IDEA – Presentation of the project and objectives of the workshop

Scira Menoni on behalf of the POLIMI Team: Francesco Ballio, Ouejdane Mejri, Marina Mendoza, Guido Minucci, Daniela Molinari, Giulia Pesaro

WorkshopLearning form disasters and mitigating risks for the future:

the role of the industrial and lifelines sectors

Oxford Brooks University - Oxford, 5-6 April 2016

The project: www.ideaproject.polimi.it

Improving damage assessments to enhance cost-benefit analysis: challenging the call of the EU considering the quality of data on which most CB are actually carried out. A new entry for us: the VU Institute of the Netherlands

Post-disaster damage assessment: why?

We will discuss more in depth the issue of multi-purpose damage data collection and analysis in another part of the workshop

EVENT

Physical eventscenario: the features of the triggeringphenomena

DAMAGE DATA COLLECTION

Sectors Time scale Spatial scale

Physical damage Costs

DAMAGE ASSESSMENTPhysical damage Costs

AccountingNeeds(compensation)

Forensic Risk assessment

Immediate resourcesfor recovery

Identifying risk mitigation measures for a resilient reconstructionand in similar areas (not affected now)

Effective at the national level

Effective at the regional/local level

On what factors to intervene

CB Analyses Multicriteria assessment

Post-disaster damage assessment: How?

We have case four case studies but also a mixed partnership of research institions and civil protection organisations. Data ownership is still an issue. Not less than data coordination

IDEA project’s mian goals

To show how data can be used for multiple purposes, including Cost-Benefit analysis of mitigation measures

Develop a model of damage data collection and analysis adaptable to different countries and organisations (the crucial role of procedures)

Develop and Information System that will provide data structure and facilitate the task of data input and will shift the effort of organisations on data analysis

Needs assessment(compensation)

Recovery

Local officials/insurers

Fair resources allocation

Regional/nationalofficers, insurancecompanies

EU Solidarity Fund in case of activation

Loss Accounting

Recording the impact

Local policy (city)

Measuring trends

International policy (UN, donors, EU Policy-DG ECHO)

Disaster forensic

Identify the cause

Local expert teams

Learning from the past

National expert teams

International experttemas (PDNA)

Risk modelling

Modelling future losses

Local research/policy

DRR and mitigation

National research/policy (Regional, GEM)

International initiatives(GEM, GAR), EU policy

National policy (National Adminsitrations)

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DatabaseDatabase

Database

Standardized procedure to collect data for multiple purposes Collecting data regarding

damages reported to the Emergency Control Room by municipalities and lifelines companies

Triggering the Copernicusservice and other offices to draw the map of inundatedareas

Direct damage surveys for residential buildings usig forms used in training

Multi-sectoral damageanalysis and secondreport to support the declaration of state of emergency

Third report of damageand losses to multiple sectors to support bothrecovery and forensicanalysis

Use of the Advanced Damage Report to:- Monitor reconstruction and use of funds;- Decisions and plans for reconstruction based on

forensic investigation of damage

Direct damage surveys for industrial and commercial buildings integrated to selfdeclarations

First event report describing the hazardfeatures and preliminaryoverview of damage

Objectives of this workshop

Work on two sectors in particular: Businesses, including insurance, and Infrastructures regarding which we have in general less structured and «scientific» knowledge

Businesses: looking for answers for the following questions:

What is the impact on economy of damage to economic activities? There are models to assess the impact on economy of businesses interruption (indirect damage) however there are less knwoledge regarding the chain:

Physical damage to firms

Direct repair costs

Business interruption

Other businesses interruption (lifelines but not only)

Effects on the individual firm

Effects on economic sectors and economy

Lost revenue and other indirect costs

Litigation costs

tduration

Businesses

A very large variability in vulnerability factors (what is the most crucial weak points physically and also systemically) in a firm, but also how those are related to the different types of stresses (earthquakes, floods)

At the level of policies and interventions: fast recovery is crucial, so for example Treating firms as residential households WrongTreating a flood like an earthquake in terms of recovery provisions Wrong

Utilities and infrastructuresDespite of the Council Directive 2008/114/EC“On the identification and designation of European critical infrastructures and the assessment of theneed to improve their protection”, and other relevant initiatives (World Bank, Sendai) including the OCSE Decision No. 6/13 on the Protection of energy networks from natural and man made disasters

We still have very little empirical data and poor only anedoctical information on what actually happens in case of natural disasters

Role of Public-Private Partnership

The reason why we know so little regarding damage to lifelines and critical infrastructures is certainly the lack of data, because of their fragmentation but also because of the lack of sharing culture

Here is where PPP can really make a difference: the crucial role of the insurance sector, combining data from insurance with data collected by civil protection organisations and with the firms themselves.

Role of Public-Private Partnership

It is also a matter of a more transparent and accountable way to use at the end public money

Transparency regarding data that can be shared, of course not sensitive or private, however the definition of both is a matter of debate

Role of Public-Private PartnershipSo thank you very much for being here, this is really we hope a starting point for the discussion and also knowing each other for other opportunities for funding yes but primarily to be better prepared for the kind of extreme events we will discuss in this day and a half.

I would like very much to thank the Oxford Brooks team, Ray Ogden, Nicholas Walliman, Shahrzad Amouzad and Martin Dolan.