Oklahoma Land Value Update

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Oklahoma Land Value Update Roger Sahs, Extension Specialist, Ag Econ.

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Oklahoma Land Value Update. Roger Sahs, Extension Specialist, Ag Econ. www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues. West-Northwest Tracts 121 Size 290 $/Acre $977 % Chg -2.5. North Central Tracts 198 Size 145 $/Acre $1240 % Chg -0.6. Northeast - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Oklahoma Land Value Update

Page 1: Oklahoma Land Value Update

Oklahoma Land Value Update

Roger Sahs, Extension Specialist, Ag Econ.

Page 2: Oklahoma Land Value Update

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OK Land Values by Region, 2010

PanhandleTracts 25Size 449$/Acre $572% Chg +15.3

West-NorthwestTracts 121Size 290$/Acre $977% Chg -2.5

North CentralTracts 198Size 145$/Acre $1240% Chg -0.6

NortheastTracts 280Size 148$/Acre $1535% Chg +1.8

East-NortheastTracts 48Size 201$/Acre $1743% Chg -1.4

South CentralTracts 69Size 238$/Acre $1419% Chg -3.3

SoutheastTracts 242Size 174 $/Acre $1394% Chg +3.2

State AveragesTracts 1176Size 190$/Acre $1291% Chg +2.9

SouthwestTracts 193Size 202$/Acre $990% Chg +6.3

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District2010 All

LandOne Year Change

3 Year Change

5 Year Change

$/ac Percent Change

Panhandle 572 15.3 40.2 106.2

West-NW 977 -2.5 3.6 42.1

Southwest 990 6.3 17.7 52.6

North Central 1240 -0.6 10.0 19.4

South Central 1419 -3.3 0.2 10.1

Northeast 1535 1.8 4.3 31.9

East-NE 1743 -1.4 -4.9 24.3

Southeast 1394 3.2 -1.6 47.5

State 1291 2.9 5.2 33.5

Recent Trends in Oklahoma Land Values

Source: www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues

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Survey of Tenth District Ag Credit Conditions

Source: KC Federal Reserve Bank, First Quarter, 2011

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Oklahoma Cropland vs Pastureland Prices

Source: www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues

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Cropland Valuesin nominal & real (2000) $

Pasture Valuesin nominal & real (2000) $

Source: www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues

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North-Central – Annual Average

Source: www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues

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Payne County3-Year Weighted Average, 2008-2010

Source: www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues

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210 334 254 183 453 800 332590 601

2202

491

359378

425

382469550

292

388

349472628

469378

229

240392 455 646

561372339

214 414

813 371 340489

386

274255309

307

272239265

391

556

710488508

655

464

473491

314266 376

370423

434304

380393

380273

308 313

1973-1975 Average ValueTracts >= 40 Acres and <= $3000/Acre

292383330344

339356

350272384

< 500> 500 to 700> 700 to 1100> 1100

Source: www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues

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2008-2010 Average ValueTracts >= 40 Acres and <= $3000/Acre

Source: www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues

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County 1973-75 Average($)

2008-10 Average($)

% Change

Love 356 2,134 499Coal 273 1,450 431Pittsburg 272 1,443 431Marshall 339 1,763 420Delaware 382 1,982 419Johnston 308 1,591 416Okmulgee 307 1,569 411Okfuskee 214 1,089 409Pushmataha 292 1,472 404LeFlore 274 1,373 401

OK Counties with Largest Increases in Land Values

Source: www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues

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County 1973-75 Average($)

2008-10 Average($)

% Change

Alfalfa 800 1,273 59Texas 334 559 67Kingfisher 646 1,089 69Grant 590 995 69Kay 601 1,087 81Garfield 628 1,171 87Cimarron 210 414 97Major 469 927 98Caddo 464 925 99Tillman 423 862 104

OK Counties with Smallest Increases in Land Values

Source: www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues

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Land prices going ahead…• Changes in the

environment– Farm Bill– Domestic economy– Global economy– Elections/policy– Interest rates

• Recreational uses– Wildlife habitat, wildlife population

• Development uses– Population growth– Per capita income

• Agriculture– Input prices– Cattle, wheat/feedgrain prices– Yields– Efficiency, productivity– Continued drought

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Resources

• Agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues• Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank

– http://www.kc.frb.org/– Choose RESEARCH & DATA, then Economic Review or

Agricultural Credit Survey• USDA Ag Land Value Data and Reports

– http://www.nass.usda.gov/Charts_and_Maps/Land_Values_and_Cash_Rents/index.asp

– http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/usda/current/AgriLandVa/AgriLandVa-08-04-2010.pdf

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Questions??

Roger Sahs

520 Ag Hall

405/744-9836

[email protected]