Outline of the 2020 White Paper on Information and ......1G 2G 3G 4G 5G Year for introduction...
Transcript of Outline of the 2020 White Paper on Information and ......1G 2G 3G 4G 5G Year for introduction...
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Outline of the 2020 White Paper on Information and Communications in Japan
[Unofficial Translation]
~Digital transformation and new lifestyles prompted by 5G~
August 2020Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, Japan
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Introduction 2
● Spurred by the novel coronavirus pandemic, ICT technologies have become indispensable for maintaining people’s lives and economic activities, with digitalization waves coming to domains where digitalization had failed to make progress.
● On the premise of the protection of human lives, our society and economy will irreversibly evolve into a new phase due to the pandemic. Digitalization and remote service expansion will be fully exploited to produce innovations at personal, industrial and social levels, leading to the creation of new values.
● While integration between cyber and real spaces has made progress through digital infrastructure development and digital technology utilization, it is pointed out that the pandemic will lead cyber and real spaces to be synchronized in society. In the run-up to an end to the pandemic, digital infrastructure including the fifth generation (5G) mobile communications system: as well as IoT, big data, AI and other digital technologies, will become even more important.
A distributed society based on digital infrastructure and digital technology
utilization
Flexible, resilient business operations based on the maximum utilization of data
and online systems
Penetration of new lifestyles and diversified workstyles
IoT
Big data
AI
4G → 5G
4K・8K
Optical fibers
Our society promoted digital transformation through digital infrastructure development and digital technology utilization with the aim of increasing industrial efficiency and enhancing added value.
Digital
technologiesD
igitalinfrastructure
On the premise of the protection of human lives, our society willirreversibly evolve into a new phase to completely synchronize cyber and real spaces and create new values.
Creation of new
values
Industry
People
Society
Novel coronavirus
pandemic
Life before COVID-19 Life with COVID-19
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1G 2G 3G 4G 5GYear for
introduction(Japan)
1979- 1993- 2001- 2010- 2020-
Communications system
Maximum speed(download) 2.4-10kbps 11.2-28.8kbps 0.06-14Mbps 0.04-1Gbps 10Gbps
Terminals
Position
Functional values
Major players
Analog Digital
Automobile telephones
Shoulder phones Feature phones Smartphones
Communications infrastructure
Life infrastructure
Industrial/social infrastructure
Information conveyance Information processing Information/goods control
Telecommunications carriers
Communications equipment maker
Contents/applications providers Digital platformers
Chapter 1 (1) Advancement of Mobile Communications Systems 3
● Japan’s mobile communications systems have greatly improved their functions through generation changes every 10 years since their introduction in 1979, and with the number of users increasing dramatically. Mobile communications infrastructure has evolved into life infrastructure.
● 5G systems put into commercial operations this year in Japan are expected to bring about an even greater social impact, as infrastructure for the IoT age, through their use in various sectors and industries.
● After the United States and South Korea initiated commercial 5G operations in April 2019, other countries have followed suit one after another.
5G Field Trials
Securing crane safety
Monitoring climbers
Truck platooning
Individual identification for cattle farming
Drone and 4K camera
Checking status of lost climbers
Mobile communications system evolution
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89.2 97.7 104.6 107.9 110.9 113.7 116.4 120.6
22.1 27.0 33.6 40.9 51.3 61.5 72.4 87.0 21.3 22.2 22.4 22.4
22.3 22.3 22.3 22.9
26.4 32.0 37.6
44.0 53.9
64.8 77.3
92.7
165.6 187.3
208.7 227.8
253.5 280.4
309.8
348.3
0
100
200
300
400
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Auto & aerospace
Healthcare
Industrial use
Computers
Consumers
Communications
(100 million units)
Forecast
Chapter 1 (2) Structural Telecommunications Market Changes 4
● The number of IoT devices for industries and consumers is forecast to sharply increase in line with the diffusion of IoT/AI, and the launch of commercial 5G operations (①). On the other hand, the number of mobile service contracts is coming close to saturation and is forecast to only moderately increase (②).
● Global mobile terminal market players have dramatically changed in the past decade. While Chinese enterprises have expanded their share of the smartphone market, the presence of Japanese enterprises in the market has declined (③).
(Source) Informa4.3 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.1
20.7 20.8 21.5 21.9 22.3 22.7 23.0
37.7 39.6 39.9 41.2 42.5 43.6 44.5
1.64 1.68 1.76 1.82 1.88 1.94 1.98 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.9 5.9 70.4 72.4 73.6 75.7 77.5 79.1 80.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
(100 million contracts)
Latin America
Japan
Asia Pacific (excludingJapan)
Europe and others
North America
Forecast
① Trends in the number of global IoT devices
② Trends in the number of global mobile service contracts
(Source) Informa
(Source) Informa
③ Global smartphone market share
2009219 million
units
20191,387
million units
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Chapter 2 (1) ICT as Means to Solve Problems/(2) Initiatives for 2020s 5
● Japan is known as a developed country plagued with new problems, such as a declining population and birthrate, which is also rapidly aging. (①) Therefore, Japan needs to introduce and use ICT to proactively improve the quality of employment and life, and raise labor productivity.
● Japan’s 5G mobile technology for the 2020s, which will feature cashless payment services, multilingual voice translation (②), facial recognition, workstyle reform through telework, disaster prevention, and other initiatives, will provide an opportunity to showcase Japan’s ICT to the world, and innovate the whole of Japanese society.
① Japan as a developed country plagued with new problems as indicated by elderly population rates
(Sources)① Prepared from the “World Population Prospects 2019” by the United Nations② Fire and Disaster Management Agency, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
Japan
China
South Korea
Singapore
India
Germany
U.K.
U.S.
Forecast
② Use of multilingual voice translation services
408
772
980
386
700
1071
12 24
364
0
400
800
1200
2017 2018 2019
Cases for using emergency voice translation services(Top 3 languages)
EnglishChineseIndonesian
(Cases)
Use by local fire departments as of January 1, 2020
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-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
2020/5/1 2020/5/8 2020/5/15 2020/5/22 2020/5/29
(* 15:00, April 7, 2020)
State of emergency declaration period
(%)
Chapter 2 (3) Social Impact of the Novel Coronavirus Pandemic 6
● The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic requires people to transition to new lifestyles. ● Contactless lifestyle initiatives using ICT technologies have rapidly expanded, including telework, the
administration sector’s cooperation with civic tech and private enterprises in visualizing personal contacts (①), remote teaching (②) and the relaxation of requirements for remote medical care.
● On the other hand, initiatives must be promoted to resolve new challenges, including an increase in telecommunications traffic through frequent ICT use, lack of security risk responses, a transition to electronic contracts and other business practice reforms, and balancing between public health and personal data utilization.
① Population changes from before* state of emergency declaration in the Tokyo Station area
Implementing remote teaching
67.7%
Considering remote
teaching31.2%
No plan to implement remote teaching
1.1%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
② Future remote teaching plans at universities and technical colleges
(Source) Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (as of May 12, 2020)
(Source) NTT Docomo
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5G terminal4K camera 5G relay station
(28 GHz)
5G Core
Video server PCMountain rescue office display
: High-definition video data(4K): via 5G network
Drone launch pad
Speaking
Video transmission
Loudspeaker : Voice data(Voice): via LTE (long-term evolution)
5G terminal
5G drone
Rescue team member
Lost person
Checking video at a mountain rescue office
LPWA terminal
Speaking5G relay station(28 GHz)
Crane control platform
5G5G
Operation based on high-definition video to secure worker safety
Taking high-definition video of areas blind to the crane operator.
Core 5G system
Chapter 2 (4) 5G to Drive Wireless Industrial Operations ① 7
● 5G implementation in a wide range of industries and sectors is expected to improve business efficiency and create new values (①-④).
● Apart from nationwide mobile services undertaken by mobile operators, local 5G networks have been created for various entities as flexible mobile systems to meet regional and industrial needs, and there are plans to promote demonstrations from this year to develop problem-solving models using local 5G networks.
① Farming (e.g., remote monitoring of cows)
② Infrastructure construction (e.g., securing crane operation safety)
③ Security & safety (e.g., monitoring of mountain climbers)
④ Mobility (e.g., advanced vehicle control)
Plural 4K cameras take video of ear tags on cattle at barns and transmit video data through the 5G network to reduce human labor for locating cows and monitoring their milk output.
The system transmits 4K high-definition video data of areas blind to the crane operator, allowing the operator to safely operate the crane while checking video.
4K video data from a drone is transmitted via a 5G network on a real-time basis at a mountain rescue office, allowing them to promptly check conditions of the location and climber.
In the demonstration test for truck platooning on an expressway, the ultra-low latency of the 5G network makes it possible to control the distance between trucks at 10 meters.
Major assumed 5G use cases
4K video transmission
Target distance between trucks
at 10 m
[Cow barn]
4K camera & 5G terminal
5G relay station
Ear tag reading system
Ear tag reading app server
[Office] Monitoring cows
[Cattle barn] Locating cows
Platooning control system
5G vehicle-mounted terminal
About 80km/h
Inter-vehicle communications
Target distance between trucks
at 10 m
Platooning control system
5G vehicle-mounted terminal
About 80km/h
Inter-vehicle communications
About 80km/h
Platooning control system
5G vehicle-mounted terminal
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8
● A survey of enterprises’ interests in 5G networks found that most companies in all industries are interested in 5G networks. Particularly, manufacturers were highly interested. Large enterprises indicated greater interest than others (①).
● Like Japan, some other countries have created local 5G systems for industrial use, and launched relevant licensing procedures.
① Enterprises’ interests in 5G
24.2%32.2% 30.1%
22.7% 20.4% 16.4%
40.5%
11.3%
42.5%42.6% 44.4%
39.7% 43.0%42.4%
45.9%
39.8%
21.2%15.1% 16.4%
22.4% 24.1% 27.5%
7.6%
32.1%
12.0% 10.1% 9.1% 15.2% 12.5% 13.6%6.0%
16.8%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Don’t know Not interested Interested (yet to implement or consider the 5G) Interested (implementing or considering the 5G)
(Source) Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (2020) “Survey on Current Status of Measurement and Utilization of Economic Values of Digital Data”
Chapter 2 (4) 5G to Drive Wireless Industrial Operations ②
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Chapter 3 (1) Current Digital Data Utilization Status and Challenge 9
● An increase in data flow through the expansion of content capacity and the diffusion of IoT devices is expected to further accelerate in line with the diffusion of 5G.
● While the percentage of IoT devices has increased by four to seven times in the past five years in Japan(①), the most ideal situation would be for Japanese enterprises to utilize digital data as frequently as their U.S. and German counterparts (②).
● The utilization of open data is promoted mainly for civic technologies in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, and is expected to help to resolve many social challenges in the future.
② Enterprises’ utilization of digital data
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Japan (n=600) U.S. (n=100) Germany (n=100)
UtilizingConsidering
① Data used by enterprises for analysis
(Source) Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (2020) “Survey on Current Status of Measurement and Utilization of Economic Values of Digital Data”
0% 10% 20% 30%
POS data
e-commerce sales data
CTI (computer telephony integration) voice data
Fixed phone data
Mobile phone data
Access logs
Video download logs
Blog, SNS and other report data
GPS (global positioning system) data
RFID (radio frequency identifier) data
Sensor data
Traffic and congestion data
Weather data
Security/telemonitoring camera data
Electronic medical record data
Diagnostic imaging data
Electronic receipt data
20152020
IoT devices grewby four to
seven times
*Survey conducted in March 2020.
(Source) Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (2020) “Survey on Consumers’ Consciousness of Data Utilization Environment”
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Chapter 3 (2) Future Personal Data Utilization / (3) Cybersecurity in 5G Age 10
● As Japan has launched personal data trust bank certification and other initiatives, the number of consumers feeling insecure about the provision of personal data has declined from three years earlier, reversing an upward trend (①).
● In the future, personal data trust banks, personal data stores (PDS) (②) and anonymously processed data are expected to be utilized further.
● It is also important to respond to new cybersecurity risks, including those accompanying 5G networks and supply chains.
0%
50%
100%
2017 2020 2017 2020 2017 2020 2017 2020
日本 アメリカ ドイツ 中国
既に利用している(利用したことがある)
利用したい
2017: n=1030, 2020: n=1000
② Consumers’ intentions to utilize personal data trust banks or personal data stores
(Source) Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (2020) “Survey on Consumers’ Consciousness of Data Utilization Environment”
83% 78%61% 67% 61% 65% 73% 74%
0%
50%
100%
2017 2020 2017 2020 2017 2020 2017 2020
Japan U.S. Germany China
Feeling insecure
2017: n=1030, 2020: n=1000
① Insecurity about providing personal data when using services or applications
(Source) Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (2020) “Survey on Consumers’ Consciousness of Data Utilization Environment”
Have already been utilizing (have utilized)
Want to utilize
Japan U.S. Germany China
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Chapter 4 Beyond 5G 11
● Developed countries have already launched “Beyond 5G” initiatives towards the 2030s. ● As government and private sectors should be united to strategically tackle Beyond 5G initiatives under
international cooperation, the government formulated a Beyond 5G Promotion Strategy during the summer of 2020(①).
● Japan should enhance research and development capabilities primarily for technologies related to its strengths or proactive initiatives (including terahertz waves, all-Photonics networks, quantum cryptography, sensing technology, and low-power consumption semiconductors) to secure its international competitiveness.
① Beyond 5G Promotion Strategy – Overview --