ODDO BHFGERMAN CONFERENCE - gesco.de€¦ · GESCO PROFILE > € 500 million GROUP SALES ~ 2,500...
Transcript of ODDO BHFGERMAN CONFERENCE - gesco.de€¦ · GESCO PROFILE > € 500 million GROUP SALES ~ 2,500...
RELAUNCH
Frankfurt/Main, 21/22 Feb. 2018
ODDO BHF GERMAN CONFERENCE
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GESCO PROFILE
> € 500 millionGROUP SALES
~ 2,500EMPLOYEES WORLDWIDE
36SITES WORLDWIDE
Future orientedend markets based on
MEGA TRENDS
PORTFOLIOCOMPANIES
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„HIDDENCHAMPIONS“
TAKEOVER
100%
1989Founding
LONG‐TERMInvestor
UP TO 3Acquisitions
per year
INDUSTRIALGroup
German
„MITTELSTAND“
Market leaders & established players
PORTFOLIO
GROUPSEGMENTS
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01IN BRIEF
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SEGMENTS01IN BRIEF
Production process technology
Dynamically growing markets, high degreeof innovation, automation, „batch size 1“ Robotics and automation solutions in machine and plant construction, technology‐intense manufacturing services
Resource technology
Consolidating markets, focus on nichesand customer serviceCustomised preparation of primarymaterials, e. g. materials supply, transport and loading technology
Health and infrastructure technology
Not very cyclical, relatively resilient toeconomic fluctuationComponents, modules and primary productsfor providers for mass markets close to end customers
Mobility technology
Cyclical automotive market, positive outlook driven by technological leaps, e. g. electromobilityTools and moulds, components, parts etc. for vehicle industry
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SHARE PRICE DEVELOPMENT 5 YEARS01THE SHARE
GESCO Share (incl. div.) vs. SDAX and DAX (%)
SDAX +124.4%
GESCO +51.3%
DAX +61.4%
12.02.2018€ 31.15
01.01.2013€ 22.68
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SHARE PRICE DEVELOPMENT YTDGESCO Share (incl. div.) vs. SDAX and DAX (%)
ANALYSTS‘ STATEMENTS
Bankhaus Lampe: 40.00 € / buy / 08.02.2018
Equinet: 35.80 € / accumulate / 08.02.2018
Oddo BHF: 38.00 € / buy / 08.02.2018
GSC Research: 41.00 € / buy / 21.11.2017
SMC Research: 35.80 € / hold / 14.12.2017
GESCO +38.1%SDAX +22.2%DAX + 5.9%
GESCO
SDAX
DAX
01THE SHARE
01.01.2017€ 22.55
12.02.2018€ 31.15
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01PORTFOLIO
STRATEGY 2022
Starting pointLong‐standing successfulbusiness model had beenlosing momentumsince 2012/2013.
ActionIn 2016/2017 we set a lot of actions in motion in orderto lead GESCO back to the pathof profitable growth.
PORTFOLIO STRATEGY 2022
RELAUNCHPORTFOLIOSTRATEGY
2022
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PORTFOLIO STRATEGY 2022Phase of analysis terminated
01ANALYSE SITUATIONAre our existing business model and our role as shareholders still suitable to achieve our goals?
DECISION Q1/2016• the business model had to be
further developed in order to realize improvement potential
• GESCO had to take a more active part in its shareholder role
02ANALYSEMEGA TRENDSWhich markets are attractivefor us?
DECISION Q1/2016• growth markets related to
mega trends• focus put on 4 end customer
market segments
03STRUCTURING OF SEGMENTSWhich competences arethe basis on which we shapeour future?
DECISION Q2/2016• GESCO competences
identified• Portfolio reshaped into
4 Group segments• basis for focussed growth• strategy foresees up to 3
acquisitions per year
04BENCHMARK FOREACH COMPANYHow do we secure leadingpositions and margines?
DECISION Q3/2016• Competitive benchmarking
realised for each company• optimisation potential
identified• support needs substantiated• resulting gaps quantified
01PORTFOLIO
STRATEGY 2022
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PORTFOLIO STRATEGY 2022Optimizations started
DECISION Q4/2016• robust organization:
placement of managingdirectors & key positions
• prioritization on investments for growth & competitiveness
• consultative support to the portfolio companies
05MANAGEMENT LEVERHow do we best fulfil ourduties as a shareholder?
DECISION 03‐04/2016• concrete actions developed
and anchored in planning• focus on revenue growth and
competitiveness• Increase cash flow through
new focus on working capital
06GROWTH LEVERWhich mix of measures helps usto get better?
DECISION 03‐04/2016• annual strategy meetings
used as kick‐off forstrategic planning
• ambitious 3 year targetsagreed with the Managing Directors
• consulting by portfoliomanagers in financial and technical topics & projects
07MANAGEMENT METHODHow can the holding generateadded value while maintaininghigh degrees of liberty?
DECISION 03‐04/2016• cultural change has been
initiated• operational degrees of
freedom have been retained• stronger focus on obligation
and achievement have been put in place
08VALUES & CULTUREDEVELOPEDHow can we preserve valuesand at the same time developa strong culture of performanceand results?
01PORTFOLIO
STRATEGY 2022
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ACQUISITION 2016/2017Profile Pickhardt & Gerlach Group
~ € 30 mSALES
41STAFF
A REFININGACQUISITION
FIELD OFBUSINESS
processing of strip steelwith brass, copper,
nickel & zinc
01M&A
CUSTOMER SECTORSelectronics, home accessories, interior fittings, packaging, office supply, household appliances, handicraft & DIY, furniture accessories, sporting goods, automotive
HIDDEN CHAMPION Leading supplier in Europe
USPs: QUALITY LEADER &
DEDICATED CUSTOMER SERVICE
high degree of automation, productiontechnology and sitestate of the art
SPECIALTY
SIGNING: DEC. 2016CLOSING: JAN. 2017
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FINANCIAL YEAR 2017/2018 ‐ Q1‐Q3Dynamic development in first nine months
• Business activity in capitalgoods industry has pickedup significantly
• PORTFOLIO STRATEGY 2022 in progress, optimisationprojects begin to showresults
• Portfolio strengthened by acquisition of Pickhardt & Gerlach Group, includedin P+L for the first time in current financial year
• Incoming orders and salesincreased significantly, earnings grewdisporportionately
• Negative one‐off effect due to decison of a companyto discontinue one of its divisions: € ‐2.0 m
• Positive one‐off effect due to agreement on a tax issue: € +1.7 m
• EBIT margin increasedfrom 5.4% to 7.5 %
• Impact of antitrustproceedings against Dörrenberg Edelstahl GmbH currently not quantifiable, not included in Q3 figures
• Q4 stronger than expected, order intake and sales still on a high level
• Operating guidance for full financial year significantly increased especially with respect to earnings
• Impact of antitrustproceedings against Dörrenberg Edelstahl GmbH not included in outlook
02Q1‐Q3
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FINANCIAL FIGURES IN DETAILQ1‐Q3
2016/2017 Q1‐Q3
2017/2018 Change Remark
Incoming orders €m 376.4 407.9 +8.4 % organic: +1.2 %
Sales €m 357.5 404.4 +13.1 % organic: +5.9 %
EBITDA €m 35.7 49.4 +38.6 %Disproportional growth, bettercapacity utilisation, temporaryfavourable order mix
EBIT €m 19.9 31.5 +57.7 %Earnings before tax €m 17.8 29.9 +67.7 %Group net income after minority interest €m 9.7 16.4 +68.2 %
Earnings per share pursuant to IFRS € 0.98 1.51 +54.1 % Disproportional developmentdue to higher no. of shares
Weighted average number of shares No. 9,969,471 10,832,475 +8.7 % Increase due to capital increasefrom March 2017
Employees No. 2,526 2,482 ‐1.7 %PGW‘s staff included for the firsttime (37 employees), Protomaster‘sstaff no longer included (115)
02Q1‐Q3
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SEGMENT DEVEL0PMENTSegment € m Q1‐Q3
2016/2017Q1‐Q3
2017/2018
PRODUCTION PROCESS TECHNOLOGY
Incoming orders 53.3 56.0 Lively customer demand; segment benefits from trendto automation; in Q3 increasing number of machinesdelivered
Sales 45.2 48.4EBIT 1.4 2.0
02Q1‐Q3
RESOURCETECHNOLOGY
Incoming orders 173.5 202.2 Extraordinarily strong Q1 with especially favourableenvironment, normalisation of margins on a high level in Q2 and Q3; Pickhardt & Gerlach included for the first time
Sales 166.4 205.4EBIT 13.7 27.8
HEALTH & INFRASTRUCTURETECHNOLOGY
Incoming orders 87.2 96.4Lively customer demand, segment benefits from positive development of markets close to end customers
Sales 87.8 96.6EBIT 8.7 9.5
MOBILITYTECHNOLOGY
Incoming orders 62.3 53.3 Good demand for parts for serial production, but toolmanufacturing clearly declining; negative one‐off effect of € ‐2.0 m because a portfolio company decided todiscontinue one of its divisions; segment developmentclearly lagging behind initial expectations; Protomaster GmbH sold on 7 Dec. 2017 via MBO
Sales 59.7 54.5
EBIT 3.4 ‐0.4
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140.000
160.000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2016 2017
2017/2018 – Q4 (o p e r a t i n g b u s i n e s s O c t . t o D e c . 2 0 1 7 )
O = order intake (left) € million S= Sales (right) € million
02Q4
Preliminary figures for Q4: better thanexpected, business activity still on a high level
ORDER BACKLOG END OF Q4:approx. € 195 m
(without order backlog of Protomaster GmbH which had been sold in Dec. 2017)
144144
122 125
ORDER INTAKE Q4: +17% YOYSALES Q4: +15% YOY
SO S O
€‘000
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OUTLOOK 2017/2018Expectations for full financial year
03OUTLOOK
FORECASTGerman GDP 2017+1,4% to +1,8%
VDMAProduction forecast
+3% after years of stagnation
ENVIRONMENTIMPROVED
1) as at annual accounts press conference on 29 June 2017 2) as at financial report H1 from 14 Nov. 2017 3 as at quarterly statement Q3 from 14 Feb. 2018 4) no. of shares increased due to capital increase from March 2017
Outlook raised significantly especially with regard to earnings
GESCO GROUP2016/2017
Actual
2017/2018Outlook6/2017 1)
2017/2018Outlook11/2017 2)
2017/2018Outlook2/2018 3)
Changeyoy
Group sales € m 482.5 510to 530 530 approx.
545 +13%
Group net incomeafter minority interest
€ m 7.9 17 to 18 18 20
to 21+153%
to +166%
Earnings per shareacc. to IFRS 4)
€ 0.79 1.57 to 1.66 1.66 1.84
to 1.94+133%
to +145%
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Ad‐hoc from 12.12.2017 Antitrust proceedings against
Dörrenberg Edelstahl GmbH, a 90% subsidiary of GESCO.
In‐depth analysis in progress. Impact on earnings not yet
quantifiable, therefore: Impact not included in
nine months figures 2017/2018 Impact not included in
outlook for full FY 2017/2018
OUTLOOK 2017/201803OUTLOOK
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OUTLOOKExpected Segment Development for full FY
PRODUCTION PROCESSTECHNOLOGY
SalesSegment benefits from trend to automation, sales and earnings expected above prev. year‘s figures
EBIT
RESOURCETECHNOLOGY
Sales Profitable organic growth plus strong external growthdue to addition of Pickhardt & Gerlach Group; sales and earnings expected clearly above prev. yearEBIT
HEALTH &INFRASTRUCTURETECHNOLOGY
Sales Benefits from lively demand of end customers; sales and earningsexpected above prev. year‘s figures, although earnings are burdenedby one‐off expenses for growth and optimisation projects in invidivualcompaniesEBIT
MOBILITYTECHNOLOGY
SalesSales and earnings are expected clearly below prev. year‘s level
EBIT
03OUTLOOK
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GOALS PORTFOLIO STRATEGY 2022
GESCO PORTFOLIOleading GESCO back to the path of profitable growth by consistentlyimplementing measures in order
to reach the ambitious goals agreedwith the managing directors
INTERNALGROWTH
GESCO GROUPsustainably reaching thetargeted EBIT margin
by 2022
(corresponds to a margin of roughly4% of Group net incomeafter minority interest)
≥ 8%
EXTERNALGROWTH
GESCO ACQUISITIONSacquiring up to 3 Hidden Champions
per year with intensifiedM&A activities
05Portfolio
Strategy2022
03PORTFOLIO
STRATEGY 2022
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APPENDIXShareholder Structure
13.7 % STEFAN HEIMÖLLER
(private investor, entrepreneur, supervisory board
member since 2013)
14.4 % INVESTMENTAKTIENGESELLSCHAFT FÜR LANGFRISTIGE INVESTOREN TGV (institutional investor, representedin supervisory board since 2017)
~36.0 %* other institutional investors
~35.9 %*other private investors
* estimate
86.3% FREEFLOAT
ACC. TO DEFINITION OF DEUTSCHE BÖRSE
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APPENDIXSignificant GESCO Group companies
Segment Company/Group Sales 2016€‘000
Staff31.12.2016
ShareGESCO AG
PRODUCTION PROCESSTECHNOLOGY
C.F.K. 8,586 66 80%Georg Kesel Group 10,784 58 90%MAE Group 42,886 222 100%VWH 12,330 112 80%
RESOURCETECHNOLOGY
Dörrenberg Group 181,108 523 90%Pickhardt & Gerlach Group 29,500 41 100%SVT 41,035 184 90%
HEALTH &INFRASTRUCTURETECHNOLOGY
AstroPlast 12,993 85 100%Frank Group 29,993 285 90%Franz Funke 16,705 82 80%Haseke 13,760 69 80%Hubl 13,583 111 80%Setter Group 26,805 100 100%
MOBILITYTECHNOLOGY
Paul Beier 10,469 113 100%Dömer 15,229 100 100%Modell Technik 11,399 115 100%Werkzeugbau Laichingen Group 23,448 172 100%
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Financial yearOPERATING COMPANIES
1st Jan 2017 31st Dec 2017Financial yearGESCO AG/GESCO GROUP
1st Apr 2017 31st Mar 2018
Please note: different financial yearAPPENDIX
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APPENDIXGESCO Facts and Figures
FACTS AND FIGURES FOR GESCO AGFounded: 1989
Share capital: € 10,839,499
Shares: 10,839,499 registered shares
Stock markets: Xetra; Frankfurt (regulated market); Berlin, Düsseldorf, Hamburg, Hannover, München, Stuttgart (open market)
Sec. Identification Number: A1K020
ISIN: DE000A1K0201
IPO: 24 March 1998
End of financial year: 31 March
Designated Sponsors: equinet Bank AGOddo Seydler Bank AG
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FINANCIAL CALENDER14 February 2018 Q3 figures (01.04. ‐ 31.12.2017)
21/22 February 2018 Oddo BHF German Conference, Frankfurt/Main
28 June 2018 Annual Accounts Press Conference / Analysts’ Meeting
14 August 2018 Q1 figures (01.04. ‐ 30.06.2018)
30 August 2018 Annual General Meeting, Wuppertal
14 November 2018 Q2 figures (01.04. ‐ 30.09.2018)
APPENDIXFinancial Calender
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APPENDIXInvestor Relations Contact
INVESTOR RELATIONS GESCO AG Phone: +49 202 24820‐18 Investor Relations Fax: +49 202 24820‐49Oliver Vollbrecht Email: [email protected] 7 Web: www.gesco.de 42103 WuppertalGermany
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