Or, Why the ‘Fly-Over’ States are More Important than We Thought.
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Transcript of Or, Why the ‘Fly-Over’ States are More Important than We Thought.
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Central US Earthquake Risks & Their Distant Impacts
Or, Why the ‘Fly-Over’ States are More Important than We Thought
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Phyllis Steckel, RG
Earthquake Insight LLCWashington, Mo.
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Earthquake Risks in the Central US
Hazards Risks
Ground-shakingLiquefactionLateral spreadingSlumpingLandslidesAftershocks
Direct loss of life & property
Business interruptionUninsured lossesLoss of infrastructureLoss of marketLoss of market share
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“Fly-Over States”
East & West Coasts have
Most populationEconomic power Political heavyweights International
gatewaysTechnology centers“Emerging”
incubators
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“Fly-Over States” Unique process
facilities and industrial resources
Critical transportation corridors
National well-being depends on Central US
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Key Commodities
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New Madrid AreaCorporation’s
largest soybean seed production plant
$60M investment, built in 2011
50-acre footprint; 129-acre site
65 employees
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New Madrid AreaPrimary aluminum – North America’s
largest foil producerElectrical and cable supply marketsFoundry alloy for vehicle wheels, hubs, &
gas pump nozzles
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New Madrid Area
Coal-fired power plant
On banks of Mississippi River
Third-largest electric utility in Missouri
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Southeast Missouri
City-owned power plant
Coal-fired
Straddles liquefaction features from 1811-12 earthquakes
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‘Swamp east’ Missouri
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Little River Drainage DistrictLRDD formed by
landowners many other drainage districts!
Designed and built 1908-1928 infrastructure
Many engineers & workers from Panama Canal project
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Little River Drainage District
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Little River Drainage DistrictDiverts runoff from the
Ozarks to the Mississippi
Channelized surface waters between the Mississippi and the St. Francis rivers
Productive industrialized agriculture now
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“The Delta” of Missouri & ArkansasWater table near
surface
Near-flat surface topography
Shows evidence of past uplifts & downdrops from earthquakes
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Northeast ArkansasMini-mills steel
recycling
Second-largest steel producing area in the US
Mostly structural steel
New $1.1B+ steel “super project” begun in 2013
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Northeast Arkansas
Steel industry suppliers
Arkansas Aeroplex – one of longest runways in US
Engineered drainages
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Regional Critical FacilitiesPaducah Gaseous Diffusion
Plant – located in floodplain
Opened in 1952 as only US-owned uranium enrichment facility
Owned by US Dept of Energy; privately operated
Closure, decontamination & demolition in progress
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Regional Critical Facilities
Critical National Geospatial Intelligence Agency facilities are located in St. Louis and Arnold, Mo.
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Critical TransportationAir transport &
logistics
Railroad
Trucking
River barge
Pipeline
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Air TransportMemphis: world’s
busiest cargo airportCargo super-hub‘America’s
Distribution Center’FedEx (30,000+) in
MEM
17% of Memphis workers in transportation – highest in the country
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Critical Rail TransportationRail transport
system at/near capacity
Critical concentration in central US
Memphis Intermodal serves 26% US population, 30% of US output
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Critical Highway TransportationMemphis, Little
Rock, & St. Louis: busiest east-west trucking corridors in US
Interstates 55, 44, 64, 57, 70, 40
Hundreds of trucking terminals
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Critical River TransportationMoves commodities
within one-third of US
Memphis is fourth-largest inland port in US
St. Louis is second-largest by ton-miles
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Critical River Transportation Memphis #1 in
foreign import tonnage
~20,000+ jobs
~$10B+ economic impact
Coal, grain, ores, steel, cotton,
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Critical Pipeline Transportation
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Critical Inventory ExposureMemphis inventories
surgical supplies, house-hold goods, auto parts, pharmaceuticals, etc.
Order by midnight, next-day delivery
Headquarters & customers elsewhere
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‘Fly-Over’ States Critical
Much of the country’s inventory and resources are located in or travel through
the central US.
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Much of the country’s inventory
and resources are exposed to earthquake hazards and
earthquake risks that are generally
unrecognized.
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Sustainable Disaster RecoveryDepends on
recognizing potential big-picture impacts
Depends on leadership to take action to mitigate big-picture impacts