ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al....
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![Page 1: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
ORCA with e
J. Brunner
![Page 2: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Step 1
• Oscillation probabilities– Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254)– 23=45˚ (avoid octant problem)– CP-phases : colored bands (NH : red, IH : blue)
• Averaged over fluxes (Honda) and cross sections• All components taken into account– µ µ e e
• Perfect flavour identification• NC ignored• ignored
![Page 3: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Flavour average Posc (µ)
cos = 0.25 cos = 0.45
cos = 0.65 cos = 0.85
![Page 4: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Flavour average Posc (e)
cos = 0.25 cos = 0.45
cos = 0.65 cos = 0.85
![Page 5: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Step 2
• Event Numbers for 6 years of data taking– Numbers are per bin (0.1) in cos– Uncertainties are from width of CP-band
• Averaged over fluxes and cross sections• All components taken into account– µ µ e e
• Perfect flavour identification• NC ignored• ignored
![Page 6: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Nev (µ) perfect resolution
cos = 0.25 cos = 0.45
cos = 0.65 cos = 0.85
NH : 426621IH : 41972
NH : 334530IH : 33952
NH : 30335IH : 31452
NH : 294815IH : 30053
![Page 7: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Nev (e) perfect resolution
cos = 0.25 cos = 0.45
cos = 0.65 cos = 0.85
NH : 378147IH : 37898
NH : 277651IH : 27096
NH : 224112IH : 20884
NH : 185227IH : 16775
![Page 8: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Step 3
• Event Numbers for 6 years of data taking• Averaged over fluxes and cross sections• All components taken into account– µ µ e e
• Perfect flavour identification• NC ignored• ignored
• Energy resolution 25% Gaussian in E
![Page 9: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Nev (µ) perfect resolution
cos = 0.25 cos = 0.45
cos = 0.65 cos = 0.85
![Page 10: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Nev (µ) 25% E resolution
cos = 0.25 cos = 0.45
cos = 0.65 cos = 0.85
![Page 11: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Nev (e) perfect resolution
cos = 0.25 cos = 0.45
cos = 0.65 cos = 0.85
![Page 12: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Nev (e) 25% resolution
cos = 0.25 cos = 0.45
cos = 0.65 cos = 0.85
![Page 13: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Step 4
• Event Numbers for 6 years of data taking• Averaged over fluxes and cross sections• All components taken into account– µ µ e e
• Flavour misidentification from P2O note• NC added• added
• Energy resolution 25% Gaussian in E
![Page 14: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Nev (µ) 25% E resolution
cos = 0.25 cos = 0.45
cos = 0.65 cos = 0.85
![Page 15: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Flavour misidentificationcos = 0.25 cos = 0.45
cos = 0.65 cos = 0.85
![Page 16: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Nev (e) 25% resolution
cos = 0.25 cos = 0.45
cos = 0.65 cos = 0.85
![Page 17: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Flavour misidentificationcos = 0.25 cos = 0.45
cos = 0.65 cos = 0.85
![Page 18: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Significance
• Cross check : Perfect conditions• Ok w.r.t. V.L. & Smirnov• 6 years (~ 10 Mton*years)
µ e
![Page 19: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Significance
• Resolution included : 25% E ; : 0.5 m/E
• Perfect particle ID, no NC, ignored• 6 years (~ 10 Mton*years)
• 6 years (~ 10 Mton*years)µ e
![Page 20: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Significance
• Resolution included : 25% E ; : 0.5 m/E
• Imperfect particle ID, NC, included• 6 years (~ 10 Mton*years)
• 6 years (~ 10 Mton*years)tracks cascades
![Page 21: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Significance
• Resolution included : 25% E ; : 0.5 m/E
• NO particle ID, NC, included• 6 years (~ 10 Mton*years)
All events
![Page 22: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Significance – time dependence• Electrons are better !!• Measurement still possible without particle ID• Absolute values here are too good, comparison
among curves counts– Solid : only resolution– Dashed : also misreco e
µ
No particle ID
![Page 23: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Event Ratios
• Resolution included : 25% E ; : 0.5 m/E
• Perfect particle ID, no NC, ignored
µ e
![Page 24: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Event Ratios
• Resolution included : 25% E ; : 0.5 m/E
• Imperfect particle ID, NC, included
tracks cascades
![Page 25: ORCA with e J. Brunner. Step 1 Oscillation probabilities – Values from Fogli et al. (arxiv:1205.5254) – 23 =45˚ (avoid octant problem) – CP-phases :](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070415/5697bf871a28abf838c88f07/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Event Ratios
• Resolution included : 25% E ; : 0.5 m/E
• NO particle ID, NC, included
All events