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Ocean Climate products Ocean Climate products facilitated by COSPPacfacilitated by COSPPac

Amanda AmjadaliAmanda AmjadaliBureau of Meteorology: Ocean Climate Manager(with thanks to Peter Dexter, Janita Pahalad, Claire Spillman, Luke Garde and

Sheng Guo)

Image: Ocean Climate Section, Bureau of Meteorology (BoM)

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What is COSPPac?What is COSPPac? Climate and Ocean Support Program for the Pacific (COSPPac) is a proposal to be funded by the Australian Agency for International Development (AusAID) and implemented by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology

o Component 1 - Climate and Ocean Monitoring and Prediction Project (COMP)

• Consisting of the new Ocean Climate section and the next phase of the Pacific Islands – Climate Prediction Project (PI-CPP). PI-CPP has been running for 8 years and has provided a seasonal forecast tool for 10 of the Pacific Island countries as well as running several successful pilot projects around climate adaptation.

o Component 2 - Sea Level Monitoring Project (SLM)• The restructured South Pacific Sea Level Climate and MonitoringProject (SPSLCMP) with only the Sea level monitoring components (both in terms of data and real-time products)

o Component 3 - Capacity Development & Communication (CDC)• A new component focussing on training, work attachments, capacity mapping, institutional strengthening, traditional knowledge and communication

Participating countries: Cook Islands, Fiji, Federated States of Micronesia, Kiribati, Nauru, Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Republic of the Marshall Islands, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu and Vanuatu.

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What is Ocean Climate and why is it What is Ocean Climate and why is it important?important?

It is impossible to monitor climate variability and It is impossible to monitor climate variability and change without taking into account how the change without taking into account how the ocean is behaving.ocean is behaving.

Ocean climate at the Bureau refers to ocean Ocean climate at the Bureau refers to ocean products and services within a climate timeproducts and services within a climate time--scale. (i.e. Seasonal, annual, decadal etc)scale. (i.e. Seasonal, annual, decadal etc)

Products that fall within these time scales and that Products that fall within these time scales and that have been requested by PICs at the April 2010 have been requested by PICs at the April 2010 SPSLCMP data workshop and the April 2011 SPSLCMP data workshop and the April 2011 COSPPac workshop areCOSPPac workshop are……..

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Ocean Climate Products requested by PICs Ocean Climate Products requested by PICs in April 2010 (SPSLCMP)in April 2010 (SPSLCMP)

Reconstructed time series of tidal gauge dataReconstructed time series of tidal gauge data

oo Use the SPSLCMP sea level data in combination with other sourcesUse the SPSLCMP sea level data in combination with other sources of of sea level data (including tide gauges and satellite altimetry) isea level data (including tide gauges and satellite altimetry) in sea level n sea level reconstructions, with a view to providing maps of regional sea lreconstructions, with a view to providing maps of regional sea level evel change and anomalies over a variety of longer time and spatial schange and anomalies over a variety of longer time and spatial scales cales thanthan provided by the SPSLCMP observations alone. This will also provided by the SPSLCMP observations alone. This will also better relate sea level risebetter relate sea level riseObservations in the region toObservations in the region totrends being reported in thetrends being reported in theliterature and utilised in theliterature and utilised in theworkings of theworkings of theIntergovernmental Panel onIntergovernmental Panel onClimate Change (IPCC).Climate Change (IPCC).

Image: Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) J Church, N White

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Improved access to Improved access to productsproducts

oo Data presented in Data presented in maps rather than maps rather than tables to make it tables to make it easier to utilise;easier to utilise;

oo Improved real time Improved real time access to data access to data and services to and services to facilitate use;facilitate use;

Ocean Climate Products requested by PICs Ocean Climate Products requested by PICs in April 2010 (SPSLCMP)in April 2010 (SPSLCMP)

oo Regular updating of products Regular updating of products –– including links to including links to other data/services such as wave, BLUElink, etc.; other data/services such as wave, BLUElink, etc.;

oo Interpretation / post analysis of unusual or extreme Interpretation / post analysis of unusual or extreme events, forecasting, ENSO and so on to understand events, forecasting, ENSO and so on to understand local impacts.local impacts.

Image: Pacific-Australia Climate Change Science and Adaptation Planning Program (PACCSAP)

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Island scale VariabilityIsland scale Variability

–– Augment existing stations in several key locations with Augment existing stations in several key locations with additional sensors (wave / surface elevation sensors) additional sensors (wave / surface elevation sensors) to build understanding of island scale variability;to build understanding of island scale variability;

–– Links to regional wave climate data;Links to regional wave climate data;–– Use for hydrographical survey, island datum;Use for hydrographical survey, island datum;–– Tide predictions in more diverse locations;Tide predictions in more diverse locations;–– Link SEAFRAME data to seasonal, ENSO, Survey to Link SEAFRAME data to seasonal, ENSO, Survey to

benchmarks and CGPS campaigns;benchmarks and CGPS campaigns;

Ocean Climate Products requested by PICs Ocean Climate Products requested by PICs in April 2010 (SPSLCMP)in April 2010 (SPSLCMP)

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Analysis of other data Analysis of other data

–– For example linking historical UHSLC data with For example linking historical UHSLC data with SPSLCMP data for improved understanding and SPSLCMP data for improved understanding and analysis of extreme events and possibly longer term analysis of extreme events and possibly longer term sea level trends;sea level trends;

Ocean Climate Products requested by PICs Ocean Climate Products requested by PICs in April 2010 (SPSLCMP)in April 2010 (SPSLCMP)

–– Link existing regional Link existing regional wave model products wave model products to SPSLCMP products to SPSLCMP products to better determine to better determine combine impacts of combine impacts of related phenomena.related phenomena.

Image: Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research (CAWCR)

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–– Disaster Mitigation Disaster Mitigation (Sea level rise, wind (Sea level rise, wind and waves, hazard and waves, hazard mapping)mapping)

–– Climatology of Climatology of epicentre and runups, epicentre and runups, sea level and wave sea level and wave climateclimate

Ocean Climate Products requested by PICs Ocean Climate Products requested by PICs in April 2011 (COSPPac)in April 2011 (COSPPac)

–– Climatology (BLUElink/BRAN, WaveWatchIII, WAM)Climatology (BLUElink/BRAN, WaveWatchIII, WAM)

–– Dynamical sea level predictions and additional sea level Dynamical sea level predictions and additional sea level information in SCOPICinformation in SCOPIC

–– Sea level climatology in CliDeSea level climatology in CliDeImage: Ocean Climate Section, Bureau of Meteorology (BoM)

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Extreme Ocean event (Sea Extreme Ocean event (Sea Surface Temperature)Surface Temperature)

oo Coral bleachingCoral bleaching

Tide Gauge, Altimetry, Tide Gauge, Altimetry, Reconstruction, and ClimatologyReconstruction, and Climatology

oo Climatological verification of Climatological verification of current sea level trendscurrent sea level trends

Ocean Climate Data Applications Ocean Climate Data Applications (to be built in time and in (to be built in time and in partnership with the PICs)partnership with the PICs)

Training in Ocean Climate Training in Ocean Climate ApplicationsApplications

Ocean Climate Products requested by PICs Ocean Climate Products requested by PICs in April 2011 (COSPPac)in April 2011 (COSPPac)

Image: Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) J Church, N White

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HereHere’’s one we prepared earliers one we prepared earlier……

Pacific Ocean Climate Web Portal Pacific Ocean Climate Web Portal –– Proof of Proof of ConceptConcept

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ENSO monitoring: SubENSO monitoring: Sub--surface temperature analysis, Nino and SOIsurface temperature analysis, Nino and SOI

Pacific Ocean Climate Web Portal Pacific Ocean Climate Web Portal –– Proof of Proof of ConceptConcept

Image: Ocean Climate Section, Bureau of Meteorology (BoM)

1212Sea surface temperature and currents

Sea Level Anomaly

Salinity

Pacific Ocean Climate Web Portal Pacific Ocean Climate Web Portal ––Possible ProductsPossible Products

BLUElink Products BLUElink Products –– currently currently exploring the IP constraints around exploring the IP constraints around

data accessdata access

Image: Weather & Ocean Services, Bureau of Meteorology (BoM)

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Pacific Ocean Climate Web Portal Pacific Ocean Climate Web Portal ––Possible ProductsPossible Products

Pacific Wave Pacific Wave Climatology Climatology ––

Data Extraction Tool : Data Extraction Tool : noting the data noting the data

period for the WAM period for the WAM model is < 10 yrsmodel is < 10 yrs

Image: Ocean Climate Section, Bureau of Meteorology (BoM)

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Marine Applications for Seasonal Marine Applications for Seasonal forecastingforecasting

Coral bleaching riskCoral bleaching riskThe Great Barrier ReefThe Great Barrier ReefPacific Island CountriesPacific Island Countries

Commercial longCommercial long--line fisheriesline fisheriesSouthern bluefin tunaSouthern bluefin tuna

AquacultureAquacultureSalmon farms in TasmaniaSalmon farms in Tasmania

Seabird colony managementSeabird colony managementPhillip Island penguin colonyPhillip Island penguin colony

Use forecasts of sea surface 

temperature (SST) anomalies 

Operational & experimental products

Slide: Claire Spillman. Images Commonwealth of Australia (GBRMPA), L Chambers, A Hobday

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QUESTIONS?QUESTIONS?

My Details :My Details :Amanda AmjadaliAmanda AmjadaliManager Ocean Climate ServicesManager Ocean Climate ServicesClimate Information ServicesClimate Information ServicesAustralian Bureau of MeteorologyAustralian Bureau of MeteorologyP: +61 (03)9669 4448P: +61 (03)9669 4448E: a.amjadali@bom.gov.auE: a.amjadali@bom.gov.au