Oklahoma State Regents Meeting

January 30, 2014

Adults with Bachelor’s Degree or Higher (2012)

23.8%

29.1%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

Oklahoma U.S.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 American Community Survey. 82% of national average.

Bachelor Degree Attainment by Age 24, by Family Income, 2012

8.3%17.4%

31.5%

73.3%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

LowestQuartile

2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile Top Quartile

Source: Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY, Number 256, October 2013, www.postsecondary.org.

<$34k

$34-64k

$64-109k

>$109k

OKPromise High School Enrollment

(By High School Graduation Year)

1,442

2,418

5,882

7,1877,753

8,179

9,5279,854 9,894

10,31510,25310,639

9,9989,600

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

$32,000

$50,000

$24,000

As of 12-18-13

Estimated Percent of Oklahoma Families with Total Income Under

$50,000

61% 60%58% 58%

56%54%

52%

48%46%

48% 48%46% 45%

40%

50%

60%

70%

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census, American Community Survey-2001-2012

Oklahoma Median Family Income$4

0,70

9

$41,

783

$43,

146

$43,

259

$44,

508

$45,

990

$47,

955

$51,

787

$53,

862

$52,

403

$51,

958

$53,

742

$54,

988

$-

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

$70,000

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census, American Community Survey, 2001-2012

Inflation Impact on $50,000 Income Limit

$50,000 in year 2000 dollars equivalent to about $67,650 in year 2013 dollars*

$50,000 in 2013 equivalent to about $37,000 in year 2000 dollars*

*based on national consumer price index; 35.3% rate of inflation from 2000 to 2013

Projections of Oklahoma High School Graduates

37,300

41,650

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Sources: Ok. State Regents; OK SDE; USDE National Center for Education Statistics; Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE).

Ethnicity of Oklahoma StudentsBy Years Until College Age

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14Afr. Am. Asian Am. Ind. Hispanic White 2 or More Races

Source: Chronicle for Higher Education, January 19, 2014; US Census data.

High School Requirement Completion Rates

67.2%71.7% 70.3% 69.2% 69.4%

66.4% 66.7% 65.4% 65.7% 64.8% 64.5% 64.8%

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

$32,000$50,000

As of 12-18-13

High School Students Completing OKPromise

Requirements(by Grad Year)

884

1,624

4,216

5,0515,365

5,673

6,3226,576 6,470

6,780 6,643 6,8666,476

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

$32,000

$50,000

$24,000

As of 1-2-14

Ethnicity – 2013 HS Completers

52%

13%10% 10%

4% 4%7%

57%

17%

10% 10%

2% 4%0%

0%

25%

50%

75%W

hite

Am

er. I

nd

.

Afr

ican

Am

er.

His

pan

ic

Asi

an

mu

lti-r

acia

l

n/a

OKPromise All HS Seniors

Gender TrendsOKPromise High School Grads, 2003-

2013

61% 60% 60% 61% 61% 60% 60% 60% 60% 58% 60%

39% 40% 40% 39% 39% 40% 40% 40% 40% 42% 40%

0%

50%

100%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Female Male

OK H.S. Seniors: 50% Female, 50% Male

Female

Male

Geographic Distribution Trends OKPromise High School Grads, 2005-

2013

69% 66% 64% 63% 63% 60% 59% 58% 57%52%48%

31% 34% 36% 37% 37% 40% 41% 42% 43%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Rural OKProm Rural OK Urban OK Urban OKProm

“Urban” is defined as the 5 most populous counties – Oklahoma, Tulsa, Cleveland Canadian, and Comanche.

High School GPA’s

3.49 3.47 3.46 3.45 3.42 3.40 3.39 3.39 3.37 3.38 3.40

3.37 3.34 3.33 3.34 3.30 3.31 3.28 3.27 3.26 3.28 3.30

3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.01 3.02

2.75

3.25

3.75

'03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13

OKPromise-Overall OKPromise-Core OK Seniors

Overall GPA

Core GPA

2013 ACT Composite Scores

21 21

0

5

10

15

20

OKPromise Non-OKPromise

2013 ACT Testers By Income*

74%

16% 10%

33%

46%

21%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Under $50k Over $50k Not Reported

OKPromise Non-OKPromise

*Self-reported on ACT test application

2013 Average ACT Scores By Income*

21.021.8

20.019.3

22.8

21.1

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

Under $50k Over $50k Not Reported

OKPromise Non-OKPromise

*Self-reported on ACT test application

2013 Average ACT Scores By Income

Reported Income

Non-OKP# Testers

OKP#

Testers

Non-OKPScore

OKPScore

ScoreDifferenc

e

$0-24k 2911 1069 18.4 20.1 +1.7

$24-36k 2530 1074 19.2 20.8 +1.6

$36-50k 2715 1046 20.2 21.4 +1.2

$50-60k 2092 338 21.2 21.9 +0.8

$60-80k 3012 217 21.8 22.2 +0.4

$80-100k 2516 68 22.5 23.0 +0.5

Not Reported 5412 448 21.1 20.0

-1.1

College-Going Rates Compared to All Oklahoma HS Graduates

81% 82% 82% 82% 81% 81% 82% 81% 80% 80%

58% 59% 58% 57% 58%52% 51% 55% 53%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

OKPromise Completers OK HS Grads

College Remediation Rates

32.3% 31.8%29.8%

32.2% 31.9%35.0%

31.7%

35.0%32.2%

36.1% 36.7%35.0%

36.9%38.3%

40.8%38.0%

42.5%

15.0%

25.0%

35.0%

45.0%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

OK Promise Ok. HS Grads

Full-Time College Enrollment

89% 90% 90%

78% 79%75%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13

OK-Promise Non-OKPromise

First-time entering students enrolled in 12 hours or more per fall or spring semester

College Freshman – GPA of at least 2.0

84% 85%87%

81%84% 85%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2010 2011 2012

OK Promise Non-OKPromise

Percentages calculated based on students with GPA reported to UDS.

College Freshman to Sophomore Persistence Rates

86% 85% 83% 83% 83% 83% 84% 84% 80%

77% 76% 74% 72% 70% 71% 68% 71% 70%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

OKPromise Non-OKPromise Students

Degree Completion Rates(Degrees earned through 2012-13)

43.0%48.5%

53.0% 54.3%56.7%

31.2%

37.5%40.7%

45.7% 45.4%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

5-Yr(2008 fresh)

6-Yr(2007 fresh)

7-Yr(2006 fresh)

8-Yr(2005 fresh)

9-Yr(2004 fresh)

OK Promise Non-OK Promise Students

Employment of College Graduates

in Oklahoma(after 1 year, April 2010 – June 2011)

89%

92%

87%

88%

89%

90%

91%

92%

93%

All Grads OKPromise

Scholarship Recipients

5,889

9,155

12,101

14,670

16,92818,303

19,431 20,084 20,035 19,619 18,90018,300

'03-

04

'04-

05

'05-

06

'06-

07

'07-

08

'08-

09

'09-

10

'10-

11

11-1

2

12-1

3

13-1

4

14-1

5

Actual Projected

As of 9-24-13

Factors Impacting Future Enrollment and Cost of Oklahoma’s Promise

Shrinking pool of potential applicants ($50,000 limit unchanged since 2000)

New statutory 2nd family income check for 2012 high school graduates

New statutory college GPA and “Satisfactory Academic Progress” requirements beginning in fall 2012

Scholarship Expenditures(In $ millions, by fiscal year)

$10.4

$17.8

$25.9

$33.8

$43.0

$50.9 $53.2$57.2 $59.5 $60.7 $60.5 $61.0

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

FY'0

4

FY'0

5

FY'0

6

FY'0

7

FY'0

8

FY'0

9

FY'1

0

FY'1

1

FY'1

2

FY'1

3

FY'1

4

FY'1

5

As of 10-16-13

Projected

Actual

Average Annual Award

$2,778 $2,736 $2,847 $2,970 $3,095

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13

Average Annual Scholarship by Type of Institution

$3,622 $3,728 $3,826

$2,943 $3,114$3,325

$1,304 $1,407 $1,473

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

10-11 11-12 12-13

Research U. Regional U. 2-Yr Coll

2013 OKPromise Champions

B Cement 10

A Soper 15

2A Dove Science Academy - OKC 24

3A Sequoyah - Tahlequah 25

4A Santa Fe South – OKC 61

5A Southeast – OKC 61

6A Union - Tulsa 166

2013 OKPromise State Champions

6A-Union-Tulsa (166)

2A-Dove Science Academy-OKC (24)

4A-Santa Fe South-OKC (61)

5A-Southeast-OKC (61)

B-Cement (10)

A-Soper (15)

3A-Sequoyah-Tahlequah (10)

Oklahoma City Public Schools Hispanic Student Population

20% 22%25% 27%

30%33% 35% 37% 38% 40% 41%

44% 46%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

Source: Office of Accountability, Profiles District Reports, 2000-2011, OKCPS Profile

Santa Fe South H.S. - OKC

HS Grad Yr2006

2007

2008

2009

2010 2011 2012 2013

Enrolled 26 72 67 73 63 79 85 74

CompletedReqmnts

18 39 42 52 41 54 70 61

PercentCompleters

69% 54% 63% 71% 65% 68% 82% 82%

Union H.S. - TulsaHS Grad Yr 2006 2007

2008

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Enrolled 53 104 115 135 140 185 211 262

CompletedReqmnts

31 60 71 82 84 99 128 165

PercentCompleters

58% 58% 62% 61% 60% 54% 61% 63%

Updated 9-10-12

Union Public Schools Students Eligible for Free/Reduced Lunch

16% 16% 18% 20%26%

30% 33%37% 40% 41%

47%54%

59%48% 49% 49% 52% 53% 54% 55% 55% 55% 56% 59% 61% 62%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

Source: Office of Accountability, Profiles District Reports, 2000-2012

All Oklahoma Public Schools

Union School District

U.S. Grant High School - OKC

HS Grad Yr2006

2007 2008

2009

2010 2011 2012 2013

Enrolled 48 93 111 133 164 206 216 169

CompletedReqmnts.

30 28 45 59 66 92 83 74

PercentCompleters

63% 30% 41% 44% 40% 45% 38% 44%

Tony Lugo

Photo By Steve Gooch, The Oklahoman