Past & Future Of The Cloud Nott Tues Nov 09
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Transcript of Past & Future Of The Cloud Nott Tues Nov 09
Simon Oxley
So what’s this ‘cloud’ stuff all about?
@soxley
warning: this is an infrastructure biased presentation
The Cloud: according to @soxley
• Accessed via the Internet• On demand near-instant provisioning
• Elastic can supply an infinite demand
• Managed by the provider
A: Because that’s how architects draw ‘The Internet’
Q: Why is it called ‘The Cloud’?
Any service that is:
How did we get here?
1944
The Colossus at Bletchley Park
The first Colossus is operational at Bletchley Park. The Colossus was
designed to break the complex Lorenz ciphers used by the Nazis during WWII.
Each Colossus used 1,500 vacuum tubes and a series of
pulleys transported continuous rolls of punched paper tape containing possible solutions to a particular code.
1953
IBM 701IBM shipped its first electronic computer, the 701. During three years of production, IBM sold 19 machines to research laboratories, aircraft companies, and the federal government.
The system used electrostatic storage,
consisting of 72 Williams tubes with a capacity of 1024 bits each
Rent: $11,900 monthly or more, depending upon storage capacity.
1961
IBM 1401
The IBM 1401 mainframe, the first in the series, replaced the vacuum tube with smaller,
more reliable transistors and
used a magnetic core memory.
Demand called for more than 12,000 of the 1401 computers, and the machine´s success
made a strong case for using general-purpose computers rather than
specialized systems.
1965
DEC PDP-8Digital Equipment Corp. introduced the
PDP-8, the first commercially successful minicomputer. The PDP-8
sold for $18,000, one-fifth the price of a small IBM 360 mainframe.
The speed, small size, and
reasonable cost enabled the PDP-
8 to go into thousands of manufacturing plants, small businesses, and scientific laboratories.
1966
HP-2115Hewlett-Packard entered the
general purpose computer business with its HP-2115 for computation, offering a computational
power formerly found only in much larger computers.
It supported a wide variety of
languages, among them
BASIC, ALGOL, and FORTRAN.
1981
IBM PC 5150
IBM introduced its PC, igniting a fast growth of the personal computer market.
The first PC ran on a 4.77 MHz Intel 8088 microprocessor and used
Microsoft´s MS-DOS operating system.
1987
IBM PS/2IBM introduced its PS/2 machines, which made the 3 1/2-inch floppy disk drive and
video graphics array standard for
IBM computers.
The first IBMs to include Intel´s 80286 chip, the company had shipped more than
1 million units by the end of the year.
Everything just got faster, smaller
and cheaper*
so why is this relevant…
from this point on, nothing really changed…
*or as Simon Wardley would say – “Commoditized”
What just happened?
Commoditization of the stack
Hardware
Operating System
Applications
Tubes, pulleys transistors integrated circuits & mass production
…common components enabling market expansion and increased competition
Step in Virtualization…Virtualization was first developed in the 1960s to partition large, mainframe hardware for better hardware utilization.
Then we started buying lots of small, cheap servers and forgot all about virtualization… until they became:
a) Difficult to manage (‘00s of physical servers, power, space, etc.)
b) Massively under-utilized (as hardware became faster)
Hardware
Operating System
Applications
Hardware
OS
App
OS
App
OS
App
…so we started to virtualize again, this time on commodity hardware
What about The Cloud?
The Cloud = Virtualization + ScaleEnabled by massive economies of scale.
• Costs are driven down
• Competition is increased
• Innovation is increased
As a result:
1.7 GB of RAM , 1 virtual core, 160GB
$0.085 per/hour
…some call this Infrastructure-as-a-Service
It’s more than just hardware…
Cloud services are alsoApplications & Platforms
Hardware
Operating System/ Platform
Applications
…more buzzwords: Platform-as-a-Service & Software-as-a-Service
Why should you care?
Because cloud services enable your businessto concentrate on what it does best.
Installing SoftwareConfiguring Servers
Backups
Deployment
System Management
Which is probably not:
Networks
We use a Cloud to represent the Internet and…
…to hide complex infrastructure and systems.
“We don’t care what happens in the cloud – it just works”
Q: Should we care?
A: Yes, and No
key elements to success in the cloud:
• Transparency open communication
• Reliability measured, reported
• Standards lock-in, choice= TRUST
…ask your cloud vendor these questions
So what’s next for The Cloud?
Some predictions…
The operating system will become irrelevant
Everything will be available ‘as a service’
A mix of very large and niche-focused providers
Spotify: A world of music music-as-a-service in the cloud
Amazon: Relational Database Service a database without server/os management overhead
Amazon: EC2, S3 etc. leading cloud innovation at a massive scale
Thank you