Operational leasing

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    A strategic vision for

    operational leasing business2009 October 5th Gianluca SOMA - CEO - ALD Automotive

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    1. Operational leasing amidst the crisis

    2. Trends on corporate mobility2.1 Trends on market demand

    2.2 Trends on market offer

    3. A way to the future3.1 Industry SWOT

    3.2 Expectations 2015

    3.3 New role for market players

    3.4 New product offering

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    Business metricsUsed car sale prices New orders

    Ja 08 Ap 08 Ju 08 Oc 08 Ja 09 Ap 09 Ju 09 Ja 08 Ap 08 Ju 08 Oc 08 Ja 09 Ap 09 Ju 09

    Contract extensions New deliveries

    Ja 08 Ap 08 Ju 08 Oc 08 Ja 09 Ap 09 Ju 09 Ja 08 Ap 08 Ju 08 Oc 08 Ja 09 Ap 09 Ju 09

    Consequences of the crisis

    Fall in used car sale prices

    Industry reaction Propose contract extensions

    Where are we today ?

    Drop of orders

    Drop of deliveries

    Slight signs of improvements

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    Resulting structural adjustments

    Progressive reduction of yearly mileage and extension

    of contract duration

    Reduction of maintenance costs

    Selection of economical cars (engine downsizing) Development of insurance penetration

    Multi-channelling for remarketing

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    1. Operational leasing amidst the crisis

    2. Trends on corporate mobility2.1 Trends on market demand

    2.2 Trends on market offer

    3. A way to the future3.1 Industry SWOT

    3.2 Expectations 2015

    3.3 New role for market players

    3.4 New product offering

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    Trend on corporate mobility - market demand

    Retail sales decline Taxation changesSMEs growing interestin operational leasing

    + ++

    Fleet sales stability Fuel price volatilityGrowing demand for

    packaged clean mobility

    Rise in fleet market shareDemand for ecological cars(Size & engine downsizing)

    Growth potential in SME& consumer segments

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    Trend on corporate mobility - market offer

    Sales channel ondomestic & core markets

    +

    Cross subsidies from

    manufacturers (?)

    Vehicle + service

    package offering

    OEMs & captives

    Liquidity crisis& government subsidies

    Taxation changes(Taxes, CO2)

    Low registrations, rebates

    & used car market drop

    Used car market impact

    (Finland, NL, France, W-Eu)

    UCS loss, RV reduction

    & contract extension

    Risk management &

    re-marketing investments

    Lower profitability Leasing rates adjustments

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    1. Operational leasing amidst the crisis

    2. Trends on corporate mobility2.1 Trends on market demand

    2.2 Trends on market offer

    3. A way to the future3.1 Industry SWOT

    3.2 Expectations 2015

    3.3 New role for market players

    3.4 New product offering

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    Industry SWOTStrengths

    Outsourcing benefits (cost driven

    offering)

    Response to mobility evolutions

    Global presence & economy ofscale

    Economy upturn & corporate cars

    need

    New mobility needs

    New market segments

    Supply demand of new cars (?)

    Opportunities

    Weaknesses

    Residual Value exposure

    Car dependant product Authority of operating lease

    industry

    Capital intensive business

    Funding cost volatility

    IFRS new rules

    New automotive distributionscheme (BER)

    Supply demand of used cars (?)

    Manufacturers & governmentenvironmental policies (taxes)

    Threats

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    Expectations 2015 from a double-digit growth toMature countries BRIC & emerging

    Leasing market still shrinking (today -30%)

    Concentration of players, reallocation ofmarket shares

    Used car market improving 2nd semester

    Car mix evolving (no revolution)

    Leasing market recovering

    Credit risk alert

    Used car market recovering

    New vehicles offering

    Leasing market stabilizing

    Return to profitability

    Used car market stabilizing

    New market segments developing

    Leasing market growth (one-digit)

    Product offering adaptation

    China : anticipation of new vehiclefleet mix (?)

    Leasing market back to growth (one-digit)

    Right level of profitability vs riskmanagement

    Significant mix evolution

    Consumer market start

    Double-digit growth

    Used car market structuring

    2010

    2011

    2012-

    2015

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    New role for market players

    Multi modal mobility providers (road, rail, air)

    Captive re-focalisation

    Partners for OEMs in product specification & tuning

    Risk management experts

    Asset management experts

    Re-marketing experts (partnerships ?) System integrator & business application provider

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    New product offering : 2 scenariiEnterprises Consumers / enterprises

    Price increase

    Elimination ofrisk premium

    Mutual appetite for

    open-end products

    Intelligent fleet mix

    + +

    Clean mobility trend &changing culture

    Mobility package offers

    Price increase may generatecustomers interest in

    Open-end products

    Growing expertise in leasingindustry could favour

    Multi modal packaged mobility

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    Thank you