Online Summary Damage from the 20 May 2013...

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Online Summary Damage from the 20 May 2013 Tornado in Moore, OK (Image Courtesy of http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/05/20/moore-tornado-2013- oklahoma_n_3308904.html#slide=2477217) University of Florida Wind Hazard Damage Assessment Team PI: David O. Prevatt, Ph.D., PE [email protected] Contributing Authors: David Roueche Austin Thompson Jeandona Doreste May 21, 2013

Transcript of Online Summary Damage from the 20 May 2013...

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Online Summary

Damage from the 20 May 2013 Tornado in Moore, OK

(Image Courtesy of http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/05/20/moore-tornado-2013-

oklahoma_n_3308904.html#slide=2477217)

University of Florida Wind Hazard Damage Assessment Team

PI: David O. Prevatt, Ph.D., PE

[email protected]

Contributing Authors:

David Roueche Austin Thompson Jeandona Doreste

May 21, 2013

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Wind Hazard Damage Assessment Team Engineering School of Sustainable Infrastructure and Environment

University of Florida May 21, 2013

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Executive Summary

Nearly two years to the day after Joplin, MO is hit by the EF-4 tornado, Moore, OK is impacted by another powerful

tornado resulting in substantial damage to houses, schools, and several fatalities. The National Weather Service

classified the tornado as an EF-5 and parts of the damage path were mapped at nearly 2 miles wide. Statistically,

such powerful tornadoes have very low probability of occurrences, but by cruel twist of fate, Moore, OK has seen

three powerful and destructive tornadoes since 1999 in nearly the same locations, with similar heart-wrenching

results. From this tragedy, a unique opportunity may present itself for us to learn from our past rebuilding efforts,

to understand whether our structures had improved over time, and to improve knowledge to prevent/reduce

tornado losses.

This report was prepared from online sources by University of Florida civil engineering students in Prof. David O.

Prevatt’s Research Group. It is part of their learning in forensic engineering and post-disaster damage

investigation. Students were tasked to gather information from online sources and collate information on the

tornado (from the National Weather Service, storm chaser Twitter feeds), injuries and fatalities (from media

reports) and on structures (from the US Census Bureau and building code websites).

Researchers at the University of Florida and elsewhere will continue to document tornado outbreaks as they occur,

and in parallel our research to understand and quantify the strength of tornado loads and their interaction with

vulnerable wood-framed structures is continuing. It is our thesis, that engineering solutions can be found to

improve the tornado-resistance of houses. These solutions come at a price, yet to be determined, once scientists

have a better idea of the loads, and society determines what risks are acceptable. Stronger buildings can be built

quite economically today that would mitigate structural damage and provide better life safety protection – it is up

to communities and their leaders to decide whether they wish to pursue such resilient and sustainable approaches

or whether to continue with the status quo.

Please visit our website, for further information http://windhazard.davidoprevatt.com. Background information

and our previous damage survey blogs can be found on Dr. Prevatt’s webpage, www.davidoprevatt.com, including

the Tuscaloosa Tornado Damage Survey Report. A list of helpful references is included at the end of this report.

Your questions and comments on any aspects of our work are most welcome. Please direct your enquiries to NSF

Graduate Research Fellow, and PhD Graduate Student, Mr. David B. Roueche, who can be reached at

[email protected].

About the Wind Hazard Damage Assessment Team The Wind Hazard Damage Assessment Team was created through support from the NSF Award #1150975. Its mission is to train university students interested in building construction, engineering and architecture in the forensic engineering and techniques for post-hazard damage surveys and data collection. The team has surveyed damage after several Florida tornadoes and continuously monitors the prevalence of tornadoes worldwide. Ultimately the Team hopes to inspire upcoming engineers and building professionals in hopes to change the paradigm of widespread catastrophic damage to houses in tornadoes. Mr. Jeandona (JD) Doreste, is a civil engineering undergraduate student at UF and Webmaster of the Wind Hazard Damage Assessment Team site. JD is actively recruiting other UF students to join the team, and he can be reached at [email protected].

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University of Florida May 21, 2013

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PREDICTION OF WEATHER

Initial expectations for tornado risk on May 20th were significant (Figure 1), with the Storm Prediction

Center tornado outlook showing a large area with the probability of tornado genesis in Central

Oklahoma and Northern Arkansas.

TWEETS

Storm chasers were also expecting a significant outbreak and many different teams had gathered in this

region, providing up-to-date predictions on Twitter as the storms began to unfold.

Figure 1: Tornado Probability for May 20, 2013 as Issued by the NWS SPC at 12:20 PM UTC on Same Day

(Source: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2013/day1otlk_20130520_1300.html)

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TIMING OF TORNADO

The timeline of the tornado as it formed and impacted the city of Moore, OK is given below. An

illustration of the timing of the tornado impact is shown in Figure 2.

1:54 PM – Spinning Cloud Forms south of Tuttle, OK

2:30 PM – Hook spins up west of Newcastle, OK

2:40 PM – CDT: A tornado warning was issued that included Moore, Okla.

2:46 PM – EF3 Tornado sets down west of Newcastle, OK

3:00 PM – EF4 Tornado hits Newcastle, OK

3:01 PM – Tornado Emergency issued for Moore

3:24 PM – EF4/EF5 Tornado hits Moore, OK

3:43 PM – First images of destruction surface on The Weather Channel

4:02 PM – NWS Tulsa confirmed a tornado near Avant moving northeast at 45 mph.

6:07 PM – Storm chasers Jim Cantore, Mike Bettes and the Tornado Hunt team first arrive in the damaged areas; comparisons immediately drawn to Joplin, Mo. tornado of 22 May 2011

7:16 PM – Death toll announced at 37 by Associated Press, via Twitter

Figure 2: Timing of Tornado Impact to Moore, OK

(Source: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BKxI3TACYAA3O7D.jpg)

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Figure 3: Estimated Tornado Track Showing Locations of Severest Damage

(http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/?n=events-20130520)

The NWS survey teams confirmed at least 18 tornadoes occurred in the 20 May 2013 tornado outbreak,

the first occurring in McClain County at 2:46 PM UTC and the last reported at 1:50 AM the following day

in Le Flore County. The most dramatic damage seen was that of the tornado traveling through Moore,

OK. Preliminary reports of the damage indicated an EF4 damage rating would be assigned, but after the

damage assessments by the local NWS survey teams were completed the afternoon of May 21st, this

rating was upgraded to an EF5, with peak estimated wind speeds of 200-210 mph The maximum path

width of the tornado was estimated to be 1.3 miles and the approximate length was 17 miles, with the

tornado appearing to intensify right as it reached the heavily populated regions of southern Moore, OK.

According to the Norman, OK NWS office, the EF5 rating was given due to damage observed at

Briarwood Elementary school. Using the provisions of the EF scale, a Degree of Damage of 10 is given

when “Total destruction of a large section of building or entire building” occurs, corresponding to a wind

speed between 152 and 203 mph with an expected value of 176 mph. The elementary school in

question is shown in Figure 4, with the photo on the right given as evidence of the total destruction

necessary for that Degree of Damage. At this time, 24 fatalities and over 240 injuries are reported

(http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/?n=events-20130520-pns)

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Figure 4: Damage to Briarwood Elementary School Leading to EF5 Rating (Source NWS: Norman, OK)

(http://photos.oregonlive.com/photo-essay/2013/05/aerial_view_of_oklahoma_tornad.html)

PREVIOUS TORNADOES IN MOORE, OK

MAY 3 1999: During evening rush hour traffic Moore, Oklahoma was struck by a devastating F5 tornado

that resulted in 42 deaths and over 800 injuries (Brown et al. 2002). The majority of the damaged

buildings were one and two-story residential structures built on concrete slab foundations. Property

damage was well over $1 billion dollars. FEMA sent a Building Performance Assessment Team (BPAT)

who produced a damage survey and report, http://www.fema.gov/library/viewRecord.do?id=1423.

Another damage survey report was produced by Marshall (2002). After this event, 6,016 Safe Rooms

were built with the help of the $12 million Oklahoma SafeRoom initiative.

MAY 8 2003: At 4:10 CST pm a tornado formed rapidly near Santa Fe Avenue and NW 5th Street in

Moore, and quickly strengthened to F3 intensity as it moved east-northeast through Moore - paralleling

the path of the May 3, 1999 F5 tornado, but tracking 1/4 mile or less farther south. The most intense

damage in Moore (F3) occurred just W of I-35 and north of 12th Street, where several businesses were

leveled (http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/?n=tornadodata-ok-violent).

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Figure 5: Tornado Tracks from the 1999 F5 (red), 2003 F4 (blue), and 2013 F4/F5 (green) Tornadoes

(http://kfor.com/2013/05/20/interactive-map-1999-2003-2013-moore-tornadoes/).

BUILDING CONSTRUCTION IN MOORE, OK

Moore, OK has a population of approximately 56,315 persons, living in 21,000 homes

(http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/40/4049200.html). Also affected was the town of Newcastle,

population is 7,800 (http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/40/4051150.html).

75% of the homes in Moore were built before 2000 (i.e. more than 13 years old). The complete

distribution of home ages is illustrated in Figure 6.

Figure 6: Distribution of Home Age in Moore, OK

0%

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40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

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(http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?src=bkmk) In their press release, the Federal Alliance for Safe Homes stated that most tornado damage occurs

below EF4/EF5 level, so minor investments in enhanced building or rebuilding techniques can make a

major improvement in a home's resistance to tornado forces. The National Climatic Data Center

estimates that 77 percent of U.S. tornadoes are in the EF0 to EF1 range and 95 percent have wind

speeds less than EF3 intensity. A recent cost study revealed that using an average of $0.50 per square

foot or $1,000 in metal connectors installed from a home's roof to its foundation can upgrade a home's

ability to withstand wind uplift from an EF0 to an EF2 tornado.

Table 1: Adoption of Codes in Impacted Towns

Codes Adopted Town

Moore, OK Newcastle, OK

2009 International Building Code x x

2003 International Energy Conservation Code

2009 International Existing Building Code x x

2009 International Fire Code x x

2009 International Fuel Gas Code x x

2009 International Mechanical Code x x

2009 International Plumbing Code x x

2006 International Property Maintenance

Code

2009 International Electrical Code x x

2009 International Residential Code x x

Source(s): http://www.iccsafe.org/gr/Pages/OK.aspx http://www.ok.gov/oubcc/Codes_&_Rules/Adopted_Building_Codes/index.html

OBSERVED DAMAGE

Although detailed information is not yet known, reports obtained from local news agencies and social

media have indicated heavy damage to at least two elementary schools, a large hospital, a movie

theater and a number of smaller commercial buildings. Figure 7 shows the location of key structures

impacted by the tornado in relation to the approximate tornado path.

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Figure 7: Location of key structures in relation to damage path

(Source: http://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/NA-BW491A_TORNA_G_20130521184509.jpg) Some of the heaviest damage was observed at the two elementary schools, Briarwood Elementary (built 1985) and Plaza Towers Elementary (built 1966), and the surrounding areas. Before and after photos of these two schools are shown in Figures 8. It is not known at this time what the exact structural designs for these schools were but it has been reported that neither school had tornado shelters (Source: http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2013/05/22/safety-experts-oklahoma-school-tornado-shelter-

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preparedness/2349761/). Similar schools were damaged in the 1999 F5 tornado however and are discussed at length in the FEMA 342 report referenced at the end of this document.

(a) Plaza Towers (before) (b) Plaza Towers (after)

(c) Briarwood (before) (d) Briarwood (after)

Figure 8: Before and after photos of damage to Briarwood and Plaza Towers Elementary Schools (Source: http://static01.mediaite.com/med/wp-content/uploads/gallery/oklahoma-before-and-

after/briarwood-ba.jpg) In addition to the schools damaged, significant damage was also observed at the Moore Medical Center, which was in the direct path of the tornado. Details of the structural design were not available at the time this report was written. Damage to the hospital is shown in Figure 9.

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Figure 9: Damage to Moore Medical Center

(Source: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/05/21/moore-medical-center-tornado-lucky-injuries_n_3314585.html#slide=2482379)

Damage to residential structures appears to be quite extensive, although no estimate as of yet has been given as to the number of homes damaged or destroyed. The heaviest damage appears to have occurred to the homes located between the two elementary schools damaged, as shown in Figures 10-12. But significant damage was observed throughout the path as shown in Figures 13 and 14.

Figure 11 Figure 12

Figure 14

Figure 13

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Figure 10: Areas of Severe Damage to Residential Structures (Source: http://maps.google.com)

Figure 11: Extensive Damage to Residential Structures Between S. Santa Fe Ave and Penn Ln

(Source: http://photos.oregonlive.com/photo-essay/2013/05/aerial_view_of_oklahoma_tornad.html)

Figure 12: Extensive Damage to Residential Structures between Hudson Ave and Santa Fe Ave

(Source: http://photos.oregonlive.com/photo-essay/2013/05/aerial_view_of_oklahoma_tornad.html)

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Using data available on Zillow.com, most of the homes within the damage path appear to have been built either in the mid to late 1970’s or since 2000. Figure 13 shows a foundation nearly swept clean of a home built in 2002, located near the centerline of the estimated tornado path. From the photo it can be seen that this was a wood-frame home with brick façade. Anchor bolts were used to attach the bottom plate to the foundation, but no information can be seen to indicate the quality of the roof-to-wall connections. Note that while this home was almost completely swept off the foundation, homes in the background have damage varying from minor sheathing loss to complete roof removal.

Figure 13: Extensive damage to home built in 2002 (Photo Courtesy of NWS: Norman)

Figure 14 shows the destruction of another home, this built in 1963, also located near the estimated centerline of the tornado. It is not clear from this photo alone whether anchor bolts were used or what connections were used to develop the load path from roof to foundation.

Figure 14: Extensive damage to home built in 1963 (Photo Courtesy of NWS: Norman)

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CONCLUSIONS While we recognize the need for forensic investigation and analysis of the damage to determine exact failure mechanisms, the preliminary observations presented here show that the performance of both the engineered and non-engineered structures was less than desirable. Severe damage is to be expected, but the widespread catastrophic failure of buildings should be of concern to the communities and building professionals. Efforts are needed to determine what structural systems are needed to prevent such failures. Damage is to be expected in an EF-5 tornado but the goal should be to reduce damage, particularly to structures away from the center path of the tornado. Improvements are needed to provide continuity of load path from roof to foundation, and perhaps methods that can keep walls standing when the roof fails. Ultimately, better structural systems will create a more resilient community that reduces future economic losses to Moore, OK and other cities from tornadoes. Acknowledgements The authors gratefully acknowledge the National Science Foundation for the financial support of this study under research grant 1150975, as well as that of the Florida Department of Emergency Management under research grant 97051. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation. About the PI David O. Prevatt is an Assistant Professor of Civil & Coastal Engineering, in the Engineering School of Sustainable Infrastructure & Environment, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, and he can be contacted at [email protected].

Useful References on Tornadoes and Their Effects on Wood-Framed Buildings

BPAT, 1999: Midwest tornadoes of May 3, 1999: Observations, recommendations, and technical guidance. FEMA 342, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Mitigation Directorate, Washington, DC, 195 pp.

Fujita, T. T. (1971). “Proposed characterization of tornadoes and hurricanes by area and intensity.” Research Paper 91, Satellite and Mesometeorology Research Project, University of Chicago, Chicago.

Haan, F. L. Jr., Balarmudu, V. K., and Sarkar, P. P. (2010). “Tornado-induced wind loads on a low-rise building.” J. Struct. Eng, 136(1), 106–116.

Kikitsu, H., and Sarkar, P. P. (2010). “Post investigation on damage to buildings by EF5 tornado in Iowa, U.S. on May 2008.” Journal of Wind Engineering, 35(3), 73–87.

Kramer, R. A. (1995). “Advantages and limitations of Benefit–Cost Analysis for evaluating investments in natural disaster mitigation.” Disaster prevention for sustainable development: Economic and policy issues, M. Munasinghe and C. L. Clarke, eds., World Bank, Washington, DC, 61–76.

Lewellen, W. S., Teske, M. E., and Sheng, Y. P. (1979). “Wind and pressure distribution in a tornado.” Proc., 5th International Conference on Wind Engineering, International Association for Wind Engineering, Kanagawa, Japan, II-3-I–II-3-II.

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Marshall, Timothy P., 2002: Tornado Damage Survey at Moore, Oklahoma. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 582–598.

Martin, Z., and Readling, B. (2008). “Midwest tornadoes—Performance of wood framed structures.” Wood Design Focus, 18(4), 3–7.

McDonald, J., and Mehta, K. C. (2006). “A recommendation for an Enhanced Fujita Scale.” Wind Science and Engineering Center, Texas Tech University, Lubbock.

Mishra, A., James, D. L., and Letchford, C. W. (2008). “Physical simulation of a single-celled tornado-like vortex, part B: Wind loading on a cubical model.” Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics, 96(8–9), 1258–1273.

Prevatt, D.O., van de Lindt, J.W., Graettinger, A.,Coulbourne, B., Gupta, R., Pei, S., Hensen, S., Grau, D.(2011a) Damage Study and Future Direction for Structural Design Following the Tuscaloosa Tornado of 2011, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL (April 5, 2012).

Prevatt, D. O., Coulbourne, B., Graettinger, A., Pei, S., Gupta, R., and Grau, D. (2013). “Tornado of May 22, 2011 – Structural Damage Survey and Case for Tornado-Resilient Building Codes”, 47 p. ASCE/Structural Engineering Institute, Reston, VA.

Prevatt, D. O., Roueche, D. B., et al. (2011c). “Building damage observations and EF classifications from the Tuscaloosa, AL and Joplin, MO tornadoes.” Proc., 2012 Structures Congress, ASCE, Reston, VA, in press. Prevatt, D. O., van de Lindt, J. W., Graettinger, A., et al. (2011a). Damage study and future direction for structural design following the Tuscaloosa tornado of 2011. University of Florida, Gainesville.

Prevatt, D. O., van de Lindt, J. W., Gupta, R., and Coulbourne, B. (2011d). “Structural performance—Tuscaloosa tornado.” Structure Magazine, July, 24–26.

Prevatt, David. O., van de Lindt, J.W., Back, E., Graettinger, A.J., Pei, S., Coulbourne, W., Gupta, R., James, D., Agdas, D.; (2012) Making the Case for Improved Structural Design: The Tornado Outbreaks of 2011, October 2012 ASCE’s Leadership and Management in Engineering Journal

Van De Lindt, J. W., Pei, S., Dao, T., Graettinger, A.J., Prevatt, D.O, Gupta, R., Coulbourne, W.; (2013). “Dual objective-based design philosophy for tornado engineering.” Journal of Structural Engineering, Vol. 139, No. 2, February 1, 2013. ©ASCE, ISSN 0733-9445/2013/2-251–263.