NZ and its rural productive model. Learning from a global agricultural leader. JULIAN RAMIREZ –...
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Transcript of NZ and its rural productive model. Learning from a global agricultural leader. JULIAN RAMIREZ –...
NZ and its rural productive model. NZ and its rural productive model. Learning from a global agricultural Learning from a global agricultural
leader. leader.
JULIAN RAMIREZ – LUNABUSINESS DEVELOPMENT MANAGER
DEREK FAIWEATHER CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
DAIRY SOLUTIONZ - WAIKATO INNOVATION PARK HAMILTON, NEW ZEALAND
Points to be shared
1. What´s happening around the world – dairy sector.
2. What Can be learnt from the New Zealand and its International Experience ?
3. Two situations related to the NZ rural development that could useful for Colombian current situation
1. GLOBAL SITUATION: CURRENT STATE
The supply of food to meet human nutritional needs over next 40 years is quantitatively equal to the amount of food previously produced in the history of human kind. D.E. Bauman – US News & World Report
NZ =Free range, lowest cost of production, high quality, safe protein, 2% of world formal productionGlobal leading Agtech Cluster for ongoing productivity improvement tech & systems
Unsubsidized Wealth
Others =Corn based, corn price linked to oil price, high capital, high cost, est 90% of worlds formal production
Marginal Business seeking subsidy /protection to sustain high local prices
Concentrate feed Prices
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
Jan-06
Mar-0
6
May-0
6
Jul-0
6
Sep-06
Nov-0
6
Jan-07
Mar-0
7
May-0
7
Jul-0
7
Sep-07
Nov-0
7
Jan-08
Mar-0
8
May-0
8
Jul-0
8
Sep-08
Nov-0
8
Jan-09
Mar-0
9
May-0
9
Jul-0
9
Sep-09
Nov-0
9
Jan-10
Mar-1
0
May-1
0
Jul-1
0
Sep-10
Nov-1
0
Jan-11
Mar-1
1
May-1
1
Jul-1
1
Sep-11
US-
$ / 1
00 k
g feed
IFCN feed price indicator
Calculation based on feed concentrate with 70% corn and 30% soybean meal
annually monthly
Food Prices and Oil prices
NEW ZELAND
NEW ZELAND• Population: 4.4 million• Area: 270.000 square km
• Dairy production: for 100 million of people• 11 million head of cattle
Profitable NZ Grassland Farmingwhat is it all about?
• Effective farm surplus per hectare, farming for profits not liters per cow • Lowest cost industrial production and highest quality
• US 22 to 23 cent per liter • Payment based on International prices
• US 42 cents per liter, • No subsidies: impossible for a small country to subsidize its No1 export industry
at over NZ$15billion per year• 95% export• 40% global trade • 2-3% global production• Our forecast indicates that annual demand increase for dairy is greater than
5 times the total annual production of Colombia.
• Best NZ farmers are achieving NZ$4,000 EFS / hectare
2. LESSONS FROM THE EVOLUTION OF THE NZ DAIRY INDUSTRY
1980´S ECONOMIC CRISIS IN NZ
Scale over time; more cows, fewer herds 1980 - 2010
Productivity growth per cow and per ha
Evolution in farming & processing
100 years
Key Learning / Universal Truths
• Individual farmers have no commercial power
• Milk Production gravitates to where the factors of production are the cheapest
• Value gets created and captured at both ends of the value chain, either/both the farm level or in consumer Brands
• Political solutions to commercial problems do not last
Key Learning / Universal Truths.. Cont.
• New Zealand is low cost because it has to be. Farmers respond to price signals. They must be clear, accurate, transparent
• Farmers deal best with production issues. Processors / marketers deal best with the customers / consumers
• World Price and Domestic price will inevitably converge
3. OTHER KIND OF LEARNINGS OF THE RURAL DEVELOPMENT OF NZ
TWO EXPERIENCES TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT: 1. MAORI EXPERIENCE2. WW2 – AFTER WAR SITUATION
MAORI EXPERIENCE• The Treaty of Waitangi (Māori: Tiriti o Waitangi) is a treaty first signed on 6
February 1840 by representatives of the British Crown and various Māori chiefs from the North Island of New Zealand.
• The Treaty established a British Governor of New Zealand, recognised Māori ownership of their lands and other properties, and gave the Māori the rights of British subjects.
WW2 –AFTER WAR SITUATION
Components of a Dairy Farm
Milk Parlour
Land
Fences
Milk Parlour
Sheds, accommodation
Irrigation / Effluent
Races
Cows
Tractors, bikes & equipment
Shedsaccommodation
The Landowner – NZ Gov
Milk Parlour
Land
Fences
Milk Parlour
Sheds, accommodation
Irrigation / Effluent
Races
Shedsaccommodation
The Sharemilker (Small rural family)
Cows
Tractors, bikes & equipment
+ Employs and pays for farm workers
Revenuemanages the farm… milks the cows and sells
the milk to…
Landcorp
a milk processor who pays …
50% percent of milk revenue to both the Sharemilker and the Landowner
Sharemilker
Practical explanation
Then.. A good lesson for Colombia
Highlights
•The NZ Government established Landcorp with NZ$167 million most of which was land
•The NZ Government has never been asked for more capital
•The NZ Government has been paid over NZ$400 million in dividends
•Landcorp has grown its assets from NZ$167 million to NZ$1.7 billion in the last 25 years
• Farmers, Processors, Government agencies all pulling in the same direction will be a powerful force.
Your Future is in Your hands