Patrick Kelly Presented to the State Higher Education Executive Officers Colorado Springs, CO July...
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Transcript of Patrick Kelly Presented to the State Higher Education Executive Officers Colorado Springs, CO July...
Patrick Kelly
Presented to the
State Higher Education Executive Officers
Colorado Springs, COJuly 20, 2005
National Center for Higher Education Management SystemsP.O. Box 9752 Boulder, Colorado 80301-9752 (303) 497-0301
Piecing It All Together: Higher Education
and Economic Development
2
Implications for Higher Education
DIFFERS BY STATE
In Some States, the Greatest Need Is to Produce More Graduates to Fill Available Jobs
Georgia
Illinois
Minnesota
Washington
Colorado
Texas
Nevada
3
Implications for Higher Education (cont.)
In Other States, the Need Is to Create Jobs to Employ the Graduates Being Produced.
Indiana Wisconsin Iowa North Dakota Nebraska Kansas
4
Implications for Higher Education (cont.)
In Other States, the Need Is Both Production of Graduates and Job Creation.
West Virginia Montana Louisiana Oklahoma Arkansas New Mexico
5Production of College Graduates (Undergraduate Credentials and Degrees Awarded Per 1,000
Residents 18 to 44 with a High School Diploma or Some College – but No College Degree)
Migration Rate of 22- to 29-Year-
Olds with a College Degree
States’ Ability to Produce Graduates vs. Ability to Keep and Attract Graduates
AL
AK
AZ
AR
CA
CO
CT
DE
GA
HI
IL
IN
IA
KS
LA
ME
MD
MA
MS
MT
NE
NV
NJ
NY
NC
ND
OH
OK
OR
PARI
SC
SD
UT
VT
VA
WA
FL
ID
MI
MN
MO
NHNM
TN
TX
WV
WI
WY
-350
-280
-210
-140
-70
0
70
140
210
280
350
10 20 30 40 50 60
Low Production, Importer of Capital High Production, Importer of Capital
Low Production, Exporter of Capital High Production, Exporter of Capital
KY
6Production of College Graduates (Undergraduate Credentials and Degrees Awarded Per 1,000
Residents 18 to 44 with a High School Diploma or Some College – but No College Degree)
Migration Rate of 22- to 29-Year-
Olds with a College Degree
States’ Ability to Produce Graduates vs. Ability to Keep and Attract Graduates
AL
AK
AZ
AR
CA
CO
CT
DE
GA
HI
IL
IN
IA
KS
LA
ME
MD
MA
MS
MT
NE
NV
NJ
NY
NC
ND
OH
OK
OR
PARI
SC
SD
UT
VT
VA
WA
FL
ID
MI
MN
MO
NHNM
TN
TX
WV
WI
WY
-350
-280
-210
-140
-70
0
70
140
210
280
350
10 20 30 40 50 60
New Economy Index (2002)
Top Tier
Middle Tier
Low Tier
Low Production, Importer of Capital High Production, Importer of Capital
Low Production, Exporter of Capital High Production, Exporter of Capital
KY
7Production of College Graduates (Undergraduate Credentials and Degrees Awarded Per 1,000
Residents 18 to 44 with a High School Diploma or Some College – but No College Degree)
Migration Rate of 22- to 29-Year-
Olds with a College Degree
States’ Ability to Produce Graduates vs. Ability to Keep and Attract Graduates
AL
AK
AZ
AR
CA
CO
CT
DE
GA
HI
IL
IN
IA
KS
LA
ME
MD
MA
MS
MT
NE
NV
NJ
NY
NC
ND
OH
OK
OR
PARI
SC
SD
UT
VT
VA
WA
FL
ID
MI
MN
MO
NHNM
TN
TX
WV
WI
WY
-350
-280
-210
-140
-70
0
70
140
210
280
350
10 20 30 40 50 60
New Economy Index (2002)
Top Tier
Middle Tier
Low Tier
Low Production, Importer of Capital High Production, Importer of Capital
Low Production, Exporter of Capital High Production, Exporter of Capital
KY
8
How Iowa Ranks Among Other States on Selected Measures for
Education and Economic Development
Note: For more information, see www.higheredinfo.org
50 40 30 20 10 0
31st
48th
49th
46th
45th
2nd
4th
18th
7th
5th
39th
State Ranking
State New Economy Index
Personal Income Per Capita
Difference in Earnings bet. Bachelor's Degree and HS Diploma
Difference in Earnings bet. Associate Degree and HS Diploma
Migration Rate of Older College Graduates (Ages 30 to 64)
Migration Rate of Young College Graduates (Ages 22 to 29)
Overall Results on Student Pipeline(Transition Rates from 9th Grade to College Completion)
Six-Year Graduation Rates of Bachelor's Students
Three-Year Graduation Rates of Associate Students
College-Going Rates of Students Directly Out of High School
Public High School Graduation Rates
Education Measures Economic Development Measures
9
How Colorado Ranks Among Other States on Selected Measures
for Education and Economic Development
Note: For more information, see www.higheredinfo.org
Education Measures Economic Development Measures
State Ranking
State New Economy Index
Personal Income Per Capita
Difference in Earnings Between Bachelor's Degree and HS Diploma
Difference in Earnings Between Associate Degree and HS Diploma
Migration Rate of Older College Graduates (Ages 30 to 64)
Migration Rate of Young College Graduates (Ages 22 to 29)
Overall Results on Student Pipeline(Transition Rates from 9th Grade to College Completion)
Six-Year Graduation Rates of Bachelor's Students
Three-Year Graduation Rates of Associate Students
College-Going Rates of Students Directly Out of High School
Public High School Graduation Rates
50 40 30 20 10 0
5th
39th
17th
5th
2nd
20th
27th
23rd
37th
29th
4th
10
Progressive Policy Institute—“State New Economy
Index” (2002)
90.0
60.3
52.2
0
20
40
60
80
100
Massachusetts
Washington
California
Colorado
Maryland
New
JerseyC
onnecticutV
irginiaD
elaware
New
York
Oregon
Minnesota
Utah
New
Ham
pshireT
exasA
rizonaIllinoisF
loridaP
ennsylvaniaIdahoR
hode IslandU
nited States
Georgia
Michigan
Missouri
Maine
North C
arolinaN
ew M
exicoV
ermont
Kansas
Ohio
Alaska
Nevada
Nebraska
Oklahom
aH
awaii
IndianaM
ontanaIow
aT
ennesseeW
isconsinS
outh Carolina
Kentucky
South D
akotaN
orth Dakota
LouisianaW
yoming
Alabam
aA
rkansasM
ississippiW
est Virginia
40.7
84.3
Development Report Card for the States, 2003
Strengths (Top 10 Rank)
Rank Measure1 Highway Deficiency1 Air Quality1 Involuntary Part-Time Employment2 Cost of Urban Housing4 Income Distribution4 Unemployment Rate5 Employment Growth: Short Term5 University R&D7 Basic Educational Skills Proficiency—
Reading7 Employer Health Coverage7 Poverty Rate8 Voting Rate8 Basic Educational Skills Proficiency—
Math8 Business Closings9 High School Attainment9 Uninsured Low Income Children9 Teen Pregnancy
41 Private Lending to Small Businesses43 Venture Capital Investments44 Net Migration46 SBIR Grants47 Manufacturing Investment49 New Companies
Weaknesses (Bottom 10 Rank)
Rank Measure
Source: Corporation for Enterprise Development
Iowa
Employment BEarnings and Job Quality AEquity BQuality of Life BResource Efficiency C
Competitiveness of Existing Bus. CEntrepreneurial Energy D
Human Resources AFinancial Resources FInfrastructure Resources BAmenity Resources AInnovation Assets C
Performance
Business Vitality
DevelopmentCapacity
B
D
B
Employment AEarnings and Job Quality BEquity CQuality of Life CResource Efficiency B
Competitiveness of Existing Bus. AEntrepreneurial Energy A
Human Resources DFinancial Resources AInfrastructure Resources BAmenity Resources CInnovation Assets A
Performance
Business Vitality
DevelopmentCapacity
B
A
A
Strengths (Top 10 Rank)
Rank Measure1 Air Quality1 Business Closings2 Technology Industry Employment2 New Companies2 College Attainment3 Deaths from Heart Disease3 SBIR Grants4 SBIC Financing4 Venture Capital Investments4 Sewage Treatment Needs4 Employment Growth: Long Term5 Science and Engineering Grad Students5 Bridge Deficiency6 Households with Computers9 Average Annual Pay9 PhD Scientists and Engineers9 Mass Layoffs
Development Report Card for the States, 2003
41 Basic Educational Skills Proficiency—Math41 Change in Average Annual Pay42 Cost of Urban Housing43 Income Distribution Change44 Basic Educational Skills Proficiency—
Reading44 K-12 Educational Expenditures46 Recycling Rate46 High School Completion47 Electronic Public Services48 Uninsured Low Income Children
Weaknesses (Bottom 10 Rank)
Rank Measure
Source: Corporation for Enterprise Development
Colorado
13
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files
Net In-Migration by Degree Level and Age Group—Iowa
22- to 29-Year-Olds 30- to 64-Year-Olds
Less than High School
High School
Some College
Associate
Bachelor’s
Graduate/Professional
Total
5,020
1,539
-542
-2,041
-14,579
-2,323
-12,926
-20,000 0 10,000
5,354
1,718
733
-552
-4,156
-3,833
-736
-6,000 0 6,000
14
Import/Export Ratio of First-Time Freshmen, Fall 2002(>1=Importer, <1=Exporter)
Source: NCES-IPEDS Residency and Migration Survey
Iowa Imported 9,543 First-Time Freshmen and Exported 3,874
3.89
2.46
1.19
0.12
1
2
3
40 U
tahR
hode IslandA
rizonaM
ississippiN
orth Carolina
Iowa
IndianaF
loridaW
yoming
Alabam
aW
est Virginia
South C
arolinaD
elaware
North D
akotaP
ennsylvaniaO
klahoma
Massachusetts
Verm
ontK
entuckyC
oloradoT
ennesseeLouisianaK
ansasIdahoA
rkansasV
irginiaN
ew H
ampshire
Oregon
Missouri
United S
tatesN
ew Y
orkC
aliforniaH
awaii
South D
akotaG
eorgiaT
exasM
ichiganW
isconsinN
ebraskaO
hioM
innesotaN
ew M
exicoM
ontanaN
evadaM
arylandM
aineW
ashingtonC
onnecticutIllinoisN
ew Jersey
Alaska
15
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files
Net In-Migration by Degree Level and Age Group—Colorado
22- to 29-Year-Olds 30- to 64-Year-Olds
Less than High School
High School
Some College
Associate
Bachelor’s
Graduate/Professional
Total
18,620
12,808
16,744
4,000
28,904
6,403
87,479
0 100,000
22,985
12,375
16,438
8,093
34,590
19,074
113,555
0 120,000
16
Net Migration of Residents with College Degrees—Iowa,
1995-2000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Public Use Microdata Samples (Based on 2000 Census)
Ages 22-29
-2,459
-1,990
-1,682
-1,524
-1,227
-867
-805
-794
-729
45
54
58
66
67
72
109
116
128
1,315
-1,503
-3,000 -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000
Health Diagnosing & Treating PractitionersComputer SpecialistsPrimary, Secondary, & Special Education TeachersFinancial SpecialistsBusiness Operations SpecialistsAdvertising, Mktg., Promotions, Public Rel., & Sales Mgrs.Other Management OccupationsRetail SalesSales Representatives, ServicesEngineers
Religious WorkersSupervisors, Personal Care & Service Workers
Material Moving WorkersMaterial Recording, Scheduling, Dispatching, & Distributing
Life ScientistsOther Education, Training, & Library Occupations
Agricultural WorkersNursing, Psychiatric, & Home Health Aides
Life, Physical, & Social Science TechniciansPostsecondary Teachers
17
Net Migration of Residents with College Degrees—Iowa,
1995-2000
Health Diagnosing & Treating PractitionersComputer SpecialistsOther Management OccupationsRetail SalesBusiness Operations SpecialistsTop ExecutivesFinancial SpecialistsAdvertising, Mktg., Promotions, Public Rel., & Sales Mgrs.Sales Representatives, ServicesEngineers
Supervisors of Installation, Maintenance, & RepairFood Processing Workers
Sales Representatives, Wholesale & ManufacturingReligious Workers
Life, Physical, & Social Science TechniciansOther Education, Training, & Library Occupations
Financial ClerksNursing, Psychiatric, & Home Health Aides
Physical ScientistsPostsecondary Teachers
-3,345
-1,118
-683
-560
-446
-337
-315
137
141
144
214
216
220
224
295
350
501
-431
-370
-502
-4,000 -3,000 -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000
Ages 30-64
Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Public Use Microdata Samples (Based on 2000 Census)
18
Net Migration of Residents with College Degrees—
Colorado, 1995-2000
Air TransportationMilitary Officer Special & Tactical Operations Leaders/ManagersSupervisors of Installation, Maintenance, & RepairVehicle & Mobile Equipment Mechanics, Installers, & RepairersOccupational & Physical Therapist Assistants & AidesAssemblers & FabricatorsLife ScientistsRail TransportationMedia & Communication Equipment WorkersSupervisors, Transportation & Material Moving Workers
Supervisors, Sales WorkersRetail Sales
Business Operations SpecialistsFinancial Specialists
Health Diagnosing & Treating PractitionersInformation & Record Clerks
Other Management OccupationsPrimary, Secondary, & Special Education Teachers
EngineersComputer Specialists
Ages 22-29
-1,069
-172
-106
-103
-66
-50
-42
-39
-32
1,350
1,365
1,570
1,576
1,894
2,178
2,317
2,317
2,651
5,112
-88
-2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Public Use Microdata Samples (Based on 2000 Census)
19
Net Migration of Residents with College Degrees—
Colorado, 1995-2000
Vehicle & Mobile Equipment Mechanics, Installers, & RepairersTransportation, Tourism, & Lodging AttendantsMedia & Communication Equipment WorkersOccupational & Physical Therapist Assistants & AidesSupervisors, Farming, Fishing, & Forestry WorkersFire Fighting & PreventionWater Transportation WorkersAgricultural WorkersAir TransportationCommunications Equipment Operators
Financial SpecialistsInformation & Record Clerks
Top ExecutivesBusiness Operations Specialists
Primary, Secondary, & Special Education TeachersOperations Specialties Managers
EngineersHealth Diagnosing & Treating Practitioners
Other Management OccupationsComputer Specialists
Ages 30-64
-321
-160
-78
-60
-43
-29
-18
-18
-14
1,637
2,002
2,018
2,057
2,064
3,103
3,262
3,570
4,275
8,250
-46
-2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Public Use Microdata Samples (Based on 2000 Census)
20
Where Degree Production Is the Priority, the Primary Focus Must Be on:
College Entrance (Missouri, Texas)
College Completion (Illinois, Minnesota, Texas)
21
Where Job Creation Is the Priority, the Role of Higher Education Is More Complex.
Fast-Response Workforce Training
Entrepreneurship Education
Research/Technology Transfer
Contributing to Improvements in Quality of Life (Cultural Events, Quality of Public Schools, etc.)
Some Things Beyond the Control of Higher Education
Competitive Salaries
22
Workforce Issues – How Does Higher Education Connect to Other Parts of the Enterprise?
High School Completion
Adult Education and Literacy
Corrections
Social Services
23
These data are available at:
http://www.higheredinfo.org