Pakistan Flood

8/3/2019 Pakistan Flood

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Pakistan2010Floods

DamageandNeedsAssessment

DraftFindings


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ObjectiveandMethodology

Summary

of

findings

CONTENTS


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FloodExtent31st ofJuly (InitialStagesofFlood)


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TotalInundationExtentoftheFloods


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THEPURPOSEOFTHEDNAISTOASSESSTHEDAMAGEANDLOSSESCAUSED

ANDCALCULATETHECOSTOFRECONSTRUCTION

ObjectiveoftheDNA:

Toprovidethestrategicunderpinningsformedium tolongtermpostfloods

reconstructionandrecoveryplanning,prioritization,andprogramming

anoverviewofsectorlevelprogram

strategiesandpolicyoptions

basedoncostofreplacingwhatwas

lostwithabuildbackbetter/smarter

factor

basedonreplacingpermanent

assetsandservices

aquantificationofpublicneeds

requirements

prescriptive,doesnotpresenta

menuofprojects

inclusiveofdevelopmentcosts

EarlyRecovery definedas

transitionalservices thesearecoveredinUNreport

Inclusiveofprivateneeds

requirements

TheDNAIS TheDNAisNOT


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DAMAGEASSESSMENTHASBEENCONDUCTEDTHROUGHDATAVERIFICATIONS

WHILE NEEDSASSESSMENTISBASEDONANALYSISANDPOLICYDECISIONS

DirectDamages:monetaryvalueofthecompletelyor

partially

destroyed

assets

immediately

following

thedisaster

IndirectLosses:incomelosses,changeofflowofgoodsandservices,increasedexpenses,curtailed

productionanddiminishedrevenue,arisingfrom

directdamagetoproductioncapacityandsocialand

economicinfrastructure

ReconstructionCosts:costofrebuildinglostassetsandrestoringlostservices. Generallyassessedatthe

replacementcostwithapremiumaddedforbuild

backbetter/smarterbasedonpolicydecisions

Datacollection&verification Dataanalysis &policydecisions

Sectoralprofilesbasedon:

1. Datafromquestionnaires

2. Secondarydata

Verificationthrough:

1. Fieldvisitsbysectorteams2. Interviewswithstakeholders

3. Deskreviews

4. Satelliteimagery

5. Otherplausibilitychecks


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SnapshotofDNAMethodology

*Sectorbysector

*Macro

*Recovery&

Reconstruction

*Predisaster

performance

THEDNAUSESTHEECLACMETHODOLOGYWHICHHASBEENUSEDINPOST

DISASTERASSESSMENTFOROVERTHIRTYYEARS


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Scope

17Sectors

CompositionofSectoralTeams

MixofWB/ADBstaff

RelevantOneUN

organizations

Bilateralsengagement

through20experts

1 Housing WB

2 Transport ADB

3 Energy ADB

4 Water&Sanitation ADB

5 Education WB

6 Health ADB

7 Social ADB

8 Agriculture,

Livestock

and

Fisheries WB

9 SocialProtectionandLivelihoods WB

10 Governance ADB

11 Environment WB

12 EconomicAssessment WB

13 DisasterRiskManagement WB

14 IrrigationandFloodManagement ADB

15 PrivateSector&Industries WB

16 FinancialSector WB

17 ImplementationArrangements ADB

EXPERTTEAMSHAVEBEENWORKINGTOGATHER,VALIDATEANDANALYSE

DATAACROSSSEVENTEENSECTORSSINCEAUGUST20,2010


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SupportFunctionsDonor

Coordination

Team

One UN Early

Recovery Team

Institutional

ArrangementsTeam CommunicationsTeam

GovernmentofPakistan

PC, EAD, NDMA

DNACore TeamWB/ADB

DNA Field Data

Collection Team

SatelliteImageryteam DNAWriting Team

DNA Data

Collection TeamPC DNA

Committee

Provincial Focal

Points

Sector Teams

Districts & Tehsils

UpwardsDataFlowFieldValidation

THEDNATEAMHASBEENWORKINGWITHTHEGOVERNMENTATALLLEVELS

THROUGHOUTTHEPROCESS


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ObjectiveandMethodology

Summary

of

findings

CONTENTS


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SUMMARYOFDAMAGE+LOSSES

Sector

Damages+Losses

USDmillions

Irrigation 278

Housing 1,588

Agriculture 5,045

Transport&Communications 1,328

Energy 309

LivelihoodsSupport

PrivateSector 282

Education 311Health 50

Water&Sanitation 109

Governance 70

Financial 674

Environment 12

DRM

TotalUSDmillions 10,056

TotalPKRmillions 854,771


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IrrigationandFloodSector

16/11/201011:26


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IRRIGATION,DRAINAGEANDFLOODSECTOROVERVIEWOFDAMAGES

Province

Barrages/

dams

(No)

Canal

systems/

breaches

(No)

Irrigation

schemes

(No)

Flood

Embankment

/

Spurs(No)

Drainage

system

(No)

AJK 58

Balochistan 30

6(80

locations) 50 55 9

FATA 66 52

GilgitBaltistan 136

Khyber

Pakhtunkhwa 14 13systems 7 5

Punjab 1

7(315

locations) 87 8

Sindh

6main

systems

6main

systems 5

WAPDA 1

4(25

breaches) 1


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IRRIGATIONANDFLOODSECTORPOLICYOPTIONS

BaseCaseBaseCase

BuildBack

Safer

BuildBack

Safer

Reconstructionwith remodelingofselecteddamaged

infrastructure

ReconstructionPLUS measuresforimprovedflood

protectionandmanagement:

buildingbacksafer forcriticalsettlementsand

urbanareaspronetoflashfloodsandriverbankerosion

inAJK,GBandKP

expansion

of

the

Flood

Early

Warning

System

to

Swat,

PeshawarandDGKhanareas

revisitthecountrysoverallfloodmanagement

strategy


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IRRIGATIONANDFLOODSECTORDAMAGESCOST

Province/Region/Agency Damage

USDMillions

AJK 0.2

Balochistan 29.6

FATA 3.0

GilgitBaltistan 1.6

KhyberPakhtunkhwa 68.4

Punjab 33.1

Sindh 136.9

WAPDA 4.9

SectorTotal 277.6


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Housing

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HOUSINGSECTORESTIMATEDDAMAGES

ProvinceNumber of

housesdamaged

Damage ValueUSD millions

AJK 6,843 10Baluchistan 79,720 97

FATA 5,419 4

Gilgit Baltistan 3,157 5

KhyberPakhtunkhwa 257,294 226

Punjab 375,773 322

Sindh879,978 925

Sector Total 1,608,184 1,588


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HOUSINGSECTORPOLICYOPTIONS

Support Hazard -Resistant

Reconstruction tosecure futureinvestments

Support Hazard -Resistant

Reconstruction tosecure futureinvestments

BaseCase: Restoretoprefloodconditions;uniformkatchastandard notrecommended

Option2: Restoretofloodresistantstandard.

Recommended

for

Punjab

&

Sindh

only

Option3: Restoretomultihazardresistantstandard.Recommended

Build-Back-Smarterto optimize costs


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Transport&Communication

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TRANSPORTSECTORESTIMATEDDAMAGES

*

10%

of

the

total

road

network

is

affected

out

of

which

8%

roads

are

completely

destroyed**Thelengthfiguresshowbothcompletelyandpartiallydamagedroads

Railways 1,224Kmrailwaylinedamaged

Telecommunicati

on

Damagesto734kmtransmissionline,284transmissionstationsand

594exchangecentre

Aviation Minordamagesto4airports

Provinces NationalHighways

ProvincialHighways

District&Municipal

Roads

Total(Kms)

AJK 35 3,540 3,575

Baluchistan 5 367 1,705 2,077

FATA 294 963 1,257

GilgitBaltistan 33 349 382

Khyber

Pakhtunkhwa

402 259 5,850 6,511

Punjab 53 281 2,485 2,819

Sindh 265 1,925 6,277 8,467

Total 793 3,125 21,170 25,088*


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TRANSPORTSECTORSTRATEGYANDPOLICYRECOMMENDATIONS

Principlesfor

reconstruction

Principlesfor

reconstruction

Restorationofconnectivity complementaritieswith

earlyrecovery

Strategicplanning floodrisksandtransport

infrastructurevulnerability

Strategyfor

reconstructionStrategyfor

reconstruction

Field

verification,

needs

assessment,

disaster

risk

analysis

andconditionsurveyspriortocommencement

Synergyinfloodprotectionanddesignofnational,

provincialandstrategiccommunicationlinks


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TRANSPORTSECTORDAMAGECOSTS

*Includesdirectdamagesof$735millionwhicharecalculatedonthebasisofdepreciatedreplacementcostofdamaged

infrastructure

Province Damages

USDmillions

ROADS

AJK 35

Baluchistan 38FATA 23

GilgitBaltistan 15

KhyberPakhtunkhwa 338

Punjab 179

Sindh 605

RAILWAYS 60

TELECOMMUNICATION 35AVIATION 0.7

Total 1,328*


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Agriculture,Livestock&Fisheries

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Province

CropArea

Damaged(000

ha)

LargeAnimals

(000head)

SmallAnimals

(incl.sheep,

goal)000

Poultry

Perished

(000)

Watercourses

DamagesNos

AJK 33.1 0.3 0.3 11.7 657

Balochistan 132.4 139.6 1,036.7 625.5 47

FATA 7.2 6.2 8.4 101.2 n/a

Gilgit

Baltistan 7.9 1.3 10.8 12.9 960

Khyber

Pakhtunkhwa 121.4 72.4 67.8 621.3 1,790

Punjab 746.8 2.3 2.5 2012 2,598

Sindh 1,043.5 93.7 81.9 6,895.1 6,990

Total 2,092.6 315.6 1,208.3 10,279.7 13,042

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LargeAnimals=Cattle,Buffaloes,Camels,Horse,Donkey

Fishery/PondslostinFATAincludedinestimatesforPakhtunkhwa

AGRICULTURESECTORESTIMATEDDAMAGES


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AGRICULTURESECTORPOLICYOPTIONS

Compensation

Strategy

Compensation

Strategy

Crops :Inkindcompensationinformofseeds,fertilizeretc

Livestock :Inkindcompensationforpoor

Onfarmirrigation:RehabilitationofdamagedwatercoursesFisheries :Compensatedintheformofsubsidy

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Environment


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ENVIRONMENT SECTORSTRATEGY&POLICYRECOMMENDATIONS

Addressimmediate

issuesrelatingto

environmental

health

Addressimmediate

issuesrelatingto

environmental

health

Initiatenon

structural

interventionsto

controlfloods

Initiatenon

structural

interventionsto

controlfloods

Contaminateddrinkingwater,

Diseasevectors, Safewastedisposal, Debrisdisposal,

Hazardouswastes

Technical

Assistance

Technical

Assistance

Forestrestoration

Riparianvegetationrestoration WetlandRestoration

Includefloodprotectionplans,landuseplans,

regulatoryandinstitutionalstrengthening,phased

recoveryofnaturalsystems,andothers.

Short Term

Medium to Long Term


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DisasterRiskManagement

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DISASTERRISKMANAGEMENTSECTORSTRATEGYANDPOLICY

RECOMMENDATIONS

Institutional

developmentand

capacitybuilding

Institutional

developmentand

capacitybuilding

Developclimate

changestrategyDevelopclimatechangestrategy

Integration

of

pre

existing

parallel

structures

for

DRMatFederalandProvinciallevelsforsynergizingandincreasedcoordinationandcapacitybuilding

Enhanceearly

warningsystems

Enhanceearly

warningsystems

Developmentofanationalclimatechangestrategy

framework

backed

by

policy

legislation

&

capacity

buildingofkeyinstitutionsandraisingawareness

RestoringandenhancingtheperformanceofkeyelementsofthecountrysfloodearlywarningsystemanddevelopmentofanationalmultihazardIntegrateddecisionsupportandalertsystem

Increasecommunity

preparedness&

awareness

Increasecommunity

preparedness&

awareness

Promotingcommunitybaseddisasterriskmanagement(CBDRM)andeducation increasing

awareness

on

DRM

HazardMapping

andrisktransfer

mechanisms

HazardMapping

andrisktransfer

mechanisms

Earlyinitiationandcompletionofnationalmultihazardriskmappingtodefinethenationalhazardriskenvironmentandalsodevelopastrategyfor

catastropheriskfinancing


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DRMSECTORNEEDS

Interventions

1 Management study of NDMA and existing parallel DRM structures for assimilation

2 Development of a central MIS System at NDMA with appropriate linkages with Federal,

Provincial and District Response Agencies including aid tracking and management

systems at all levels

3 Technical assistance and hardware support for NDMA, PDMAs and operationalization

of DDMAs in 30 priority districts

4 Social mobilization and training communities on preparedness/response in 30

priority/high-risk districts (including equipment for first responders)

5 Flood hazard mapping

6 GIS-based inundation profiling and of coastal districts

7 Development of a multi-hazard national Integrated Decision Support and Alert System

with focus on Flood-related Disaster Management (NIMS)

8 Assessment and identification of potential disaster risk insurance options and

development of a strategy for catastrophe risk financing mechanisms and solutions

including some piloting

9 Strengthening the capacity of national climate change centers and creating awareness on

climate change issues

10 Development and Integration of DRM in education and awareness building at all levels

11 Develop capacity for carrying out various assessments, such as multi-hazard riskassessments and damage and needs assessments (DNA)


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InstitutionalArrangements

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INSTITUTIONALARRANGEMENTS PRINCIPLESANDRECOMMENDATIONS

Efficient

Delivery

Efficient

Delivery

Putinplacecoreinstitutionalarrangement(nodalagencies)at

federalandprovinciallevels Clarityofrolesinpolicy,

coordination,M&E/reporting,fundflow/managementand

implementations

EquityEquity

TransparencyTransparency

Policy/strategy/criteriaforequitableresourceallocation

amongprovinces/regionsbasedondamagessustainedand

theassociateddisasterrisksforreconstruction

AccountabilityAccountability

Proactiveprogramandstrategiccommunications(disclosure)on

RehabandReconstruction(RR),selectioncriteria,identification

methodology,

design

standards,

procurements,

implementation

andindependentoversightandmonitoring publicdomain,Public

AccountsCommittee,civilsociety

Enhancedfiduciarysafeguardsandriskmitigationcapacities

andmeasures establishinternalandexternalcontrolscountrysystems,specialsystemsforRRprojectsbuildingon

whatexiststomeetdonorrequirement/harmonization

upfrontchallenge


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CoordinationCoordination

Indiginizing

best

practices

Indiginizingbest

practices

SubsidiaritySubsidiarity

Socially

responsive

Socially

responsive

Effective

coordination

between

agencies

(donors),

sectors

andgeographicareas,throughsectoral,national,

provincialanddistrictlevelcoordinationfora

Fasttracking proceduresandsystemsforRR

implementation

procurement,

approvals

and

hiring

of

humanresource andconsultants trainingtouseexisting

andnewfasttrackingsystems

Implementationresponsibility,systemsandcapacities

delegated

to

the

lowest

level

of

government

more

ownershipandaccountability

Timelyandeffectiveresponsetosafeguards,grievances

andcomplaints tocarrytheadditionalRRload

(individualandinstitutional


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Planningand

Budgeting

Planningand

Budgeting

Monitoringand

EvaluationMonitoringand

Evaluation

Realisticplanningandbudgeting basictoolstofix

responsibilityforachievingresults weakestlink

Effectiveinternalandexternal(thirdparty)monitoringand

evaluationofRRinputs,outputs,processandresults clearlydefinedrolesatthefederalandprovinciallevelsand

foroutsourcingbuiltonandintegratewithwhatwehave

INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS PRINCIPLES AND RECOMMENDATIONS


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Questions

Pakistan Flood

Documents

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