Give an example of an ordered pair (take a guess if you don’t know).
Over Confidence Give your best guess for the value you might expect on the next day, also give a...
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Index D ay B P share price 01/09/2014 M on 482.7 02/09/2014 Tues 477.3 03/09/2014 W ed 483.75 04/09/2014 Thur 455 05/09/2014 Fri 466.8 06/09/2014 Sat 07/09/2014 Sun 08/09/2014 M on 468.7 09/09/2014 Tues 466.85 10/09/2014 W ed 471.6 11/09/2014 Thur 472.2 12/09/2014 Fri 470.15 13/09/2014 Sat 14/09/2014 Sun 15/09/2014 M on 468.3 16/09/2014 Tues 472.35 17/09/2014 W ed 471.05 18/09/2014 Thur 471.3 19/09/2014 Fri 473.3 20/09/2014 Sat 21/09/2014 Sun 22/09/2014 M on 469.95 23/09/2014 Tues 466.05 24/09/2014 W ed 464.95 25/09/2014 Thur 451.8 26/09/2014 Fri 451.7 27/09/2014 Sat 28/09/2014 Sun 29/09/2014 M on 456.35 Over Confidence Give your best guess for the value you might expect on the next day, also give a ninety percent confidence interval for your guess. BP.L Historical Prices | BP Stock - Yahoo! UK & Ireland Finance
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Transcript of Over Confidence Give your best guess for the value you might expect on the next day, also give a...
Index Day BP share price
01/09/2014 Mon 482.7 02/09/2014 Tues 477.3
03/09/2014 Wed 483.75 04/09/2014 Thur 455 05/09/2014 Fri 466.8 06/09/2014 Sat 07/09/2014 Sun 08/09/2014 Mon 468.7 09/09/2014 Tues 466.85 10/09/2014 Wed 471.6 11/09/2014 Thur 472.2 12/09/2014 Fri 470.15 13/09/2014 Sat 14/09/2014 Sun 15/09/2014 Mon 468.3 16/09/2014 Tues 472.35 17/09/2014 Wed 471.05 18/09/2014 Thur 471.3 19/09/2014 Fri 473.3 20/09/2014 Sat 21/09/2014 Sun 22/09/2014 Mon 469.95 23/09/2014 Tues 466.05 24/09/2014 Wed 464.95 25/09/2014 Thur 451.8 26/09/2014 Fri 451.7 27/09/2014 Sat 28/09/2014 Sun 29/09/2014 Mon 456.35
Over Confidence
Give your best guess for the value you might expect on the next day, also give a ninety percent confidence interval for your guess.
BP.L Historical Prices | BP Stock - Yahoo! UK & Ireland Finance
Regression Analysis: BP share price versus Index
Predicted Values for New Observations
New Obs Fit SE Fit 90% CI 90% PI 1 458.82 3.32 (453.08, 464.55) (445.16, 472.47)
BP share Index price 30/09/2014 453.45
Over Confidence
Give your best guess for the value you might expect on the next day, also give a ninety percent confidence interval for your guess.
Exchange Rates - Compare Currency Exchange Rates
Index Day US Dollar exchange rate
01/09/2014 Mon 1.6612 02/09/2014 Tues 1.6473
03/09/2014 Wed 1.6463 04/09/2014 Thur 1.632 05/09/2014 Fri 1.6326 06/09/2014 Sat 1.6326 07/09/2014 Sun 1.6219 08/09/2014 Mon 1.6095 09/09/2014 Tues 1.6107 10/09/2014 Wed 1.6209 11/09/2014 Thur 1.6255 12/09/2014 Fri 1.6274 13/09/2014 Sat 1.6274 14/09/2014 Sun 1.626 15/09/2014 Mon 1.623 16/09/2014 Tues 1.6251 17/09/2014 Wed 1.625 18/09/2014 Thur 1.6435 19/09/2014 Fri 1.6288 20/09/2014 Sat 1.6288 21/09/2014 Sun 1.631 22/09/2014 Mon 1.6365 23/09/2014 Tues 1.6391 24/09/2014 Wed 1.6331 25/09/2014 Thur 1.6325 26/09/2014 Fri 1.6249 27/09/2014 Sat 1.6249 28/09/2014 Sun 1.6235 29/09/2014 Mon 1.6243
Regression Analysis: US Dollar exchange rate versus Index
Predicted Values for New Observations
New Obs Fit SE Fit 90% CI 90% PI 1 1.62530 0.00396 (1.61856, 1.63205) (1.60637, 1.64424)
US Dollar exchange Index rate 30/09/2014 1.6215
Over Confidence
Give your best guess for the value you might expect on the next day, also give a ninety percent confidence interval for your guess.
Weather History for Newcastle Airport, United Kingdom | Weather Underground
Index Day Temperature in Newcastle
01/10/201426/09/201421/09/201416/09/201411/09/201406/09/201401/09/2014
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
Index
Tem
pera
ture
in N
ew
cast
le
Scatterplot of Temperature in Newcastle vs Index
01/09/2014 Mon 13
02/09/2014 Tues 13
03/09/2014 Wed 17
04/09/2014 Thur 16
05/09/2014 Fri 16
06/09/2014 Sat 13
07/09/2014 Sun 12
08/09/2014 Mon 11
09/09/2014 Tues 13
10/09/2014 Wed 13
11/09/2014 Thur 13
12/09/2014 Fri 13
13/09/2014 Sat 13
14/09/2014 Sun 12
15/09/2014 Mon 14
16/09/2014 Tues 14
17/09/2014 Wed 14
18/09/2014 Thur 14
19/09/2014 Fri 14
20/09/2014 Sat 11
21/09/2014 Sun 9
22/09/2014 Mon 11
23/09/2014 Tues 13
24/09/2014 Wed 12
25/09/2014 Thur 13
26/09/2014 Fri 13
27/09/2014 Sat 12
28/09/2014 Sun 16
29/09/2014 Mon 14
30/09/2014 Tues 14
Regression Analysis: Temperature in Newcastle versus Index
Predicted Values for New Observations
New Obs Fit SE Fit 90% CI 90% PI 1 12.478 0.639 (11.390, 13.566) (9.424, 15.532)
Temperature Index in Newcastle 30/09/2014 14
Over Confidence
Give your best guess for the value you might expect on the next day, also give a ninety percent confidence interval for your guess.
TSCO.L Historical Prices | TESCO PLC Stock - Yahoo! UK & Ireland Finance
Index Day Tesco share price
01/10/201426/09/201421/09/201416/09/201411/09/201406/09/201401/09/2014
230
220
210
200
190
Index
Tesc
o s
hare
pri
ce
Scatterplot of Tesco share price vs Index
01/09/2014 Mon 225.55
02/09/2014 Tues 230.9
03/09/2014 Wed 232.6
04/09/2014 Thur 229.45
05/09/2014 Fri 228.5
06/09/2014 Sat
07/09/2014 Sun
08/09/2014 Mon 232.9
09/09/2014 Tues 233.15
10/09/2014 Wed 231.9
11/09/2014 Thur 230.2
12/09/2014 Fri 228.65
13/09/2014 Sat
14/09/2014 Sun
15/09/2014 Mon 228.5
16/09/2014 Tues 225.15
17/09/2014 Wed 224.75
18/09/2014 Thur 227.35
19/09/2014 Fri 229.6
20/09/2014 Sat
21/09/2014 Sun
22/09/2014 Mon 203
23/09/2014 Tues 194.5
24/09/2014 Wed 194.9
25/09/2014 Thur 192.5
26/09/2014 Fri 191.55
27/09/2014 Sat
28/09/2014 Sun
29/09/2014 Mon 187.8
30/09/2014 Tues 186.2
Tesco reveals it overstated first-half results by £250m - FT.com - 22 September 2014
Why!
Regression Analysis: Tesco share price versus Index
Predicted Values for New Observations
New Obs Fit SE Fit 90% CI 90% PI 1 194.09 4.46 (186.39, 201.80) (175.74, 212.45)
Tesco share Index price 30/09/2014 186.2
