Papadopoulos SNBerlin 120403 - Executive Communications€¦ · Things Connected $100 $1 1 ... no...

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Greg Papadopoulos EVP and CTO Sun Microsystems, Inc. Innovation Matters

Transcript of Papadopoulos SNBerlin 120403 - Executive Communications€¦ · Things Connected $100 $1 1 ... no...

Page 1: Papadopoulos SNBerlin 120403 - Executive Communications€¦ · Things Connected $100 $1 1 ... no discernible economy of scale ... *Source: Microprocessor Report, Richard Sites, It's

Greg PapadopoulosEVP and CTOSun Microsystems, Inc.

Innovation Matters

Page 2: Papadopoulos SNBerlin 120403 - Executive Communications€¦ · Things Connected $100 $1 1 ... no discernible economy of scale ... *Source: Microprocessor Report, Richard Sites, It's

Takeaways● Business demands fuel IT demand

– Still in the first phases of network computing

● Decision point– Mask complexity through people or eliminate

through engineering

● Innovation matters

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The Revolution

10M

1B

10B

1T

100B

1990 2000 2010 2020

Computers People Everything

Cost toConnect

ThingsConnected

$100

$1

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RFID

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The Revolution

10M

1B

10B

1T

100B

1990 2010 2020

Computers People Everything

Connectivity

ConnectivityCommunity

Community

Awar

enes

s

Awar

enes

s

2000

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Bottom Line● Still in the first phases of networking

– Expect the number of networked things to grow by another factor of 1M

– New value from automating still-manual processes

● Expect radical transformation of SW and systems– Systems, in particular, are at a watershed– Mask complexity through people or eliminate

through engineering

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ProcessorProcessor

O/SO/S

App

Shrink-Wrap

SolarisSparc

Linuxx86

VMSVAX

MVS370

AIXPower

MAC OSPower

IrixMIPS

HP-UXPrecision

DGUX88K

OS400AS400

Windowsx86

UltrixAlphaAegis

68K

The New Software

Application scales from 1 to perhaps 100's of users

For Desktop:1 copy SW = 1 copy HW

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Shrink-Wrap

SolarisSparc

Linuxx86

VMSVAX

MVS370

AIXPower

MAC OSPower

HP-UXPrecision

DGUX88K

OS400AS400

Comp

MWMW

Comp

MWMW

Comp

MWMW

Comp

MWMW

Windowsx86

UltrixAlphaAegis

68K

NetworkedComponents

The New Software

ProcessorProcessor

O/SO/S

App

Service must scaleto 10,000's or millionsof simultaneous users!

IrixMIPS

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TheThe Java JavaTMTM Platform Platform

The WindowsThe WindowsPlatformPlatform

SolarisSparc

Linuxx86

VMSVAX

MVS370

AIXPower

MAC OSPower

IrixMIPS

HP-UXPrecision

DGUX88K

OS400AS400

Windowsx86

UltrixAlphaAegis

68K

XML

The New Software

ProcessorProcessor

O/SO/S

App Comp

MWMW

Comp

MWMW

Comp

MWMW

Comp

MWMW

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The Operations Challenge

Was...● Availability● Performance● Scale

Price/Price/PerformancePerformance

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The Operations Challenge

Becoming...● Service Level● Efficiency● Security

Total Cost ofTotal Cost ofService LevelService Level

Price/Price/PerformancePerformance

Was...● Availability● Performance● Scale

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The Emperor Has No Clothes● Network computing is wildly complex:

no discernible economy of scale● 75+% of IT budgets going to people +

operations● 15–20% typical utilization● Out of the $2.4T WW ICT spending only

a tiny fraction goes to HW/SW systems

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Economy of Scale

Bad

Scale

Cost

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Economy of Scale

Better

Bad

Scale

Cost

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Mask ComplexityMask Complexityoror

Engineer It AwayEngineer It Away

Decision Point

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Old Systems Are Components in the New One

Server connectedto networks

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Old Systems Are Components in the New One

Server connectedto networks

Datacenter systembuilt from networks

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What Is O/S for This New System?

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NOT these!

What Is O/S for This New System?

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Grid Computing Today at Sun13,500 CPUs in 3 cities for processor design

22 years compute time/day98% average CPU usage 24/7/365

● SPARC microprocessor design facilities in Sunnyvale, Austin, Burlington

● Sites use a departmental Cluster Grid approach normally

● Workload is distributed across all sites in an Enterprise Grid approach to meet peak load requirements

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THROUGHPUT COMPUTING ● New design approach for the UltraSPARC®

processor family● Eclipses throughput of today's processors by

a magnitude of up to 15–30x● Quantum reduction in the cost of network

computing—without software disruption

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Network Computing Is Thread RichWeb services, JavaTM applications, database transactions, ERP . . .

Moore’s LawA fraction of the die can already build a good processor core; how am I going to use a billion transistors?

Worsening Memory LatencyIt’s approaching 1000sof CPU cycles! Friend or foe?

Forcing a rethinking of processor architecture – modularity, less is more, time-to-market

Growing Complexityof Processor Design

The Big Bang Is Happening—Four Converging Trends

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Memory BottleneckRelative Performance

10000

1

1990 1995 2005 1980

1000

100

10

1985 2000

2x Every 2 YearsCPU Frequency

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Memory BottleneckRelative Performance

10000

1

1990 1995 2005 1980

1000

100

10

1985 2000

2x Every 6 Years

2x Every 2 Years

Gap

CPU FrequencyDRAM Speeds

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C MC MC M

Memory Latency Compute

Time Memory Latency Compute

HURRYHURRYUP ANDUP ANDWAIT!WAIT!

Note: Up to 75% Cycles Waiting for MemoryNote: Up to 75% Cycles Waiting for Memory

Typical Complex HighFrequency Processor

Thread

Memory Latency Compute

Time

Time Saved

Memory Latency Compute

C M C M C MThread

*Source: Microprocessor Report, Richard Sites, It's the Memory, Stupid!, August 1996

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Chip Multithreading (CMT)

Memory Latency Compute

Time Memory Latency Compute

C MC MC MThread 1

Thread 2 C MC MC M

Thread 3 C MC MC M

Thread 4 C MC MC M

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Core 1

Memory Latency Compute

CMT—Multiple Multithreaded Cores

Thread 4Thread 3Thread 2Thread 1

Core 2Thread 4Thread 3Thread 2Thread 1

Core 3Thread 4Thread 3Thread 2Thread 1

Thread 4Thread 3Thread 2Thread 1

Core 4

Core 5Thread 4Thread 3Thread 2Thread 1

Core 6Thread 4Thread 3Thread 2Thread 1

Core 7Thread 4Thread 3Thread 2Thread 1

Core 8Thread 4Thread 3Thread 2Thread 1

Time

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Gen. 1 CMT SingleThreadedProcessor

Gen. 2 CMT15X

3X3X

Gen. 1 CMT SingleThreadedProcessor

3X3X2X

Gen. 3 CMT30X

4X5X

Gen. 2 CMT15X

SingleThreadedProcessor

3X

RelativePerformance

30

25

20

15

Throughput Computing

10

5

Time Network FacingData Facing

0 Today

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UltraSPARC® IV1st GENERATION CMT PROCESSOR FOR MID/HIGH END SYSTEMS

● First milestone in Sun's Throughput Computing roadmap

● Up to twice the throughput of today's UltraSPARC III processor

● Protects customer investment in hardware, software and staff– Upgrade path– Binary compatibility across

time and product line

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The Three Waves of SPARC Innovation

Pric

e/Pe

rfor

man

ce

1980 20001990 2010

RISC

SMPCMT

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Takeaways● Business demands fuel IT demand

– Exponential demand as everything becomes connected

● Decision point– Eliminate complexity through engineering

● Innovation from Sun– In Software– In Systems

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Greg PapadopoulosEVP and CTOSun Microsystems, Inc.

Innovation Matters