Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged...

21
Oriflame Holding AG SECOND QUARTER 2018 INVESTOR PRESENTATION Magnus Brännström, CEO Gabriel Bennet, CFO Nathalie Redmo, Sr. Manager IR AUGUST 7, 09.30 CET

Transcript of Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged...

Page 1: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

Oriflame Holding AGSECOND QUARTER 2018

INVESTOR PRESENTATION

Magnus Brännström, CEO

Gabriel Bennet, CFO

Nathalie Redmo, Sr. Manager IR

AUGUST 7, 09.30 CET

Page 2: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

Reminder - important clarifying information IFRS

• Oriflame has implemented IFRS 15 Revenue from Contracts with Customers from 1st January2018. An early adoption of IFRS 16 Leases has been made to allow for all changes beingimplemented at the same time.

• To facilitate the comparison with the 2017 figures, the company has prepared fully adjusted 2018figures, excluding the impact of IFRS 15, IFRS 16 and related accounting alignments. The fullyadjusted figures are comparable with the already reported 2017 figures.

• Where not stated differently, the figures, graphs and comments in this presentation are based onthe fully adjusted 2018 figures, to facilitate the comparison with the 2017 figures.

2

Page 3: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

SECOND QUARTERHIGHLIGHTS

3

Page 4: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

4

• Sales €321.9m (347.6m) -7% in €, +1% in lc

− Overall weak sales development:

• Negative timing of catalogues and conferences

• Challenging market conditions in some key markets

• Less successful product launches compared to prior year

− Q3 update: 5% QTD and 4% YTD lc sales

• Operating margin 12.0% (11.7%)

− Currency impact -270 bps

− Favourable timing and one-off effects of above 100 bps

− Net profit €25.7m (€19.9m)

• €50m issue of Euro denominated private placement notes

• Strong net financial position

Q2 highlights

Page 5: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

Operational highlights

• Price/mix +10%

− Unit decline -9%

• Registered actives -1%

− Lc productivity +2%

• Strongest performance in Wellness

• Several launches within Skin Care

• The Oriflame Sustainability Report published

• Continued strong online development

− New app introduced in China

− 850,000 monthly active users of the Oriflame app

5

Page 6: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

6

Regions 12% (12%)

24% (23%)

24% (27%)

40% (38%)

Sales

Registered actives

10% (10%)

25% (26%)

29% (28%)

36% (36%)

8% (11%)

21% (19%)

19% (18%)

52% (52%)

Operating profit

Page 7: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

Latin America

• Sales force and productivity

− Registered actives -4%

− Lc productivity +3%

− € productivity -6%

• Weak development in Mexico

− Price increases dampened activity and recruitment

• Solid growth in Ecuador

• Operating margin -400 bps

− Sales deleverage

− Negative currency movements

− Price increases

7

*Figures following the adoption of IFRS 15 and IFRS 16

€m

Q2’18* Q2’18 Q2’17 Change

LTM,

July’17 -

June’18

LTM,

July16 -

June’17

Change YE’17

Sales, €m 35.5 36.8 40.9 (10%) 150.7 156.8 (4%) 157.5

Lc sales - - - (1%) - - 2% -

Operating profit, €m

3.7 4.0 6.0 (34%) 19.4 22.4 (13%) 20.8

Operating margin

10.5% 10.8% 14.8% - 12.9% 14.3% - 13.2%

Registered actives ‘000

274 274 284 (4%) 274 284 (4%) 280

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18

Net Sales LTM Op Margin % LTM

Page 8: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

100

150

200

250

300

350

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18

Net Sales LTM Adj. Op Margin % LTM

Europe & Africa

• Sales force and productivity

− Registered actives -6%

− Lc productivity +4%

− € productivity +4%

• Stable sales in Central Europe

− Continued growth in Poland and Romania

• Performance in Western Europe remained weak

• Modest growth in Africa

− Macroeconomic difficulties

• Operating margin +170 bps

− Price increases

− Lower selling and marketing expenses

− Negative currency movements

8

*Figures following the adoption of IFRS 15 and IFRS 16

Q2’18* Q2’18 Q2’17 Change

LTM,

July’17 -

June’18

LTM,

July16 -

June’17

Change YE’17

Sales, €m 76.4 78.1 80.3 (3%) 319.7 327.4 (2%) 324.7

Lc sales - - - (2%) - - (1%) -

Operating profit, €m

11.5 11.4 10.4 10% 44.3 46.5 (5%) 45.2

Operating margin

15.0% 14.6% 12.9% - 13.8% 14.2% - 13.9%

Registered actives ‘000

690 690 734 (6%) 690 734 (6%) 783

€m

Page 9: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

CIS

• Sales force and productivity

− Registered actives was stable

− Lc productivity -8%

− € productivity -19%

• Negative timing of catalogues

• Russia lc sales -13%

− Weak consumer offering

− External price pressure

• Positive development in Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Belarus

• Operating margin +60 bps

− Lower distribution and infrastructure expenses

− Negative exchange rates

− Negative timing of selling and marketing expenses

9

*Figures following the adoption of IFRS 15 and IFRS 16

€m

Q2’18* Q2’18 Q2’17 Change

LTM,

July’17 -

June’18

LTM,

July16 -

June’17

Change YE’17

Sales, €m 71.0 75.2 92.9 (19%) 324.2 353.6 (9%) 356.8

Lc sales - - - (8%) - - (3%) -

Operating profit, €m

8.1 8.3 9.7 (14%) 43.5 40.2 8% 45.4

Operating margin

11.5% 11.1% 10.5% - 13.4% 11.4% - 12.7%

Registered actives ‘000

792 792 794 (0%) 792 794 (0%) 859

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

100

200

300

400

500

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18

Net Sales LTM Adj. Op Margin % LTM

Page 10: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

Asia & Turkey

• Sales force and productivity

− Registered actives +2%

− Lc productivity +6%

− € productivity -3%

• Slower sales growth compared to previous quarters

− Negative timing of conferences

− Less successful new product launches

• Double-digit sales growth in China and Vietnam

• Challenging market conditions in Indonesia and Turkey

• India still struggling to return to growth

• Operating margin +70 bps

− Favourable geographical mix

− Negative currency movements

10

*Figures following the adoption of IFRS 15 and IFRS 16

€m

Q2’18* Q2’18 Q2’17 Change

LTM,

July’17 -

June’18

LTM,

July16 -

June’17

Change YE’17

Sales, €m 123.2 128.7 130.3 (1%) 522.0 469.3 10% 510.2

Lc sales - - - 8% - - 22% -

Operating profit, €m

28.5 28.5 28.0 2% 117.3 94.4 24% 110.3

Operating margin

23.1% 22.2% 21.5% - 22.5% 20.1% - 21.6%

Registered actives ‘000

1,012 1,012 994 2% 1,012 994 2% 1,145

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18

Net Sales LTM Op Margin % LTM

Page 11: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

FINANCIALS

11

Page 12: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

Q2 income statement

• Sales mix

− Unit sales -9%

− Price/mix +10%

• Gross margin 73.4% (72.9%)

− Negative currency movements

− Positive price/mix effect

• Operating margin +30 bps

− Negative currency impact 270 bps

− Lower selling and marketing expenses

− Lower distribution and infrastructure expenses

− Lower costs for SIP and bonuses

− Higher administrative costs

− Favourable timing and one-off effects of above 100 bps

• Net profit €25.7 (€19.9m)

− Diluted EPS €0.45 (€0.35)

12

*Figures following the adoption of IFRS 15 and IFRS 16

Q2’18* Q2’18 Q2’17 Change

LTM,

July’17 -

June’18

LTM,

July16 -

June’17

Change YE’17

Sales, €m 309.2 321.9 347.6 (7%) 1,331.4 1,321.8 0% 1,363.1

Lc sales - - - 1% - - 7% -

Operating profit, €m

38.1 38.5 40.5 (5%) 157.8 137.5 15% 159.0

Operating margin

12.3% 12.0% 11.7% - 11.9% 10.4% - 11.7%

Registered actives ‘000

2,768 2,768 2,806 (1%) 2,768 2,806 (1%) 3,067

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18

Net Sales LTM Op Margin % LTM€m

Page 13: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

Group currency impact on sales since 2010

13

Page 14: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

Price/mix impact on sales

14

4%

0%

3% 3%

5%

9%

5%

4%

7% 7%

9% 9%

14% 14%

15%

16%

12%

11%

12%

11%

7%

9%

10%

14%

10%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

Q2 '1

2

Q3 '1

2

Q4 '1

2

Q1 '1

3

Q2 '1

3

Q3 '1

3

Q4 '1

3

Q1 '1

4

Q2 '1

4

Q3 '1

4

Q4 '1

4

Q1 '1

5

Q2 '1

5

Q3 '1

5

Q4 '1

5

Q1 '1

6

Q2 '1

6

Q3 '1

6

Q4 '1

6

Q1 '1

7

Q2 '1

7

Q3 '1

7

Q4 '1

7

Q1 '1

8

Q2 '1

8

Average

9%

Page 15: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

Q2 sales and operating margin analysis

15

Sales vs. PY

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

(8%)

Units Price / mix

LC Sales 1%

€ Sales (7%)

OP Margin vs. PY

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Price / m

ix

1.8%

FX

(0.2%)

Oth

er

incom

e

(2.7%)

OM

Q2 2

017

Pro

duct cost

0.5%0.9%

(0.5%)

Dis

trib

. &

Infr

a.

0.5%

Selli

ng &

Mark

eting

OM

Q2 2

018

12.0%

Adm

in.

11.7%

10%(9%)

FX

Page 16: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

Financial position

• Net debt at hedged values €53.3m (€43.9m)

− Net debt €84.2m (€82.4m)

• Net debt at hedged values/ EBITDA (LTM) 0.3 (0.3)

− Net debt/EBITDA (LTM) 0.4 (0.5)

• Interest cover (Q2): 8.3 (13.2)

• Interest cover (LTM): 10.0 (8.3)

Covenant disclosure

• Consolidated Net Debt to Consolidated EBITDA: 0.4 (covenant at ≤ 3.0

times)

• Consolidated EBITDA to Consolidated Finance costs: 16.9 (covenant at

≥ 5.0 times / 4.0 times for RCF)

• Consolidated Net Worth: €221.6m (covenant at ≥ €120m / N/A for RCF

or in 2017 and 2018 Euro denominated private placement notes)

16

* Adjusted for fair value movements of the USD private placement notes-0.2

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18

Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18

Interest cover (LTM)

€m

Page 17: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

Cash flow

Q2 operating cash flow €28.5m (€33.9m)

• Net profit before tax €+4.6m

• Non-cash items in net profit before tax €-1.0m

• Impact from changes in working capital and provisions €-14.9m

− Inventories €+8.8m

− Receivables, prepaid exp., asset derivatives €-2.2m

− Payables, accrued exp., liability derivatives €-21.5m

− Provisions €+0.0m

• Interest, charges, taxes €+5.9m

17

Q2 18* Q2’17 LTM’18 YE ’17

Net profit before income

tax, €m34.3 29.7 139.2 133.2

Op. profit before changes

in wc, €m49.8 46.2 173.1 177.9

Change in working cap.

and provisions, €m(7.2) 7.7 (16.7) 0.1

Operating CF, €m 28.5 33.9 143.7 122.7

CF Investing Activities,

€m(1.9) (3.0) (14.8) (15.8)

*Figures calculated as per the new IFRS 15 and 16 standards

0

5

10

15

20

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18

LTM Operating cash flow LTM Capex€m

0

50

100

150

200

Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18

Total inventory€m

Page 18: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

CONCLUSIONSAND GOING FORWARD

18

Page 19: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

19

• Overall weak sales development in Q2:

− Negative timing of catalogues and conferences

− Challenging market conditions in some key markets

− Less successful product launches compared to prior year

• Q3 update: 5% QTD and 4% YTD lc sales

− Continue to face challenges in some key markets

• Going forward:

− Continue to drive long-term strategy

− Emphasised focus on categories driving activity and recruitment

− Continued roll-out of the e-commerce platform

− New broadened group management

Conclusions and going forward

Page 20: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16
Page 21: Oriflame Holding AG · Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Net Debt at hedged values* Net Debt at hedged values* / EBITDA LTM 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 Q2 16

© O R I F L A M E C O S M E T I C S A G , 2 0 1 8

CAUTIONARY STATEMENT

Some statements herein are forward-looking and the actual outcome could be materially different. In addition to the factors explicitly

commented upon, the actual outcome could be materially affected by other factors like, for example, the effect of economic conditions,

exchange-rate and interest-rate movements, political risks, impact of competing products and their pricing, product development,

commercialisation and supply disturbances.

21