Payment by Results - A change of focus

download Payment by Results - A change of focus

of 28

Transcript of Payment by Results - A change of focus

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    1/28

    Payment by Results:

    a change of focus

    15th February 2013

    Fiona Sheil

    NCVO Public Services Team

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    2/28

    VCS Grants and Contract Income 2000/1 - 2009/10

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    3/28

    Grants

    Block Contracts

    Preferred Provider Frameworks

    Spot purchasing (eg Individual service Funds)

    Payment by Results (inc Bonds)

    Prime / sub models (often private VCS)

    Consortia (SPV, hub and spoke)

    http://www.ncvo-

    vol.org.uk/commissioning/procurement_approach

    es

    Contract and Grant structures

    http://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/commissioning/procurement_approacheshttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/commissioning/procurement_approacheshttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/commissioning/procurement_approacheshttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/commissioning/procurement_approacheshttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/commissioning/procurement_approacheshttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/commissioning/procurement_approacheshttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/commissioning/procurement_approaches
  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    4/28

    PBR so Far

    Health / mental health

    DWP

    MoJ Local Authorities

    Social Impact Bonds

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    5/28

    The Theory

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    6/28

    Payment by Results Trajectory

    Input

    Output

    Outcome

    Traditional funding

    assures only activity

    Payment by impact

    Payments made at specified points

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    7/28

    Purpose of PBR

    1. Innovation / outcomes

    2. Transparency

    3. Risk

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    8/28

    The Models

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    9/28

    Payment Structures

    Binary models:The provider has to achieve an absolute target. The model isbinary in the sense that there is an absolute yes/no distinction towhether they receive payment payment is not graded forachieving lesser results.

    Frequency scheme:As opposed to the binary model. Rewards are staggered alongagreed frequency of results, with payments increasing as resultsincrease.

    Hybrid grants / PbR model:This is a mixed model, where the cost of delivering a service isfunded, but additional payments are rewarded as bonuses ifadditional impacts are demonstrated at the end of a programme.

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    10/28

    a. smoking cessation

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    11/28

    Aims and Outcomes

    Two aims Increase supply

    Reduce health inequalities

    Good: 23% increase in quit rates Innovation Diversity

    Better data

    Bad

    Uncapped payments Lack of VCSE

    Monitoring and data

    Difficult and expensive

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    12/28

    Does it work for innovation?

    What does the VCSE need for innovation?

    Punitive or reward? Options to enter?

    Does it encourage new behaviours: or using

    evidenced-based practice?

    Are commissioners really willing to allow you

    to do what you want?

    Regulatory pre-determination?

    What about grants?

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    13/28

    b. troubled families

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    14/28

    Who and why?

    a. Involved in crime or anti-social behaviour Eg 1+ 28yr old with proven offence in last 12 mths

    b. Children not at school Eg 15% unauthorised absences across last 3 terms

    c. Adult on out of work benefitsAll families meeting a-c should be included

    d. Causing high cost to the public purse Local discretion filter

    Eg Child on Child Protection Plan

    Eg subject to frequent police call outs

    Eg health problems

    Eg under 18yrs old conceptions

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    15/28

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    16/28

    Funding Structure

    40% of the cost to be awarded (primarily) on

    PbR

    Average interventions known to work are

    estimated at 10k (inc based on FIPs) so 4k

    is available per family

    Attachment Fee (80% reducing to 40%)

    So

    PbR (20% rising to 60%) over 3 years

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    17/28

    Domains

    are the outcomes on which payment is targeted

    Variations in aggregations, populations, output or

    outcome

    Aggregations / Populations

    - National or local

    - Individual, family, community impact- Cohort or individual track

    - Personal outcomes or specific interventions

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    18/28

    Domain Absolutes

    Overarching outcome measured by:

    1. What factors (domain absolutes) are key to

    the overarching outcome?

    2. Relevant distanced travelled measures?

    3. What weighting is given to each domain?

    4. Which provider is attributed?

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    19/28

    c. Peterborough Prison Social Impact Bond

    P t b h P i S i l I t

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    20/28

    Peterborough Prison Social Impact

    Bond

    0

    'Frequency' nature

    of outcome metric

    incentivises focus

    on most prolific

    offenders

    'Cliff edge' payout

    if minimum

    performance

    improvement

    achieved

    Baseline

    performance

    determined using

    matched cohort

    Maximum payout

    capped

    Reduction in

    conviction events

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    21/28

    d. Work Programme, DWP

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    22/28

    The Work Programme

    % population achieving Job Outcome payment

    80 1000 4020 60

    Attachment fee

    Job Outcome

    Sustainment

    Incentive

    Baseline

    performance

    debateable

    Slope of line in

    zone of expectedperformance

    unlikely to be steep

    enough

    Outcomes

    difficult to

    attribute

    Curve made up of

    four different

    payments quite

    difficult to

    understand

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    23/28

    Challenges

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    24/28

    Questions remaining

    Gaming and perverse incentives

    Risk arbitrage?

    VCS business issues + social investment

    Financial modelling: tariff models

    Will it enable integrated commissioning?

    Will it replace commissioning?

    Scale?

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    25/28

    Issues for the VCS (1)

    What is a result?

    Who decides?

    Do we know what an outcome is?

    Impact on non-results?

    Focus on the end, not the incremental support?

    How is it measured? What is the impact of monitoring on the

    provider?

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    26/28

    Issues for the VCS (2)

    Impact on service users?

    Creaming and parking?

    Modifiable tariff systems?

    Advocacy and empowerment?

    Applicability to personalisation?

    who should commission?

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    27/28

    Issues for the VCS (3)

    Fair risk and reward?

    Enough understanding of costs?

    How do you understand your risks?

    What happens to surplus and deficits?

    Do commissioners understand the market?

    Are there skills to support the market?

    Understanding of social value?

  • 7/27/2019 Payment by Results - A change of focus

    28/28

    Resources

    NCVO Public Services Team

    Fiona Sheil [email protected]

    0207 520 2411

    www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/psdnetwork

    http://www.ncvo-

    vol.org.uk/commissioning/paymentbyresults

    mailto:[email protected]://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/psdnetworkhttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/commissioning/paymentbyresultshttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/commissioning/paymentbyresultshttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/commissioning/paymentbyresultshttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/commissioning/paymentbyresultshttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/commissioning/paymentbyresultshttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/commissioning/paymentbyresultshttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/psdnetworkhttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/psdnetworkhttp://www.ncvo-vol.org.uk/psdnetworkmailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]