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Transcript of Nsaid Aki Harvard Ajm 2008
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CLINICAL RESEARCH STUDY
Nonselective and Cyclooxygenase-2-Selective NSAIDs and
Acute Kidney InjuryWolfgang C. Winkelmayer, MD, ScD, MPH,a,b Sushrut S. Waikar, MD, MPH,b Helen Mogun, MS,a
Daniel H. Solomon, MD, MPHa,c
aThe Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, b Renal Division, cDivision of Rheumatology, Department of
Medicine, Brigham and Womens Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: The association between nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and acute kidney
injury is well established, but it is less clear whether this risk is focused with specific agents. We undertooka large pharmacoepidemiologic analysis of the risk of acute kidney injury among older adults using
nonselective NSAIDs or cyclooxygenase (COX)-2 inhibitors.
METHODS: Medicare beneficiaries from 2 large states with drug benefit were eligible for study. Patients
were included if they filled a prescription for a nonselective NSAID or COX-2 inhibitor after more than
6 months without any such prescriptions and without a previous diagnosis of acute kidney injury. Incident
acute kidney injury was ascertained from hospitalization claims within 45 days of initiating nonselective
NSAID or COX-2 inhibitor therapy. Adjusted proportional hazards models estimated the relative risk of
acute kidney injury associated with each agent compared with celecoxib.
RESULTS: We included 183,446 patients whose mean age was 78 years; 80% were women. Acute kidney
injury was identified in 870 (0.47%) of nonselective NSAID or COX-2 inhibitor users. The agents with
significantly elevated risk compared with celecoxib were indomethacin (rate ratio [RR] 2.23; 95%
confidence interval [CI], 1.70-2.93), ibuprofen (RR 1.73; 95% CI, 1.36-2.19), and rofecoxib (RR
1.52; 95% CI, 1.26-1.83). These findings were robust in several subgroups.
CONCLUSION: Acute kidney injury requiring hospitalization is a relatively rare adverse event among older
adults after initiation of nonselective NSAIDs or COX-2 inhibitor treatment, observed in approximately 1
in 200 new users within 45 days. There seems to be a marked gradient of risk for acute kidney injury across
agents, specifically for indomethacin, ibuprofen, and rofecoxib.
2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. The American Journal of Medicine (2008) 121, 1092-1098
KEYWORDS: Acute renal failure; Adverse event; NSAID; Pharmacoepidemiology
Funding: No external funding.
Conflict of interest: Dr Winkelmayer is supported by a ScientistDevelopment Grant from the American Heart Association (0535232N), a
Norman S. Coplon Extramural Research Program Award from Satellite
Healthcare, Inc, and investigator-initiated grants from Amgen, Fresenius
Medical Care, and GlaxoSmithKline. He has participated, without receiv-
ing an honorarium, in advisory boards of Amgen, Roche, Genzyme, and
Fresenius. He has no personal financial relationships with any pharmaceu-
tical company. Dr Solomon has served as the Principal Investigator on
research grants in the past 5 years from Merck, Pfizer, and Savient. None
of these are currently active. He has received salary support from a research
grant from GSK in the past 3 years. This is not currently active. He serves
as an unpaid member of the Executive Committee for a Pfizer sponsored
clinical trial regarding NSAIDs. He also has served as an unpaid member
of Advisory Boards for Amgen and Abbott. He has no personal financialrelationships with any pharmaceutical company. Dr Waikar and Helen
Mogun have no potential conflicts of interest to report.
Authorship: All authors had access to the data. Drs Winkelmayer and
Solomon collaborated closely on designing the study, developing the an-
alytic protocols, interpreting the statistical output, and writing the article.
Dr Waikar helped interpret the results and reviewed and refined the article
draft, and Helen Mogun conducted the statistical analyses.
Requests for reprints should be addressed to Wolfgang C. Winkel-
mayer, MD, ScD, Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeco-
nomics, Brigham and Womens Hospital, 1620 Tremont Street, Suite 3030,
Boston, MA 02120.
E-mail address: [email protected]
0002-9343/$ -see front matter 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.amjmed.2008.06.035
mailto:[email protected]:[email protected] -
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Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) are among
the most widely used medications in the United States,1
several of them being freely available over the counter.
Because barriers to self-medication are low, adequate fol-
low-up after initiating such treatment is often missing. Sev-
eral important side effects of
NSAIDs have been well docu-
mented, including gastroduodenalulcer disease and gastrointestinal
bleeding. To avoid these impor-
tant side effects, a new type of
NSAIDs was developed and intro-
duced into clinical practice: agents
with predominant activity on the
COX-2-enzyme, the COX-2 inhib-
itors.
Several previous publications
have linked NSAID exposure to an
increased risk of development of
chronic kidney disease,2,3 whileother reports have found an in-
creased risk of acute kidney in-
jury,4-6 but there is evidence of
heterogeneity in these risks among
agents in this class. Indomethacin
has previously been incriminated
to cause acute kidney injury, with
ibuprofen, piroxicam, and feno-
profen also exhibiting such risks.4 Most of the studies of
NSAIDs and acute kidney injury, however, were conducted
during the preCOX-2 inhibitor era.4,5,7 A recent well-
conducted population-based study has investigated the as-sociation between NSAIDs, including nonspecific NSAIDs
and COX-2 inhibitors, and acute kidney injury. The inves-
tigators found that several NSAIDs, including rofecoxib and
celecoxib, were associated with an increased acute kidney
injury risk compared with nonuser controls.8 It seemed that
the risk for acute kidney injury was smaller among cele-
coxib users compared with rofecoxib and most other
NSAIDs, but formal tests were nonsignificant. To further
clarify these relationships, we investigated short-term dif-
ferences in the risk of acute kidney injury among new users
of NSAIDs, with special focus on differences among
COX-2 inhibitors.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Data Source and Study PopulationFor this study, we examined patients enrolled in Medicare
and either the New Jersey Pharmaceutical Assistance for the
Aged and Disabled program or the Pennsylvania Pharma-
ceutical Assistance Contract for the Elderly program be-
tween 1999 and 2004. These programs provide comprehen-
sive prescription drug coverage for eligible patients in New
Jersey and Pennsylvania with minimal copayments. Eligi-
bility is income-based and includes those individuals agedmore than 65 years who do not qualify for Medicaid but still
have limited income. Neither program has any restrictions
or prior authorization programs in place for any of the
NSAIDs studied, but no data on over-the-counter use are
included. The claims data from these pharmaceutical bene-
fits programs were merged with Medicare Part A and B
claims for these patients. We iden-
tified all patients who filled a pre-
scription for any NSAID (index pre-scription), nonselective or COX-2-
selective, after not having received
a prescribed NSAID in the previous
6 months. We then retained only
those who had been active users of
the program as indicated by at least
1 claim both 6 months and more
than 6 months before the filling date
of the NSAID prescription. Patients
younger than 65 years on the index
date also were eliminated, as were
patients who had been diagnosedwith acute renal failure or whose
claims indicated any maintenance
dialysis or kidney transplantation
care before the index date.
Main ExposuresFrom the index prescription, we
categorized patients as users of a
given NSAID, including celecoxib, rofecoxib, valdecoxib,
diclofenac, ibuprofen, indomethacin, meloxicam, nabum-
etone, naproxen, oxaprozin, sulindac, and other NSAIDs.
Prescription date, prescribed daily dose, and number of days
of treatment supplied were noted for each NSAID prescrip-
tion. We excluded patients who received more than 1
NSAID on the index date. Patients were followed up until
the earliest of the following events: filling a prescription for
an NSAID different than the one on the index prescription,
45 days after the index date, death, and end of database.
Other Patient CharacteristicsFrom enrollment files, we defined each patients age on
index date, gender, and race (white, black/other). From
claims spanning the 6 months before the index prescription,we ascertained several patient characteristics:9 We defined
several comorbidities, including congestive heart failure,
hypertension, myocardial infarction, peripheral artery dis-
ease, diabetes, gout, liver disease, malignancy, and renal
disease. The use of other relevant medications, such as
angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) or an-
giotensin receptor blockers (ARBs), alpha-receptor block-
ers, beta-receptor blockers, calcium channel-blockers, di-
uretics, and loop diuretics, also was ascertained. We further
defined indicators of previous health care use, including the
number of hospital days, physician visits, any nursing home
stay, and total number of different medications in the pre-vious 6 months, as well as the calendar year of index
CLINICAL SIGNIFICANCE
Approximately 1 in 200 patients agedmore than 65 years will develop acutekidney injury within 45 days of newly ini-tiated NSAID therapy.
Patients initiating treatment with indo-methacin, ibuprofen, and rofecoxib hadhigher rates of acute kidney injury fromcelecoxib.
In light of newer COX-2 inhibitorsapproaching the market, clinicians needto be aware of the heterogeneity in acutekidney injury risk among COX-2 inhibitorsand demand pertinent safety data forthese new drugs.
1093Winkelmayer et al NSAIDs, COX-2-Inhibitors, and Acute Kidney Injury
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prescription. Immediately preceding the index date (within
30 days), we also ascertained whether any tests or proce-
dures requiring administration of contrast media were con-
ducted or whether a patient underwent any surgery.
OutcomesThe outcome of this study was acute kidney injury as
ascertained from the presence of a diagnosis code indicating
acute renal failure (International Classification of Diseases,
release 9, code 584.5, 584.6, 584.7, 584.8, or 584.9). Pri-
mary outcome was the presence of such a code in conjunc-
tion with a hospitalization. This approach has been validated
and found to be highly specific (98%).10 The secondary out-
come was the presence of such a diagnosis code in either an
outpatient or inpatient claim.
Statistical AnalysesPatient characteristics were assessed across drug exposure
categories. We calculated crude incidence rates by dividingthe observed number of outcomes by the sum of all person
time within each exposure group. Unadjusted and fully
adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were then built to
estimate the relative risks of acute kidney injury; these
models were stratified for year and state.11 We chose cele-
coxib as the reference group, because it was the most fre-
quently used NSAID in this cohort and allowed for direct
comparison with the other COX-2 inhibitors, our primary
study aim. We estimated the hazard ratios [expressed as rate
ratios (RRs) in this article] and the corresponding 95%
confidence intervals (CIs). We included all baseline vari-
ables regardless of any significance threshold. Main analy-ses were unadjusted for multiple comparisons, as has been
suggested for exploratory studies;12 we also investigated
which of the apparent associations would be rendered
insignificant after Bonferroni adjustment for multiple
testing.13
For NSAIDs exhibiting an apparent association with
acute kidney injury, we defined baseline daily dose to assess
whether a dose-response relationship existed. We also con-
ducted subgroup analyses for important strata, such as by
previous use of ACEIs or ARBs, loop diuretics, diagnosis of
gout or use of any anti-gout medications, previous diagnosis
of chronic kidney disease, diabetes, congestive heart failure,or myocardial infarction.
We used SAS for Windows software (release 8.2; SAS
Institute Inc, Cary, NC) for all statistical analyses. This
study was approved by the institutional review board of
Brigham and Womens Hospital.
RESULTS
Cohort Selection and CharacterizationFrom the selection algorithm, we identified 183,446 study
patients aged more than 65 years who filled an NSAID
prescription after not having filled an NSAID prescriptionfor at least 6 months. The mean age was 78 years, and
80.3% were women. Celecoxib was the most frequently
used medication, with one third of patients (33.0%) using
this drug. Other frequently used NSAIDs were rofecoxib
(19.3%), ibuprofen (9.7%), naproxen (8.4%), and ketorolac
(7.0%). Table 1 provides the detailed characteristics of these
patients, stratified by NSAID used.
Risk of Acute Kidney InjuryBy using the more restrictive algorithm of ascertaining
acute kidney injury from a hospital claim, we identified 870
patients (0.47%) who experienced such an event during 45
days of follow-up. Including outpatient claims with a diag-
nosis of acute kidney injury, the secondary end point, the
number of affected patients increased only slightly, to 962
(0.52%). The crude incidence rate for the primary outcome
varied considerably among agents, from 0.02 per person-
year with meloxicam to 0.11 per person-year with indo-
methacin (Table 2). Celecoxib, the reference group, had an
incidence rate of 0.03 acute kidney injury events per person-
year of observation. In univariate analyses, there was clearevidence of heterogeneity in acute kidney injury rate among
the medications studied (P .001 from a global Wald test).
In univariate analyses, rofecoxib, ibuprofen, and indometh-
acin seemed to have a greater rate of acute kidney injury
compared with celecoxib. Multivariate adjustment con-
firmed the presence of these associations. Rofecoxib was
associated with a 52% increased rate of acute kidney injury
compared with celecoxib (95% CI, 26%-83%), whereas
ibuprofen had a relative rate of 1.73 (95% CI, 1.36-2.19)
and indomethacin had a relative rate of 2.23 (95% CI,
1.70-2.93; Table 3). These associations remained statisti-
cally significant after adjustment for multiple comparisons,whereas the apparent association of naproxen with acute
kidney injury (RR 1.37; 95% CI, 1.04-1.81) was no
longer significant after such adjustment. These results were
essentially unchanged in analyses of the combined outcome
of acute kidney injury in outpatient or inpatient encounters
(Table 3). When investigating the role of prescribed daily
dose on the rate of acute kidney injury, we found no dif-
ference in the rate of acute kidney injury among ibuprofen
or indomethacin users. Patients who received a higher daily
dose of rofecoxib, however, seemed to be at substantially
greater risk compared with patients with a lower prescribed
daily dose: Compared with those receiving a daily dose of12.5 mg or less (reference group for this analysis), patients
receiving more than 25 mg had a 77% increased risk of
acute kidney injury (RR 1.78; 95% CI, 1.14-2.78). The
risk of those receiving an intermediate dose (12.5-25
mg/d), the risk did not significantly differ from the lowest
daily dose group (RR 1.13; 95% CI, 0.83-1.57). Cele-
coxib, by contrast, did not exhibit an association between
the dose and the risk of acute kidney injury.
Sensitivity analyses that censored patients 15 days after
the days supplied in the index prescription expired yielded
essentially identical results. We further examined several
substrata, such as those defined by previous use of ACEIs orARBs, loop diuretics, diagnosed kidney disease, congestive
1094 The American Journal of Medicine, Vol 121, No 12, December 2008
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Table 1 Characteristics of Study Patients by Specific Nonsteroidal Anti-inflammatory Medication
COX-2 Inhibitors Nonselective NSAIDs
Substance Celecoxib Rofecoxib Valdecoxib Diclofenac Ibuprofen Indomethacin Ketorolac Meloxicam Nabumetone NaproN in study 60,568 35,368 9,802 6,450 17,795 6,027 12,854 3,739 7,125 15,452
Percent 33.0 19.3 5.3 3.5 9.7 3.3 7.0 2.0 3.9 8
Age (y, mean) 78.4 78.2 76.6 76.7 73.4 77.0 78.5 76.5 76.4 74
Women 83.1 82.9 81.7 81.1 73.6 61.6 79.8 82.8 82.3 76
White race 89.1 90.0 89.4 86.7 80.0 85.1 90.2 88.0 85.3 83
Diabetes 13.9 13.7 15.1 14.1 14.2 15.6 18.0 15.1 13.1 14
Hypertension 57.1 56.2 58.7 54.3 52.2 60.9 58.7 59.0 54.3 52
Gout 4.1 3.9 3.7 4.0 3.1 24.5 3.8 3.4 3.1 3
Renal disease 1.9 2.0 2.3 1.4 1.8 4.8 3.2 2.0 1.3 1
MI 4.5 4.5 4.5 3.7 4.0 6.4 4.9 3.3 3.4 3
CHF 4.7 4.7 3.1 2.8 3.8 6.9 3.9 2.5 3.1 2
PVD 9.4 9.4 10.2 7.2 7.6 8.7 9.3 9.0 7.9 7
Liver disease 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.4 0Malignancy 2.2 2.4 1.7 1.5 2.7 2.5 1.8 1.2 1.4 2
ACEIs 28.5 28.4 28.6 27.3 27.7 35.1 30.6 29.7 26.4 28
ARBs 12.4 12.7 19.3 10.9 10.3 12.1 13.6 19.4 10.8 11
-agonists 6.1 5.7 4.8 6.4 6.3 9.0 6.4 5.0 6.3 6
-blockers 28.9 29.7 33.7 26.7 26.0 37.1 31.6 31.3 26.7 26
CCBs 33.9 32.9 31.4 31.6 30.6 33.0 33.8 32.8 32.6 29
Vasodilators 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.5 0
Diuretics 26.4 26.1 30.0 25.5 23.6 33.3 27.1 30.1 26.4 24
Loop-diuretics 22.3 21.7 20.4 18.0 17.5 31.3 21.6 19.2 16.9 16
Medications 7.3 7.3 7.5 6.8 7.1 7.3 7.6 7.4 6.7 6
Contrast 2.0 2.2 1.9 1.3 2.7 2.7 1.5 1.0 1.4 2
Surgery 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.7 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0
MD visits 5.0 5.0 5.6 4.8 4.6 4.9 5.5 5.5 4.8 4Hospital days 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.0 0
Nursing home 5.1 5.2 3.7 2.7 3.9 2.8 2.4 2.6 2.9 2
COX cyclooxygenase; NSAID nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug; MI myocardial infarction; CHF congestive heart failure; PVD pulmonary vascular
inhibitor; ARB angiotensin receptor blockers; CCB calcium channel blocker.
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heart failure, or gout. None of these revealed a marked
deviation from the overall findings of this study.
DISCUSSIONIn a large, population-based cohort of elderly patients, we
studied the risk of acute kidney injury among new users of
nonselective and COX-2-selective NSAIDs. We found thatapproximately 1 in 200 patients were diagnosed with acute
kidney injury during a hospitalization within 45 days of
initiating such treatment. This risk is most likely an under-
estimate of all kidney injury after NSAID initiation, because
only patients who were hospitalized and diagnosed with
acute kidney injury were captured. We also found that the
risk of acute kidney injury varied considerably among
agents. Although most NSAIDs had similar risks compared
with celecoxib users, some agents had a higher risk, such as
rofecoxib, ibuprofen, and indomethacin users (by 50%,
75%, and 100%, respectively).
Although these findings were robust in several subgroupanalyses, it is important to discuss these findings in light of
several limitations of our study. Several NSAIDs were
available over the counter without prescription, and patients
may have used these drugs before their index date. Although
this is possible, misclassification typically leads to a bias
toward the null. In addition, previous use of certain over-
the-counter NSAIDs would bias the studies away from an
association, because patients susceptible to developing
acute kidney injury from NSAID exposure would have been
more likely to be diagnosed with acute kidney injury and
thus excluded from the cohort. Second, we ascertained acute
kidney injury from diagnosis codes in provider billingclaims rather than from serial laboratory assessments of
kidney function. In previous work, we found that billing
codes indicating acute kidney injury in hospital claims had
high specificity (98%) but low sensitivity (35%), and that
sensitivity was lower for less severe cases of acute kidney
injury.10 It is therefore likely that we have underestimated
the incidence of acute kidney injury after NSAID adminis-
tration. It is possible that kidney function parameters were
already elevated before NSAID exposure or that patients
were incorrectly coded with or without a diagnosis of acute
kidney injury. In terms of classification of outcomes, our
previous work on billing codes for acute kidney injuryestimated a positive predictive value of 48% and negative
predictive value of 98%. To introduce bias to our findings,
the accuracy of acute kidney injury ascertainment would
need to vary across NSAIDs; we have no reason to believe
that this is the case. It is noteworthy that baseline hospital
days and physician visits were comparable across users of
celecoxib, rofecoxib, ibuprofen, and indomethacin, the
agents among whom differences in acute kidney injury risk
were found (Table 1). Differential ascertainment of acute
kidney injury because of physician encounters is therefore
unlikely to account for our findings. Unmeasured confound-
ing, especially by indication, remains a possibility. To theextent that International Classification of Diseases, 9th Re-T
able
2
Eventand45-DayFollow-updetails,
bySpecificNonsteroidalAnti-inflammatoryMedication(PrimaryEndPointofHospital-diagnosedAcuteKidneyI
njury)
COX-2inhibitors
NonselectiveNSAIDs
Subst
ance
Celecoxib
Rofecoxib
Valdecoxib
Diclofenac
Ibuprofen
Indo
methacin
Ketorolac
Meloxicam
Nabumetone
Naproxen
Oxaprozin
Su
lindac
OtherNSAIDs
Ninstudy
60,5
68
35,3
68
9,8
02
6,4
50
17,7
95
6,0
27
12,8
54
3,7
39
7,1
25
15,4
52
2,6
45
1,361
4,2
60
Perso
n-years
14,8
52
7,9
41
2,1
34
1,0
44
1,6
96
510
1,2
71
764
1,1
05
1,8
25
365
199
568
Events
433
358
67
28
89
57
34
15
26
63
12
8
12
Eventrate
0.0
29
0.0
45
0.0
31
0.0
27
0.0
52
0.1
12
0.0
27
0.0
20
0.0
24
0.0
35
0.0
33
0.0
40
0.0
21
C
OX
cyclooxygenase;NSAID
nonsteroidalanti-inflammatorydrug.
1096 The American Journal of Medicine, Vol 121, No 12, December 2008
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vision-Clinical Modification codes capture comorbidity data
accurately, we controlled for major medical conditions that
could confound the association between NSAIDs and the
risk of acute kidney injury.14,15 More general limitations of
retrospective claims database research include unavailabil-
ity of vital and laboratory parameters and of quantitative
information on comorbid conditions. Availability of such
information would make it less likely for any associations to
be residually confounded. Only a randomized trial could
remove any residual bias to the greatest extent possible.Further, although patients filled a prescription, they may not
have taken the medication received. Again, this misclassi-
fication would introduce bias toward a null finding. To
introduce bias away from the null, such behavior would
need to vary systematically across NSAIDs. Finally, we
chose to compare the risks of acute kidney injury among
new initiators of NSAID therapy but did not compare their
risks with patients who did not receive any NSAIDs. By
restricting the study to incident users of the study drugs, we
avoided the daunting task of controlling for confounding by
indication between users and nonusers.
The strengths of our study include the availability of alarge population-based cohort of elderly individuals who
had generous prescription drug coverage from state benefit
plans. We generated an inception cohort of new NSAID
users, which is a preferred way to study drug effects in
nonrandomized studies. We restricted the timeframe to 45
days after filling the index prescription to avoid exposure
misclassification and to study acute renal outcomes rather
than possible influences on the risk of chronic kidney dis-
ease or chronic changes in kidney function. Despite the
short time frame, we ascertained a large number of acute
renal failure outcomes.
Previous studies examining the risk of acute renal failurewith different NSAIDs are few. The Celecoxib Long-term
Arthritis Safety Study, a randomized controlled trial with
celecoxib versus 2 nonspecific NSAIDs (diclofenac and
ibuprofen),16 found a similar decline of renal function in
celecoxib versus ibuprofen users, with diclofenac users ex-
periencing a slightly greater decline compared with cele-
coxib. No assessment of acute kidney injury was conducted
in this study.
Zhang and colleagues17 conducted a study-level meta-
analysis of 114 trial reports of different COX-2 inhibitors
versus their respective trial controls. The renal outcomesstudied included renal dysfunction, hypertension, and pe-
ripheral edema. Their findings suggested different effects on
renal outcomes for different COX-2 inhibitors. Although
they described an increased risk of renal outcomes in pa-
tients randomized to rofecoxib versus the respective control
arms, a decreased risk was found for patients in celecoxib
groups compared with their controls. Aside from the meth-
odological limitations of such meta-analyses combining dif-
ferent exposure and control regimens, considerable hetero-
geneity was present in the way these renal outcomes were
defined in each study.
Few observational studies of the differential risk of acutekidney injury among nonspecific NSAIDs have been con-
ducted. One study compared nonspecific NSAID users with
non-NSAID users and found a dose-dependent risk of acute
kidney injury among nonspecific NSAID users compared
with nonusers.5 Another study confirmed this observation
and further found that the increased risk resided among
patients who received ibuprofen, piroxicam, or indometha-
cin, but not among users of other nonspecific NSAIDs.4 Yet
another study investigated 4 individual NSAIDs (diclofe-
nac, ibuprofen, meloxicam, and naproxen) and compared
their risks with those of patients without NSAID use. Al-
though the estimates of effect seemed to be compatible withheterogeneity of acute kidney injury risk across these
Table 3 Associations Between Individual Nonsteroidal Anti-inflammatory Medication and Acute Kidney Injury
End Point AKI Diagnosis in Hospital
(870 Outcomes) End Point any AKI Diagnosis (962 Outcomes)
Unadjusted Adjusted Unadjusted Adjusted
Celecoxib 1.0 1.0 1.0 (Referent) 1.0 (Referent)
Rofecoxib 1.50 (1.25-1.81) 1.52 (1.26-1.83) 1.45 (1.21-1.73) 1.46 (1.22-1.74)Valdecoxib 1.02 (0.74-1.40) 1.09 (0.79-1.51) 1.01 (0.74-1.38) 1.06 (0.77-1.44)
Diclofenac 0.88 (0.57-1.39) 1.08 (0.69-1.70) 0.92 (0.60-1.41) 1.06 (0.79-1.62)
Ibuprofen 1.42 (1.12-1.80) 1.73 (1.36-2.19) 1.57 (1.25-1.96) 1.69 (1.35-2.11)
Indomethacin 3.12 (2.40-4.04) 2.23 (1.70-2.93) 2.84 (2.21-3.65) 2.15 (1.66-2.78)
Ketorolac 0.83 (0.60-1.14) 0.79 (0.57-1.10) 0.86 (0.64-1.16) 0.83 (0.62-1.12)
Meloxicam 0.83 (0.60-1.14) 0.89 (0.51-1.57) 0.93 (0.56-1.55) 0.99 (0.59-1.65)
Nabumetone 0.71 (0.44-1.15) 0.89 (0.55-1.44) 0.68 (0.42-1.10) 0.80 (0.49-1.28)
Naproxen 1.07 (0.82-1.41) 1.37 (1.04-1.81)* 1.13 (0.87-1.48) 1.30 (1.00-1.69)*
Oxaprozin 1.22 (0.66-2.23) 1.61 (0.88-2.95) 1.41 (0.81-2.47) 1.71 (0.98-2.99)
Sulindac 1.49 (0.74-3.02) 1.31 (0.65-2.66) 2.20 (1.26-3.84) 1.85 (1.06-3.24)*
Other NSAID 0.75 (0.42-1.34) 1.00 (0.56-1.79) 0.81 (0.46-1.41) 0.96 (0.55-1.67)
AKI acute kidney injury; NSAID nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug.
*Adjustment for multiple comparisons rendered these associations nonsignificant.
1097Winkelmayer et al NSAIDs, COX-2-Inhibitors, and Acute Kidney Injury
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NSAIDs, no formal testing was conducted.6 The total num-
ber of acute kidney injury cases (N 103) in that study
limited any meaningful multivariate analyses and yielded
rather low statistical power. All these studies were con-
ducted before the availability of COX-2 inhibitors. Most
relevant to our work is a recent case-control study from
Quebec province to investigate the risk of acute kidney
injury from NSAIDs, both non-specific NSAIDs andCOX-2 inhibitors.8 Similar to our study, follow-up was
short (30 days) and acute kidney injury also was ascertained
from diagnosis codes in hospital claims. In their study, only
meloxicam, naproxen, celecoxib, and rofecoxib users were
studied in separate exposure groups; all other NSAIDs were
aggregated into a single exposure group. In contrast with
our work, they used non-NSAID users as the reference
group. After multivariate adjustment, they found an in-
creased risk of similar magnitude for users of rofecoxib
(RR 2.3), naproxen (RR 2.4), and other nonspecific
NSAIDs (RR 2.3) compared with nonusers of NSAIDs,
whereas celecoxib was associated with an apparent butsmaller risk (RR 1.5). A formal test for interaction be-
tween rofecoxib and celecoxib was nonsignificant, but cer-
tainly underpowered.8 Our study, although different in de-
sign, formally confirms a higher acute kidney injury risk
with rofecoxib compared with celecoxib.
CONCLUSIONSFrom our data and that of others, 2 important lessons can be
learned. First, the assumption of a homogenous effect on the
risk of acute kidney injury among COX-2 inhibitors does
not seem to be supported by the available evidence. Ab-sence of a homogenous effect among COX-2 inhibitors has
been postulated by others based on findings from basic
research,18 and our findings support this hypothesis using
patient-level data. Although celecoxib seems relatively safe
with regard to renal outcomes and did not exhibit a dose-
response with acute kidney injury within strata of daily
dose, exposure to rofecoxib in general, and to higher doses
(25 mg/d) in particular, were associated with an increased
risk of acute kidney injury. This information is important
going forward, because newer COX-2 inhibitors are cur-
rently being investigated for clinical use. Second, we con-
firm previous reports of substantially increased risks ofacute renal impairment with indomethacin and ibuprofen.
Given the widespread use of these agents, prescribers need
to weigh the potentially increased renal risks from these
agents and the specific benefits from these drugs. It seems
that preferred use of other NSAIDs, including celecoxib,
might help avoid some undesired renal outcomes of such
analgesic therapy.
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1098 The American Journal of Medicine, Vol 121, No 12, December 2008