Ohio EnergyLast updated June 26, 2017

OhioPennsylvania

New YorkIllinoisTexas

North CarolinaVirginiaFlorida

GeorgiaMichigan

IndianaMaryland

New JerseyTennesseeKentuckyMissouriAlabama

South CarolinaWisconsinLouisiana

MassachusettsMississippi

West VirginiaArizona

MinnesotaOklahoma

IowaConnecticut

CaliforniaKansas

DelewareNebraska

DCColorado

Rhode IslandNew Hampshire

Arkansas

0 1100 2200 3300 4400

127137145177187227248

448468473

528536

580630

683684

821826

9811,196

1,2421,329

1,6421,787

1,8851,885

2,0322,289

2,3352,4022,433

2,5702,835

3,1613,744

3,8644,223

Ohio #1 in premature deaths from particulate matter from electricity generation

Total Premature Deaths/year

Source: Caiazzo, F., et al.,. (2013). Air pollution and early deaths in the United States. Part I: Quantifying the impact of major sectors in 2005. Atmospheric Environment, 79, 198–208.

KentuckyWest Virginia

OhioDC

MarylandVirginiaIndiana

North CarolinaDeleware

PennsylvaniaTennessee

South CarolinaGeorgia

AlabamaIllinois

MississippiArkansasMissouri

MichiganNew Jersey

New YorkLouisiana

WisconsinIowa

KansasOklahoma

FloridaRhode IslandConnecticut

TexasNebraska

MassachusettsMinnesota

New HampshireSouth Dakota

VermontMaine

North DakotaColorado

New MexicoWyoming

UtahArizonaNevada

CaliforniaOregon

IdahoWashington

Montana

0 10.25 20.5 30.75 41

11111

2333

34

58

99

1112

131313

1414

1515

16181818

202222

232424

2527

2829

313131

3233

343535

3637

40

Premature deaths per 100,000 people/year

Ohio #3 in premature death rate from particulate matter from electricity generation

Source: Caiazzo, F., et al.,. (2013). Air pollution and early deaths in the United States. Part I: Quantifying the impact of major sectors in 2005. Atmospheric Environment, 79, 198–208.

Fabio Caiazzo, et al.,”Air pollution and early deaths in the United States. Part I: Quantifying the impact of major sectors in 2005,” Atmospheric Environment, 2013

Coal is cause of high particulate matter

Without nuclear, the amount of clean electricity in Ohio will decline 90 percent.

Source: https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/. Based on 2016 generation totals.

Annu

al g

ener

atio

n (T

Wh)

0

4

8

12

16

20

With nuclear Without nuclear

NuclearHydroelectricWindSolar

Cos

t (U

S$/k

Wh)

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

Solar Ohio nuclear

0.051

0.017

0.072

Annual state subsidy (US$/kWh)Annual federal subsidy (US$/kWh)

Solar subsidies vs. proposed Ohio nuclear subsidy

Sources: http://www.srectrade.com/srec_markets/ohio https://solarpowerrocks.com/ohio/ http://www.utilitydive.com/news/aep-ohio-wholesale-auction-prices-continue-to-decline-stressing-utilities/408870/ https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/topic/7?agg=0,1&geo=g0002&endsec=vg&linechart=ELEC.PRICE.US-ALL.A&columnchart=ELEC.PRICE.US-ALL.A&map=ELEC.PRICE.US-ALL.A&freq=A&ctype=linechart&ltype=pin&rtype=s&pin=&rse=0&maptype=0

Cos

t (U

S$/k

Wh)

0

0.04

0.08

0.12

Subsidy program

Dayton P&L Custom, First Year, High

AEP Custom, First Year

Dayton P&L Custom, First Year, Low

Nuclear subsidy First Energy target price

0.017

0.05

0.08

0.1

Ohio energy efficiency subsidies cost up to 6x more per kilowatt hour than the proposed nuclear subsidy.

Sources: https://energy.gov/eere/femp/energy-incentive-programs-ohio http://media.cleveland.com/business_impact/other/Benefits%20of%20Ohio's%20Nuclear%20Assets.pdf

Ohio emissions will increase the equivalent of adding up to 3.4 million cars to the road if Perry and Davis-Besse close.

Sources: https://www.epa.gov/greenvehicles/greenhouse-gas-emissions-typical-passenger-vehicle-0 https://www.eia.gov/electricity/annual/html/epa_08_02.html

Equi

vale

nt n

umbe

r of c

ars

(milli

ons)

0

1.25

2.5

3.75

5

Incr

ease

in e

mis

sion

s (M

MT

CO

2/ye

ar)

0

5

10

15

20

Replacement fuel

100% coal 50% coal and 50% natural gas 100% natural gas

Increase in emissions Equivalent number of cars

Source: EIA Electricity Data Browser. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser

Gen

erat

ion

(MW

h)

0

40

80

120

160

In-state

Imported

In 2016, Ohio imported more than 19% of its power.

Ohio residential electricity increased despite energy efficiency spending

Source: https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/

Annu

al e

lect

ricity

con

sum

ptio

n (M

Wh)

45000

47500

50000

52500

55000

Year2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Residential

Ohio Nuclear Abandonments

Source: EP Energy Progress Tracker

Planned and abandoned

Abandoned during construction

0

1700

3400

5100

6800

Capacity (MW)

810

1,205

1,260

1,260

906

910

Davis Besse 2Davis Besse 3Erie 1Erie 2Perry 2 (was under construction)Zimmer 1 (was under construction)

0

13.75

27.5

41.25

55

Annual Generation (TWh)

6.53

9.71

10.15

10.15

7.30

7.33

GW

h

0

32500

65000

97500

130000

2016 2016 + planned nuclear build-out

68,001

16,817

28,866

28,866

17,760

68,944

Coal Gas Nuclear Wind Hydro Biomass Solar* Other

Nuclear Abandonments Locked in Fossil Fuels

*Includes distributed solar Source: US Energy Information Administration

Since 1985, Ohio’s nuclear abandonments increased emissions equivalent of adding 14 million cars to road.

Source and notes: EP Energy Progress Tracker. Emissions calculated using a coal emission factor of 950 g CO2/kwh. All replacement generation came from coal.

Incr

ease

in C

O2

emis

sion

s (M

MT)

0

375

750

1125

1500

Nuclear projects

Planned and abandoned

Abandoned during construction

Nearly 35,000 premature deaths resulted from Ohio’s nuclear abandonments and the

pollution from the coal that burned instead.

Source and notes: EP Energy Progress Tracker. Emissions calculated using a coal emission factor of 950 g CO2/kwh. All replacement generation came from coal. Number of deaths per TWh of coal burned taken from Markandya, Anil, and Paul Wilkinson. "Electricity generation and health." The Lancet 370.9591 (2007): 979-990.

Num

ber o

f dea

ths

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

Premature deaths

Planned and abandoned

Abandoned during construction

Ohio nuclear provided almost 12x more electricity than Ohio solar and wind combined in 2016.

Source: https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/

Annu

al g

ener

atio

n (T

Wh/

year

)

0

5

10

15

20

Nuclear Solar and wind

Nuclear Solar Wind

Nuclear produced more electricity in 2016 than renewables under RPS in 2027 assuming flat demand.

Source: https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/ https://www.puco.ohio.gov/industry-information/industry-topics/ohioe28099s-renewable-and-advanced-energy-portfolio-standard/

Annu

al g

ener

atio

n (T

Wh)

0

4.5

9

13.5

18

Nuclear in 2016 Renewables in 2016 Renewables under RPS in 2027

Num

ber o

f dire

ct jo

bs

-1600

-1400

-1200

-1000

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

200

Lost through shutdown of Davis-Besse and Perry

Gained through replacement with natural gas plants

75-1,420

Ohio will face a net loss of at least 1,345 direct jobs if nuclear plants are replaced with new natural gas.

Source: https://www.firstenergycorp.com/content/fecorp/about/generation_system/FENOC/davis-besse.html https://www.firstenergycorp.com/about/generation_system/FENOC/perry.html http://www.power-eng.com/articles/2001/12/intergen-completes-financing-on-900-mw-project-in-mississippi.html