On the use of directional wave spectra to identify distant ... · Atoll Islands are vulnerable to a...

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On the use of directional wave spectra to identify distant swells approaching a Pacific atoll Laura Cagigal a, b , Ana Rueda b , Alba Ricondo b , Giovanni Coco a , Fernando Méndez b a. University of Auckland, b. Universidad de Cantabria

Transcript of On the use of directional wave spectra to identify distant ... · Atoll Islands are vulnerable to a...

Page 1: On the use of directional wave spectra to identify distant ... · Atoll Islands are vulnerable to a range of inundation hazards generated by atmospheric and oceanographic processes,

On the use of directional wave spectra to identify distant swells approaching a Pacific atoll

Laura Cagigal a, b, Ana Rueda b, Alba Ricondo b, Giovanni Coco a, Fernando Méndez b

a. University of Auckland, b. Universidad de Cantabria

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MOTIVATION

STUDY SITE

METHODOLOGY

RESULTS

CONCLUSIONS

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MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

MOTIVATION: Inundation in the Pacific Islands

Atoll Islands are low-lying, with much of the land area < 3 m above

mean sea level

Source: Hoeke et al 2013

Atoll Islands are vulnerable to a range of inundation hazards generated by atmospheric and oceanographic

processes, including typhoons and tropical storms and far-field generated

swell

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MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

MAJURO ATOLL: Marshall Islands

64 ISLANDSArea: 9.7 km2

Mean elevation: 3mPopulation: 28000

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MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

FLOODING EVENTS

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IMPORTANCE DIRECTIONAL SPECTRUM

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

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MOTIVATION: Probabilistic assessment of coastal flooding

ATMOSPHERIC

CIRCULATION(SLP)

MULTIVARIATE

WAVE CLIMATE

(H, T, Dir)

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

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MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

OBJECTIVE

Time

Hs

duration

Objective Point

Time

Tp

duration

durationduration

duration

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STEPS

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

1. CREATE A SUPER SPECTRA WITH ALL THE ENERGY APPROACHING THE ATOLL

2. OBTAIN THE SPECTRAL PARTITINONS

3. DEVELOP AN ALGORITHM TO AGREGATE SWELLS

4. PARAMETERIZE SWELLS

5. LINK SWELLS WITH WEATHER CONDITIONS

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MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

1) SUPER-POINT

STATION2913

STATION2914

STATION2915

STATION2858

STATION2857

STATION2856

2914

2915

2858

2857

2856

2913

CSIRO – SPECTRAL INFORMATION

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IMPORTANCE DIRECTIONAL SPECTRUM

AIRPORT

26 June 2013

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

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IMPORTANCE SUPER POINT

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

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MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

2) SPECTRAL PARTITIONING

WAVESPECTRA

https://github.com/metocean/wavespectra/

OPEN SOURCE LIBRARY FOR PROCESSING OCEAN WAVE SPECTRA ON PYTHON FROM METOCEAN SOLUTIONS (NZ)

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2) SPECTRAL PARTITIONING

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

WW3 Watershed Algorithm, Hanson and Philips 2009

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2) SPECTRAL PARTITIONING: Sea + Swells

HS

TP

DIR

DSPR

GAMMA

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

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2) SPECTRAL PARTITIONING: Swells

HS

TP

DIR

DSPR

GAMMA

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

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3) SWELL IDENTIFICATION

D = 𝑎 ∗ 𝐻𝑡 − 𝐻𝑡−12 + 𝑏 ∗ 𝑇𝑝𝑡 − 𝑇𝑝𝑡−1

2 + 𝑐 ∗ 𝐷𝑖𝑟𝑡 − 𝐷𝑖𝑟𝑡−12 + 𝑑 ∗ 𝛿𝑡 − 𝛿𝑠𝑝𝑟𝑡−1

2 + 𝑒 ∗ 𝛾𝑡 − 𝛾𝑡−12

𝑫𝑰𝑺𝑻𝑨𝑵𝑪𝑬 = 𝒇(∆𝑯𝒔, ∆𝑻𝒑, ∆𝑫𝒊𝒓, ∆𝑫𝒔𝒑𝒓, ∆𝑮𝒂𝒎𝒎𝒂)

𝑺𝒏𝒂𝒌𝒆𝒔 𝒔𝒆𝒂𝒓𝒄𝒉 𝒂𝒍𝒈𝒐𝒓𝒊𝒕𝒉𝒎

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

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3) SNAKES

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

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3) SNAKES

HS

TP

DIR

HS

TP

DIR

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

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4) SNAKES PARAMETERIZATION

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

𝜏𝐷𝑢𝑟

𝐷𝑢𝑟

𝐻𝑠∗, 𝑠𝐻𝑠

𝑇𝑝∗, 𝑠𝑇𝑝

𝐷𝑖𝑟∗, 𝑠𝐷𝑖𝑟

𝜎∗, 𝑠𝜎

𝛾∗, 𝑠𝛾

𝜏

𝑃𝑎𝑟𝑎𝑚𝑒𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑠

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4) SNAKES PARAMETERIZATION

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

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5) LINK TO WEATHER CONDITIONS

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

FINDING THE LINK BETWEEN PRESSURE CONDITIONS AND THE SWELL PARAMETERS FOR EACH WAVE FAMILY

Algorithm from Portilla 2012

Storm-Source-Locating Algorithm Based on the Dispersive Nature of Ocean Swells

PCs 12 Swell Parameters

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CONCLUSIONS

MOTIVATION STUDY SITE METHODOLOGY RESULTS CONCLUSIONS

• IMPORTANCE OF AGGREGATING SPECTRAL INFORMATION AROUND THE STUDY ATOLL TO INCLUDE ALL SOURCES OF WAVE ENERGY

• NECESSITY TO CORRECTLY SIMULATE THE TIME EVOLUTION OF EVERY SWELL

• NEED OF EMULATE THE SWELL CHARACTERISTICS BASED ON THE ATMOSPHERIC SYSTEM THAT GENERATES THEM

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ThanksLaura Cagigal, Ana Rueda, Alba Ricondo, Giovanni Coco, Fernando Mendez