Ongoing interactions and feedback between agencies

Ongoing interactions and feedback between

agencies

for developpement of risk knowledge

Vigilance procedure – december 2007

« vigilance » procedure –december 2007

At the beginning of the vigilance procedure

The french system is based on 4 colours to graduate the risk, We had to define with the civil defense the meanings of these colours In term of risks, linked to in term of intensity Exchange meetings in each region to :

– Analyse each risk and its consequences – Find a common langage

Technical weather risk data(Météo-France)

Knowledge of consequences(civil safety agents)

Vigilance data


Risk data in the vigilance system

For MF :Thresholds and other intern decision criteria for colours

For civil safety services :Tools describing actions for each colourHelp to improve the plans

For the both– Possible consequences of each colour-risk level – recommendations on behaviour for each colour-risk level

(+ work with ministry of ecology)– Library of terms


The follow group

The procedure is evaluated and assessed by a follow group in which active partners meet 3 times a year (civil safety, health, ecology,…)– Partners analyse together each meteorological event (orange,red),– Verify the relevance of vigilances (false alarm, non detection, …)– Suggest modifications :

• For ex ask MF if it could be possible to modify the criteria, because one particulary episode was more dangerous than expected. MF analyses, and presents the impacts

– Follow the improvement of vigilance products (for safety users and for the public at large)

– Write the annual assessment

An interministerial steering committee meets once a year to decide on procedural developments;


Performances in 2006

2003 2004 2005 2006

percentage of false alarms 21 23 19 25

percentage of non detection 6 6 4 2

Percentage of early warning > 1h 69 76 76 74 (91)

percentage of early warning > 3h 65 52 66 (81)

() departemental level


Continuous improvement

– A partnership procedure providing real progress: focusing on the most dangerous events, conversion of meteorological thresholds into risks, massive and parallel distribution, mindful of staying close to end users.

Note: 2001 was a transition year between former procedure Bram-Alarme and new meteorological vigilance procedure, set up on the 1st of October.

020406080

100120140160180200

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006


The “annual assessment” document

An annual evaluation is co-authored by all the active partners

An institutional communication tool on meteorological vigilance; feedback about procedure and presentation of statistical data;

A 20 page document, deliberately a digest;

Published and produced by Météo-France, with logos from the 3 Ministries: Interior, Ecology and Health;

A foreword co-signed by Météo-France & Ministry of the Interior


To share the risk knowledge

At national, regional and departemental levels, MF participates to crisis meetings organised by the civil safety. It brings a concrete experiment of the needs, of the language, and civil agents understand the forecasts and their limits.

MF and civil safety has also organised meetings to improve the training Every year, MF’s delegue departemental hands the annual assessment

in to the prefect and assesses the events of his departement


Heat wave

Before 2003 : no data at national level Autumn 2003 : work with INSERM (search institute) and INVS (watch and warning agency)

Climatologist and epidemiologist built a common analysis of the risk knoledge to find criteriaHelped the ministry of health to write the plansINVS draw its inspiration from MF’s forecasting operationnal organisation for its part of the warning system

Since june 2004 : the heatwave is included in the vigilance system Assessed by the follow up group (MF + INVS / vigilance)and the by the interministerial committee for heatwave each autumn (the wole actors, from MF to medical actions) to prepare the next plan,At the same time, INSERM has developped in cooperation with MF a model to forecast over mortality, in France (for the moment, only for

assessment)


Back experiencePost crise Crisis

management

Alert systems

Decisions to reduce

vulnerability Preventive information

Risk knowledge

Repare

Crisis organination and preparation

(exercises…)

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Ongoing interactions and feedback between agencies

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