Volume 27, Issue 17 December 13-21, 2012

10★ NFL GAME OF THE YEAR GOES SUNDAY!

Panthers (+3) over Falcons: NFL Game of the Month Wins!

• Analysis on Every Lined Game• Incredible Stat of the Week• Best Bets and Key Plays• Full Schedule with Opening Lines• Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends• Wise Guys Contest

COLLEGE BOWL SEASON KICKS OFF SATURDAY!

w w w . P L A Y B O O K . c o m 1 . 8 0 0 . P L A Y B O O K

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ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up

FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.PLAYBOOK.com

New England has won 20 home games in a row in December, including 11-1 ATS when not favored by 11 or more points.

Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!

INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK

View Marc’s Awesome Angle Of The Week at the PLAYBOOK.com website!

ATS W-L Record Since 1990:

19-5-1(79%)

DON’T GETMAD,

GET EVENPLAY ON any Game Thirteen

or later NFL underdog off a SU loss as a favorite

of 7 or more points if they are seeking revenge.

AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK

Play On: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

College Bowl Games

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

(All results are preseason ATS – Against The Spread – and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of PLAYBOOK™ and the PLAYBOOK™ Database and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

NFL Games

Saturday, December 15 NEW MEXICO BOWLNevada 3-0 w/ winning record vs Pac-10/12 opp… 1-7 ATS L8GArizona 2-5 SU vs winning opp TY… Rodriguez: 4-14 off SU fav loss

IDAHO POTATO BOWLToledo MAC non con dogs 17 < pts 11-5 TY… 1-4 ATS L5 bowlsUtah St WAC bowl favorites are 8-11 SU and 4-15 ATS since 2000

Thursday, December 20 POINSETTIA BOWLByu Independent bowlers 1-9 ATS vs opp off SU win 7 > ptsS DIEGO ST Bowl home dogs 8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS off a win

Friday, December 21 BEEF O’BRADY’S BOWLBall St Lembo: 6-1 SUATS dog < 9 pts… 0-2 SUATS vs CUSAUcf Bowl favs 7 > pts off championship game loss are 3-9

2-MINUTE HANDICAP

Thursday, December 13Cincinnati 0-4 favs vs opp off SU dog win… 1-5 O/U Game FourteenPHILADELPHIA 8-0 HD’s 4 < pts vs opp off SU fav loss… 3-0 H Thursday

Sunday, December 16Green Bay SERIES: 4-0 L4 / 4-1 L5 A… 0-4 SU Game Fourteen CHICAGO 4-0 off SU div fav loss… 11-2 HD’s off BB SU lossesNy Giants SERIES: 3-1 L4 / 6-1 L7 A… 18-4 vs .666 > opp w/ rev ATLANTA 8-1 vs non div opp L6Y Games Thirteen-SixteenTampa Bay SERIES: 7-2 L9 A… 1-6 dogs off SU fav loss NEW ORLEANS 1-12 H off non div vs < .500 opp Games Thirteen-SixteenMinnesota SERIES: 1-4 L5 A… 1-8 Game FourteenST. LOUIS 7-1 H off SU dog win… 1-6 off 3+ ATS winsWashington 7-0 vs opp w/ rev off BB SU wins (1-0 this year)CLEVELAND 1-5-1 H vs non conf… Shurmur: 5-0 L5G season Jacksonville MULARKEY: 9-0 A off SU loss… 5-1 O/U Game FourteenMIAMI 1-11 favs < 10 pts off SUATS loss Games Thirteen-Sixteen Denver 0-5 Game Fourteen… 2-6 2nd BB RG’s BALTIMORE SERIES: 7-1 L8 / 5-0 L5 H… 7-0 H vs AFC WestIndianapolis 8-1 vs .500 > opp Games Thirteen-SixteenHOUSTON 6-1 favs 4 > pts w/ rev… Kubiak: 10-4 H L4G seasonCarolina 9-0 vs opp off SU dog win Games Thirteen-SixteenSAN DIEGO 0-5 favs w/ rev vs opp off DD SU winSeattle 1-6 A w/ rev off DD SU win… 2-6-2 aft Cardinals BUFFALO SERIES: 4-0 L4… 2-5 non conf dogs < 7 pts Detroit 3-17 A vs non div opp off BB SU losses (1-1 this year)ARIZONA 6-1 aft allowing 35 > pts vs opp off BB SU losses Pittsburgh SERIES: 3-1 L4… TOMLIN: 6-1 off DD SU lossDALLAS 1-14 vs non div opp off SU loss Games Thirteen-Sixteen Kansas City 12-2 2nd BB RG’s… 6-1 div dogs w/ revOAKLAND 0-10 favs < 8 pts vs .333 < opp (0-2 this year)San Francisco SERIES: 0-3 L3 / 0-3 L3 A… 0-7 O/U Game FourteenNEW ENGLAND 10-1-1 non conf favs 6 < pts… 7-0 SU Game Fourteen

Monday, December 17Ny Jets SERIES: 6-0 L6 / 4-0 L4 A… 6-1 A vs AFC South TENNESSEE 3-0 SUATS L3 Monday… 0-8 conf favs off div RG

T R I V I A T E A S E R

This coach has struggled enjoying success in his NFL career in games, going 3-10 SU and 4-9 ATS n games off back-to-back SUATS wins.

Worse, when favored in this role he is 2-5 SU and 0-7 ATS. Who is this week’s scary virgin?

For the Trivia Teaser answer, turn to page 7.

THIS WEEK'S AMAZING SITUATIONAL PLAY

T R I V I A T E A S E R

NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection appears in Bold. Should we pass or not have a strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.

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Remember: You Have A PLAYBOOK BEST BET Whenever Our Predicted Margin Of Victory Is 7 Or More Points In Favor Of Your Line

THIS WEEK IN FOOTBALL – DECEMBER 13-21

COLLEGE BOWLS

Saturday, December 15NEW MEXICO BOWL

University Stadium • Albuquerque, NMArizona over Nevada by 3

For the seventh straight year, the NCAA kicks off its bowl season in New Mexico. This year, more than ever, we may need Bugs Bunny’s help in determining whether to make a left or a right in Albuquerque concerning these underachieving 7-5 squads. You see, if we take a left, we fi nd the Wildcats just 2-5 SU against winning opposition this season and – courtesy of our 2012 College Bowl Stat Report – Pac-10/12 bowl squads are 1-10 ATS as favorites of 4 or more points versus a foe off a SU loss. We also fi nd their coach (Rich Rod) 4-14 ATS off a SU favorite loss, and an unprepared 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS in postseason play. Unfortunately, though, if we look to the right, we fi nd the Wolf Pack an overmatched 1-5 SU and ATS against winning opposition in 2012, 1-7 ATS since late September and 0-9 SU and 2-6-1 ATS versus fellow bowlers the past two seasons. However, we also fi nd the ‘Pack is 3-0 ATS when they arrive with a winning record against Pac-10/12 foes, and MWC bowlers 7-2 ATS versus an opponent off a SU and ATS loss. Thus, it makes the generous points being offered up today very tempting. Especially when you consider that sub .750 bowl favorites of 8 or more points are 14-42-4 ATS versus a foe with a winning record since 1980 (another gem found only in the 2012 College Bowl Stat Report). And with two of the nation’s top fi ve rushers squaring off in this contest (Arizona’s Ka’Deem Carey is No. 2 in the land with 1,757 rushing yards while Nevada’s Stefphon Jefferson stands at No. 4 with 1,703 yards), we’d probably be wise to side with the team (Wolf Pack) that owns 98 YPG the better defense in games against lined opposition this season. Sorry Bugs, but we talked ourselves into making a right today in University Stadium. We suggest you all come along for the ride.

IDAHO POTATO BOWLBronco Stadium • Boise, IDUtah St over Toledo by 6

The adage ‘familiarity breeds contempt’ may never be truer spoken than tonight in Boise, Idaho. Yes, the Aggies are the ATS kings of college football this season (9-1-1 ATS with their lone loss as 37-point chalk in a 36-point season-fi nale victory over Idaho). And yes, Gary Andersen’s bunch is 5-0 ATS against winning opposition and 5-0-1 ATS away from Logan this year. However, once again, direct from the 2012 College Bowl Stat Report’s mouth: bowl favorites of more than 3 points off a double-digit SU win are 4-16 ATS when returning to the same bowl game they lost the previous campaign. Add to that the fact that WAC bowl favorites are just 8-11 SU and 4-15 ATS since 2000 and you can begin to see why a ‘Potato Bowl’

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famine may continue to hit the moneymaking Aggies. Holy Toledo, the Rockets are just 1-4 ATS in bowl tilts since 2002, you say? However, we say, Matt Campbell’s crew is 5-0 ATS as dogs under their rookie head coach and topped Air Force in last year’s Military bowl – a game Campbell coached after taking over for the departed Tim Beckman. We’re also very ‘familiar’ with the fact that the MAC is 11-5 ATS this season as non-conference dogs of 17 or less points. Thus, we’re not only mentioning Utah State’s shortcomings (the Wiktionary defi niton of the above idiom), we’re fi nding the glass much more than half full for the boys who play half their games in the Glass Bowl. Simply put, another early bowl take.

Thursday, December 20POINSETTIA BOWL

Qualcomm Stadium • San Diego, CASAN DIEGO ST over Byu by 1

Remember we just told you about how familiarity breeds contempt? Well, those ‘virtues’ don’t apply tonight in San Diego! Yes, the Aztecs are very familiar with tonight’s setting as they play their home games in Qualcomm Stadium but, unlike the Utah State example, Rocky Long’s lads didn’t play in this particular bowl game last season. And bowl home dogs off a SU win are a solid 8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS. In fact, the only time that the Aztecs played in the Poinsettia Bowl (2010 against Navy), they walked away with a 35-14 win as 3-point favorites. And speaking of familiar, this clash is a renewal of former MWC foes. Certainly, the Cougars have held the upper hand dating back to 1980 (23-5-1 SU, 17-9 ATS) but Independent bowlers are 1-9 ATS versus a foe off a SU win of 7 or more points. And that’s a shame considering BYU is 3-0 SU and ATS in post-season play since 2009, 7-1 ATS away versus an opponent off a SU and ATS win, and have held 15 of their last 18 foes to under 300 yards. In fact, it’s no surprise to fi nd Bronco’s boys holding a big stat edge in games against fellow bowlers this season (BYU is +30 net YPG while San Diego State is -77 net YPG) as the Aztecs are 2-10 ‘ITS’ versus bowlers the past two seasons. However, SDSU is 3-1 SU and ATS versus winning opposition this season while BYU is just 1-3 SU and ATS – and the Aztecs arrive off a third straight 8-plus win season, the fi rst time they‘ve accomplished that since 1977. And while it clearly won’t be easy, we’ll look for Long to improve on a nasty 1-5 SU and ATS bowl log. It’s another familiar PLAYBOOK take.

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PRO FOOTBALL

Thursday, December 13PHILADELPHIA over Cincinnati by 3

Here’s another one of those late-season matchups that looked so good on paper back in August but now appears to be nothing more than a chance for Philly to adopt the role of salmonella and spoil the 7-6 Bengals’ hopes for a second straight trip to the playoffs. Series history tells us the Eagles have about as much chance of derailing Cincinnati as dazed-and-confused QB Michael Vick has of getting his job back from Nick Foles: the Green Birds are 0-8 ATS in the last eight Bengal battles, including six straight pointspread dumps at the Linc. But Andy Reid’s bunch hasn’t thrown in the towel yet, battling back from a 21-10 defi cit at Tampa Bay last Sunday to stun the Bucs in the game’s fi nal seconds, 23-21, and halt an unsightly

Sunday, December 16CHICAGO over Green Bay by 3

We sure hope you got to watch some of last week’s Detroit-Green Bay game: it was football just the way we like it – outdoors on a grass fi eld with the players fi ghting the elements as well as each other. That same sort of raw appeal will be on full display again in today’s black-and-blue division showdown between two old rivals in the Windy City. The big question is the availability of Chicago QB Jay Cutler, who had his neck squeezed like a Myron Floren accordion in a loss to Minnesota and had to leave the game. However, Cutler swears he’ll be ready today, though he may be wobbly once again playing behind the Bears’ battered offensive line. Still, the permissive Green Bay defense has been known to cure a lot of ills this season and after Sunday’s less-than-dominant performance

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GAME OF THE WEEKUPSETUPSET UPSETUPSET

Friday, December 21BEEF O’BRADY’S BOWL

Tropicana Field • St. Petersburg, FLBALL ST over Ucf by 1

We’re going to complete our opening bowl superfecta with an Upset Special as this tilt at the Trop is the epitome of a happy bowl dog taking on a bummed out bowl favorite. Yes, the Ballers may be one of seven bowl virgins (no bowl games the past three years) on this year’s card but that should have ‘em raring to go as opposed to a Knights’ squad that will be making this short trip to St. Pete following their gut-wrenching, overtime Conference USA title loss to Tulsa. As it is, bowl favorites off an extra-session loss are 2-5 ATS while bowl chalk of 7 or more points off a championship game defeat are a defl ated 3-9 ATS. And like Arizona, UCF may fall into that 14-42-4 ATS category as a sub .750 bowl favorite of 8 or more points (check line) when taking on a winning opponent. It’s just too many hurdles for a Knights’ team that is ‘leaking oil’ (lost stats in each of the last three games) to overcome. Especially against a Ball State bunch that is playing its best ball of the season. Not only have the Cardinals gone 7-1 ‘ITS’ since late September, they closed out the regular season on a 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS run. And wouldn’t you know it: bowl virgins off wins in each of their last four regular-season contests are 9-3 ATS. Yes, we realize that Pete Lembo’s crew has been in limbo against Conference USA (0-2 SU and ATS all-time) and in postseason play (0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS all-time as bowlers), but the moneymakers from Muncie have brought home the cash in 14 of their last 18 games – thanks, in part, to Lembo’s 6-1 SU and ATS log as a dog of less than 9 points. We’re on the take again – and this time we’ll also be eyeing that ‘Beefy’ O’Brady money line.

8-game losing streak. A closer look into our all-seeing database spells out a heap of bad news for Cincy. Head coach Marvin Lewis has covered the spread ONCE in 13 tries (1-9-3 ATS) in games off a SU favorite loss when his club owns a .400 or better record on the season, plus the Queen City crew is a dreadful 0-4 ATS as chalk versus a foe off a SU underdog win. Philly piles on the pain with a strong 11-3-1 ATS effort as a home dog tackling an opponent off a SU favorite loss (6-0 ATS L6) and has cashed seven consecutive tickets on Game Fourteen of the season. Toss in the hosts’ spotless 3-0 SUATS mark at home on Thursdays and it looks like the striped cats will be sliding back to .500 land after the fi nal guns sounds here tonight. Eagles, outright.

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3� BEST BET

With the Giants holding a precarious one-game lead in the NFC East and both the Cowboys and Redskins snapping at their heels, don’t look for Big Blue to let up this week. The Falcons got knocked off their lofty perch last week at Carolina in Marc’s NFL Game of the Month call but we won’t be riding the bounce-back train today. Sure, we realize Matty Ice is murder in games off a loss (17-4 ATS) and at home (32-5 SU and 23-13-1 ATS) but he’s only 2-3 ATS here in December. His counterpart, Eli Manning, who has posted an excellent 19-6 ATS mark from December out versus non-division foes, actually owns a better road record in his NFL career (40-28 SU and 42-24-2 ATS) than a home record (41-30 SU and 34-36-1 ATS). And when it comes to team ATS stats, there’s simply no comparison. The Giants have cashed in six of the last seven series meetings away from the Meadowlands and boast a 17-4-1 ATS record on the road versus a squad off a double-digit loss (6-0 ATS from Game Fourteen out). Tom Coughlin’s crew is also a heady 20-5 SU and 20-4-1 ATS versus a .666 or better opponent with revenge, including 13-1 ATS as pick or dog and 11-1 ATS away. Whew! Sunday’s 52-point outburst against the ‘Aints was New York’s biggest since 1986, and the last time the Giants erupted for 50 points in a game they followed it up by trouncing the 49ers, 49-3, in a playoff game. In a marquee matchup where we feel the wrong team is favored, we’ll back the hungrier dog today.

Ny Giants over ATLANTA by 10

4� BEST BET

Bucs have got to be despondent, dejected and just about any other d-word we can come up with to describe the lingering effects of their last-second home loss to woeful Philadelphia. But even though the swashbucklers have been tossed overboard in their last two games and need this contest like blood to stay in the NFC Wild Card chase, the Bay boys are the very picture of psychological health compared to the reeling Saints, who are now just 5-8 after three SUATS setbacks in a row (not even unlimited bounties could help now). Home fi eld may be a true advantage for some teams today but the Mercedez-Benz Superdome has been nothing short of a house of horrors for New Orleans. Ready? In ‘4th quarter games’ (Games Thirteen thru Sixteen) off a non-division foe at home, the Saints really are ‘Aints, going 1-12 ATS. When asked to march in after a double-digit loss, the Crescent City crew has stumbled to a 7-21 ATS mark as home chalk, including 1-11 ATS against a foe off back-to-back losses. And if the Who Dats are entertaining an avenging NFC South opponent off a SU loss, they sink to 4-17 ATS – including 0-8 ATS in the last eight games. Damn, if this were an ‘ugly’ pageant, we’d stop the show and award the crown right now! But we’ve always got time for a clincher from our database: Game Fourteen 6-7 division dogs off a loss are 9-2 ATS since 1980, including 5-1 ATS when seeking revenge. Hey, it’s not often you get to buck a going-through-the-motions favorite that has covered only twice in the last nine series meetings – while having overwhelming historical trends and current situationals on your side, to boot. A geuine Bourbon Street fade.

Tampa Bay over NEW ORLEANS by 10

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(Lions owned a 27-15 edge in fi rst downs while converting on 65% of their 3rd-down opportunities), maybe a wobbly Cutler can get the job done. Chicago limps in after back-to-back SUATS losses as chalk but NFL division home teams in that role are a respectable 18-7 SU and 19-6 ATS when not favored by 7 or more points. Da Bears are also looking to settle the score for a 23-10 loss to the Pack back in Week Two and a win here will deadlock the two teams at 9-5. While we tend to dwell on Green Bay’s defensive defi ciencies (outgained in three of its last four games, including -98 yards against the Lions), the loss of OC Joe Philbin to the Dolphins has had an undeniable impact on the offense as stats have regressed by 9 PPG and 58 YPG since the 2011 season. At pick, plus or minus, we’ll bear down with the Monsters of the Midway in this crucial clash.

ST. LOUIS over Minnesota by 7Simply put, the loser of this game is DOA in this year’s Wild Card chase. And just as easily stated, we’ll admit our initial inclination was to fade the Rams off three SU underdog wins – until our well-oiled machine said DON’T DO IT! That’s because NFL= home teams off three upset wins in a row are a surprising 19-6 SU and 15-9-1 ATS, including 9-3 ATS when hosting a foe off a win. Didn’t see that one coming, did you? Your vision is sure to improve with the knowledge that St. Louis is a near-perfect 9-2 SUATS in its last 11 home

games off a SU dog victory. And even though these two may not be Arch enemies, the Rams have slugged their way to four ATS covers in the last fi ve get-togethers. Despite their upset of the Bears last week, the Vikes are 1-6 ITS in their last seven games and, according to the MIDWEEK ALERT, now sliding -58 net YPG during the second half of the season. After watching Adrian Peterson run over, around and through the Bears last week, you can bet Jeff Fisher will have his rush defense ready (held the Bills to just 61 yards rushing Sunday) and force Minnesota QB Christian Ponder to outduel Sam Bradford. Like George Bush the Elder used to say, “Ain’t gonna happen!” With the Norsemen a not-so-mighty 1-8 ATS in Game Fourteens, the Rams should chase these invaders back to the land of the ice and snow.

Washington over CLEVELAND by 1The Redskins are just one game out of a Wild Card position and closing like a freight train. But there’s a mighty big IF hovering over the nation’s capital at the moment: the status of wunderkind QB RG3. Griffi n’s knee injury was diagnosed as a ‘grade 1 LCL sprain,’ meaning the problem is not serious and may be limited to swelling. While an injury like that would very likely hobble mere mortals such as ourselves, it may not be enough to keep Griffi n on the bench – especially against a Cleveland team that’s breathing fi re right now from a 3-game winning streak. Apparently the Browns’ new ownership sent a message downstairs to head coach Pat Shurmur and said message was received. Believe it or not, the Browns have won four games in a row just once in their expansion history (the fi nal game of the 2009 season) so a solid streak to close out the year possibly could save Shurmur’s job. However, our database says to ‘go maroon-and-gold’ today at the MBTL, noting the Skins are 6-0 ATS versus a foe off back-to-back wins seeking revenge (beat Browns 14-11 in last meeting in 2008) and 8-1 ATS off a win against non-division foes off consecutive wins in ‘4th quarter games’ (Games Thirteen thru Sixteen). Cleveland doesn’t help its own cause with a frigid 2-4 SU and 1-5-1 ATS effort in its last six at home versus the NFC. But our NFL QB League warns us not to get overly excited: though the Fab 5 rookie starting QB’s are a pocket-lining 15-3-1 ATS as home dogs in 2012 (Weeden), they are also 17-4 ATS versus foes off a SUATS win (RG3). With that dilemma made apparent, we’ll need a clearer picture on Griffi n’s status before taking a hard stance here. Next.

MIAMI over Jacksonville by 4After an encouraging 4-3 start, the Dolphins are backsliding, going 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS in their last six games. As a result, they are -19 net YPG during the second half of the campaign while the much-maligned Jaguars are +58 net YPG over the same span. Those numbers work well with Miami’s pitiful 0-8 ATS failure as home chalk of 7 or more points since 2003, and the Mullets’ 1-11 ATS mark as single-digit favorites in ‘4th quarter games’ (Games Thirteen thru Sixteen). And if you’re looking for a sure-fi re bar bet winner, try this one out: Jacksonville head coach Mike Mularkey owns a perfect 9-0 ATS mark when playing on the road off a SU loss. Wow! If Jags QB Chad Henne weren’t riding a 1-8 SUATS streak in his last nine starts we’d think about snapping the rubber band at this price. However, one never wants to risk substantial money on a team that’s 2-11 SU and 5-7-1 ATS for the year. The bottom line: despite the fact that Fab 5 starting rookie QB’s are an impressive 17-4 ATS off a SUATS loss this season, we’ll bite the bullet and instead elect to hang with Chad.

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BALTIMORE over Denver by 3Peyton’s starting to look right at home in a Broncos uniform, isn’t he? Not only is the future Hall-of-Famer keeping the ticket buyers happy with Denver’s 10-3 SU mark, he’s put a smile on many a Bronco backer by directing his squad to a 8-4-1 ATS log. But even Manning has his kryptonite and there’s a big stash of it waiting for him in Baltimore today. Despite last week’s win at Oakland, Eli’s older brother has struggled on the road in games from December out, going 9-19 ATS in his NFL career. Put him in enemy territory against a .562 or greater foe and his stats plummet to 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS. That won’t work against a Ravens squad that owns a ton of ATS edges in this matchup. For starters, recent series results show the black birds to be 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings, 5-0 SUATS at M&T Bank Stadium and 4-0 SUATS off a SU loss. Baltimore also boasts incredible success against the AFC West, going 16-3 SUATS at home, including 7-0 SUATS the last seven. In addition, the hosts can claim a stout 9-1 ATS on their home turf off an ATS loss in ‘4th quarter games.’ However, during the same 4-game stretch, the Broncos can only muster a 1-8 ATS effort off back-to-back SUATS victories. Ravens’ head coach Harbaugh shook things up on Monday when he replaced OC Cam Cameron with Jim Caldwell, apparently displeased by the fact that his team has been held to 20 or few points in fi ve of their last nine outings. Only the Ravens’ weak 1-7 mark In The Stats of late keeps us from elevating this one to Best Bet status. Take the points – even if Ray Lewis can’t make it back this Sunday.

HOUSTON over Indianapolis by 4As the late George Harrison might have remarked, the Texans got ‘a damned good whacking’ last Monday night in Foxboro and now somebody’s got to pay for it. Problem is that ‘somebody’ turns out to be one of the hottest rookie quarterbacks in league history, the Colts’ Andrew Luck. Indy owns some strong ATS numbers here – 15-2 SU in Game Fourteen (6-0 L6), for example – but in truth the majority of them were achieved under the direction of now-departed Peyton Manning. In Luck’s defense, this year’s Fab 5 QBs are 29-13-2 ATS as underdogs, a stat that burns brighter when we get a look at Matt Schaub’s inconsistent 3-7 SU and 3-6-1 ATS log versus a division opponent off a SUATS win (1-5 ATS if the foe is off back-to-back wins). However, Houston head coach Gary Kubiak’s 7-1 ATS mark at Reliant Stadium off a loss is a nice counter. So is a 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS effort in their last six home games off back-to-back roadies. While we’d like to head toward the Texans’ border off that Monday night slaughter, Houie’s 0-3 ITS mark in its last three games means they are ‘leaking oil’, and that’s never a good thing around these parts. The Colts’ 8-1 ATS ledger versus .500 or better adversaries in ‘4th quarter games’ makes this a division dog take. You know the deal.

Carolina over SAN DIEGO by 3Here we go again, fading the Norvous one during ‘his’ time of the year. It’s not hard considering Turner is just 12-20 SU and 13-17-2 ATS in his NFL career in games off a SU dog win, including 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS when facing a foe also off a SU dog win (thanks Panthers). And it’s not diffi cult knowing that favorites after facing Mike Tomlin’s Steelers are 11-31-2 ATS, including an eye-popping 3-18-2 ATS if they’re a .600 or less team. The Panthers have been a time bomb waiting to explode all season and they fi nally detonated last week against NFC-leading Atlanta, blowing the Falcons into a 23-0 hole before coasting to a 30-20 decision. The Chargers’ shocking ambush of Pittsburgh buried countless survival pool participants but these guys haven’t won two straight games since opening the campaign 2-0 (3-9 SU since). Carolina owns a super 9-0 ATS mark in ‘4th quarter games’ versus a foe off a SU dog win and the dog has gone 5-1 ATS in Panthers’ road games this year. Diego’s 0-5 ATS record as revenge-minded chalk against an opponent off a double-digit win seals the deal. We’ll back the coach-QB combo of Rivera-Newton over a twosome that probably won’t be part of the plan in San Diego next year. Nothing could be fi ner...

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Monday, December 17

5� BEST BET

Seattle head coach Pete Carroll had some ‘splainin’ to do Sunday after his offense continued to pass the ball deep and go for it on 4th down while owning a 50-point lead over the hapless Cardinals. Rest assured, if Arizona’s Ken Whisenhunt is back next year (doubtful), he’ll have the Seahawks games circled in red ink! Regardless of his tactics, Carroll and the Seahawks are closing strong with a 4-1 SUATS run and now travel to the Great White North (Canada) to take on struggling Buffalo. This little jaunt is nothing new for the Bills as they’re playing their 5th game in Toronto at the Rogers Centre (beat the Redskins 23-0 here in 2011), a venue where they’ve allowed just 14 PPG in regular season contests. Our MIDWEEK ALERT also comes to Buffy’s aid, pointing out that the Bills are +56 net YPG over the 2nd half of the season. Across the fi eld, the ever-youthful Carroll (is this guy a modern-day Dorian Gray or what?) is 0-5 ATS as non-division chalk from Game Thirteen out and his Seabags are a lifeless 0-8 ATS as road favorites off a division game. And though we’ve already got suffi cient ammo to sink him, Carroll turns out to be the answer to this week’s TRIVIA TEASER on page 2. No question that Seattle QB Russell Wilson is enjoying a stellar season but Fab 5 starting rookie QB’s are just 2-5 SU and 1-5-1 ATS as favorites away from home in 2012 – plus eight of Wilson’s nine interceptions have come on the road. Our database cements it with this beauty: teams off a win of 54 or more points in this league are 1-4 SUATS in their next contest since 1980. With season-ending division duels against the Niners and Rams on deck, it would be no surprise to see the Hawks get their wings clipped here.

Buffalo over Seattle by 10

Detroit over ARIZONA by 8Speaking of the Cardinals – who have become popular fodder for late-night comics this week – we warned you about ‘em in the last issue but under no circumstances did we see a 58-0 ass-kicking waiting in the wings. Games don’t usually get that far out of hand in the NFL, so we quizzed our database about what usually occurs in the aftermath of such a merciless beating. Turns out that teams off a loss of 50 or more points are a feeble 1-4 SUATS since 1980, a situation we can’t take full advantage of thanks to Detroit’s shoddy 0-5 SUATS performance in this series of late when playing away from the Motor City. While it’s hard laying points with a disappointing team on a fi eld where they struggle, the Cards appears to be the league’s fi rst offi cial ‘towel-tossers’ and we want no part of them. Yes, Detroit has been a major disappointment at 4-8 but the Lions have outgained their opponents by 52 YPG on the season, a virtual country mile compared to an Arizona offense that’s gagged and sputtered to just 10.5 PPG during the team’s horrifi c 9-game SU skid. It all comes down to this: if Detroit QB Matthew Stafford can shake off last week’s 2nd-half fade at Lambeau and show up ready to play, he’ll light up this sorry secondary like a Christmas tree in Times Square. Regardless, there’s little chance coach Ken ‘I have no idea who my starting QB is this week’ Whisenhunt and his underachieving staff will be retained at season’s end. We don’t say it often, so pay heed: lay it and play it.

Pittsburgh over DALLAS by 4 Welcome to life in the NFL. Big Ben returns, lays a touchdown and then lays an egg against a San Diego squad whose only win since September was at home against Kansas City. Fortunately for Steel City supporters, Roethlisberger has turned eggs into omelets after SU favorite losses, going 20-9 SU and 17-12 ATS. Better yet, he is 11-2 SU and ATS in his NFL career in games off a double-digit defeat. And while the Steelers were getting short-circuited at home, the Cowboys were doing their non-conference foes a huge solid by upsetting the Bengals in Cincinnati. In fact, Dallas’ ‘inside-out’ victory (won the game, lost the stats) was even more of a surprise when you consider that Tony Romo was 1-12 ATS in the month of December off a previous win (defeated the Eagles the week before despite losing the stat battle). So once again that nasty stat (now 2-12 ATS) comes into play as does the fact that Romo is a not-so merry 2-8 SU and 1-9 ATS at home in the Christmas month. Complicating matters is HC Jason Garrett’s garish 0-5 ATS career mark as a pick or favorite in games off back-to-back SU wins. Not to mention the loss of star WR Dez Bryant to a hand injury. And when you toss in Big D’s little 1-14 ATS log against non-division foes off a SU loss in ‘4th-quarter affairs’ (Games Thirteen-Sixteen), you can see why it should be curtains for the Cowboys’ playoff chances in 2012. At pick, plus or minus, Ben fries the ‘Boys.

Kansas City over OAKLAND by 3 As expected, the Chiefs experienced a major meltdown last week following services in the heartbreaking Kasandra Perkins tragedy. We really don’t need to go much further than to say the visitor in this series is 12-1 ATS since 2006. However, the feeling here is a bounce-back is also in order, especially knowing KC is 14-1 ATS in ‘4th-quarter games’ off a double-digit non-division loss and 11-1 ATS as road dogs in games off a previous roadie. Our PLAYBOOK.com database also reminds us that Oakland is a putrid 1-13 ATS as favorites off back-to-back losses in ‘4th-quarter contests.’ Adding to the Raiders’ laundry list of futility is their plain-and-simple 1-13 ATS log as chalk off a SU loss, making them an easy phony-favorite fade. Hence, we’ll grab the points as the visitor, once again, wears out its welcome.

NEW ENGLAND over San Francisco by 8 As strange as it may seem, it’s likely neither of the league’s top two rated quarterbacks will be playing this week – No. 1 Robert Griffi n due to injury, No. 2 Alex Smith due to coaches’ decision. However, Tom Brady will be on the fi eld and that should be more than enough to keep another INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK churning. Last week’s Incredible Stat pointed out that the Patriots were 20-0 SU (now 21-0) during the second half of the season and this week’s doozy reminds us that Belichick’s boys have won 20 home games in a row in Santa’s month, including 11-1 ATS when not favored by 11 or more points. And though San Fran head coach Jim Harbaugh is 6-1 SU and ATS versus the AFC in his short career, the Pats – ho hum – offset that with their 10-1-1 ATS mark as chalk of 6 or less points versus NFC opposition. New England is also 3-0 SU and ATS in this series since 1998 but the clincher for this non-conference clash (keep an eye on the line) comes from our powerful database as it notes: Sunday night AFC home teams who are not favored by more than 4 points are 9-1-2 ATS when hosting an NFC squad off a win. As incredible as the Niners have been under Harbaugh, you can see they have nothing on these Patriots. Another Sunday December sleigh ride in Foxboro. Pats slay it.

NY Jets over TENNESSEE by 3 Despite the fact that the Jets are frauds posing as playoff contenders, they hit the Music City with just too many good numbers too ignore. For starters, they are 8-1 ATS on the road off a previous road game versus losing opposition and 6-1 ATS away against the AFC South. They are also 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in this series since 1999, including 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in Nashville. And though the Titans have been ready for some football (3-0 SU and ATS last three Mondays) and are playing hard (4-0 ‘ITS’ last four) for second-year head coach Mike Munchak, one problem is they are going nowhere while the Jets are trying to steal a Wild Card spot (it would be criminal if they got in) in this year’s playoff race. The other concern is a nasty 0-8 ATS mark off a SU loss versus a sub. 500 foe off a SU and ATS win in ‘fourth-quarter games.’ It may not be pretty but we’re basically forced to grab the spot with sexy Rexy in this Monday night affair. Hopefully, there’s a new episode of ‘Castle’ on, ‘cause this looks to be the Jets in a snoozer.

NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection appears in Bold. Should we pass or not have a strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.

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2-MINUTE HOOPS HANDICAPTEAMS, KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

(All Stats are ATS - Against The Spread - unless noted otherwise)

Saturday, December 15MEMPHIS over Louisville by 6

We whetted your appetite with a couple of hoops writeups in last week’s issue and we’re sure you liked the taste as we delivered a 3-1 record, including a sweep in the NBA. This week we’ll start in the FedEx Forum where the high-fl ying Cardinals fi gure to get tested against a Tigers squad that is 69-7 SU at home against non-conference opposition. Memphis is also 10-4 SU and ATS as home dogs with three or more days of rest, including 5-1 SU and ATS when they own a winning record, and that ties in nicely to Louie’s 0-3 ATS mark this season with a three-plus day respite. Series history also sides with the men from Memphis as they walk in with a 7-1-1 ATS log since 2002. They are also 8-4 SU and 9-2-1 ATS in this tilt with extended rest (three or more days), including a near-perfect 5-0-1 ATS when Louisville enters of a SU win. With that, we’ll look for the cat to get the canary, err, Redbird, tonight in Bluff City.

Alabama over VCU by 7The Tide started the season high with three straight wins but a pair of losses now fi nds them behind last year’s 21-12 (.636 win percentage) pace. Fortunately for Alabama’s four-returning starters – try as they may – the Rams just can’t beat the SEC. Dating back to 1990, VCU is 0-14 SU and 5-9 ATS versus the Superior Egotistic Conference, including 0-5 ATS at home. And as the Four Tops told us in 1965, it looks to be ‘The Same Old Song’ for Shaka Smart’s squad 47 years later as Bama is 8-2-1 ATS as a dog off back-to-back SU losses and 2-0 ATS versus the Atlantic-10 after arriving off consecutive setbacks. And though we respect Smart, don’t expect a ‘different meaning’ tonight in Richmond – grab the points as the visiting team improves to 11-0 ATS in Rams/SEC skirmishes. An E-C take.

UTAH over Memphis by 10We may have been walking in Memphis on this day with the Tigers but we won’t be hitting the road tonight with the Grizzlies, despite a gaudy 14-4 SU record (12-5-1 ATS) as of this writing. Nope, readers of these pages are well aware of our ‘The Air Up There’ altitude theory that explains the dangers of unrested teams journeying into the thin Salt Lake City air. The Grizz fi t that theory to a tee as they, themselves, are 1-16 SU and 6-11 ATS in this building without rest. They also arrive off a same-season revenger at Denver and the last 13 un-rested squads to hit Energy Solutions Arena

Saturday, December 15Indiana @ BUTLER – Hoosiers: 4-1 non-conf RF’s 6 < pts… 6-2 off SU non-conf win 20 > pts / Bulldogs: SERIES 1-3 L4… 2-6 as dogs 8 < pts.

Texas A&M @ OKLAHOMA – Aggies: SERIES 6-0 L6… 3-1 off DD SU road win / Sooners: 1-4 L4 as HF’s… 1-4 off BB ATS wins.

Louisville @ MEMPHIS – Cards: 1-5 non-conf favs 13 < pts w/ 5+ rest… 4-10 vs CUSA / Tigers: SERIES 7-1-1 L9… 4-1 as non-conf HD’s.

Notre Dame @ PURDUE – Irish: 1-4 L5 vs Big Ten… 1-4 favs off BB SUATS wins / Boilermakers: 4-1 aft score 45 < pts… 7-2 non-conf dogs 7 < pts.

West Virginia @ MICHIGAN – Mountaineers: 5-0 dogs 3 > pts w/ 3 days rest… 4-0-1 neutral dogs 2 > pts / Wolverines: 1-6 away/neutral DD favs… 3-8 off BB DD non-conf home wins.

Florida @ ARIZONA – Gators: 1-4 off SU road win 20 > pts… 2-5 non-conf RF’s 5 < pts / Wildcats: 5-1 ATS TY… 5-1 as non-conf dogs.

Monday, December 17Unlv @ UTEP – Rebels: SERIES visitor 3-1… 9-3 vs CUSA / Miners: 0-6 ATS TY… 1-6 home vs Mountain West.

Monday, December 17Houston over NEW YORK by 3

Very ‘Lin-teresting.’ The Knicks were good to us on these pages last week but we don’t think they’ll make amends for a 131-103 beating they suffered in Houston just before Thanksgiving. That’s because not only are they 2-10-1 ATS at home with revenge versus .521 or less un-rested opposition, they are a pathetic 1-9 SU and ATS in this series with payback. Making matters worse for Spike’s crew, the Rockets are 4-0 ATS without rest versus Eastern Conference foes. They have also won 14 of the last 15 in this matchup (11-4 ATS) since 2005, so there’s no reason to believe that Jeremy Lin won’t have a happy homecoming. Hence, we say grab the points – but you won’t need ‘em – as Lin and company complete the Big Apple sweep.

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NCAA & NBA HOOPS – DECEMBER 15-17

With the NCAA football season winding down, it’s time to whet your appetite with a few hoops writeups… especially with our PLAYBOOK Basketball Newsletter tipping off in early January. Our publication, which includes the NBA as well as 202 lined NCAA teams, takes you all the way through March Madness. It includes plenty of the goodies that you’ve grown accustomed to in our football newsletter (Best Bets, Awesome Angle, Incredible Stat, 2-Minute Handicap), along with power ratings and Victor King’s exclusive NBA page. It may only be December but let the Madness begin!

(originally Delta Center) are a weary 1-12 SU. We’re also well aware of Utah’s 19-7 SU and ATS mark at home versus un-rested .655 or greater opposition, including 17-3 ATS if the foe arrives off a SU win (check last night’s result in Denver). Not to mention a series history that fi nds the Jazz beating to a 13-5 SU and ATS drum since the 2007-2008 season. Thus, we’ll paint the town (and lay the points) with all that Jazz.

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2012-13 COLLEGE BASKETBALL POWER RATINGSACCBOSTON COLLEGE 79CLEMSON 83DUKE 99FLORIDA STATE 86GEORGIA TECH 83MARYLAND 91MIAMI FLORIDA 92NORTH CAROLINA 93NC STATE 92VIRGINIA 87VIRGINIA TECH 86WAKE FOREST 78

ATLANTIC 10BUTLER 88CHARLOTTE 84DAYTON 88DUQUESNE 78FORDHAM 72GEO WASHINGTON 82LA SALLE 84MASSACHUSETTS 85RHODE ISLAND 78RICHMOND 83SAINT LOUIS 84ST. BONAVENTURE 83ST. JOSEPH'S 89TEMPLE 90VCU 89XAVIER 86

BIG EASTCINCINNATI 91CONNECTICUT 87DEPAUL 82GEORGETOWN 90LOUISVILLE 98MARQUETTE 88

NOTRE DAME 91PITTSBURGH 90PROVIDENCE 82RUTGERS 84SETON HALL 84ST. JOHN'S 84SYRACUSE 98USF 84VILLANOVA 84

BIG TENILLINOIS 89INDIANA 100IOWA 86MICHIGAN 96MICHIGAN STATE 93MINNESOTA 94NEBRASKA 79NORTHWESTERN 86OHIO STATE 96PENN STATE 74PURDUE 88WISCONSIN 89

BIG 12BAYLOR 90IOWA STATE 87KANSAS 97KANSAS STATE 88OKLAHOMA 88OKLAHOMA STATE 88TCU 76TEXAS 86TEXAS TECH 71WEST VIRGINIA 86

BIG WESTCAL POLY 78CS FULLERTON 83CS NORTHRIDGE 77

HAWAII 76LONG BEACH STATE 76PACIFIC 83UC DAVIS 74UC IRVINE 80UC RIVERSIDE 70UC SANTA BARBARA 77

COLONIALDELAWARE 84DREXEL 79GEORGE MASON 83GEORGIA STATE 75HOFSTRA 73JAMES MADISON 75NORTHEASTERN 79OLD DOMINION 76TOWSON 72UNCW 73WILLIAM & MARY 75

CONFERENCE USAEAST CAROLINA 81HOUSTON 80MARSHALL 82MEMPHIS 89RICE 74SMU 84SOUTHERN MISS 84TULANE 80TULSA 80UAB 81UCF 85 UTEP 81

HORIZONCLEVELAND STATE 83DETROIT 84GREEN BAY 83ILLINOIS-CHICAGO 82

LOYOLA-CHICAGO 82MILWAUKEE 79VALPARAISO 84WRIGHT STATE 78YOUNGSTOWN ST 81

IVY LEAGUEBROWN 71COLUMBIA 80CORNELL 77DARTMOUTH 67HARVARD 85PENNSYLVANIA 74PRINCETON 82YALE 76

MID-AMERICANAKRON 87BALL STATE 75BOWLING GREEN 81BUFFALO 81CENTRAL MICHIGAN 73EASTERN MICHIGAN 78KENT STATE 81MIAMI OHIO 74NORTHERN ILLINOIS 70OHIO U 87TOLEDO 82WESTERN MICHIGAN 77

MISSOURI VALLEYBRADLEY 82CREIGHTON 91DRAKE 81EVANSVILLE 85ILLINOIS STATE 87INDIANA STATE 80MISSOURI STATE 78NORTHERN IOWA 88SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 78

WICHITA STATE 90

MOUNTAIN WESTAIR FORCE 80 BOISE ST 83COLORADO STATE 85FRESNO ST 82NEVADA 83NEW MEXICO 89SAN DIEGO STATE 92UNLV 90WYOMING 86

PAC-12ARIZONA 93ARIZONA STATE 85CALIFORNIA 90COLORADO 87 OREGON 90OREGON STATE 86STANFORD 89UCLA 91USC 85UTAH 82 WASHINGTON 82WASHINGTON STATE 83

SOUTHEASTERNALABAMA 89ARKANSAS 83AUBURN 78FLORIDA 96GEORGIA 82KENTUCKY 93LSU 84MISSISSIPPI 89MISSISSIPPI STATE 77MISSOURI 78SOUTH CAROLINA 79TENNESSEE 90

TEXAS A&M 83VANDERBILT 82

SUN BELTARK-LITTLE ROCK 76ARKANSAS STATE 79FLA ATLANTIC 77FLORIDA INT’L 74LA-LAFAYETTE 80LA-MONROE 67MIDDLE TENN STATE 87NORTH TEXAS 81SOUTH ALABAMA 82TROY 70WESTERN KENTUCKY 82

WEST COASTBYU 85 GONZAGA 91LMU 81PEPPERDINE 77PORTLAND 76SAN DIEGO 77SAN FRANCISCO 81SANTA CLARA 80ST. MARY'S 89

WACDENVER 79IDAHO 80LOUISIANA TECH 81NEW MEXICO STATE 86SAN JOSE STATE 79SEATTLE U 78TEXAS ST 76TEX-ARLINGTON 81UTAH STATE 85UTSA 76Add 5 points to each team's rating for home court value

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GAME MATCHUPS KEY OVER/UNDER STATS

N AT I O N A L F O O T B A L L L E A G U E – W E E K F I F T E E N

This week’s fi rst 8 games of the NFL schedule are listed below. As always, the number listed fi rst is the ‘OVER’ and the number listed second is the ‘UNDER’. This week’s 3 O/U BEST BETS will appear in the 2012 "TOTALS" TIPSHEET” by Victor King – the defi nitive weekly OU newsletter. A single issue is only $8.00 and the full-season subscription is $18.00. Sent via email Tuesday evenings each week. Call the PLAYBOOK offi ces at 800-643-4700 to get on the 2012 “Totals Train”! …*This week’s TREND play: Redskins @ Browns ’UNDER’ the TOTAL.

AN 'OVER / UNDER' REPORT ON THIS WEEK'S NFL CARDBY VICTOR KING

THE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP: O/U STYLE

CincinnatiPHILADELPHIA

Green BayCHICAGO

NY GiantsATLANTA

Tampa BayNEW ORLEANS

MinnesotaST. LOUIS

WashingtonCLEVELAND

JacksonvilleMIAMI

DenverBALTIMORE

4-0 O/U away vs NFC East... 3-0-1 O/U bef Pit... 7-2 O/U off SU home fav loss... 7-3 O/U 1st of BB RG... but 1-5 O/U Gm 143-0 O/U Thursdays... 5-1 O/U non-div HD’s 3 > pts... 4-1 O/U off road dog win... 3-1 O/U bef Wash... but 1-3 O/U aft TBay

3-1 O/U aft Det... 5-2 O/U Gm 14 away... but 0-6 O/U div RF’s 4 < pts... 0-5 O/U away off BB HG... 0-3 O/U in 3rd straight div gm3-0 O/U Last Home Gm... 4-1 O/U home off div RG... 3-1 O/U Gm 14... but 1-8 O/U L9 vs GB (36.8)... 3-7 O/U w/ div revenge

5-0 O/U bef Balt... 5-1 O/U conf dogs 5 < pts... 6-2 O/U aft score 40+ pts... but 0-3 O/U 1st of BB RG... 1-4 O/U vs non-div rev4-1 O/U H aft allow 30+ pts... 6-2 O/U bef Det... 6-3 O/U vs NFC East... but 1-5 O/U L6 vs NYG (35.6)... 2-6 O/U bef Sat gm

4-0 O/U A w/ line 47 > pts... 4-0 O/U off home fav loss... but 1-5 O/U aft Phil... 2-5 O/U A w/ div rev... 1-7 O/U L8 vs NOrl (43.8)5-1 O/U vs div revenge... 4-1 O/U Gm 14... 3-1 O/U aft allow 40+ pts... but 2-11 O/U HF’s 12 < pts off BB RG... 3-6 O/U aft NYG

7-1 O/U L8 vs Stl (60.9)... 3-1 O/U Gm 14... but 0-5 O/U off home dog win... 1-5 O/U 1st of BB RG... 2-5 O/U vs NFC West 8-1 O/U H vs NFC North... 6-2 O/U Last Home Gm... 6-3 O/U bef TBay... but 0-3 O/U off road dog win... 1-7-1 O/U Gm 14

1-5 O/U aft Balt... 1-4 O/U Gm 14 away... 1-4 O/U favs off OT win... 1-4 O/U away off BB HG... 1-4 O/U off SU win 3 < pts0-4 O/U Off SU win 21 > pts... 1-5 O/U non-conf dogs 4 < pts... 2-8-1 O/U Last Home Gm... 3-7-1 O/U vs NFC East

4-0 O/U bef NEng... 5-1 O/U Gm 14... 11-3 O/U away in Gm 13 >... but 0-5 O/U aft NYJ... 0-3 O/U L3 vs Mia (30.7) 9-2 O/U In 1st of BB RG... 3-1 O/U aft SF... but 0-7 O/U bef Buf... 0-4 O/U vs AFC South... 1-7 O/U aft RG vs @ West div opp

4-0 O/U Last Road Gm... 4-0 O/U vs AFC North... 8-1 O/U in 2nd of BB RG... 3-0 O/U Gm 14... but 2-10 O/U A off DD div win 7-1 O/U home Gm 12 > vs .700 > opp... 5-1 O/U off non-conf RG... 5-1 O/U in 1st of BB HG... but 1-4 O/U L5 vs Den (31.0)

Below are the Top 20 Contestants from the 2012 Wise Guys – One Point Single Plays Listed

COLTS

BILLS

49ERS UNDER

Utah St

TB BUCS

BEARS

BEARS

BILLS

NYJ UNDER

TB BUCS

16-11-1 / 10-3-1 / 26 pts

18-9-1 / 11-3 / 29 pts

16-12 / 8-6 / 24 pts

15-13 / 9-5 / 24 pts

17-10-1 / *10-3-1 / 28 pts

16-11-1 / 10-4 / 26 pts

16-12 / 8-6 / 24 pts

19-9 / 12-2 / 31 pts

18-10 / 7-7 / 25 pts

18-10 / 10-4 / 28 pts

WISE GUYS CONTESTA $10,000 Contest Sponsored by Sports-Watch.com

Now in its 28th year, the WISE GUYS CONTEST is a $10,000 winners-take-all handicapping event sponsored by Sports-Watch.com. All plays are graded against the lines contained in the Friday edition of the USA TODAY. Each week in the PLAYBOOK we'll present Single Plays from the TOP 20 point earners. Following the play is their overall Win-Loss record / Double Play record / Total Points earned to date.

Andy IskoeTheLogicalApproach.net

Billy ColemanBillyColemanSports.net

Brew City SportsBrewCitySports.net

Cajun SportsCajunSports.net

Hurricane BillPlaybook.com

Jeff SaadJimFeist.TV

JH SportslineJHSportslinecom

Jorge GonzalezVegasWise.com

Lady ATSIntegritySports.com

Mr. EastMrEastSportsPicks.com

RAVENS

Nevada

PATRIOTS

NY GIANTS

Nevada

PATRIOTS

BILLS

Byu UNDER

STEELERS

BEARS

18-10 / 9-5 / 27 pts

17-11 / 9-5 / 26 pts

15-12-1 / 9-5 / 24 pts

15-12-1 / *8-6 / 24 pts

19-8-1 / 11-3 / 30 pts

17-11 / 10-4 / 27 pts

17-11 / 8-6 / 25 pts

15-13 / 10-4 / 25 pts

15-12-1 / 9-4-1 / 24 pts

18-8-2 / 10-4 / 28 pts

Nelly’s SportsNellySports.com

Richard WittPlaybook.com

Robert FerringoDocSports.com

RocketmanRocketmanSports.net

Ross BenjaminRossBenjaminSports.com

Scott LandauScottLandau.com

Steve MerrilProSportsInfo.com

Stormin NormanFreeSportsInfo.com

TD TonyASHNSports.com

Tom FreesePlaybook.com

Add the Wise Guys report to your weekly arsenal for only $12 – www.VegasWiseGuys.com.

1.800.PLAYBOOK • www.PLAYBOOK.com • page 11

AIR FORCE 11:45 (Forth Worth, TX) RICE ESPN

229 230 Pk

INDEPENDENCE BOWL

LAS VEGAS BOWL

BALL ST 7:30 (St. Petersburg, FL) UCF ESPN 7’

207 208

POINSETTIA BOWL IOWA ST 3:30 (Memphis, TN) TULSA ESPN

243 244

1

GEORGIA TECH 2:00 (El Paso, TX) USC CBS

241 242 10

SUN BOWL

223 224 6’

OHIO U 2:00 (Shreveport, LA) LA-MONROE ESPN

NO ILLINOIS 8:30 (Miami Gardens, FL) FLORIDA ST ESPN

257 258 15

WISCONSIN 5:00 (Pasadena, CA) STANFORD ESPN

255 256 6

NEBRASKA 1:00 (Orlando, FL) GEORGIA ABC

253 254 9’

MICHIGAN 1:00 (Tampa, FL) S CAROLINA ESPN

251 252 3’

NORTHWESTERN 12:00 (Jacksonville, FL) MISS ST ESPN2

249 250 3

OUTBACK BOWL

GATOR BOWL

PURDUE 12:00 (Dallas, TX) OKLA ST ESPNU

247 248

HEART OF DALLAS BOWLMINNESOTA 9:00 (Houston, TX) TEXAS TECH ESPN

227 228 12’

RUTGERS 5:30 (Orlando, FL) VA TECH ESPN

225 226 2

RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL

MEINEKE CAR CARE BOWL

SMU 8:00 (Honolulu, HI) FRESNO ST ESPN

213 214 12’

HAWAII BOWL

C MICHIGAN 7:30 (Detroit, MI) W KENTUCKY ESPN

215 216 6

LITTLE CAESARS PIZZA BOWL

E CAROLINA ESPN 12:00 (New Orleans, LA) LA-LAFAYETTE

209 210 4’

BEEF O’BRADY’S BOWL

PITTSBURGH 1:00 (Birmingham, AL) MISSISSIPPI ESPN

265 266 3

BYU 8:00 (San Diego, CA) S DIEGO ST ESPN

205 206

3

1

TOLEDO 4:30 (Boise, ID) UTAH ST ESPN

203 204 10 6

IDAHO POTATO BOWL

NEVADA 1:00 (Albuquerque, NM) ARIZONA ESPN

201 202 9 3

2012-13 COLLEGE BOWLS: DECEMBER 15-JANUARY 7

OL PB

NEW MEXICO BOWL

OL PB OL PB OL PBSATURDAY, DECEMBER 15

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 21

WASHINGTON 3:30 (Las Vegas, NV) BOISE ST ESPN

211 212 5’

NEW ORLEANS BOWL

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 22

221 222 1

CINCINNATI 6:30 (Charlotte, NC) DUKE ESPN

219 220

10

BELK BOWL

OREGON ST 6:45 (San Antonio, TX) TEXAS ESPN

235 236

1

PINSTRIPE BOWL

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 29

NC STATE 12:00 (Nashville, TN) VANDERBILT ESPN

239 240 6’

MUSIC CITY BOWL

CLEMSON 7:30 (Atlanta, GA) LSU ESPN

245 246 3’

17

CAPITAL ONE BOWL

LOUISVILLE 8:30 (New Orleans, LA) FLORIDA ESPN

259 260 13’

TEXAS A&M 8:00 (Arlington, TX) OKLAHOMA FOX

263 264

3’

KANSAS ST 8:30 (Glendale, AZ) OREGON ESPN

261 262 7’

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 2

FIESTA BOWL

SATURDAY, JANUARY 5

COMPASS BOWL

ARKANSAS ST 9:00 (Mobile, AL) KENT ST ESPN

267 268

3

SUNDAY, JANUARY 6

GODADDY.COM BOWL

ALABAMA 8:30 (Miami Gardens, FL) NOTRE DAME ESPN

269 270

7’

MONDAY, JANUARY 7

BCS CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

SEASON’S GREETINGS FROM MARC LAWRENCE AND THE ENTIRE PLAYBOOK STAFF!

Coming In The Next PLAYBOOK Issue: The New Orleans Bowl

(12/22) thru the Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas (12-28)!

MONDAY, DECEMBER 24

BAYLOR 9:45 (San Diego, CA) UCLA ESPN

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 28

SUGAR BOWL

NAVY 4:00 (San Francisco, CA) ARIZONA ST ESPN2

231 232 13’

FIGHT HUNGER BOWL

ROSE BOWL

ORANGE BOWL

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 26

BOWLING GREEN 3:00 (Washington, D.C.) SAN JOSE ST ESPN

217 218 7’

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 27

MILITARY BOWL

ARMED FORCES BOWL

WEST VIRGINIA 3:15 (Bronx, NY) SYRACUSE ESPN

233 234

3’

ALAMO BOWL

BUFFALO WILD WINGS BOWLTCU ESPN 10:15 (Tempe, AZ) MICHIGAN ST

237 238

2

THURSDAY, JANUARY 3

COTTON BOWL

FRIDAY, JANUARY 4

HOLIDAY BOWL

LIBERTY BOWL

TUESDAY, JANUARY 1

CHICK-FIL-A BOWL

MONDAY, DECEMBER 31

1

All times listed are Eastern Standard Time • Games in Offi cial International Rotation sequence • Dates & times subject to change

Listed next to the games below are two entries: OL is the opening line on the contest and PB is the PLAYBOOK margin on the game. You have a PLAYBOOK BEST BET whenever our predicted margin of victory is 7 or more points in favor of your line. Remember, opening lines are subject to change during the week so always check YOUR CURRENT LINE against the

PLAYBOOK line to determine a play. All times listed are Eastern Standard Time • Games in Offi cial International Rotation sequence • Dates & times subject to change

$50 PAY AFTER YOU WIN ONLINE

Included FREE with Marc’s $99 WEEKEND OF WINNERS!

www.PLAYBOOK.com

$50 GUARANTEED CALL W/ MAJOR CREDIT CARD

1.888.611.4444

1.800.321.7777

Goes Sunday, December 16th!

Marc Lawrence’s Annual

10★ NFL GAME OF THE YEAR!

www.DailyJoust.com/playbook

FREE NFL WEEKLY FANTASY CONTEST!

WHERE FANTASY MEETS SPORTS BETTING!

�

page 12 • www.PLAYBOOK.com • 1.800.PLAYBOOK

A REVIEW OF THE CURRENT �RATED BEST BET SELECTIONSTHIS WEEK'S BEST BETS

SUBSCRIBERS: Call the PLAYBOOK WEEKEND UPDATE PHONE every Thursday after 1:00 pm EST for late-breaking Best Bet information!

FOR WEEK ENDING MONDAY,DECEMBER 17, 2012 4� BEST BET3� BEST BET 5� BEST BET

NFL GIANTS BUCCANEERS BILLS

MONDAY, DECEMBER 17

NY JETS 8:35TENNESSEE ESPN 1

3331

332

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 16

GREEN BAY1:00 PMCHICAGONY GIANTS1:00 PMATLANTA

CINCINNATI 8:20 PMPHILADELPHIA NFL

3

3

301

302

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 13

303

304305

306

�

3

3

1

10

TAMPA BAY1:00 PMNEW ORLEANS MINNESOTA1:00 PMST. LOUISWASHINGTON1:00 PMCLEVELANDJACKSONVILLE1:00 PMMIAMIDENVER1:00 PMBALTIMOREINDIANAPOLIS1:00 PMHOUSTONCAROLINA4:05 PMSAN DIEGO

307

308309

310311

312313

314315

316317

318319

320

7 4

2’

3

8’ 4

3

3

3

10

3 7

NL

1

SEATTLE4:05 PM (Toronto, Canada)BUFFALODETROIT4:05 PMARIZONAPITTSBURGH4:25 PMDALLASKANSAS CITY4:25 PMOAKLANDSAN FRANCISCO 8:25 PMN ENGLAND NBC

5’

10

321

322323

324325

326327

328329

330

OL PB OL PB OL PB

6 8

1

4

�

�

2012 COLLEGE & PRO FOOTBALL - DECEMBER 13-17

All times listed are Eastern Standard Time • Games in Offi cial International Rotation sequence • Dates & times subject to change

3

3

3’ 8

Listed next to the games below are two entries: OL is the opening line on the contest and PB is the PLAYBOOK margin on the game. You have a PLAYBOOK BEST BET whenever our predicted margin of victory is 7 or more points in favor of your line. Remember, opening lines are subject to change during the week so always check YOUR CURRENT LINE against the

PLAYBOOK line to determine a play. All times listed are Eastern Standard Time • Games in Offi cial International Rotation sequence • Dates & times subject to change

$99 WEEK OF WINNERS! Includes Marc’s 10★ NFL Game of The Year –

Last Week’s NFL Game OF The Month: Panthers (+3) 30, Falcons 20 - WINNER!

Untitled