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    CLINICAL RESEARCH STUDY

    Nonselective and Cyclooxygenase-2-Selective NSAIDs and

    Acute Kidney InjuryWolfgang C. Winkelmayer, MD, ScD, MPH,a,b Sushrut S. Waikar, MD, MPH,b Helen Mogun, MS,a

    Daniel H. Solomon, MD, MPHa,c

    aThe Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, b Renal Division, cDivision of Rheumatology, Department of

    Medicine, Brigham and Womens Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass.

    ABSTRACT

    OBJECTIVE: The association between nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and acute kidney

    injury is well established, but it is less clear whether this risk is focused with specific agents. We undertooka large pharmacoepidemiologic analysis of the risk of acute kidney injury among older adults using

    nonselective NSAIDs or cyclooxygenase (COX)-2 inhibitors.

    METHODS: Medicare beneficiaries from 2 large states with drug benefit were eligible for study. Patients

    were included if they filled a prescription for a nonselective NSAID or COX-2 inhibitor after more than

    6 months without any such prescriptions and without a previous diagnosis of acute kidney injury. Incident

    acute kidney injury was ascertained from hospitalization claims within 45 days of initiating nonselective

    NSAID or COX-2 inhibitor therapy. Adjusted proportional hazards models estimated the relative risk of

    acute kidney injury associated with each agent compared with celecoxib.

    RESULTS: We included 183,446 patients whose mean age was 78 years; 80% were women. Acute kidney

    injury was identified in 870 (0.47%) of nonselective NSAID or COX-2 inhibitor users. The agents with

    significantly elevated risk compared with celecoxib were indomethacin (rate ratio [RR] 2.23; 95%

    confidence interval [CI], 1.70-2.93), ibuprofen (RR 1.73; 95% CI, 1.36-2.19), and rofecoxib (RR

    1.52; 95% CI, 1.26-1.83). These findings were robust in several subgroups.

    CONCLUSION: Acute kidney injury requiring hospitalization is a relatively rare adverse event among older

    adults after initiation of nonselective NSAIDs or COX-2 inhibitor treatment, observed in approximately 1

    in 200 new users within 45 days. There seems to be a marked gradient of risk for acute kidney injury across

    agents, specifically for indomethacin, ibuprofen, and rofecoxib.

    2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. The American Journal of Medicine (2008) 121, 1092-1098

    KEYWORDS: Acute renal failure; Adverse event; NSAID; Pharmacoepidemiology

    Funding: No external funding.

    Conflict of interest: Dr Winkelmayer is supported by a ScientistDevelopment Grant from the American Heart Association (0535232N), a

    Norman S. Coplon Extramural Research Program Award from Satellite

    Healthcare, Inc, and investigator-initiated grants from Amgen, Fresenius

    Medical Care, and GlaxoSmithKline. He has participated, without receiv-

    ing an honorarium, in advisory boards of Amgen, Roche, Genzyme, and

    Fresenius. He has no personal financial relationships with any pharmaceu-

    tical company. Dr Solomon has served as the Principal Investigator on

    research grants in the past 5 years from Merck, Pfizer, and Savient. None

    of these are currently active. He has received salary support from a research

    grant from GSK in the past 3 years. This is not currently active. He serves

    as an unpaid member of the Executive Committee for a Pfizer sponsored

    clinical trial regarding NSAIDs. He also has served as an unpaid member

    of Advisory Boards for Amgen and Abbott. He has no personal financialrelationships with any pharmaceutical company. Dr Waikar and Helen

    Mogun have no potential conflicts of interest to report.

    Authorship: All authors had access to the data. Drs Winkelmayer and

    Solomon collaborated closely on designing the study, developing the an-

    alytic protocols, interpreting the statistical output, and writing the article.

    Dr Waikar helped interpret the results and reviewed and refined the article

    draft, and Helen Mogun conducted the statistical analyses.

    Requests for reprints should be addressed to Wolfgang C. Winkel-

    mayer, MD, ScD, Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeco-

    nomics, Brigham and Womens Hospital, 1620 Tremont Street, Suite 3030,

    Boston, MA 02120.

    E-mail address: [email protected]

    0002-9343/$ -see front matter 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

    doi:10.1016/j.amjmed.2008.06.035

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]
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    Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) are among

    the most widely used medications in the United States,1

    several of them being freely available over the counter.

    Because barriers to self-medication are low, adequate fol-

    low-up after initiating such treatment is often missing. Sev-

    eral important side effects of

    NSAIDs have been well docu-

    mented, including gastroduodenalulcer disease and gastrointestinal

    bleeding. To avoid these impor-

    tant side effects, a new type of

    NSAIDs was developed and intro-

    duced into clinical practice: agents

    with predominant activity on the

    COX-2-enzyme, the COX-2 inhib-

    itors.

    Several previous publications

    have linked NSAID exposure to an

    increased risk of development of

    chronic kidney disease,2,3 whileother reports have found an in-

    creased risk of acute kidney in-

    jury,4-6 but there is evidence of

    heterogeneity in these risks among

    agents in this class. Indomethacin

    has previously been incriminated

    to cause acute kidney injury, with

    ibuprofen, piroxicam, and feno-

    profen also exhibiting such risks.4 Most of the studies of

    NSAIDs and acute kidney injury, however, were conducted

    during the preCOX-2 inhibitor era.4,5,7 A recent well-

    conducted population-based study has investigated the as-sociation between NSAIDs, including nonspecific NSAIDs

    and COX-2 inhibitors, and acute kidney injury. The inves-

    tigators found that several NSAIDs, including rofecoxib and

    celecoxib, were associated with an increased acute kidney

    injury risk compared with nonuser controls.8 It seemed that

    the risk for acute kidney injury was smaller among cele-

    coxib users compared with rofecoxib and most other

    NSAIDs, but formal tests were nonsignificant. To further

    clarify these relationships, we investigated short-term dif-

    ferences in the risk of acute kidney injury among new users

    of NSAIDs, with special focus on differences among

    COX-2 inhibitors.

    MATERIALS AND METHODS

    Data Source and Study PopulationFor this study, we examined patients enrolled in Medicare

    and either the New Jersey Pharmaceutical Assistance for the

    Aged and Disabled program or the Pennsylvania Pharma-

    ceutical Assistance Contract for the Elderly program be-

    tween 1999 and 2004. These programs provide comprehen-

    sive prescription drug coverage for eligible patients in New

    Jersey and Pennsylvania with minimal copayments. Eligi-

    bility is income-based and includes those individuals agedmore than 65 years who do not qualify for Medicaid but still

    have limited income. Neither program has any restrictions

    or prior authorization programs in place for any of the

    NSAIDs studied, but no data on over-the-counter use are

    included. The claims data from these pharmaceutical bene-

    fits programs were merged with Medicare Part A and B

    claims for these patients. We iden-

    tified all patients who filled a pre-

    scription for any NSAID (index pre-scription), nonselective or COX-2-

    selective, after not having received

    a prescribed NSAID in the previous

    6 months. We then retained only

    those who had been active users of

    the program as indicated by at least

    1 claim both 6 months and more

    than 6 months before the filling date

    of the NSAID prescription. Patients

    younger than 65 years on the index

    date also were eliminated, as were

    patients who had been diagnosedwith acute renal failure or whose

    claims indicated any maintenance

    dialysis or kidney transplantation

    care before the index date.

    Main ExposuresFrom the index prescription, we

    categorized patients as users of a

    given NSAID, including celecoxib, rofecoxib, valdecoxib,

    diclofenac, ibuprofen, indomethacin, meloxicam, nabum-

    etone, naproxen, oxaprozin, sulindac, and other NSAIDs.

    Prescription date, prescribed daily dose, and number of days

    of treatment supplied were noted for each NSAID prescrip-

    tion. We excluded patients who received more than 1

    NSAID on the index date. Patients were followed up until

    the earliest of the following events: filling a prescription for

    an NSAID different than the one on the index prescription,

    45 days after the index date, death, and end of database.

    Other Patient CharacteristicsFrom enrollment files, we defined each patients age on

    index date, gender, and race (white, black/other). From

    claims spanning the 6 months before the index prescription,we ascertained several patient characteristics:9 We defined

    several comorbidities, including congestive heart failure,

    hypertension, myocardial infarction, peripheral artery dis-

    ease, diabetes, gout, liver disease, malignancy, and renal

    disease. The use of other relevant medications, such as

    angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) or an-

    giotensin receptor blockers (ARBs), alpha-receptor block-

    ers, beta-receptor blockers, calcium channel-blockers, di-

    uretics, and loop diuretics, also was ascertained. We further

    defined indicators of previous health care use, including the

    number of hospital days, physician visits, any nursing home

    stay, and total number of different medications in the pre-vious 6 months, as well as the calendar year of index

    CLINICAL SIGNIFICANCE

    Approximately 1 in 200 patients agedmore than 65 years will develop acutekidney injury within 45 days of newly ini-tiated NSAID therapy.

    Patients initiating treatment with indo-methacin, ibuprofen, and rofecoxib hadhigher rates of acute kidney injury fromcelecoxib.

    In light of newer COX-2 inhibitorsapproaching the market, clinicians needto be aware of the heterogeneity in acutekidney injury risk among COX-2 inhibitorsand demand pertinent safety data forthese new drugs.

    1093Winkelmayer et al NSAIDs, COX-2-Inhibitors, and Acute Kidney Injury

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    prescription. Immediately preceding the index date (within

    30 days), we also ascertained whether any tests or proce-

    dures requiring administration of contrast media were con-

    ducted or whether a patient underwent any surgery.

    OutcomesThe outcome of this study was acute kidney injury as

    ascertained from the presence of a diagnosis code indicating

    acute renal failure (International Classification of Diseases,

    release 9, code 584.5, 584.6, 584.7, 584.8, or 584.9). Pri-

    mary outcome was the presence of such a code in conjunc-

    tion with a hospitalization. This approach has been validated

    and found to be highly specific (98%).10 The secondary out-

    come was the presence of such a diagnosis code in either an

    outpatient or inpatient claim.

    Statistical AnalysesPatient characteristics were assessed across drug exposure

    categories. We calculated crude incidence rates by dividingthe observed number of outcomes by the sum of all person

    time within each exposure group. Unadjusted and fully

    adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were then built to

    estimate the relative risks of acute kidney injury; these

    models were stratified for year and state.11 We chose cele-

    coxib as the reference group, because it was the most fre-

    quently used NSAID in this cohort and allowed for direct

    comparison with the other COX-2 inhibitors, our primary

    study aim. We estimated the hazard ratios [expressed as rate

    ratios (RRs) in this article] and the corresponding 95%

    confidence intervals (CIs). We included all baseline vari-

    ables regardless of any significance threshold. Main analy-ses were unadjusted for multiple comparisons, as has been

    suggested for exploratory studies;12 we also investigated

    which of the apparent associations would be rendered

    insignificant after Bonferroni adjustment for multiple

    testing.13

    For NSAIDs exhibiting an apparent association with

    acute kidney injury, we defined baseline daily dose to assess

    whether a dose-response relationship existed. We also con-

    ducted subgroup analyses for important strata, such as by

    previous use of ACEIs or ARBs, loop diuretics, diagnosis of

    gout or use of any anti-gout medications, previous diagnosis

    of chronic kidney disease, diabetes, congestive heart failure,or myocardial infarction.

    We used SAS for Windows software (release 8.2; SAS

    Institute Inc, Cary, NC) for all statistical analyses. This

    study was approved by the institutional review board of

    Brigham and Womens Hospital.

    RESULTS

    Cohort Selection and CharacterizationFrom the selection algorithm, we identified 183,446 study

    patients aged more than 65 years who filled an NSAID

    prescription after not having filled an NSAID prescriptionfor at least 6 months. The mean age was 78 years, and

    80.3% were women. Celecoxib was the most frequently

    used medication, with one third of patients (33.0%) using

    this drug. Other frequently used NSAIDs were rofecoxib

    (19.3%), ibuprofen (9.7%), naproxen (8.4%), and ketorolac

    (7.0%). Table 1 provides the detailed characteristics of these

    patients, stratified by NSAID used.

    Risk of Acute Kidney InjuryBy using the more restrictive algorithm of ascertaining

    acute kidney injury from a hospital claim, we identified 870

    patients (0.47%) who experienced such an event during 45

    days of follow-up. Including outpatient claims with a diag-

    nosis of acute kidney injury, the secondary end point, the

    number of affected patients increased only slightly, to 962

    (0.52%). The crude incidence rate for the primary outcome

    varied considerably among agents, from 0.02 per person-

    year with meloxicam to 0.11 per person-year with indo-

    methacin (Table 2). Celecoxib, the reference group, had an

    incidence rate of 0.03 acute kidney injury events per person-

    year of observation. In univariate analyses, there was clearevidence of heterogeneity in acute kidney injury rate among

    the medications studied (P .001 from a global Wald test).

    In univariate analyses, rofecoxib, ibuprofen, and indometh-

    acin seemed to have a greater rate of acute kidney injury

    compared with celecoxib. Multivariate adjustment con-

    firmed the presence of these associations. Rofecoxib was

    associated with a 52% increased rate of acute kidney injury

    compared with celecoxib (95% CI, 26%-83%), whereas

    ibuprofen had a relative rate of 1.73 (95% CI, 1.36-2.19)

    and indomethacin had a relative rate of 2.23 (95% CI,

    1.70-2.93; Table 3). These associations remained statisti-

    cally significant after adjustment for multiple comparisons,whereas the apparent association of naproxen with acute

    kidney injury (RR 1.37; 95% CI, 1.04-1.81) was no

    longer significant after such adjustment. These results were

    essentially unchanged in analyses of the combined outcome

    of acute kidney injury in outpatient or inpatient encounters

    (Table 3). When investigating the role of prescribed daily

    dose on the rate of acute kidney injury, we found no dif-

    ference in the rate of acute kidney injury among ibuprofen

    or indomethacin users. Patients who received a higher daily

    dose of rofecoxib, however, seemed to be at substantially

    greater risk compared with patients with a lower prescribed

    daily dose: Compared with those receiving a daily dose of12.5 mg or less (reference group for this analysis), patients

    receiving more than 25 mg had a 77% increased risk of

    acute kidney injury (RR 1.78; 95% CI, 1.14-2.78). The

    risk of those receiving an intermediate dose (12.5-25

    mg/d), the risk did not significantly differ from the lowest

    daily dose group (RR 1.13; 95% CI, 0.83-1.57). Cele-

    coxib, by contrast, did not exhibit an association between

    the dose and the risk of acute kidney injury.

    Sensitivity analyses that censored patients 15 days after

    the days supplied in the index prescription expired yielded

    essentially identical results. We further examined several

    substrata, such as those defined by previous use of ACEIs orARBs, loop diuretics, diagnosed kidney disease, congestive

    1094 The American Journal of Medicine, Vol 121, No 12, December 2008

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    Table 1 Characteristics of Study Patients by Specific Nonsteroidal Anti-inflammatory Medication

    COX-2 Inhibitors Nonselective NSAIDs

    Substance Celecoxib Rofecoxib Valdecoxib Diclofenac Ibuprofen Indomethacin Ketorolac Meloxicam Nabumetone NaproN in study 60,568 35,368 9,802 6,450 17,795 6,027 12,854 3,739 7,125 15,452

    Percent 33.0 19.3 5.3 3.5 9.7 3.3 7.0 2.0 3.9 8

    Age (y, mean) 78.4 78.2 76.6 76.7 73.4 77.0 78.5 76.5 76.4 74

    Women 83.1 82.9 81.7 81.1 73.6 61.6 79.8 82.8 82.3 76

    White race 89.1 90.0 89.4 86.7 80.0 85.1 90.2 88.0 85.3 83

    Diabetes 13.9 13.7 15.1 14.1 14.2 15.6 18.0 15.1 13.1 14

    Hypertension 57.1 56.2 58.7 54.3 52.2 60.9 58.7 59.0 54.3 52

    Gout 4.1 3.9 3.7 4.0 3.1 24.5 3.8 3.4 3.1 3

    Renal disease 1.9 2.0 2.3 1.4 1.8 4.8 3.2 2.0 1.3 1

    MI 4.5 4.5 4.5 3.7 4.0 6.4 4.9 3.3 3.4 3

    CHF 4.7 4.7 3.1 2.8 3.8 6.9 3.9 2.5 3.1 2

    PVD 9.4 9.4 10.2 7.2 7.6 8.7 9.3 9.0 7.9 7

    Liver disease 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0Malignancy 2.2 2.4 1.7 1.5 2.7 2.5 1.8 1.2 1.4 2

    ACEIs 28.5 28.4 28.6 27.3 27.7 35.1 30.6 29.7 26.4 28

    ARBs 12.4 12.7 19.3 10.9 10.3 12.1 13.6 19.4 10.8 11

    -agonists 6.1 5.7 4.8 6.4 6.3 9.0 6.4 5.0 6.3 6

    -blockers 28.9 29.7 33.7 26.7 26.0 37.1 31.6 31.3 26.7 26

    CCBs 33.9 32.9 31.4 31.6 30.6 33.0 33.8 32.8 32.6 29

    Vasodilators 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.5 0

    Diuretics 26.4 26.1 30.0 25.5 23.6 33.3 27.1 30.1 26.4 24

    Loop-diuretics 22.3 21.7 20.4 18.0 17.5 31.3 21.6 19.2 16.9 16

    Medications 7.3 7.3 7.5 6.8 7.1 7.3 7.6 7.4 6.7 6

    Contrast 2.0 2.2 1.9 1.3 2.7 2.7 1.5 1.0 1.4 2

    Surgery 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.7 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0

    MD visits 5.0 5.0 5.6 4.8 4.6 4.9 5.5 5.5 4.8 4Hospital days 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.0 0

    Nursing home 5.1 5.2 3.7 2.7 3.9 2.8 2.4 2.6 2.9 2

    COX cyclooxygenase; NSAID nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug; MI myocardial infarction; CHF congestive heart failure; PVD pulmonary vascular

    inhibitor; ARB angiotensin receptor blockers; CCB calcium channel blocker.

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    heart failure, or gout. None of these revealed a marked

    deviation from the overall findings of this study.

    DISCUSSIONIn a large, population-based cohort of elderly patients, we

    studied the risk of acute kidney injury among new users of

    nonselective and COX-2-selective NSAIDs. We found thatapproximately 1 in 200 patients were diagnosed with acute

    kidney injury during a hospitalization within 45 days of

    initiating such treatment. This risk is most likely an under-

    estimate of all kidney injury after NSAID initiation, because

    only patients who were hospitalized and diagnosed with

    acute kidney injury were captured. We also found that the

    risk of acute kidney injury varied considerably among

    agents. Although most NSAIDs had similar risks compared

    with celecoxib users, some agents had a higher risk, such as

    rofecoxib, ibuprofen, and indomethacin users (by 50%,

    75%, and 100%, respectively).

    Although these findings were robust in several subgroupanalyses, it is important to discuss these findings in light of

    several limitations of our study. Several NSAIDs were

    available over the counter without prescription, and patients

    may have used these drugs before their index date. Although

    this is possible, misclassification typically leads to a bias

    toward the null. In addition, previous use of certain over-

    the-counter NSAIDs would bias the studies away from an

    association, because patients susceptible to developing

    acute kidney injury from NSAID exposure would have been

    more likely to be diagnosed with acute kidney injury and

    thus excluded from the cohort. Second, we ascertained acute

    kidney injury from diagnosis codes in provider billingclaims rather than from serial laboratory assessments of

    kidney function. In previous work, we found that billing

    codes indicating acute kidney injury in hospital claims had

    high specificity (98%) but low sensitivity (35%), and that

    sensitivity was lower for less severe cases of acute kidney

    injury.10 It is therefore likely that we have underestimated

    the incidence of acute kidney injury after NSAID adminis-

    tration. It is possible that kidney function parameters were

    already elevated before NSAID exposure or that patients

    were incorrectly coded with or without a diagnosis of acute

    kidney injury. In terms of classification of outcomes, our

    previous work on billing codes for acute kidney injuryestimated a positive predictive value of 48% and negative

    predictive value of 98%. To introduce bias to our findings,

    the accuracy of acute kidney injury ascertainment would

    need to vary across NSAIDs; we have no reason to believe

    that this is the case. It is noteworthy that baseline hospital

    days and physician visits were comparable across users of

    celecoxib, rofecoxib, ibuprofen, and indomethacin, the

    agents among whom differences in acute kidney injury risk

    were found (Table 1). Differential ascertainment of acute

    kidney injury because of physician encounters is therefore

    unlikely to account for our findings. Unmeasured confound-

    ing, especially by indication, remains a possibility. To theextent that International Classification of Diseases, 9th Re-T

    able

    2

    Eventand45-DayFollow-updetails,

    bySpecificNonsteroidalAnti-inflammatoryMedication(PrimaryEndPointofHospital-diagnosedAcuteKidneyI

    njury)

    COX-2inhibitors

    NonselectiveNSAIDs

    Subst

    ance

    Celecoxib

    Rofecoxib

    Valdecoxib

    Diclofenac

    Ibuprofen

    Indo

    methacin

    Ketorolac

    Meloxicam

    Nabumetone

    Naproxen

    Oxaprozin

    Su

    lindac

    OtherNSAIDs

    Ninstudy

    60,5

    68

    35,3

    68

    9,8

    02

    6,4

    50

    17,7

    95

    6,0

    27

    12,8

    54

    3,7

    39

    7,1

    25

    15,4

    52

    2,6

    45

    1,361

    4,2

    60

    Perso

    n-years

    14,8

    52

    7,9

    41

    2,1

    34

    1,0

    44

    1,6

    96

    510

    1,2

    71

    764

    1,1

    05

    1,8

    25

    365

    199

    568

    Events

    433

    358

    67

    28

    89

    57

    34

    15

    26

    63

    12

    8

    12

    Eventrate

    0.0

    29

    0.0

    45

    0.0

    31

    0.0

    27

    0.0

    52

    0.1

    12

    0.0

    27

    0.0

    20

    0.0

    24

    0.0

    35

    0.0

    33

    0.0

    40

    0.0

    21

    C

    OX

    cyclooxygenase;NSAID

    nonsteroidalanti-inflammatorydrug.

    1096 The American Journal of Medicine, Vol 121, No 12, December 2008

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    vision-Clinical Modification codes capture comorbidity data

    accurately, we controlled for major medical conditions that

    could confound the association between NSAIDs and the

    risk of acute kidney injury.14,15 More general limitations of

    retrospective claims database research include unavailabil-

    ity of vital and laboratory parameters and of quantitative

    information on comorbid conditions. Availability of such

    information would make it less likely for any associations to

    be residually confounded. Only a randomized trial could

    remove any residual bias to the greatest extent possible.Further, although patients filled a prescription, they may not

    have taken the medication received. Again, this misclassi-

    fication would introduce bias toward a null finding. To

    introduce bias away from the null, such behavior would

    need to vary systematically across NSAIDs. Finally, we

    chose to compare the risks of acute kidney injury among

    new initiators of NSAID therapy but did not compare their

    risks with patients who did not receive any NSAIDs. By

    restricting the study to incident users of the study drugs, we

    avoided the daunting task of controlling for confounding by

    indication between users and nonusers.

    The strengths of our study include the availability of alarge population-based cohort of elderly individuals who

    had generous prescription drug coverage from state benefit

    plans. We generated an inception cohort of new NSAID

    users, which is a preferred way to study drug effects in

    nonrandomized studies. We restricted the timeframe to 45

    days after filling the index prescription to avoid exposure

    misclassification and to study acute renal outcomes rather

    than possible influences on the risk of chronic kidney dis-

    ease or chronic changes in kidney function. Despite the

    short time frame, we ascertained a large number of acute

    renal failure outcomes.

    Previous studies examining the risk of acute renal failurewith different NSAIDs are few. The Celecoxib Long-term

    Arthritis Safety Study, a randomized controlled trial with

    celecoxib versus 2 nonspecific NSAIDs (diclofenac and

    ibuprofen),16 found a similar decline of renal function in

    celecoxib versus ibuprofen users, with diclofenac users ex-

    periencing a slightly greater decline compared with cele-

    coxib. No assessment of acute kidney injury was conducted

    in this study.

    Zhang and colleagues17 conducted a study-level meta-

    analysis of 114 trial reports of different COX-2 inhibitors

    versus their respective trial controls. The renal outcomesstudied included renal dysfunction, hypertension, and pe-

    ripheral edema. Their findings suggested different effects on

    renal outcomes for different COX-2 inhibitors. Although

    they described an increased risk of renal outcomes in pa-

    tients randomized to rofecoxib versus the respective control

    arms, a decreased risk was found for patients in celecoxib

    groups compared with their controls. Aside from the meth-

    odological limitations of such meta-analyses combining dif-

    ferent exposure and control regimens, considerable hetero-

    geneity was present in the way these renal outcomes were

    defined in each study.

    Few observational studies of the differential risk of acutekidney injury among nonspecific NSAIDs have been con-

    ducted. One study compared nonspecific NSAID users with

    non-NSAID users and found a dose-dependent risk of acute

    kidney injury among nonspecific NSAID users compared

    with nonusers.5 Another study confirmed this observation

    and further found that the increased risk resided among

    patients who received ibuprofen, piroxicam, or indometha-

    cin, but not among users of other nonspecific NSAIDs.4 Yet

    another study investigated 4 individual NSAIDs (diclofe-

    nac, ibuprofen, meloxicam, and naproxen) and compared

    their risks with those of patients without NSAID use. Al-

    though the estimates of effect seemed to be compatible withheterogeneity of acute kidney injury risk across these

    Table 3 Associations Between Individual Nonsteroidal Anti-inflammatory Medication and Acute Kidney Injury

    End Point AKI Diagnosis in Hospital

    (870 Outcomes) End Point any AKI Diagnosis (962 Outcomes)

    Unadjusted Adjusted Unadjusted Adjusted

    Celecoxib 1.0 1.0 1.0 (Referent) 1.0 (Referent)

    Rofecoxib 1.50 (1.25-1.81) 1.52 (1.26-1.83) 1.45 (1.21-1.73) 1.46 (1.22-1.74)Valdecoxib 1.02 (0.74-1.40) 1.09 (0.79-1.51) 1.01 (0.74-1.38) 1.06 (0.77-1.44)

    Diclofenac 0.88 (0.57-1.39) 1.08 (0.69-1.70) 0.92 (0.60-1.41) 1.06 (0.79-1.62)

    Ibuprofen 1.42 (1.12-1.80) 1.73 (1.36-2.19) 1.57 (1.25-1.96) 1.69 (1.35-2.11)

    Indomethacin 3.12 (2.40-4.04) 2.23 (1.70-2.93) 2.84 (2.21-3.65) 2.15 (1.66-2.78)

    Ketorolac 0.83 (0.60-1.14) 0.79 (0.57-1.10) 0.86 (0.64-1.16) 0.83 (0.62-1.12)

    Meloxicam 0.83 (0.60-1.14) 0.89 (0.51-1.57) 0.93 (0.56-1.55) 0.99 (0.59-1.65)

    Nabumetone 0.71 (0.44-1.15) 0.89 (0.55-1.44) 0.68 (0.42-1.10) 0.80 (0.49-1.28)

    Naproxen 1.07 (0.82-1.41) 1.37 (1.04-1.81)* 1.13 (0.87-1.48) 1.30 (1.00-1.69)*

    Oxaprozin 1.22 (0.66-2.23) 1.61 (0.88-2.95) 1.41 (0.81-2.47) 1.71 (0.98-2.99)

    Sulindac 1.49 (0.74-3.02) 1.31 (0.65-2.66) 2.20 (1.26-3.84) 1.85 (1.06-3.24)*

    Other NSAID 0.75 (0.42-1.34) 1.00 (0.56-1.79) 0.81 (0.46-1.41) 0.96 (0.55-1.67)

    AKI acute kidney injury; NSAID nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug.

    *Adjustment for multiple comparisons rendered these associations nonsignificant.

    1097Winkelmayer et al NSAIDs, COX-2-Inhibitors, and Acute Kidney Injury

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    NSAIDs, no formal testing was conducted.6 The total num-

    ber of acute kidney injury cases (N 103) in that study

    limited any meaningful multivariate analyses and yielded

    rather low statistical power. All these studies were con-

    ducted before the availability of COX-2 inhibitors. Most

    relevant to our work is a recent case-control study from

    Quebec province to investigate the risk of acute kidney

    injury from NSAIDs, both non-specific NSAIDs andCOX-2 inhibitors.8 Similar to our study, follow-up was

    short (30 days) and acute kidney injury also was ascertained

    from diagnosis codes in hospital claims. In their study, only

    meloxicam, naproxen, celecoxib, and rofecoxib users were

    studied in separate exposure groups; all other NSAIDs were

    aggregated into a single exposure group. In contrast with

    our work, they used non-NSAID users as the reference

    group. After multivariate adjustment, they found an in-

    creased risk of similar magnitude for users of rofecoxib

    (RR 2.3), naproxen (RR 2.4), and other nonspecific

    NSAIDs (RR 2.3) compared with nonusers of NSAIDs,

    whereas celecoxib was associated with an apparent butsmaller risk (RR 1.5). A formal test for interaction be-

    tween rofecoxib and celecoxib was nonsignificant, but cer-

    tainly underpowered.8 Our study, although different in de-

    sign, formally confirms a higher acute kidney injury risk

    with rofecoxib compared with celecoxib.

    CONCLUSIONSFrom our data and that of others, 2 important lessons can be

    learned. First, the assumption of a homogenous effect on the

    risk of acute kidney injury among COX-2 inhibitors does

    not seem to be supported by the available evidence. Ab-sence of a homogenous effect among COX-2 inhibitors has

    been postulated by others based on findings from basic

    research,18 and our findings support this hypothesis using

    patient-level data. Although celecoxib seems relatively safe

    with regard to renal outcomes and did not exhibit a dose-

    response with acute kidney injury within strata of daily

    dose, exposure to rofecoxib in general, and to higher doses

    (25 mg/d) in particular, were associated with an increased

    risk of acute kidney injury. This information is important

    going forward, because newer COX-2 inhibitors are cur-

    rently being investigated for clinical use. Second, we con-

    firm previous reports of substantially increased risks ofacute renal impairment with indomethacin and ibuprofen.

    Given the widespread use of these agents, prescribers need

    to weigh the potentially increased renal risks from these

    agents and the specific benefits from these drugs. It seems

    that preferred use of other NSAIDs, including celecoxib,

    might help avoid some undesired renal outcomes of such

    analgesic therapy.

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