an international consensus on the need for, and, if necessary, the form and

    content of, standards that address the protection of non-human species.

    Activity: To foster information exchange on the protection of non-human species to allow for early identification of issues by regulators, by national bodies of research and expertise in radiation protection and by other key stakeholders.

    Timing: Continuously, following adoption of the Plan of Activities.”

    IAEA RP plan of activities (June 2005)A reminder…

  • “To develop an international consensus on the need for, and, if necessary, the form

    and content of, standards that address the protection of non-human species.”

    “To develop an international consensus on the need for, and, if necessary, the form

    and content of, standards that address the protection of non-human species.”

    All signs show that tools on RP of non-human species can be useful – but only very rarelyAll signs show that tools on RP of non-human species can be useful – but only very rarely

    Good to work on the details but cannot skip a robust demonstration of the need:Good to work on the details but cannot skip a robust demonstration of the need:

    For example, it can be useful to assess the potential impact from a major release or accidentFor example, it can be useful to assess the potential impact from a major release or accident

    IAEA RP plan of activities (June 2005)A reminder…

    Where is this robust demonstration?Where is this robust demonstration?

  • Unduly rolling in an extra level of complexity for tiny radiation risk would be ill-advisedUnduly rolling in an extra level of complexity for tiny radiation risk would be ill-advised

    No need to confuse RP of non-human species with the scope of safety standardsNo need to confuse RP of non-human species with the scope of safety standards

    Overall, the role of nuclear energy in real planet-wide environment and health protection is far more important – than an ill-based need to demonstrate the obvious.

    Overall, the role of nuclear energy in real planet-wide environment and health protection is far more important – than an ill-based need to demonstrate the obvious.

    IAEA RP plan of activities (June 2005)A reminder…

  • Paradoxically, the key role of nuclear energy in real planet-

    wide protection of the environment and health is

    overlooked by IAEA’s policies and standards

    Paradoxically, the key role of nuclear energy in real planet-

    wide protection of the environment and health is

    overlooked by IAEA’s policies and standards

    Where RP of non-human species fit within the UN and IAEA policies

    Safety Guides

    Safety Requirements

    Safety Fundamentals = SF-1

    UN-derived IAEA Policy on Nuclear Energy, Climate Change and Environment-Health

    RP of non-human species? Only rarely relevant for the nuclearsector and certainly not for normal activities. Possibly useful asa supporting tool in case of a major release or accident

    RP of non-human species? Only rarely relevant for the nuclearsector and certainly not for normal activities. Possibly useful asa supporting tool in case of a major release or accident

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    Questions? Questions?

    Thank you for your [email protected]

    Sylvain Saint-PierreDirector, WNA Outreach Initiative

    Director for Environment and Radiological ProtectionWorld Nuclear Association

  • Introductory info on WNA’sIntroductory info on WNA’s

    Annex

  • WNA’s Main Activities

    In collaboration with our members, the WNA supports the global nuclear industry

    • Coordinates ongoing industry forums to:

    – Foster information exchange

    – Develop and advocate knowledge, position & strategy

    • Acts in the international arena to:

    – Build support for nuclear power

    – Strengthen the industry’s positions and educational foundations

  • WNA’s Main Global Industry Forums

    Each year we organize two pre-eminent globalindustry world events

    • WNAAnnual Symposium– In early September, London, UK

    – Next event: September 15-17, 2010, London, UK

    • WNA Spring Meeting - World Nuclear Fuel Cycle Conference– In the Spring, various locations in the world

    – Jointly organized with the Nuclear Energy Institute, USA

    – Next event: Chicago, USA

  • WNA Working Groups (WGs)

    Covering key topics such as:

    • Nuclear Fuel Cycle Plenary Session

    • Market Report Drafting

    • Reactor Design Evaluation and Design

    • Radiological Protection

    • Event Communication

    • Capacity Optimization

    • Transport

    • Uranium Stewardship

    • Industry Economics

    • Security of the International Nuclear Fuel Cycle

    • Sustainable Development & Climate Change

    • Waste Management & Decommissioning

    • Global Strategy

  • Example of WNA’s “Products”The Main Source of Global Nuclear Industry Internet Info

    A comprehensive WNA website:

    - http://www.world-nuclear.org

    A free services of world nuclear news (WNN):

    - http://www.world-nuclear-news.org