Ocean acidification: causes, impacts and solutions - IUCN · ocean acidi!cation research and...
Transcript of Ocean acidification: causes, impacts and solutions - IUCN · ocean acidi!cation research and...
Jean-Pierre Gattuso!Laboratoire d’Océanographie de Villefranche!
CNRS-Université Pierre et Marie Curie-Paris 6
Ocean acidification: causes, impacts and solutions
Introduction and outline
Burning of fossil fuels, cementmanufacture and land use
change
[WGI 6.3.2] [WGI 2.2.1] [WGI 3.8.2, 30.2.2][WGI 5.4.2.2, 5.4.4.2, 30.5.2,
30.5.3, 30, 5.4, 30, 5.6] [CC-CR, 5.4.2.2, 5.4.2.4, 30.6.2] [30.6.7]
Increase in atmospheric
CO2
High Certainty Low Certainty
• Increased CO2, bicarbonate ions and acidity
• Decreased carbonate ions and pH
• Reduced shell and skeleton production
• Changes in assemblages, food webs and ecosystems
• Biodiversity loss
• Changes in biogas production and feedback to climate
• Fisheries, aquaculture and food security
• Coastal protection
• Tourism
• Climate regulation
• Carbon storage
• UN Framework Convention on Climate Change: Conference of the Parties, IPCC, Conference on Sustainable Development (Rio+20)
• Convention on Biological Diversity
• Geoengineering
• Regional and local acts, laws and policies to reduce other stresses
Ocean AcidificationAtmospheric change
Changes to Organisms and Ecosystems
Socio-economic Impacts
Ocean warming and deoxgenation
relevant sections
Policy Options for ActionDriver
Gattuso et al. (2014; IPCC AR5 WGII)
Burning of fossil fuels, cementmanufacture and land use
change
[WGI 6.3.2] [WGI 2.2.1] [WGI 3.8.2, 30.2.2][WGI 5.4.2.2, 5.4.4.2, 30.5.2,
30.5.3, 30, 5.4, 30, 5.6] [CC-CR, 5.4.2.2, 5.4.2.4, 30.6.2] [30.6.7]
Increase in atmospheric
CO2
• Increased CO2, bicarbonate ions and acidity
• Decreased carbonate ions and pH
• Reduced shell and skeleton production
• Changes in assemblages, food webs and ecosystems
• Biodiversity loss
• Changes in biogas production and feedback to climate
• Fisheries, aquaculture and food security
• Coastal protection
• Tourism
• Climate regulation
• Carbon storage
• UN Framework Convention on Climate Change: Conference of the Parties, IPCC, Conference on Sustainable Development (Rio+20)
• Convention on Biological Diversity
• Geoengineering
• Regional and local acts, laws and policies to reduce other stresses
Ocean AcidificationAtmospheric change
Changes to Organisms and Ecosystems
Socio-economic Impacts
Ocean warming and deoxgenation
relevant sections
Policy Options for ActionDriver
Afte
r Gat
tuso
and
Han
sson
(201
1) a
nd G
attu
so e
t al.
(201
1)
Gat
tuso
et a
l. (2
014;
IPC
C A
R5
WG
II)
• Biological and ecological effects: high to low confidence !
• Biogeochemistry: medium to low confidence
• Biological and ecological effects: high to low confidence !
• Biogeochemistry: medium to low confidence
• Knowledge gaps:!• Multiple drivers!• Evolutionary adaptation!• Response of
communities!• Food web, up to
predators
EA41CH10-Caldeira ARI 19 April 2013 15:34
1. INTRODUCTIONThe term geoengineering as applied in its current context was introduced into the scientificliterature by Victor Marchetti in the title of his classic paper describing deep-sea disposal of carbondioxide (CO2) (Marchetti 1977). This term has come to refer to large-scale efforts to diminishclimate change resulting from greenhouse gases that have already been released to the atmosphere.Such efforts include both solar geoengineering (also known as solar radiation management, orSRM) and carbon dioxide removal (CDR) (R. Soc. 2009). SRM aims to diminish the amount ofclimate change produced by high greenhouse gas concentrations, whereas CDR involves removingCO2 and other greenhouse gases from the atmosphere.
These geoengineering approaches may complement other strategies to diminish risks posedby climate change (Figure 1), including conservation (reducing demand for goods and services),efficiency (producing goods and services with few energy inputs), low- or zero-carbon emissionenergy technologies (producing that energy with sources that emit less CO2), and adaptation(increasing resilience to effects of climate change that do occur). These various options are notmutually exclusive, although decisions must be made regarding how much effort should be put
Consumptionof goods and
services
Consumptionof energy
Climatechange
Impacts onhumans andecosystems
CO2removal
Desire forimproved
well-being
Adaptation
Solargeoengineering
Low-carbonemission energy
technologies
Conservation
Efficiency
CO2emissions
CO2 inatmosphere
Figure 1Most geoengineering approaches fall into one of two categories: carbon dioxide removal or solargeoengineering. These approaches can be viewed as part of a portfolio of strategies for diminishing climaterisk and damage. Carbon dioxide removal attempts to break the link between CO2 emissions andaccumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere. Solar geoengineering (also known as solar radiation management)attempts to break the link between accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere and the amount of climatechange that can result.
232 Caldeira · Bala · Cao
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EA41CH10-Caldeira ARI 19 April 2013 15:34
1. INTRODUCTIONThe term geoengineering as applied in its current context was introduced into the scientificliterature by Victor Marchetti in the title of his classic paper describing deep-sea disposal of carbondioxide (CO2) (Marchetti 1977). This term has come to refer to large-scale efforts to diminishclimate change resulting from greenhouse gases that have already been released to the atmosphere.Such efforts include both solar geoengineering (also known as solar radiation management, orSRM) and carbon dioxide removal (CDR) (R. Soc. 2009). SRM aims to diminish the amount ofclimate change produced by high greenhouse gas concentrations, whereas CDR involves removingCO2 and other greenhouse gases from the atmosphere.
These geoengineering approaches may complement other strategies to diminish risks posedby climate change (Figure 1), including conservation (reducing demand for goods and services),efficiency (producing goods and services with few energy inputs), low- or zero-carbon emissionenergy technologies (producing that energy with sources that emit less CO2), and adaptation(increasing resilience to effects of climate change that do occur). These various options are notmutually exclusive, although decisions must be made regarding how much effort should be put
Consumptionof goods and
services
Consumptionof energy
Climatechange
Impacts onhumans andecosystems
CO2removal
Desire forimproved
well-being
Adaptation
Solargeoengineering
Low-carbonemission energy
technologies
Conservation
Efficiency
CO2emissions
CO2 inatmosphere
Figure 1Most geoengineering approaches fall into one of two categories: carbon dioxide removal or solargeoengineering. These approaches can be viewed as part of a portfolio of strategies for diminishing climaterisk and damage. Carbon dioxide removal attempts to break the link between CO2 emissions andaccumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere. Solar geoengineering (also known as solar radiation management)attempts to break the link between accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere and the amount of climatechange that can result.
232 Caldeira · Bala · Cao
Ann
u. R
ev. E
arth
Pla
net.
Sci.
2013
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from
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w.a
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Caldeira et al. (2013)
7.7
7.8
7.9
8.0
8.1
8.2
pH (t
otal
sca
le)
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100
RCP8.5
RCP2.6
Historical
Ciais et al. (2013). IPCC AR5 WG I
EA41CH10-Caldeira ARI 19 April 2013 15:34
1. INTRODUCTIONThe term geoengineering as applied in its current context was introduced into the scientificliterature by Victor Marchetti in the title of his classic paper describing deep-sea disposal of carbondioxide (CO2) (Marchetti 1977). This term has come to refer to large-scale efforts to diminishclimate change resulting from greenhouse gases that have already been released to the atmosphere.Such efforts include both solar geoengineering (also known as solar radiation management, orSRM) and carbon dioxide removal (CDR) (R. Soc. 2009). SRM aims to diminish the amount ofclimate change produced by high greenhouse gas concentrations, whereas CDR involves removingCO2 and other greenhouse gases from the atmosphere.
These geoengineering approaches may complement other strategies to diminish risks posedby climate change (Figure 1), including conservation (reducing demand for goods and services),efficiency (producing goods and services with few energy inputs), low- or zero-carbon emissionenergy technologies (producing that energy with sources that emit less CO2), and adaptation(increasing resilience to effects of climate change that do occur). These various options are notmutually exclusive, although decisions must be made regarding how much effort should be put
Consumptionof goods and
services
Consumptionof energy
Climatechange
Impacts onhumans andecosystems
CO2removal
Desire forimproved
well-being
Adaptation
Solargeoengineering
Low-carbonemission energy
technologies
Conservation
Efficiency
CO2emissions
CO2 inatmosphere
Figure 1Most geoengineering approaches fall into one of two categories: carbon dioxide removal or solargeoengineering. These approaches can be viewed as part of a portfolio of strategies for diminishing climaterisk and damage. Carbon dioxide removal attempts to break the link between CO2 emissions andaccumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere. Solar geoengineering (also known as solar radiation management)attempts to break the link between accumulation of CO2 in the atmosphere and the amount of climatechange that can result.
232 Caldeira · Bala · Cao
Ann
u. R
ev. E
arth
Pla
net.
Sci.
2013
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231-
256.
Dow
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from
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Caldeira et al. (2013)
• Brings together end users, leading scientists and policy advisers!
• Complements OA International Coordination Center (IAEA, Monaco)!
• Advises on the types of products, content, style, and how to get them out with impact!
• Multilingual guides produced!• Current activities: ‘Monaco Ocean Acidification Action
Plan’, and ‘Ocean Acidification – getting ahead of the curve’, focussing on forecasting capabilities
Dissemination and outreachMessages for Rio+20
1
Messages for Rio+20
It is amazing to think that just ten years ago hardly anyone had heard of ocean acidification. It is now much more widely understood that the increasing amount of carbon dioxide (CO2) we are emitting into the air by our activities is reacting with the ocean to alter its chemistry and push it along the scale towards acidity. One major effect is reducing the availability of carbonate ions needed by many marine animals and plants to build their shells and skeletons.
This briefing paper from the International Ocean Acidification Reference User Group provides essential information and highlights the actions needed on ocean acidification by Governments at Rio+20
There is little doubt that the ocean is undergoing dramatic changes that will impact many human lives now and ever more so in the coming generations, unless we act quickly and decisively. Previous acidification events in the Earth’s geological record were often associated with extinctions of many species. Whilst the causes of such extinction episodes are complex, it is notable that the biodiversity recovery took hundreds of thousands and, after mass extinctions, millions of years.
© Karen H
issman, IFM
-GEO
MAR
© H
opcroft/UAF/C
OM
L©
Hopcroft/U
AF/CO
ML
© Bec Thom
as 2006/07 Marine Photobank
Documents for policy makers – some written by EPOCA’s Reference User Group of stakeholders
A book and two award winning films one by school children and another by professional film makers
Dialogue with policy makers and media at climate change negotiations in Copenhagen, Cancun, Capetown and Warsaw
World leading website and blog on ocean acidification
After C. Turley
This document presents the highlights of the Frequently Asked Questions about Ocean Acidification (2010, 2012; www.whoi.edu/OCB-OA/FAQs), a detailed summary of the state of ocean acidification research and understanding. The FAQs and this fact sheet are intended to
aid scientists, science communicators, and science policy advisors asked to comment on details about ocean acidification. In all, 63 scientists from 47 institutions and 12 countries participated in writing the FAQ, which was produced by the Ocean Carbon and Biogeochemistry Project (www.us-ocb.org), the United Kingdom Ocean Acidification Programme (www.oceanacidification.org.uk), and the European Project on Ocean Acidification (EPOCA). More information and contacts can be found at any of these websites or at the Ocean Acidification International Coordination Centre’s website (www.iaea.org/ocean-acidification). The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report findings on ocean acidification can be viewed at www.ipcc.ch.
20 FACTS about
1Ocean acidification (OA) is a progressive increase in the acidity of the ocean over an extended period, typically
decades or longer, which is caused primarily by uptake of car-bon dioxide (CO2) from the atmosphere. It can also be caused or enhanced by other chemical additions or subtractions from the ocean. Acidification can be more severe in areas where human activities and impacts, such as acid rain and nutrient runoff, further increase acidity.
2OA has been well documented with
global observations conducted over sev-eral decades by hun-dreds of researchers. It has been definitively attributed to human-generat-ed CO2 in the atmosphere that has been released primarily by fossil fuel combustion and land use changes.
3Acidity may be thought of as simply the hydrogen ion concentration (H+) in a liquid, and pH is the loga-
rithmic scale on which this concentration is measured. It is important to note that acidity increases as the pH decreases.
4Average global surface ocean pH has already fallen from a pre-industrial value of 8.2 to 8.1, corresponding to an in-
crease in acidity of about 30%. Values of 7.8–7.9 are expected by 2100, representing a doubling of acidity.
5The pH of the open-ocean surface layer is unlikely to ever become acidic (i.e. drop below pH 7.0), because
seawater is buffered by dissolved salts. The term “acidification” refers to a pH shift towards the acidic
end of the pH scale, similar to the way we describe an increase in
temperature from -20°C to -0°C (-4°F to 32°F): it’s
still cold, but we say it’s “warming.”
6OA is also changing
seawater carbon-ate chemistry. The concentra-
tions of dissolved CO2, hydrogen ions,
and bicarbonate ions are increasing, and the
concentration of carbonate ions is decreasing.
7Changes in pH and carbonate chemistry force marine organisms to spend more energy regulating chemistry
in their cells. For some organisms, this may leave less energy for other biological processes like growing, reproducing or responding to other stresses.
Pteropods, also called sea butterflies, are one type of shelled organism at risk from ocean acidification. Photo by Nina Bednarsek (NOAA/PMEL).
TOcean Acidification
November 2013
Dissemination and outreachMessages for Rio+20
1
Messages for Rio+20
It is amazing to think that just ten years ago hardly anyone had heard of ocean acidification. It is now much more widely understood that the increasing amount of carbon dioxide (CO2) we are emitting into the air by our activities is reacting with the ocean to alter its chemistry and push it along the scale towards acidity. One major effect is reducing the availability of carbonate ions needed by many marine animals and plants to build their shells and skeletons.
This briefing paper from the International Ocean Acidification Reference User Group provides essential information and highlights the actions needed on ocean acidification by Governments at Rio+20
There is little doubt that the ocean is undergoing dramatic changes that will impact many human lives now and ever more so in the coming generations, unless we act quickly and decisively. Previous acidification events in the Earth’s geological record were often associated with extinctions of many species. Whilst the causes of such extinction episodes are complex, it is notable that the biodiversity recovery took hundreds of thousands and, after mass extinctions, millions of years.
© Karen H
issman, IFM
-GEO
MAR
© H
opcroft/UAF/C
OM
L©
Hopcroft/U
AF/CO
ML
© Bec Thom
as 2006/07 Marine Photobank
Documents for policy makers – some written by EPOCA’s Reference User Group of stakeholders
A book and two award winning films one by school children and another by professional film makers
Dialogue with policy makers and media at climate change negotiations in Copenhagen, Cancun, Capetown and Warsaw
World leading website and blog on ocean acidification
After C. Turley
This document presents the highlights of the Frequently Asked Questions about Ocean Acidification (2010, 2012; www.whoi.edu/OCB-OA/FAQs), a detailed summary of the state of ocean acidification research and understanding. The FAQs and this fact sheet are intended to
aid scientists, science communicators, and science policy advisors asked to comment on details about ocean acidification. In all, 63 scientists from 47 institutions and 12 countries participated in writing the FAQ, which was produced by the Ocean Carbon and Biogeochemistry Project (www.us-ocb.org), the United Kingdom Ocean Acidification Programme (www.oceanacidification.org.uk), and the European Project on Ocean Acidification (EPOCA). More information and contacts can be found at any of these websites or at the Ocean Acidification International Coordination Centre’s website (www.iaea.org/ocean-acidification). The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report findings on ocean acidification can be viewed at www.ipcc.ch.
20 FACTS about
1Ocean acidification (OA) is a progressive increase in the acidity of the ocean over an extended period, typically
decades or longer, which is caused primarily by uptake of car-bon dioxide (CO2) from the atmosphere. It can also be caused or enhanced by other chemical additions or subtractions from the ocean. Acidification can be more severe in areas where human activities and impacts, such as acid rain and nutrient runoff, further increase acidity.
2OA has been well documented with
global observations conducted over sev-eral decades by hun-dreds of researchers. It has been definitively attributed to human-generat-ed CO2 in the atmosphere that has been released primarily by fossil fuel combustion and land use changes.
3Acidity may be thought of as simply the hydrogen ion concentration (H+) in a liquid, and pH is the loga-
rithmic scale on which this concentration is measured. It is important to note that acidity increases as the pH decreases.
4Average global surface ocean pH has already fallen from a pre-industrial value of 8.2 to 8.1, corresponding to an in-
crease in acidity of about 30%. Values of 7.8–7.9 are expected by 2100, representing a doubling of acidity.
5The pH of the open-ocean surface layer is unlikely to ever become acidic (i.e. drop below pH 7.0), because
seawater is buffered by dissolved salts. The term “acidification” refers to a pH shift towards the acidic
end of the pH scale, similar to the way we describe an increase in
temperature from -20°C to -0°C (-4°F to 32°F): it’s
still cold, but we say it’s “warming.”
6OA is also changing
seawater carbon-ate chemistry. The concentra-
tions of dissolved CO2, hydrogen ions,
and bicarbonate ions are increasing, and the
concentration of carbonate ions is decreasing.
7Changes in pH and carbonate chemistry force marine organisms to spend more energy regulating chemistry
in their cells. For some organisms, this may leave less energy for other biological processes like growing, reproducing or responding to other stresses.
Pteropods, also called sea butterflies, are one type of shelled organism at risk from ocean acidification. Photo by Nina Bednarsek (NOAA/PMEL).
TOcean Acidification
November 2013
Ocean Acidification International Coordination Center!
http://news-oceanacidification-icc.org