NXS SHARPe Euro Equity - Natixis

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© Shutterstock CORPORATE & INVESTMENT BANKING / INVESTMENT SOLUTIONS / SPECIALIZED FINANCIAL SERVICES EQUITY MARKETS OBJECTIVE The NXS SHARPe Euro Equity strategy aims at giving an exposure to the DJ Euro Stoxx 50 Total Return index (SX5T) that varies over time according to regime levels observed on an in- house risk perception indicator (ARPI) which is computed on a daily basis. It is designed to outperform pure SX5T Beta indexed portfolio by minimizing exposure to risky assets in times of greater risk aversion so investors assets are protected in period of volatile market. OVERVIEW The NXS SHARPe Euro Equity strategy is a balanced portfolio exposed to both the DJ Euro Stoxx 50 Total Return index and the Iboxx Sovereign Eurozone index (Total Return 1-3y duration). The strategy is rebalanced in accordance with an allocation grid which weightings depend on the Regime Level observed on the ARPI. To benefit from the capability of the ARPI to anticipate global risk aversion in the market, the portfolio tends to be less exposed to the SX5T when the ARPI shows high regime and vice versa. Exposure to the SX5T varies between 0% and 100%. The portfolio is always fully invested, there is no leverage or short position. STRATEGY DESCRIPTION RATIONALE Traditional Asset Valuation Models have shown their limits in term of market levels forecastings. Prices tend to move sharply from equilibrium due to cyclical scenario (Bull and Bear) and behavioural mimestism (Chartism). Anticipation of those cycles around equilibrium would allow investor to limit exposure to downside in bear market period and increase exposure in period of bull market. The NXS SHARPe Euro Equity is designed to overperform its reference beta (SX5T) and reduce tail risk. The NXS SHARPe Euro Equity represents an optimised European equity beta portfolio that includes an in-built downside protection in bearish market. Launch Date 1 st July 2009 Currency EUR Calculation / Publication Agent Natixis CHARACTERISTICS NXS Strategy Serie NXS SHARPe Euro Equity Euro Equity Beta Optimized Strategy COMPARISON OF MONTHLY RETURN (*) OF BOTH SHARPe EURO EQUITY AND EURO EQUITY PORTFOLIO (**) Source : Bloomberg, Natixis (*) NXS Sharpe Euro Equity has been backtested since January 1999 and calculated since July, 1st 2009 15% 5% 0% -5% -10% NXS SHARPe Euro Equity DJ Euro Stoxx 50 Total Return 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 10% -15% 2010 20% -20%

Transcript of NXS SHARPe Euro Equity - Natixis

Page 1: NXS SHARPe Euro Equity - Natixis

© Shutterstock

CORPORATE & INVESTMENT BANKING / INVESTMENT SOLUTIONS / SPECIALIZED FINANCIAL SERVICES

EQUITY MARKETS

OBJECTIVE

The NXS SHARPe Euro Equity strategy aims at giving an

exposure to the DJ Euro Stoxx 50 Total Return index (SX5T) that

varies over time according to regime levels observed on an in-

house risk perception indicator (ARPI) which is computed on a

daily basis. It is designed to outperform pure SX5T Beta indexed

portfolio by minimizing exposure to risky assets in times of

greater risk aversion so investors assets are protected in period

of volatile market.

OVERVIEW

The NXS SHARPe Euro Equity strategy is a balanced portfolio

exposed to both the DJ Euro Stoxx 50 Total Return index and

the Iboxx Sovereign Eurozone index (Total Return 1-3y duration).

The strategy is rebalanced in accordance with an allocation grid

which weightings depend on the Regime Level observed on the

ARPI. To benefi t from the capability of the ARPI to anticipate

global risk aversion in the market, the portfolio tends to be

less exposed to the SX5T when the ARPI shows high regime

and vice versa. Exposure to the SX5T varies between 0% and

100%. The portfolio is always fully invested, there is no leverage

or short position.

STRATEGY DESCRIPTION

RATIONALE

Traditional Asset Valuation Models have shown their limits in

term of market levels forecastings. Prices tend to move sharply

from equilibrium due to cyclical scenario (Bull and Bear) and

behavioural mimestism (Chartism). Anticipation of those cycles

around equilibrium would allow investor to limit exposure to

downside in bear market period and increase exposure in period

of bull market. The NXS SHARPe Euro Equity is designed to

overperform its reference beta (SX5T) and reduce tail risk. The

NXS SHARPe Euro Equity represents an optimised European

equity beta portfolio that includes an in-built downside

protection in bearish market.

Launch Date 1st July 2009

Currency EUR

Calculation / Publication Agent Natixis

CHARACTERISTICS

NXS Strategy Serie

NXS SHARPe Euro EquityEuro Equity Beta Optimized Strategy

COMPARISON OF MONTHLY RETURN(*) OF BOTH SHARPe EURO EQUITY AND EURO EQUITY PORTFOLIO(**)

Source : Bloomberg, Natixis(*) NXS Sharpe Euro Equity has been backtested since January 1999 and calculated since July, 1st 2009

15%

5%

0%

-5%

-10%

NXS SHARPe Euro Equity DJ Euro Stoxx 50 Total Return

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

10%

-15%

2010

20%

-20%

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PERFORMANCE COMPARISON

ARPI : BUILDING & REGIME IDENTIFICATION

The ARPI is a leading indicator of risk perception that had

been designed from three classes of market observables

measuring investors’ risk aversion :

Implied volatility of equity markets ;•

Indices of credit spreads ;•

The slope of the yield curve Euro.•

ARPI’s regime are identifi ed using a Hidden Markov Model

(HMM) developped by Natixis Research, which discretizes

the signals into four regimes.

STRATEGY INVESTMENT PROCESS

PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION

Management Profi le

NXS SHARPe Euro Equity strategy consists of an allocation plan

between the Euro Equity and the Risk Free Asset, based on the

identifi ed regimes of the ARPI indicator.

The sub-portfolios according to ARPI regime

PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS (*)

STATISTICS

Euro Equity : Dow Jones EURO STOXX 50 Return Index

Risk Free Asset : iBOXX & EZNOV TR 1-3 Index (Short Term

Eurozone Sovereign Bonds)

SHARPe PERFORMANCE SHARPe Euro Equity

Euro Equity

Average Annual Return 8.75% 3.20%

Volatility 9.91% 23.27%

Sharpe Ratio 0.62 0.01

Max Drawdown -25.29% -64.64%

Calmar Ratio(**) 0.36 0.04

Volatility / Max Drawdown 0.39 0.36

Average Monthly Return 0.69% 0.11%

Max Monthly Return 12.73% 16.77%

Min Monthly Return -7.03% -15.93%

Source : Natixis(**) Average Monthly Return / Max Drawdown

Source : Natixis(*) Computed from January 1999 to March 2010

Past performances are not predictive of future performances.

ARPI & Regimes

Regime 1 Regime 4Regime 3Regime 2

Offensive Profi le

60%100%

Dynamic Profi le

75%

25%

Balanced Profi le

75%

25%

Conservative Profi le

60%100%

Source : Bloomberg, Natixis(**) Static Portfolio is compouned with 57% Euro Equity & 43% Risk Free Asset

1999 20092008200720062005200420032002 20012000

NXS SHARPe Eur o EquityStatic str ategyEur o Equity

300

100

200

NXS SHARPe Euro Equity

Euro Equity

Static Portfolio(**)

Risk Free Asset

2010

Source : Bloomberg, Natixis

CORRELATION MATRIX SHARPe Euro Equity vs

Euro Equity vs

SHARPe Euro Equity 100%

Euro Equity 42% 100%

Risk Free Asset 1% -37%

NXS SHARPe Euro Equity

Static Portfolio(**)

Euro Equity

Risk Free Asset

25%20%15%10%5%

Annual Return

Volatility

7%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

8%

9%

0%

10%

201020082006200420022000

1

Regime 1

Regime 4

Regime 3

Regime 2

0,75

0,5

0,25

0

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