Pauline Scheelbeek
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Transcript of Pauline Scheelbeek
Improving health worldwide
www.lshtm.ac.uk
ClimatechangeimpactonhumanhealthChallenges&adaptation/mitigationstrategies
incontextoftheSDGs
PaulineScheelbeek– FutureEarth/LSHTM
http://blogs.lshtm.ac.uk/shefs/http://futureearth.org/future-earth-health@LSHTM_sustainhealth
Indirect impacts of heat: Air pollution
• Respiratorydisease• Cardiovasculardisease• Heartdisease• Asthma,COPD• LungCancer• Prematuredeaths
Fossilfuelcombustion:• PM2.5 &PM10• Groundlevelozone
Highertemperaturesstimulatesozoneformation
Ecosystem mediated health impactDengueRisk
In1990:30%population(1.5billionpeople) inregionswithestimatedriskofdengue>50%
In2085:estimated50-60%ofprojectedglobalpopulation,(5-6billionpeople) atriskofdengue
Wouldhavebeen35%(3.5billion)ifnoclimaticchanges
Halesetal TheLancet,2002
-50% +50%
Negativeeffect Positiveeffect
CO2+250ppm
Wateravailability-50%
Temperature+4°C
Ozone+25%
Leafyvegetables
YieldChange +100%-100%
Baseline≤20°CBaseline>20°C
• Iron• zinc
Fruits & vegetables
Scheelbeeketal - 2017- forthcoming