ORKLA Long-term value creationreports.huginonline.com/892737/113883.pdf · Annual return as of 31...

66
ORKLA Long-term value creation 20 February 2003

Transcript of ORKLA Long-term value creationreports.huginonline.com/892737/113883.pdf · Annual return as of 31...

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ORKLALong-term value creation

20 February 2003

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Agenda

w Performance (share, industry, portfolio)w Shareholder issuesw Position for future value creation

Strong organisations

Performance and strategic direction

Operational excellence

Growth

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10 year share price performance:Orkla has outperformed

Annual return as of 31 December 2002 if invested 1 Jan 1993

*) TOTX 1993-2001, OSEBX 2002All figures in local currenciesCalculations based on monthly figures, dividends reinvested at end of month of payoutSource: Bloomberg

14.0 %

Orkla

7.4 %

OSE Index*

9.3 %

S&P500

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Orkla has done better than indicesin 7 out of 10 years

-40 %

-20 %

0 %

20 %

40 %

60 %

80 %

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Orkla OSE Index* S&P500

Year-by-year share price performance

*) TOTX 1993-2001, OSEBX 2002All figures in local currenciesCalculations based on monthly figures, dividends reinvested at end of month of payoutSource: Bloomberg

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Orkla has outperformed a synthetic Orkla-share in 8 out of the 10 last years

-40 %-20 %

0 %20 %40 %60 %80 %

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Orkla Synthetic share

Synthetic share: Weighted with FTSE 300 Foods, Household & Personal Care, Beverage, Media and Chemicals Industry indices and OSEBX. Dividends reinvested.

Industry

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72 %

29 %

10 %

33 %

12 %

21 %

11 %

1992 2002

Norway

Other Nordic

Other WesternEurope

CEEOther

10 years of structural growth have made Orkla a Nordic/international company

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Industrial growth has been strong and profitable

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

EBITA SalesCAGR93-0298-0200-02

EBITA11.9 %

9.4 %9.6 %

EBITA(NOKm)

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

Volvo-deal

100%Pripps

Ringnes

CarlsbergBerlingske

Sales(NOK bn.)

0

20

30

50

10

40

Sales10.0 %

8.7 %12.3 %

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Industry ROCE has consistentlybeen higher than today’s WACC

Figures before tax*) Excluding gain on sale of Hartwall-stake (NOKm 1,275)

0 %

5 %

10 %

15 %

20 %

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001* 2002

ROCE Pre-tax WACC = 10.5%

12.4% 12.6% 12.7%

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Current industrial performance

Most businesses are doing well, but we have some challenges:

Performing satisfactorilyw Nordic operations in Foods, Carlsberg Breweries and Brandsw BBHw Chemicals

Current challengesw Improve performance of underachievers

§ Media in Denmark and Poland§ Seafood operations in Poland§ Beverages in Turkey

Portfolio

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-40 %-20 %

0 %20 %40 %60 %80 %

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Orkla's Investments OSE Index

The investment portfolio has done better than the OSE Index in 9 out of the last 10 years

Year-by-year portfolio returns

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Summing up performance

w The Orkla share has performed better than relevant indices, both in the short and long term

w Industrial development is on average satisfactory, but has potential for improvements

w Orkla has a strong platform for further growth and value creation§ Most products hold leading market positions§ Orkla has the expertise to exploit and improve these positions

Shareholder issues

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0.931.13

1.361.58

1.93 2.03

2.50

3.003.25 3.40

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002*

Orkla’s dividend policy

w Shareholders should have a stable, steady increase in dividends,provided that the underlying development of the business is satisfactory

NOK per share

* Proposed for 2002

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Share buy-backs: Bottom-fishing strategy

1999 2000 2001 2002Shares bought 2 672 300 508 600 750 000 2 631 200Average price paid 117.99 128.00 136.39 137.45Buy-back portion 1.3 % 0.2 % 0.4 % 1.2 %Number of transactions 6 1 2 12Shares cancelled 1.3 %

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Orkla complies with principles of good corporate governance

w One share = one votew Independent election committees recommend candidates for

both the Board of Directors and the Corporate Assemblyw No Orkla executives are members of the Board of Directors /

All Board members are independentw Orkla’s auditor has few other assignments for the companyw Long-term bonus systems are determined by the Board and

charged as payroll expenses§ Bonus bank (EVA-related)§ Bonus options 3-6 years

w High visibility accounting (well above average disclosure)§ Few and disclosed off-balance sheet items

Orkla’s vision

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Orkla’s vision

Orkla aims to create superior valueto the benefit of our shareholders,

employees and the societies in which we operate

We will operate better and grow faster than our competitors

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w The Orkla share is to yield an annual return that is 25% higher than that of the Oslo Stock Exchange on a rolling five-year basis§ e.g. OSEBX = 10% p.a. ? Orkla = 12.5% p.a.

w Industrial activities: Growth and continuous improvements are to add economic value each year § Return on existing and new activities above WACC – target 14-15%

w The portfolio is to yield an annual return that is 2 percentage points higher than the Oslo Stock Exchange Benchmark Index on a rollingthree-year basis

Orkla’s operational goal

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-

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 20020.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

Net debt Book equity Net gearing

Orkla has financial capacity for future growth

NOK million Net gearing

w Sound capital structure§ Strong cash flow from operations: NOK 6.1 billion in 2002

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Priorities

w Branded Consumer Goods highest priority § Focus on growth and internationalisation

w Continued specialisation and concentration for Chemicals§ Longer term: Open to value-creating structural solutions

w Limited allocation of new capital to the financial portfolio

Strategic Direction: Industrial growth

Strategic issues by business area

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Orkla Foods: Nordic satisfactory, CEE in build-up phase

w Nordic FMCG: Strong brands and market positions§ Satisfactory profitability, ROCE approximately 15% in

2002 (for Nordic FMCG) § Ambitions for growth and improved profitability

w Orkla Food Ingredients: Nordic market leader

Revenues(NOKm)

8.2 %8.6 %8.7 %

12.7 %13.5 %14.2 %

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

200220012000

Revenues

EBITA-margin

ROCE

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Direction of development

Nordic regionw Consolidate and rationalisew Innovation and organic growthw Growth through acquisitions

Central and Eastern Europe w Establish a solid and profitable platformw Consolidate present positionw Further acquisitionsw Will take time

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9.4 %8.8 %

11.9 %12.3 %12.0 %

11.3 %

0

3 000

6 000

9 000

12 000

15 000

200220012000

Orkla Beverages: From PR to CB - strong value creation

w A strong international brandw Numerous strong local positions and brandsw Sound progress in 2002 (EBITA +21% in DKK)

Revenues(NOKm)

Revenues

EBITA-margin

ROCE

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Direction of development

w Further develop “Carlsberg” as a global premium brand§ Target: Annual growth of 8% (6% in 2002)

w Rationalise and consolidate weaker positionsw Continued growth at BBH, and growth/acquisitions in CEEw Participate in industry consolidation, but only if value-

creating

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17.5 %14.3 %

12.6 %

30.3 %

23.6 %20.0 %

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

200220012000

Orkla Brands: Excellent profitability, strong cash flow

w Strong brands and positionsw Successful innovation ability

Revenues(NOKm)

Revenues

EBITA-margin

ROCE

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Direction of development: More of the same

w Maintain profitability and organic growth through innovation

w Further develop Nordic platforms

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2.1 %

3.9 %

8.1 %

3.2 %

6.6 %

13.3 %

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

200220012000

Orkla Media: Challenging environment

w Strong market positions in Norway, Denmark and Poland

w Weak profitability in Denmark and Poland§ Drop in advertising markets§ Urban vs. Metro

w ROCE 3.2% in 2002 (for Media in total)

Revenues(NOKm)

Revenues

EBITA-margin

ROCE

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Direction of development: Turnaround

w Major task in coming years: Improve existing operations§ Continued cost-cutting and consolidation§ Co-operation with others when profitable

w Target Berlingske: EBITA = DKK 200-250 million in 2005/2006

w Product development

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9.4 %8.6 %

6.7 %

13.1 %13.7 %

10.8 %

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

200220012000

Chemicals: Specialisation and improved profitability

w Leading global positions in specialised wood-based chemical products

w Positions of varying quality in fine chemicalsw Divesting non-core activities

Revenues(NOKm)

Revenues

EBITA-margin

ROCE

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Direction of development: Dual track

w Continued concentration on differentiated positions that can be further developed and specialised§ Grow within wood-based chemicals

w Divest positions where we are not - or cannot become -market leaders and achieve satisfactory returns§ Examples so far:

§ Power utilities§ Ethanol-based products§ Steel drums§ Polymers§ Paper pulp

Examples ofapplications

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LigninBorregaard LignoTech

Pesticides

Concrete additivesConcrete additives

Additives for tiles and bricks

Animal feed binders

Dyes

Oil well additives

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Speciality celluloseBorregaard ChemCell

• Pharmaceutical ingredients• Food ingredients• Cosmetics• Construction materials• High performance polymers

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Fine chemicalsBorregaard Synthesis

PharmaceuticalsPharmaceuticals

X-ray contrast media

Flavouringsand fragrances

Pesticides

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Financial Investments: Better than benchmarks

w Portfolio market value approx. NOK 12 billion§ Plus real estate and forestry assets NOK 1.5 billion

w Long-term superior returns compared with indices

w Synergies with Industry area

w Own research with focus on identifying value-creating companies rather than valuation only

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Financial Investments: Direction of development

w Limited allocation of new capital to the portfoliow Unbalanced portfoliow Long-term perspectivew Nordic focusw Increased degree of concentrationw Adds financial flexibility and strength

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Orkla in 3-5 years

w A larger and more profitable company

w More concentrated on branded consumer goods

w Relatively smaller investment portfolio

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Strong organisations

Agenda

Building competitive advantage throughw Commercial culturew Core competenciesw Management development

Performance and strategic direction

Operational excellence

Growth

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Creating competitive advantageby building a strong organisation

QUALITY OF OPERATIONS

• Brand building

• Innovation

• Customer relations

• Productivity

STRUCTURAL GROWTH

• 1986 Borregaard

• 1991 Nora

• 1995 Procordia/Abba

• 1997 Pripps Ringnes 100%

• 2000 Carlsberg Breweries 40%Berlingske

Core CompetenciesManagementDevelopment

CorporateCulture

OutputInput

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Strong programmes for corporate cultureand competence development

The Competence Board- CEO (Chairman)- Other members of the Executive Board- Managing Directors of the Business Units- Director of Human Resources

Corporate culture

Management

Marketing

Sales

Logistics/Production

Procurement

Function

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The purpose of Orkla’s culture is tocreate competitive edge through attitudes

““In”In” ““Out”Out”

Long-term view Ad-hoc strategies

Improvement-oriented Status quo-tyranny

Facts-based management Glossing over – belief in myths

Business-oriented Civil-servant culture

Normative competence Unsystematic learning

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Development: Intro Orkla Brand Local management training Middle management Senior mgtm programSchool Orkla Brand School main course

course Senior Brand Course

Creating competitive advantage bysystematically developing core competencesExample from Marketing Department

ProductManager

Marketing Director

MarketManager

Marketing Manager

Recruiting overqualified people

Responsible forother staff

Entry

2-3 years

2-3 years

2-4 years

Senior Management

Group

On the job training

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Agenda

w Top-line growthw Cost improvements

Performance and strategic direction

Operational excellence

Strong organisations

Growth

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Differentiated products are fundamental to growth in revenues and profitability

w Long-term platform for further innovation§ Establishing preferences and loyalty§ Increasing willingness to pay premium price

w Long-term pruning of brands and excellent advertising

Innovation:

Goal: Leading market positions

Orkla will exit categories in which differentiation is difficult

Brand building:

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Orkla Foods and Brands -more than 80% of turnover from no 1 positions

N S DK FIN

Positions - examples§ Frozen pizza 1 1 - 1§ Ketchup 1 1 1 1§ Dressings 1 1 - 2§ Pickled vegetables 1 1 1 1§ Jam/Marmalade 1 1 1 -§ Kaviar (fish roe spread) 3 1 1 1§ Marzipan 1 1 1 1§ Detergents 1 - - -§ Personal Care 1 - - -§ Biscuits 1 1 - 3§ Confectionery 1 - - -§ Cod Liver Oil 1 - 3 1§ Household Textiles 1 1 - 3§ Snacks (40%) 2 1 1 -

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9.1 %9.6 %

10.4 %11.1 %

11.9 %

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Example: Nordic Foods and Brands – differentiated products are important for improving operating margin

EBITA-margin for Nordic Foods and Brands

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Example: ChemCell – improved prices and profitability through specialisation

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Specialties Dissolving Other

40

60

80

100

120

140

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Price index

Specialties Dissolving Other

1000 t

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Examples of product categories Orkla has exiteddue to lack of differentiation opportunities

w Frozen vegetablesw Chilled meatw Flourw Ethanol based productsw Paper pulpw Polymers

Innovation & Brand building

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Innovation – Orkla’s key competitive strength in Branded Consumer Goods

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Strong brands create a platform for continued development of ”new” products

Original product New flavour: “Mild Taco”

Smallportion

Line extension: Pizzas as toasts

Starting point 2001 2002 2002

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Good advertising is critical to the success of innovations

w Focuses on the brand

w Concentrates on the brand’s principal advantages; functional as well as emotional

w Captures viewers’ attention

Commercials

w Has a simple message (understandable on first viewing)

w Triggers a purchase - creates a desire to try the product

w Is remembered - including which brand was being advertised

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Orkla’s platform for further profitable top-line growth

Efficiency programmes

w Leading in local consumer understanding

w Significant base of no. 1 positions

w Substantial expertise in innovation and advertising

w Well developed normative tools that have proved their effectiveness

w Extensive use of resources for income-generating measures

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Orkla’s tool for continuous improvementof production efficiency: E100

Recognised as best practice within Orkla - now to be rolled out in rest of Group, starting with Orkla Foods

w The E100 improvement programme initiated at Stabburet in 1994

w Further developed into a world class tool

w Counteracts inflation pressure on existing products - creates a stable platform for growth through innovation

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Example Stabburet: Annual improvement in cost efficiency

% of COGS

0.0 %

0.5 %

1.0 %

1.5 %

2.0 %

2.5 %

3.0 %

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

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Orkla’s tool for step change improvement: RedesignThe goal is to upgrade cost efficiency of underperforming areas

w Produces lasting improvement§ Eliminates activities that do not create value§ Simplifies the organisation§ Introduces new working methods and specific targets

w Coherent improvement programme, example Chemicals in Sarpsborg, Norway§ Workforce reduction: 205 man-years§ Cost savings: NOK 200 million§ To be continued in connection with the integration of Atisholz

Similar programmes are currently being carried out in other partsof the Group (Biscuits Sweden, Procordia Food, Abba Seafood)

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Special improvement programmes are necessary after acquisitions or significant market changes: Berlingske

External changes:

Actions:

Status at 31.12.02

w 28% drop in advertising market since 2000w Competition from free newspaper Metro Xpress

w New organisational structurew Editorial redirection of newspapersw New printing plant structure and conversion of main printing

plantw Standardisation/centralisation of service functionsw Launch of Urban to counter Metro

wWorkforce cuts: 529 man-years or 17% since 2000

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Examples of cost reduction programmes from 2000

17%529Several efficiency improvement measuresBerlingske 01-02

7%110Improving productivity and distributionMedia Norway 00-02

12%302Improving productivity and distributionCB Switzerland 02

30%500Lay-offs and closing down plantsSuperfish Poland 02

15%278Improving productivity and distributionMedia Poland 00-02

12%283Realise merger effectsCB Sweden 02

25%163Moving production from Norway from Swedenand improving productivity

Biscuits 01-02

50%198Improving productivity and distributionKotlin Poland 00-02

16%205Improving productivityChemicals Norway 00-02

Man-years reduced in % of total

Man-years reduced

MeasureUnit and time period

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Summary: Programmes to improve cost effectiveness

Orkla has established two world class efficiency improvement tools that are being introduced throughout the Group

w E-100 Continuous efficiency improvementw Redesign Step change efficiency improvement

Furthermore, projects are tailored to meet specific needs

w Post-acquisition integration: Atisholzw Changes in operating parameters: Berlingske

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Agenda

w Frontier of opportunitiesw The Nordic region as home marketw Building a platform for growth in Eastern

Europe

Performance and strategic direction

Operational excellence

Strong organisations

Growth

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18.0

23.0

28.0

33.0

38.0

43.0

48.0

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

Structural development:Important contributor to profitable growth

Revenues

(NOK billion)

Acquisition of Abba and Procordia. Establishing Pripps Ringnes with Volvo

Acquisition of remaining shares in Pripps Ringnes

Establishing Carlsberg Breweries and acquisition of Berlingske

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Broad competence and business basecreate many opportunities

Expertise

Differentiated products• No. 1 or 2

Geography

Orkla FoodsTurnover approx.NOK 11 bn

Orkla BeveragesTurnover approx.NOK 14 bn

Orkla BrandsTurnover approx.

NOK 5 bn

Orkla MediaTurnover approx.

NOK 7 bn

ChemicalsTurnover approx.

NOK 6 bn

Expertise

Differentiated products• No. 1 or 2

Geography

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Example: Ringnes

w National brewery in Norwayw Cartel backgroundw No international strength (brand,

expertise, etc)w Operating profit NOK 219 m (8%)

Value 2,5 - 3 Net investment 2,5 ˜ 14-15(NOK billion)

1992 2002

40%100%

w World’s 5-6th largest brewery groupw Strong international brandw Good growth potential

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Orkla’s willingness to enter into joint ventures broadens the frontier of opportunities

w In principle, we wish to own 100% of companiesw We can accept JVs where this creates values that would not otherwise

be realisablew JV are primarily financed with own funds, and shareholder agreements

ensure that cash is not locked in

But,w We will protect our cash flow and our reputation as an industrial

companyw Limited possibilities of creating large JVs which include entire business

areas that are currently part of the Orkla Group

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Acquisition criteria designed to create value

w Expected return above pre-tax WACC 10.5%

w Within prioritised geography/product areas

w Differentiated products with potential for market leadership

w Strong local management

w Clear development plan / list of specific value-adding actions in areas where Orkla has credible execution capacity in the local market

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Orkla: Long-term value creationthrough

High-quality of organisation• Attitudes: Commercial culture• Skills: Core competencies• Management: Talent and training

Organic top-line and margin growth• Differentiated products• Innovation

Continuous improvements• Cost-cutting• Quality enhancement

Based on core competencies• Branded consumer goods• Specialised wood-based

chemicals products

Exploiting frontier of opportunities• Commercial opportunism• Gives growth advantages

Exploiting two-legged structure• Positioning opportunities• Flexible reserve of capital

Acquisitive growthOperational excellence

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