PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS OF A PRIVATE COMMERCIAL BANKS IN BANGLADESH

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    TERM PAPERBank Management (FIN 464)

    SECTION-02

    PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS OF A PRIVATE

    COMMERCIAL BANKS IN BANGLADESH

    Prepared By:

    Touhidul Huq Khan

    ID:071627030

    Prepared For:

    M. Morshed

    Senior Lecturer

    School Of Business

    North South University

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    TABLEOFCONTENTS

    Executive Summary............03

    Introduction.04

    Objectives.......04

    Methodology...05

    Limitations......05

    Overview of The Bank06

    Literature Review...09

    Profitability Ratios09Efficiency Ratios..11

    Liquidity Ratios12

    Leverage Ratios13

    Market Position Ratios.14

    Findings and Analysis.15

    Time Series Analysis: From 2007 to 2010...15

    Cross sectional analysis: DBBL vs City Bank.24

    Recommendation31

    Conclusion......32

    Bibliography...33

    Appendix.34

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    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

    This report focuses on many theories, models, ratios, ratio interpretations and how these

    ratios are contributing to evaluate the performance of Dutch-Bangla Bank Limited and itsrival bank, City Bank Limited. Time series analysis was done to analyze the performance

    of Dutch-Bangla Bank Limited which is followed by a cross-sectional analysis of DBBL

    with its competitor City Bank Limited. According to the project outline a systematic

    breakdown of components have been shown in the report. During the analysis in the report,

    various calculations and visual applications (i.e usage of charts) of the ratios have been

    provided which provide further assistance in analyzing the performance of the two banks.

    At the end of the analysis, recommendation is provided to potential and existing investor

    regarding their investment decision on DBBLs stock.

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    INTRODUCTION

    Banking industry is a crucial part of the financial system of an economy. The smooth

    operation of the financial system and in turn, the smooth operation of the overall economy isheavily dependent on the performance of the banking industry. As a result, there high level of

    government scrutiny over banks activity makes careful evaluation crucial for a bank in order

    to safeguard its stakeholders. Analyzing a commercial banks performance is unlike

    evaluating other conventional companies. The composition of a commercial banks financial

    statements is diverse and often much more critical than any other organization and thereby,

    demand extra care. We will employ specific mechanics to evaluate the performance of the

    opted bank.

    OBJECTIVES

    The purpose of this report is to analyze the performance of Dutch-Bangla Bank Limited

    whereby, its performance would be analyzed using a time series analysis for a period of four

    years, from 2007 to 2010, and also a cross sectional analysis of the same bank would be done

    with its closest competitor, The City Bank Limited, for the same stated time period. By

    analyzing the performance of Dutch-Bangla Bank Limited, it would be indicated whether

    the performance of the bank is improving or deteriorating from individual standpoint and also

    in relative to its competitor, The City Bank Limited. Based on the findings,

    recommendation would be made to Dutch-Bangla Bank Limited and also to a potential

    investor regarding the investment decision on the stock of either of the two stated banks. The

    main analysis of these banks would be done using the bank management theories and ratios.The performance has been analyzed based on the following five major criteria:

    Liquidity:Liquidity for a bank means the ability to meet its financial obligations as

    they come due. Bank lending finances investments in relatively illiquid assets, but it

    fund its loans with mostly short term liabilities. Thus one of the main challenges to a

    bank is ensuring its own liquidity under all reasonable conditions.

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    Leverage: Leverage of a bank refers to the use of funds purchased in the money

    market or borrowed from depositors to finance interest-bearing assets, principally

    loans. We have to analyze the extent of leverage used by our respective bank.

    Efficiency/activity: The efficiency of the commercial banks activity. Its utilization

    of funds and available resources.

    Profitability: The essential function of a bank is to provide services related to the

    storing of deposits and the extending of credit. The evolution of banking dates back

    to the earliest writing, and continues in the present where a bank is a financial

    institution that provides banking and other financial services. The profitability

    measure indicates the relative capability of a bank of making profit.

    Market Position: The market estimation, value and position of the bank.

    METHODOLOGY

    This report is based on data collected from secondary sources. Annual reports of the banks

    and as well as relevant stock data were collected from Dhaka Stock Exchange. Also, relevant

    information regarding the concerned banks background and service offerings were gathered

    from the respective banks web site. Moreover, textbooks regarding bank management and

    investment theory were used as references.

    LIMITATIONS

    The major limitation that I faced in preparation of this report is time constraint. Due to hectic

    schedule and other projects and assignments that were due on about the same date of

    submission as this project, I was not able to give my best effort on this assignment. However,

    it must be said that I worked to the best of my ability to finish this project on time and in a

    presentable manner in spite of other responsibilities. Moreover, lack of excess to banks

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    internal information was another notable limitation as I was not able to calculate some key

    ratios such as pledged securities ratio, brokered deposit ratio etc.

    OVERVIEW OF THE BANKAs mentioned earlier, the report would focus on analyzing the performance of The Dutch-

    Bangla Bank Limited. Following is a brief overview of the bank:

    Dutch-Bangla Bank Ltd.

    Dutch-Bangla Bank Limited (DBBL) is Bangladesh's most innovative and technologically

    advanced bank. DBBL stands to give the most innovative and affordable banking products to

    Bangladesh. Amongst banks, DBBL is the largest donor in to social causes in Bangladesh. It

    stands as one of the largest private donors involved in improving the country. DBBL is proud

    to be associated with helping Bangladesh as well as being a leader in the country's banking

    sector.

    Mission

    Dutch-Bangla Bank engineers enterprise and creativity in business and industry with a

    commitment to social responsibility. "Profits alone" do not hold a central focus in the Bank's

    operation; because "man does not live by bread and butter alone".

    Vision

    Dutch-Bangla Bank dreams of better Bangladesh, where arts and letters, sports and athletics,

    music and entertainment, science and education, health and hygiene, clean and pollution free

    environment and above all a society based on morality and ethics make all our lives worth

    living. DBBL's essence and ethos rest on a cosmos of creativity and the marvel-magic of a

    charmed life that abounds with spirit of life and adventures that contributes towards human

    development.

    Core Objectives

    Dutch-Bangla Bank believes in its uncompromising commitment to fulfill its customer needs

    and satisfaction and to become their first choice in banking. Taking cue from its pool

    esteemed clientele, Dutch-Bangla Bank intends to pave the way for a new era in banking that

    upholds and epitomizes its vaunted Marques "Your Trusted Partner".

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    Brief History

    Dutch-Bangla Bank Limited (DBBL) is a Bangladeshi-European private joint venture

    scheduled commercial bank, incorporated in Bangladesh in the year 1995. This public limited

    bank commenced its formal operation from June 3, 1996. The Netherlands Development

    Finance Company (FMO) of the Netherlands is the international co-sponsor of this bank with

    30% equity holding. Out of the rest 70%, 60% equity has been provided by prominent local

    entrepreneurs and industrialists and the rest 10% shares is the public issue.

    Dutch-Bangla Bank started operation as Bangladesh's first joint venture bank. The bank wasan effort by local shareholders spearheaded by M Sahabuddin Ahmed (founder chairman) and

    the Dutch company FMO.

    From the onset, the focus of the bank has been financing high-growth manufacturing

    industries in Bangladesh. The rationale being that the manufacturing sector exports

    Bangladeshi products worldwide. Thereby financing and concentrating on this sector allows

    Bangladesh to achieve the desired growth. DBBL's other focus is Corporate Social

    Responsibility (CSR). Even though CSR is now a clich, DBBL is the pioneer in this sector

    and termed the contribution simply as 'social responsibility'. Due to its investment in this

    sector, DBBL has become one of the largest donors and the largest bank donor in

    Bangladesh. The bank has won numerous international awards because of its unique

    approach as a socially conscious bank.

    DBBL was the first bank in Bangladesh to be fully automated. The Electronic-Banking

    Division was established in 2002 to undertake rapid automation and bring modern banking

    services into this field. Full automation was completed in 2003 and hereby introduced plastic

    money to the Bangladeshi masses. DBBL also operates the nation's largest ATM fleet and in

    the process drastically cut consumer costs and fees by 80%. Moreover, DBBL choosing the

    low profitability route for this sector has surprised many critics. DBBL had pursued the mass

    automation in Banking as a CSR activity and never intended profitability from this sector. As

    a result it now provides unrivaled banking technology offerings to all its customers. Because

    of this mindset, most local banks have joined DBBL's banking infrastructure instead of

    pursuing their own.

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    Even with a history of hefty technological investments and even larger donations, consumer

    and investor confidence has never waned. Dutch-Bangla Bank stock set the record for the

    highest share price in the Dhaka Stock Exchange in 2008.

    Services and Products

    Given below is the list of services and products offered by the bank:

    Card Products

    o DBBL-NEXUS Classic Card (debit)

    o DBBL-NEXUS Maestro card (debit)

    o DBBL-NEXUS VISA Electron card (debit)

    o DBBL-NEXUS Silver OD card (credit)

    o DBBL-NEXUS Gold OD card (credit)

    IT Products

    o Truly Online Banking

    o Wide range of ATM & POS

    o Internet Banking

    o SMS & Alert Banking

    Retail Banking Products(DBBL Life Line)

    Retail Banking Products(DBBL Future Line)

    Banking Products

    o Deposit

    Savings Deposit Account

    Current Deposit Account

    Short Term Deposit Account

    Resident Foreign Currency Deposit

    Foreign Currency Deposit

    Convertible Taka Account

    Non-Convertible Taka Account

    Exporter's FC Deposit(FBPAR)

    Current Deposit Account-Bank

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    Short Term Deposit Account-Bank

    o Loan & Advances

    Loan against Trust Receipt

    Transport Loan

    Consumer Credit Scheme

    Real Estate Loan (Res. & Comm.)

    Loan against Accepted Bill

    Industrial Term Loan

    Agricultural Term Loan

    Lease Finance

    Other Term Loan

    FMO Local Currency Loan for SME

    FMO Foreign Currency Loan

    Cash Credit (Hypothecation)

    Small Shop Financing Scheme

    Overdraft

    LITERETURTE REVIEW

    In theory, the behavior of a stocks price is regarded as the best indicator of a financial firms

    performance because it reflects markets evaluation of that firm. But often, due to market

    imperfection, analyst may have to consider on ratio analysis for a fair assessment of a

    financial firm. Ratio analysis provides only a single snapshot, the analysis being for one

    given point or period in time. In the ratio analysis it is possible to define the company ratio

    with a standard one.

    Below are the various ratios used in time series and cross sectional analysis of Dutch-Bangla

    Bank Limited:-

    PROFITABILITY RATIOS:

    Return on Equity (ROE)

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    Return on equity measures a Bank's profitability by revealing how much profit a bank

    generates with the shareholders invested money. The equation for ROE is

    = Net income after tax/ shareholders equity

    It measures the return on the money the investors have put into the company. This is

    the ratio potential investors look at when deciding whether or not to invest in the

    company. Net income comes from the income statement and stockholders equity

    comes from the balance sheet. In general, the higher the percentage is the better.

    Return on Assets (ROA)

    ROA measures the efficiency with which the company is managing its investment in

    assets and using them to generate profit. It measures the amount of profit earned

    relative to the firms level of investment in total assets. Net Income is taken from the

    income statement, and total asset is taken from the balance sheet. The higher the

    percentage is better, because that means the company is doing a good job using its

    assets to generate sales. The equation for ROA is

    = Net income after tax/total asset

    Net Interest Margin

    Net Interest Margin (NIM) is a measurement of the difference between the interest

    income generated by banks or other financial institutions and the amount of interest

    paid out to their lenders. It is expressed as a percentage of what the financial

    institutions are earning minus the interest that it pays on borrowed funds to its

    investors. It examines how successful a firm's investment decisions are compared to

    its debt situations. A negative value denotes that the firm did not make an optimal

    decision, because interest expenses were greater than the amount of returns generated

    by investments. The equation for NIM is

    = (Interest Revenue - Interest Expense)/Total Asset

    Net Non Interest Margin

    Non interest margin in calculated by:

    = (Non Interest Revenue Non Interest Expense)/Total Assets

    It is expressed as a percentage of how much non-interest revenue the financial

    institutions are earning minus the non interest expense. Non-interest income includes

    revenues earned from loan and investments or fee income from fiduciary activities,

    services charges on deposit accounts, trading account gains and fees, revenues income

    from investment banking, security brokerage and insurance services. Noninterest

    expenses include salaries, wages and employee benefits.

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    Net Operating Margin

    A measure of how profitably the firm is operating. The ratio tells how well a company

    converts revenue from core operations into actual profit - how many cents of profit it

    gets from every dollar of sales. The operating margin shows how well the company

    controls costs. The equation is

    = (Total Operating Revenue Total Operating Expenses)/Total Assets

    Earnings Per share (EPS)

    The portion of a company's profit allocated to each outstanding share of common s

    tock. Earnings per share serve as an indicator of a company's profitability. It tells an

    investor how much of the company's profit belongs to each share of stock. The

    equation is

    = Net income/ Common Equity Shares Outstanding

    Net profit margin

    It tells investors the percentage of money a company actually earns per dollar of sales.

    This number is an indication of how effective a company is at cost control. The higher

    the net profit margin is, the more effective the company is at converting revenue into

    actual profit. The net profit margin is a good way of comparing companies in the

    same industry. The equation is

    = Net Income/ Total Operating Revenue

    Overhead Margin

    It is the proportion of total non interest expense with respect to total assets. An

    increase in overhead margin ratio indicates that there is inefficiency in controlling

    expenses.

    = Total Non-interest Expense/ Total Assets

    EFFICIENCY RATIOS:

    Tax Management Efficiency

    It reflects the use of security gains or loss to minimize tax exposure. It indicates what

    portion of operating income generates net income after tax. The equation is

    = Net Income After Tax/Pre-tax Net Income

    Expense Control Efficiency

    It indicates the portion of revenue after the operating expense is deducted. Its a

    measure of operating efficiency and expense control. The equation is

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    = Pretax Net Operating Income/ Total Operating Revenue

    Asset Utilization Ratio

    It measures the speed at which a business is able to turn assets into sales, and hence

    cash. The higher the ratio, the more effectively assets are used to generate revenue.The equation is

    = Total Operating Revenue/Total Assets

    Equity Multiplier

    The ratio shows a company's total assets per dollar of stockholders' equity. A higher

    equity multiplier indicates higher financial leverage, which means the company is

    relying more on debt to finance its assets. The equation is

    = Total Asset/ Total Equity Capital

    Operating Efficiency ratio

    The efficiency ratio gives us a measure of how effectively a bank is operating. It is the

    cost required to generate each dollar of revenue. The equation is

    = Total Operating Expense/ Total Operating Revenue

    An increase means the company is losing a larger percentage of its income to

    expenses. If it is getting lower, it is good for the bank and its shareholders. Thismeasures non-interest expenses as a proportion of operating revenue. Costs include

    salaries, technology, buildings, supplies, and administrative expenses. Revenue

    includes net interest income (interest revenue less interest expenses) plus fees.

    Employee productivity Ratio

    The equation is

    = Net Operating Income/Number of full time employees

    The ratio measures the level of income that each employee generates. It helps todetermine the efficiency of a bank in terms of employees.

    LIQUIDITY RATIOS

    Cash position indicator

    Greater proportion implies bank is in a strong position to meet immediate cash needs.

    The equation is

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    = Deposits due from depository institutions/Total Assets

    Liquidity securities indicator

    The greater the proportion of govt. securities the more liquid the bank is. The equationis

    = Govt. Securities/Total Assets

    Core Deposit ratio

    Have lower liquidity requirements and are usually small-denominated checking

    accounts and savings account which are unlikely to be drawn. The equation is

    = Core Deposits/ Total Assets

    Deposit Composition Ratio

    A decline suggests greater deposit stability and lesser need for liquidity. The equation

    is

    = Demand Deposits/Term Deposits

    Capacity Ratio

    It is the proportion of total loans & leases with respect to total assets. So a lower value

    indicates a higher liquidity and less profitability and vise versa.

    = Net loans & leases / Total Assets.

    LEVERAGE RATIOS

    Debt-Equity Ratio

    It indicates what proportion of equity and debt the company is using to finance its

    assets. A high debt-equity ratio generally means that a company has been aggressive

    in financing its growth with debt. The equation is

    = Long Term Debt/Total Stockholders Equity

    Total Debt Ratio

    The debt ratio is measure of the level of liabilities held in relation to total assets.

    Increase in this ratio means higher risk and more leverage.

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    = Total Liabilities/Total assets

    MARKET POSITION RATIOSPrice Earnings Ratio (P/E)

    It is a measure of the price paid for a share relative to the annual profit earned by the

    firm per share. A high P/E suggests that investors are expecting higher

    earnings growth in the future compared to companies with a lower P/E. It gives us an

    indication of the confidence that investors have in the future prosperity of the

    business. The equation is

    = Market Value Per Share/ Earning per Share

    Market-Book Ratio

    It measures how much a company is worth at present, in comparison with the amount

    of capital invested by current and past shareholders into it. This ratio is used by some

    investors or analysts as an indicator of over- or undervaluation. If the balance sheet

    assets per share are much larger than the share price, this is taken to be a buy signal.

    The equation is

    = Market Value Per Share/ Book value Per Share

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    FINDINGS AND ANALYSIS:

    In this part of the report, the financial performance of Dutch-Bangla Bank would be analyzed

    using a time-series analysis over the period of 2007 to 2010. Followed by a time-series

    analysis, a cross sectional analysis would also be done with its rival, City Bank Limited

    over the same period.

    Time-series Analysis: From 2007 to 2010

    Profitability Ratios

    The following ratios would indicate Dutch-Bangla Banks ability to meet its debt obligations,

    the rate of growth of its assets, reserves and ultimately the shareholders' value.

    Above illustration shows Dutch-Bangla Banks return on asset and return on equity for the

    period of 2007 to 2010. Its return on asset on asset had steady growth over this period. DBBL

    also managed to achieve growth on its return on equity. However, its return on equity was

    higher from 2007 to 2010, indicating that DBBL was able to efficiently make profit by using

    its shareholders investment. The steady growth of ROA indicated DBBLs effectiveness inasset management to generate profit. Although DBBL was able to generate acceptable return

    from its assets, its growth in earnings and its growth in assets was almost similar. Hence,

    there was a steady growth in return on asset.

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    There was an increase in net interest income over the four year for DBBL. The ratio

    decreased only on the year 2009, mainly because of increase in the total assets of the bank.

    Moreover, net interest income has also increased for the company over the year, which also

    contributed to the increase of net interest income, which is a good sign for an investor.

    Although, it is common for banks to have negative net non-interest margin but DBBL has

    been able to keep it positive throughout the four year period, except 2007. It suggests the

    companys ability to generate high fee income mainly through its non-interest related

    activities such as investments in securities and ATM fees. This also indicates high efficiency

    of operating expense control.

    Although, overhead margin increased over the years but as mentioned earlier, DBBLs ability

    to generate considerable amount of revenue from non-interest expense, thus having positive

    net non-interest margin indicated that the is safe from increase in overhead margin.

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    Net profit margin of a company is one the most important determinant of profitability

    regardless of whether the company is financial or non-financial company. DBBL was able to

    keep a stable increase in net-profit margin over the year. This suggests the banks

    management has been substantial control over the expenses of the bank and can generate fair

    amount of revenue by properly utilizing its assets.

    Efficiency Ratios

    The efficiency ratio is a measure for a banks productivity. Efficiency or activity ratios indicate a

    banks efficiency in controlling expenses to generate return.

    Tax management efficiency of DBBL has been in a stable level during the first two year of

    the analyzing period. However, in the third year of the analyzing period, the ratio increased

    and remained stable for the rest of the analyzing period indicating the banks effectiveness in

    using security gains and extraordinary items to minimize the companys overall tax effect.

    There was a sharp increase in expense control efficiency ratio of DBBL during the analyzing

    period of 2007 to 2010. Although there was a slight fall in the expense control efficiency

    ratio in 2009 in comparison to 2008, but a substantial increase of the expense control ratio in

    2010, which is the highest for the four years analyzing period, indicates DBBLs

    management efficiency in control of the operating expenditure. This is a good sign for an

    investor because the bank is able to manage its expenses and make sure operating expenses

    doesnt eat up operating revenues.

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    The operating efficiency ratio showed positive scenario for DBBL. Although operating

    efficiency ratio had an incremental increase in 2008, but during the 2009 and 2010 period, the

    operating efficiency ratio had a substantial steady decline. From the pattern of the ratio

    during the analyzing period, suggest that DBBL has been able to maintain substantial level of

    operating revenue to cover up the operating expenses. It also has good command over it

    operating expenses as the expense control efficiency ratio also suggest this trend.

    There is a steady increase in asset management ratio of DBBL during the analyzing period

    which indicates DBBLs efficiency in investing good portfolio of asset and getting a good

    return from its investment in those assets. Moreover, this sends a positive signal to potential

    investors.

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    As mentioned earlier, fund management efficiency or equity multiplier depicts the leverage

    or financing policies of a bank. Banks are usually highly leveraged as in the case of DBBL

    too. From the analysis period, it can be deduced that DBBLs fund management efficiency

    ratio has decreased steadily over the analyzing period. The reason behind this is increasing

    the level of equity by DBBL during this period. The good sign for investor is that DBBLs

    decreased dependency on leverage will constitute to decrease the level of risk assumed by the

    bank. On the contrary, it might affect the DBBLs profitability. But in this case the

    profitability was not affected as seen in the profitability ratios the profit has increased which

    are excellent sign for an investor. These ratios constitute the return on equity for a bank and it

    gives a clear idea to a investor about a banks performance in terms of its policies to maintain

    efficiency and as of the period DBBL has been in good shape for investment.

    During the analyzing period, the ratio was somewhat steady during the period of 2007 to

    2009. However, in 2010, there was a shap increse in employee productivity of DBBL which

    suggest that DBBL has got a quality management for its operation as in the previous part of

    the analysis, it was found that DBBLs profitability and the managements control over theexpenditure was high in 2010.

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    Liquidity Ratios:

    Liquidity analysis considers the banks ability to meet its obligations and is very critical for a

    bank to remain a going concern.

    Cash position indicator of DBBL has remained somewhat steady during the period of 2007 to

    2009. However, there was a substantial increase in the cash position indicator in 2010 which

    was higher due increase in the level of cash and securities held in Bangladesh bank. High

    cash position ratio also indicates that DBBL is better off in handling immediate cash needs.

    Moreover, this increased level of liquidity did not affect the profitability of DBBL.

    Over the analysis period, there was a cyclic movement of the liquidity security indicator.

    There was decline in the ratio from year 2007 to 2008 and again from year 2009 to 2010 due

    to increase in lending activity by DBBL in those respective years which weaken the liquidity

    position of the bank and hence could be a concern for potential investor. The increase in

    profitability, in recent years of the analysis period, was mainly a consequence of the decrease

    of securities held for liquidity and could be invested in higher yielding investment. Due to

    this, profitability of DBBL raised but at the expense of increased level of liquidity risk.

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    The deposit composition ratio of DBBL was at the rise during the analysis period with sharp

    increase in 2009 and 2010. This suggest that the banks liquidity has gradually gone down

    during the analysis period and DBBLs exposure to liquidity risk has increaed as a result.

    However, the increase in DBBLs demand deposit liabilty in comparison to fixed deposit

    liability have resulted in higher profit as less have to be paid on demand deposits in

    comparison to fixed deposits.

    The above illustration shows DBBLs core deposit ratio has a gradual decline over the

    analysis period. There is a sharp decline in the core deposit ration of DBBL in year 2009 and

    2010. The gradual decline in this period is DBBLs approach in attracting more demand

    deposits over core deposit. Although such approach has increased profitability of DBBL in

    recent years of the analysis period, however, the bank is more exposed to liquidity risk which

    is in conjunction to deposit composition ratio discussed earlier.

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    Leverage ratios:

    Leverage ratios examine how assets of the business are financed. By nature, banks are highly

    leveraged. As a result it is important for an investor to assess any increase in leverage of a

    bank they are interested in investing in.

    The above illustration shows that DBBLs debt to equity ratio have declined over the analysis

    period which suggest that the DBBL leverage have declined over the period and it is subject

    to less bankruptcy risk exposure as a result. This has happened because of issuance of new

    equity capital by DBBL. It is common to have lower profitability due to lower level of

    leverage but however, DBBL have managed to increase its profitability in the years where its

    debt to equity ratios has declined which is a positive indication to investors.

    Debt ratio of DBBL has declined over the analysis period indicating that the bank is exposed

    to less risk due to lower leverage. This is because of DBBL issuance new equity capital in

    recent years of the analysis periods. Hence is gives a positive indication to investors for

    investment.

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    Market Position Ratios:

    DBBLs price earnings ratio is depicted above. During the analysis period, the banks P/E

    ratio increased up to 52.47, in 2008, which indicated fabulous market perception of the bank.

    However, due to issuance of new shares by DBBL in the form of bonus issue, in recent years

    of the analysis period, the P/E ratio declined as the numbers of shares outstanding in the

    market have increased. This could send a negative signal to a potential investor.

    The market-Book ratio has remained somewhat steady during the analysis period with an

    exception to 2008. This can suggest negative market perception of the company and hence, itsends a negative sign for a potential investor.

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    Cross-Sectional Analysis: DBBL vs City Bank

    As mentioned earlier, performance of Dutch-Bangla Bank Limited would also be analysed on

    a cross sectional basis with one of its closest rival City Bank Limited for the period fo 207

    to 2010.

    Given below is a brief overview of City Bank Limited:

    City Bank is one of the oldest private Commercial Banks operating in Bangladesh. It is a top

    bank among the oldest five Commercial Banks in the country which started their operations

    in 1983. The Bank started its journey on 27th March 1983 through opening its first branch at

    B. B. Avenue Branch in the capital, Dhaka city. It is one of the leading banks of Bangladesh

    which has kept pace with the growing demands of its customers and clients by introducing

    latest products and services.

    Vision Statement

    "To be the leading bank in the country with best practices and highest commitments"

    Mission

    To contribute to the socio-economic development of the country

    To attain highest level of satisfaction through extension of services by

    dedicated and motivated team of professionals

    To maintain continuous growth of market share ensuring quality

    To maximize banks profit by ensuring its steady growth

    To maintain the high moral and ethical standards

    To ensure participative management system and empowerment of human

    resources

    To nurture an enabling environment where innovativeness and

    performance are rewarded

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    The following is a cross-sectional analysis between DBBL and City Bank from an investors

    point-of-view with selective profitability, liquidity, leverage, efficiency and market positon

    ratios:

    Profitability

    In terms of return on equity DBBLs ratio was significantly higher than that of City Bank

    during the analysis period. DBBLs ROE has experienced more stable growth which suggests

    less riskiness of the bank. City Bank has also enjoyed noticeable growth rate in the analysis

    period except 2008, where its ROE fell from 11.95% to 9.44%, but its growth rate is slower

    than that of Dutch Bangla Bank as well. High leverage use of DBBL, compared to City Bank

    result in such growth rate. However, DBBLs increase in equity capital in recent years with

    high and constant growth rate makes it more attractive options for an investor to invest

    compared to City Bank.

    Unlike the case of ROE, the return on asset for City Bank and DBBL has been following

    different pattern. During the analysis period, DBBL had higher return on asset in earlier years

    compared to City Bank while in recent years, City Bank made more efficient utilization of its

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    assets and hence in 2010 it overtook DBBL to get higher ROA. But changes in City Banks

    ROA are more volatile than that of DBBL. Hence, investment in DBBL is more attractive

    than that of City Bank

    The net interest margin indicates same trend as ROA. During the analysis period, DBBL had

    higher net interest margin in earlier years compared to City Bank while in recent years, City

    Bank overtook DBBL to get higher net interest margin. Hence its difficult to draw

    conclusion on superiority base on net interest margin ratio.

    Based on the compariosn of earnings per share between DBBL and City Bank, DBBL is a

    much beter proposition as during the analysis period, its earnings per share was constantly

    higher than that of City Banks. Hence making it more attrative investment option than that of

    City Bank.

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    From net operating ratio perspective, DBBL is superior than City Bank, although City Bank

    had higher net operating margin compared to DBBL in 2010. Profitability of City bank is

    more volatile while profitability of DBBL is more stable.

    Therefore, from profitability perspective DBBL has taken over City Bank due to stability of

    return and hence less risky proposition.

    Efficiency:

    From degree of asset utilization perspective, DBBL comparatively better than that of City

    Bank during the the firtst three years of the analysis period although the difference was very

    little. However, in 2010, City Bank has overtaken DBBL, in asset utilization efficiency by a

    substancial margin. Hence it is superior than that of DBBL in this criteria.

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    From operating ratio criteria, it can be said that efficiency ratio of City Bank has decreased

    over the years for which inefficiency of management can be responsible. However, same canbe said for DBBL as its operating ratio has also declined. But during the analysis period,

    operating ratio of City Bank was constantly higher than that of DBBL. Hence, making it a

    more attractive option for investment than DBBL.

    Thus, from efficiency criteria, City Bank is a more attractive option for an investor to invest.

    Liquidity:

    As shown in the above illustration, DBBLs liquid position has been better than City bank in

    terms cash position indicator on all the years of the analysis period. DBBL has gradually

    increased its cash and deposits over the years. On the other hand, having a lower cash

    position makes City Bank, a concern to any potential investor and hence less attractive than

    that of DBBL.

    However, on the liquidity security Indicator, scenario is opposite. City Bank is having a

    higher level of securities than that of DBBL throughout the analysis period. Hence, City Bank

    indicates better liquid position than its counterpart.

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    In terms of capacity ratio, DBBL was constantly higher than that of City Bank during theanalysis period. High use of leverage use by DBBL compared to City bank could be a reason

    for this. This suggests potential liquidity problem is more likely for DBBL than City Bank.

    On the contrary, the high level of loans and leases will replicate higher level of profitability

    which has been shown earlier that DBBLs profitability was better than City Banks.

    In terms of the Deposit composition, DBBL is highly dependent on demand deposits and was

    significantly over City Bank in terms of deposit composition ratio as shown in the

    illustration. High levels demand deposit suggests more needs for liquid assets and more

    potential for liquidity crisis.

    Therefore, it can be derived that from the liquid position, DBBL is worse than City Bank but

    it may give higher returns to investors.

    Leverage

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    As depicted in the above illustration, City Banks use of leverage has declined significantly

    over the years. DBBL has been using more stable level of leverage which resulted in more

    stable profitability and more stable basis for the company. Although, City bank replicates

    lower risk because of less leverage, this will potentially impact the return and also the drasticchanges have to be taken into account before investment. On the other hand, more stable

    decrease of leverage in DBBL might be a safer option for an investor because though the

    leverage level was higher than City Bank it is decreasing at a reasonable rate.

    Market Position

    Market position ratio is the most important ratio for analysis and making investment decision

    in a bank or any other company. This ratio gives an idea about the market perception of the

    bank.

    As depicted above, the market perception of DBBL is much better than AB bank in term of

    P/E ratio. Although there was a significant increase of P/E ratio of DBBL in 2008, there was

    a sharp fall in the P/E ratio of DBBL in 2009 and a further decrease in 2010. Such high

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    volatility causes uncertainty regarding DBBL market perception and continuous decline is

    nothing but the replication of that uncertainty. However, City Bank also had a noticeable

    volatility in its P/E ratio over the analysis period. Its P/E ratio was nevertheless, lower

    compared to that of DBBL. But due to volatility in its P/E ratio, its also not a viable option

    for investment. Hence from market position perspective, due to uncertainty and volatility

    involved in P/E ratios of both DBBL and City bank, investment decision would be based on

    the risk preference of an investor.

    RECOMMENDATION AND CONCLUSION:

    Based on the above findings and analysis of Dutch-Bangla Bank Limited, here are some

    recommendations towards potential existing and potential investors:-

    Asset-quality of DBBL has shown improvement over the years of the analysis period

    which indicates good asset management. Continuous enhancement of quality asset

    means investing will generate return from less risky assets and reducing uncertainty.

    DBBL has been providing sufficient level of earnings which indicate good future

    prospects. However, profitability of DBBLs major competitor was also better

    nevertheless DBBLs provided more stable growth in profit which also indicates less

    risk.

    Liquidity position of DBBL is a concern for the bank as its competitor has better

    liquidity. However, less liquidity into higher profitability for DBBL and hence it was

    superior in terms of profitability compared to its competitor and also made the bank

    an attractive option for investment. Therefore, based on the investors risk-preference,

    decision should be made on whether investing in the bank or not. As

    Although the market perception of DBBL is not favorable, as indicated in the banks

    declining P/E ratio, however, it also has to be considered that the bad performance of

    the market during the end of 2010 could lead to a misperception about the banks risk

    exposure and hence declining of its P/E ratio. It also need to be considered that in

    recent years, DBBL has increased it its equity capital, thereby, reduced its risk

    exposure from higher leverage. At the same time, the bank managed to sustain its

    growth in profitability. Hence, the prosperity in aspect of the bank suggests aninvestor should invest in the bank regardless of their risk preferences.

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    As mentioned previously, usage of leverage by DBBL has decreased over the time

    period indicating fewer amounts of risks which made investment in the bank less

    risky.

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    Conclusion:

    Based on the evaluation done on DBBL, it can be concluded that the financial performance of

    Dutch-Bangla Bank Limited has been satisfactory. The bank was able to maintain good levels

    of return with efficient use of its quality assets. Moreover, the bank was able to decrease its

    leverage and overall risk exposure during the analyzing period by increasing its equity

    capital. Liquidity has been a concern for the bank as it has decreased over time. The

    management should take proper action to address the problem in order to avoid any future

    distress. DBBL also earned constant profit during its analysis period and also sustained its

    respectable profitability growth rate despite is lowering in leverage. Therefore, investing in

    DBBL can be a very attractive opportunity for potential investor.

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    BIBLIOGRAPHY:

    (n.d.). Retrieved June 12, 2010, from Dhaka Stock Exchange:

    http://www.dsebd.org/displayCompany.php?name=CITYBANK

    http://dsebd.org/displayCompany.php?name=DUTCHBANGL

    Bodie, Z., Kane, A., & Marcus, A. (2009).Investments (8th ed.). New York: Mc

    Grow Hill.

    Rose, P. S., & Hudgins, S. C. (2008).Bank Management & Financial Services (8th

    ed.). New York: Mc Graw Hill.

    Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., & Jaffe, J. (2007). Corporate Finance (7th ed.). New

    Delhi: Tata McGraw Hill.

    (n.d.). Retrieved June 12, 2010, from Dhaka Stock Exchange:

    Annual reports, 2007-2010, (Dutch-Bangla Bank Limited)

    Annual reports, 2007-2010, (City Bank Limited)

    http://www.dsebd.org/displayCompany.php?name=CITYBANKhttp://www.dsebd.org/displayCompany.php?name=CITYBANK