Oil and Jihad

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    Oil and Jihad

    Mar 29, 2005 By: Vernon Richards, author of Islam Undressed

    Many are feeling a little peeved about the high cost of gasoline. Handing over more thantwo crisp 20 dollar bills to fill up the family van has severe impact to budgets and tempers. Somepundits suggest the government or big greedy oil companies are at fault. Liberals oft repeatedclaim that Bush policies trade blood for oil seem pretty silly right about now. Weve spent theblood, but have not reaped cheap oil, so whats the deal? When we dispassionately dig into thefacts, it appears we are finally beginning to bump into the inevitable collision between increasingdemand and dwindling supply. What we are witnessing is a case of the irresistible force meetingthe immovable object. Neither side can yield, and the fallout of such collisions are difficult topredict. The American economy is a juggernaught greased more by cheap oil than any othernatural resource, but the numbers suggest we are fairly quickly running out of cheap oil. There isincreasing consumption in China, India, and the third world for existing ready reserves.Unfortunately, it appears that our power to compete with other economies for this preciousrecourse will continue to wane with the deterioration of the dollar, due in part by grossly under-funded Medicare and other social programs inflating the deficit. When over-spending and over-consumption are factored into our economy, it can only serve to weaken the real value of thedollar and compromise our position to compete for foreign oil. This translates to much higher perbarrel costs. It should be noted that much of what we call the recent catastrophic increase in thecost of foreign oil has not been felt as harshly by economies based on euros, yens, rupees,rubbles, or other currencies not in free-fall.

    From various reports concerning existing oil reserves and current consumption rates,several startling conclusions can easily be drawn. Politicians (liberal and conservative) andbusinessmen alike have no incentive to warn of these looming numbers, and the liberal media willcontinue to protect the public from these harsh facts in order to protect a social agenda heavilydependant on status quo. Since none of this will ever be reported by the media, it will be up toindividuals to prepare the best they can for the coming energy struggles. The oil industry folkswill undoubtedly continue to discount the problem, saying that oil not yet discovered will makeup any shortfall. However, all the big pools in the US are already used up and it is becomingmore and more difficult to both find and extract remaining domestic supplies. Even if wegenerously factor in significant quantities of undiscovered oil, still we can not avoid the reality ofa rapidly declining national resource. Proved oil reserves are estimated at a trillion barrels, ofwhich only 6% are in North America. Over 71% of global oil reserves are in the hands of Islamicregimes in the Middle East and North Africa.

    Daily consumption of oil in the US is 20 million barrels (mbd), of which 12 mbd isimported. This means we are currently burning 8 mbd of domestically produced oil per day,which translates to 3 billion barrels per year (bby). Now the best estimate of remaining reservesin the US is around 24 billion barrels. Therefore, we have approximately 8 years left of domesticoil at current rates of consumption. The spigot will not suddenly end, as there will be future findsas we continue to squeeze the last few drops from domestic supplies, but it is reasonable to expectthat contributions from domestic supplies will quickly become negligible in about 8-10 years.Domestic supplies must drop from 40% today to 30%, 20%, and then less than 10% in arelatively short period of time. At that point, we will be completely at the mercy of foreign(Islamic) oil, which will have the vast majority of remaining reserves. The best estimate of world-wide oil reserves (1.2 trillion barrels) appears comforting until you realize that most non-Islamicreserves are locked up in oil sands/shale in Canada and South America. To recover this resourcetakes a lot of energy since the oil can only be released by a messy process of mining and raisingthe shale to a high temperature (by burning gas to heat up huge retorts). Unfortunately, gas

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    reserves are insufficient and, indeed, unavailable to release significant amounts of useable oillocked up in the shale. This process of burning gas to obtain oil also does a number on theenvironment, and so environmental considerations may put the nail in the coffin of the idea of

    useable quantities of oil being extracted from shale.It appears inevitable our kids and grandkids may soon be facing a world with

    comparatively tighter oil supplies and ever increasing competition for a dwindling resource.Today's two dollar a gallon oil cost may soon look like the good old days. In 10 years gasolinemay cost anywhere between $8-$20 per gallon (in todays dollar). Only the wealthy will sportaround the countryside in SUV's, and few teenagers will enjoy the rite of passage of cruisingmain street. Our popular culture and mobile way of life, based as it is on cheap and readygasoline, must then morph into something else. As our oil-based economy shrinks, it is inevitablethat the infrastructure and all production based on it will also wane, resulting in further economictrauma. No longer will teenagers hop in the car to drive 300 yards to the mall. With every roadtrip costing significantly more to families with dwindling spending power, retail sales and theservice industry will also suffer.

    All the while Islam, by its very nature, remains in permanent competition with othercivilizations. The true Islamic concept of peace goes something like this: Peace comes throughsubmission to Muhammad and his concept of Allah (i.e. Islam). As such the Islamic concept ofpeace, meaning making the whole world Muslim, is actually a mandate for war. It was inevitableand unavoidable that the current conflict would eventually reach our borders, and so it has. If weare willing to accept our lot and protect our present and future nation, major changes will beneeded in all aspects of our lives. The current Jihad is being funded primarily by each of us everytime we pay to fill our cars. In effect, we are funding our own demise, addicted as we are uponArabian oil. Change is not easy, but as Thomas Jefferson once said; A little revolution every nowand then is a good thing, it clears the atmosphere. Jihad is not going away on its own, it needs tobe helped. An awakening and Cultural Revolution must first take place here before we cansuccessfully commit to the task at hand. The air must be cleared and hands untied to be able to

    strike with the kind of lethality required to finish the ugly task and put it behind us. The set ofchanges and actions that could define victory are the responsibility of our military and politicalleaders, but require the full support and participation of every citizen and the economy. The firstthing to be done is to assign an all new $10/bbl tax on foreign oil to drive down demand and fundthe following:

    1. Require responsible drilling and development of oil reserves in Alaska, offshore, andelsewhere.

    2. Immediately begin building fission nuclear reactors on a large scale. Nuclear powerplants are much less polluting anyway.

    3. Require and support new and expanded Coal and Uranium production.4. Seriously invest in fusion research with the goal of harnessing the power of the hydrogen

    molecule to generate unlimited electrical power.

    5. Create more incentives for oil/gas conservation like car pooling, higher efficiencyengines, braking regeneration/conservation, lighter/stronger vehicles, smaller efficientengines, more efficient methods of mass transit. More efficient commercialtransportation, capturing of solar/wind/water potential, etc ect.

    6. Greatly expand NASA, but change the organizations paradigm to fund lunar extraction ofHe-3 to facilitate the eventual replacement of oil. NASA needs to shift from a tax-payerfunded to a revenue generating entity. A single Shuttle load of Helium-3 would supplythe countries energy needs for a year.

    Time is shorter than we all think. The answer to all these serious problems takes thepolitically incorrect form of nuclear energy. Energy policy needs to be thought of in terms ofterrorist funding, as the two are in fact two sides of the same coin. Every dollar not sent to the

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    Islamic world means one less bullet Islamic militants can buy to kill our sons. Uranium/tritiumfission, Helium-3/Deuterium fusion, could provide not only base electrical power requirements tofuel industrial production, but also could release oil from shale and generate huge quantities of

    hydrogen from simple water (a resource which covers four fifths of the planet). Unfortunately, itappears the current energy crisis will hit very hard much sooner than it will take forenlightenment to take hold and a nuclear infrastructure to be prepared to meet the loomingshortcomings. To some, the world will ever be flat, and those must be dragged into reality kickingand screaming. Perhaps when there is no outlet to plug in the hairdryer, the X-box, themicrowave, a new thought might occur to anti-nuclear 'activists'. When the economic crisisrelating to oil hits full stride, will eco-terrorists still dictate energy policy through activist judgesand tree-hugging politicians? At some point the pain will reach a threshold of intolerance, andpractical considerations will dictate war of some kind against anti-human/anti-economic/pro-natural extremists who stand in the way of prosperity (and freedom). But for now, currentpolitical realities being what they are, it seems all one can do is watch this circus with trepidation.