Options on Stock Indices and Currencies
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Transcript of Options on Stock Indices and Currencies
15.1
Options on Stock Indices and Currencies
Chapter 15
15.2
Index Options
The most popular underlying indices in the U.S. are The S&P 100 Index (OEX and XEO) The S&P 500 Index (SPX) The Dow Jones Index times 0.01 (DJX) The Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX)
Contracts are on 100 times index; they are settled in cash; OEX is American; the XEO and all other options are European.
15.3
Index Option Example
Consider a call option on an index with a strike price of 560
Suppose 1 contract is exercised when the index level is 580
What is the payoff?
(580–560)100=2000
Portfolio Insurance with Index Puts
Type of Protective Put (but applied to portfolios) Problem: Portfolio not the same as index Must determine #puts and K # of puts = betaX(Vport/(100xVindex)) Strike price, K: Derived from Vprotect and SML
(security market line) Rindex & Rport each split into 2 components:
capital gains & dividends
15.5
Using Index Options for Portfolio Insurance
Suppose the value of the index is S0 and the strike price is K
If a portfolio has a of 1.0, the portfolio insurance is obtained by buying 1 put option contract on the index for each 100S0 dollars held
If the is not 1.0, the portfolio manager buys put options for each 100S0 dollars held
In both cases, K is chosen to give the appropriate insurance level
15.6
Example 1
Portfolio has a beta of 1.0 It is currently worth $500,000 The index currently stands at 1000 Portfolio & index: same dividend yield of 4% q.c. What trade is necessary to provide insurance
against the portfolio value falling below $450,000 by end of quarter?
Risk-free rate = 12% with quarterly compound. (compounding period matches time horizon)
Buys 5 puts with K = 900
15.7
Example 2 (same as Example 1 except for higher beta)
Portfolio has a beta of 2.0 It is currently worth $500,000 and index
stands at 1000 Interest rates quoted: quarterly compounding The risk-free rate is 12% per annum The dividend yield on both the portfolio and
the index is 4% Portfolio insurance: #puts = 10; K = 960
Effect of beta increase on portfolio insurance
#puts increases. Why? K, strike price, also increases. Why? Increase in beta means greater probability
mass below the threshold (Vprotect). Thus, require higher indemnity (payoff from the insurance policy). Ergo, more insurance contracts, i.e. puts.
15.9
If index rises to 1040, it provides a 40/1000 or 4% return in 3 months
Total return (incl. dividends)=5% Excess return of index over risk-free
rate= 2% = (5-3)% Excess return for portfolio=4%= 2(2%) Increase in Portfolio Value=4–1+3=6% Portfolio value= $530,000 =
$500,000(1.06)
Calculating Relation Between Index Level and Portfolio Value in 3 months
15.10
Determining the Strike Price:nexus between Vprotect & K is SML
Value of Index in 3 months (K)
Expected Portfolio Value in 3 months (Vprotect $)
1,080 570,000 1,040 530,000 1,000 490,000 960 450,000 920 410,000 880 370,000
An option with a strike price of 960 will provide protection against a 10% decline in the portfolio value from $500,000.
15.11
Currency Options Currency options trade on the Philadelphia
Exchange (PHLX) There also exists an active over-the-counter
(OTC) market Currency options are used by corporations
to buy insurance when they have an FX exposure
15.12
European Options on StocksPaying Dividend Yields
We get the same probability distribution for the stock price at time T in each of the following cases:
1. The stock starts at price S0 and provides a dividend yield = q
2. The stock starts at price S0e–q T
and provides no income
15.13
European Options on StocksPaying Dividend Yieldcontinued
We can value European options by reducing the stock price to S0e–q T and then behaving as though there is no dividend
15.14
Extension of Chapter 10 Results
rTqT KeeSc 0
Lower Bound for calls:
Lower Bound for puts
qTrT eSKep 0
Put Call Parity
qTrT eSpKec 0
15.15
Extension of Chapter 13 Results
T
TqrKSd
T
TqrKSd
dNeSdNKep
dNKedNeScqTrT
rTqT
)2/2()/ln(
)2/2()/ln(
)()(
)()(
02
01
102
210
where
15.16
The Binomial Model (p is the sole parameter that changes)
S0u ƒu
S0d ƒd
S0
ƒ
p
(1– p )
f = e-rT[pfu+(1– p)fd ]
15.17
The Binomial Modelcontinued
In a risk-neutral world the stock price grows at r – q rather than at r when there is a dividend yield at rate q
The probability, p, of an up movement must therefore satisfy
pS0u+(1 – p)S0d=S0e (r-q)T
so that
pe d
u d
r q T
( )
15.18
Valuing European Index Options
We can use the formula for an option on a stock paying a continuous dividend yield
Set S0 = current index level
Set q = average dividend yield expected during the life of the option
15.19
The Foreign Interest Rate
We denote the foreign interest rate by rf
When a U.S. company buys one unit of the foreign currency it has an investment of S0 dollars
The return from investing at the foreign rate is rf S0 dollars
This shows that the foreign currency provides a “dividend yield” at rate rf
15.20
Valuing European Currency Options
A foreign currency is an asset that provides a continuous “dividend yield” equal to rf
We can use the formula for an option on a stock paying a continuous dividend yield :
Set S0 = current exchange rate
Set q = rƒ
15.21
Formulas for European Currency Options
T
Tf
rrKSd
T
Tf
rrKSd
dNeSdNKep
dNKedNeScTrrT
rTTr
f
f
)2/2()/ln(
)2/2()/ln(
)()(
)()(
0
2
0
1
102
210
where
15.22
Alternative Formulas(combine cost-of-carry model with previous model)
F S e r r Tf
0 0 ( )Using
Tdd
T
TKFd
dNFdKNep
dKNdNFecrT
rT
12
20
1
102
210
2/)/ln(
)]()([
)]()([