November 6, 2015...!4 november 6, 2015...

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November 6, 2015 Pinterest’s Buyable Pins are now available on Android devices, expanding their reach by 1.4 billion. Pinterest also launched a landing page called Pinterest Shop German banks have unveiled Paydirekt, the result of an industrywide cooperation between German private, cooperative and savings banks Coty announced the purchase of Hypermarcas’ beauty businesses for about US$1 billion. Included in the acquisition are leading Brazilian hair care, hair color, nail care, men’s and skin care brands DEBORAH WEINSWIG Executive Director – Head of Global Retail & Technology Fung Business Intelligence Centre [email protected] US: 646.839.7017 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016 November 6, 2015 The BIST 100, Turkey’s main stock exchange index, rose by 5.4% by the end of Monday, November 2, the first trading day after the Turkish general elections held on November 1, 2015. Investors see the clear electoral result in favor of the AK Party as a sign of stability that should have a positive impact on the country’s economy. 4.9 5.3 4.5 5 5.5 2014 2015 £ Billion Sales at Primark Increased by 13% from Last Year CHART OF THE WEEK +5.4% STAT OF THE WEEK

Transcript of November 6, 2015...!4 november 6, 2015...

Page 1: November 6, 2015...!4 november 6, 2015 deborah(weinswig,(executive(director–head(of(global(retail(&(technology(deborahweinswig@fung1937.com((us:(917.655.6790((hk:(852.6119.1779((cn

       

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November 6, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

 

                                             

 

 

 

 

   

   

l   Pinterest’s  Buyable  Pins  are  now  available  on  Android  devices,  expanding  their  reach  by  1.4  billion.  Pinterest  also  launched  a  landing  page  called  Pinterest  Shop  

l   German  banks  have  unveiled  Paydirekt,  the  result  of  an  industry-­‐wide  cooperation  between  German  private,  cooperative  and  savings  banks  

l   Coty  announced  the  purchase  of  Hypermarcas’  beauty  businesses  for  about  US$1  billion.  Included  in  the  acquisition  are  leading  Brazilian  hair  care,  hair  color,  nail  care,  men’s  and  skin  care  brands    

D EB OR A H W EIN S W IG

Executive Director – Head of Global Retail & Technology Fung Business Intelligence Centre [email protected]

US: 646.839.7017 HK: 852.6119.1779

CN: 86.186.1420.3016

November 6, 2015

• The  BIST  100,  Turkey’s  main  stock  exchange  index,  rose  by  5.4%  by  the  end  of  Monday,  November  2,  the  first  trading  day  after  the  Turkish  general  elections  held  on  

November  1,  2015.  

• Investors  see  the  clear  electoral  result  in  favor  of  the  AK  Party  as  a  sign  of  stability  that  should  have  a  positive  

impact  on  the  country’s  economy.  

 

+5.4%  

4.9  

5.3  

4.5  

5  

5.5  

2014   2015  

£  Billion

 

Sales  at  Primark  Increased  by  13%  from  Last  Year    

CHART  OF  THE  WEEK  

 STAT  OF  THE  WEEK  

  +5.4%  STAT  OF  THE  WEEK  

 

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November 6, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

FROM  THE  DESK  OF  DEBORAH  WEINSWIG  

Last  week,  we   held   our   third  Disruptors   Breakfast   in   partnership  with   accelerator  New   York   Fashion   Tech   Lab  (NYFTL),  of  which  Li  &  Fung  is  a  founding  member.  

The  NYFTL  is  an  accelerator  that  was  cofounded  by  the  Partnership  Fund  for  New  York  City,  Springboard  Enterprises  and  major  fashion  retailers.  It  focuses  on  early-­‐  and   growth-­‐stage  women-­‐led   companies   that   have   developed   innovations   that  apply   to   the   intersection   of   fashion,   retail   and   technology.   NYFTL   offers   a   12-­‐

week  program  that  runs  from  March  to  June,  in  which  eight  to  12  women-­‐led  companies  receive  mentoring  and  collaboration  support;  access   to   relevant  user  groups  at   fashion   retailers;   the  ability   to  participate   in  meetings  with  senior  business  executives,  investors  and  experienced  entrepreneurs;  and  invitations  to  workshops  and  panel  discussions  on  issues  relevant  to  fashion  tech  companies.  

Our  breakfast  featured  five  innovative  startups,  not  limited  to  the  fashion  arena,  which  introduced  themselves  to  a  crowd  of  Li  &  Fung  employees  and  friends.  

Dropel   Fabrics   is   developing   the   world’s   first   water-­‐   and   stain-­‐repellent   (i.e.,  hydrophobic)  cotton  textiles.  The  fabrics  are  designed  to  retain  the  softness  of  cotton,  but   are   enhanced   with   the   ability   to   repel   water   and   stains.   In   a   live   demo,   the  company’s   CEO  demonstrated  a   swath  of   fabric   repelling  both   coffee   and   red  wine.  The  company  is  working  on  developing  fabrics  that  repel  other  materials,  too,  such  as  oil-­‐based  liquids.  

Gigzolo   (a   combination   of   “gig,”   referring   to   a   job   or   musical   performance,   and   a  variation   on   “solo”)   is   an   online   booking  marketplace   that   connects   consumers   and  musicians,  photographers  and  other  artists  for  events  and  performances.  The  platform  enables  event  planners  to  find  talent  based  on  price  and  other  parameters,  leading  to  a  mutual   agreement   between   the  booker   and   the   talent.   Experienced  musicians   vet  the  talent  for  quality,  cohesiveness  and  experience.  

Nineteenth   Amendment   is   pursuing   an   innovative   approach   to   fashion   and   apparel  manufacturing.   Rather   than   first   manufacturing   and   then   discounting   apparel,   the  company   presents   exclusive   designer   collections   from   around   the   world   in   19-­‐day  presales,   allowing   customers   to   preorder   at   a   discount.   It   presents   trend-­‐setting  collections  on  its  website  for  45  days  at  a  time,  according  to  season.  

Perch   offers   interactive   display   technologies   in   which   products   are   arranged   on   a  white  tabletop,  which  also  serves  as  a  screen  for  projected  video.  The  system  uses  a  projector  and  camera  that  enable  it  to  offer  an  interactive  experience  for  consumers,  with   functionality  similar   to  that  of  a  touchscreen  device.  The  tabletop   is   the  canvas  for  advertising  or  information  gathering,  and  the  images  displayed  can  change  when  the   consumer   picks   up   an   item.   The   consumer   can   also   swipe   along   the   tabletop   in  order  to  receive  product  and  other   information.  Perch  offers  vertical  display  cabinets  with  similar  functionality.  Additionally,  via  a  subscription  model,  Perch  customers  can  receive  data  on  consumer  interactions  with  products.  

StyleSage   offers   data-­‐driven,   actionable   insights   to   fashion   brands   and   retailers   in  order  to  help  them  make  better  business-­‐critical  decisions  in  merchandising,  planning  and   wholesale.   Its   platform   collects   data   on   colors,   sizes,   geographies   and   other  categories  from  vendors  worldwide.  It  then  analyzes  this  data  to  provide  information  to   its   customers   on   apparel   offerings,   as   well   as   intelligence   on   market   gaps   and  opportunities.  

We  enjoyed  the  opportunity  to  hear  from  these  amazing  startups  and  look  forward  to  hosting  future  breakfasts  in  New  York  and  Hong  Kong!  

We  enjoyed  the  opportunity  to  hear  from  these  amazing  startups  and  look  forward  to  hosting  future  breakfasts  in  New  York  and  Hong  Kong!    

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November 6, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

 

 

 

     

• Last  week,  we  held  our  third  Disruptors  Breakfast  in  New  York  in  the  Hive  meeting  space  of  the  Li  &  Fung  Americas  headquarters.  

   

 

               

Sales  at  Primark  Increased  by  13%  from  Last  Year    Figure  1.  Associated  British  Foods  Annual  Retail  Revenue    

   Source:  Associated  British  Foods    

 • Sales  at  Primark  increased  by  13%  year  over  year,  at  constant  currencies,  in  the  52  weeks  

ended  September  12,  2015.  In  British  pounds,  sales  grew  by  8%.  Associated  British  Foods  (ABF)  reported  total  revenue  for  its  retail  division,  Primark,  of  £5.3  billion  (US$8.2  billion)  in  2015.  

• Most  sales  growth  was  achieved  due  to  a  9%  increase  in  retail  selling  space,  with  comps  only  1%  ahead  of  last  year.  

• ABF  said  that  sales  were  affected  by  unseasonal  weather  and  by  the  negative  impact  on  some  existing  stores’  sales  caused  by  the  opening  of  new  stores  in  their  catchment  areas.      

 

4.9  

5.3  

4.5  

5  

5.5  

2014   2015  

£  Billion

 

FBIC  HAPPENINGS  &  WEINSWIG’S  WATCH  ING  

CHART  OF  THE  WEEK  

 

STAT  OF  THE  WEEK  

  • The   BIST   100,  Turkey’s  main   stock   exchange   index,   rose   by   5.4%   by  the   end   of   Monday,   November   2,   the   first   trading   day   after   the  Turkish  general  elections  held  on  November  1,  2015.  

• Investors   see   the   clear  electoral   result   in   favor  of   the   AK   Party  as   a  sign   of   stability   that   should  have  a   positive   impact   on   the  country’s  economy.  

+5.4%  

Source:  Investing.com;  FT.com    

 

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November 6, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

US  RETAIL  EARNINGS  

Company  

    Revenues  ($  Mil.)   Change  YoY   Gross  Margin  (%)   Change   Net  Income  ($  Mil.)   Change   Store  Fleet  EOP  

Period   2015   2014   (%)   2015   2014   (BP)   2015   2014   (%)   2015   2014  CVS     3Q  15   38,644     35,021     10.3     17.2   18.5   (123)   1,247     948     31.5     7,911     7,779    

Estée  Lauder     1Q  16   2,835     2,631     7.8     79.6   79.6   4   311     229     35.8     N/A   N/A  

Avon  Products   3Q  15   1,667     2,138     (22.0)   60.8   61.9   (109)   (697)   92     NM     N/A   N/A  

Michael  Kors   1Q  16   986     919     7.3     61.3   62.1   (88)   174     188     (7.4)   550     443    

Whole  Foods  Market     4Q  15   3,438     3,256     5.6     34.5   35.4   (95)   56     128     (56.3)   433     401    

Facebook   3Q  15   4,501     3,203     40.5     32.4   43.6   (1120)   896     806     11.2     N/A   N/A  

Tumi   3Q  15   139     125     11.2     59.0   58.4   59   17     12     41.7     164     142    

Kate  Spade   3Q  15   277     250     10.8     61.2   62.8   (157)   2     (9)   NM     249     133    

Coty   1Q  16   934     1,009     (7.4)   62.3   60.8   154   82     (247)   NM     N/A   N/A  

Ralph  Lauren   2Q  16   1,970     1,994     (1.2)   56.5   56.8   (27)   160     201     (20.4)   480     448    

Source:  Company  reports  

 

US  RETAIL  HEADLINES  

Michael  Kors  Reports  Higher  Retail  Sales  (November  4)  The  Wall  Street  Journal  

• Michael  Kors’  quarterly  retail  sales  rose  by  7.5%  over  the  same  period  a  year  ago,  to  $532.8  million.  During  the  period,  the  company  increased  its  number  of  retail  stores  by  nearly  25%,  to  589  locations.  Excluding  store  openings  and  closings,  retail  sales  fell  by  8.5%.  CEO  John  Idol  said  sales  were  hurt  by  a  trend  toward  purchasing  smaller  handbags,  such  as  cross-­‐body  satchels,  that  are  less  expensive.  He  also  said  the  watch  business  had  suffered  and  fewer  shoppers  were  going  to  stores,  in  part  due  to  declining  tourism  in  the  face  of  a  strong  US  dollar.  

• The  company  plans  to  address  these  headwinds  by  rolling  out  its  largest  assortment  of  new  products  ever  this  spring.  The  company  has  already  begun  offering  leather  watchbands,  in  a  move  away  from  metallic  bands,  which  Idol  said  has  been  well  received.  Kors’  announced  inventory  rose  by  15%  year  over  year.  The  company  lowered  its  revenue  forecast  and  its  per-­‐share  earnings  forecast,  to  $1.44  from  $1.48.  

L.L.Bean  Names  New  President  and  CEO  with  Global  Retail  Experience  (November  4)  BDN  Business  

• After  a  yearlong  search,  L.L.Bean  has  named  Stephen  Smith  as  its  new  President  and  CEO.  Smith  has  held  executive  roles  at  Walmart  International  subsidiaries,  including  Sam’s  Club  in  China,  Asda  in  the  UK  and  Yihaodian  in  Shanghai.  

• Board  Chairman  Shawn  Gorman  said  Tuesday  that  Smith’s  technical  experience  will  help  the  company  compete  in  the  fast-­‐changing  world  of  commerce.  Gorman  looks  to  Smith  to  help  the  company  reach  more  mobile  customers  via  smartphone  apps.  Smith  is  the  first  outside  CEO  in  the  company’s  103-­‐year  history.  

   

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November 6, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

Pinterest  Extends  Buyable  Pins  to  1.4  Billion  Android  Devices  (November  3)  Ad  Age  

• Pinterest’s  Buyable  Pins,  previously  offered  only  on  Apple’s  iOS  devices,  are  now  available  on  Android  devices,  expanding  their  reach  by  1.4  billion.  Pinterest  also  launched  a  landing  page  called  Pinterest  Shop,  which  spotlights  collections  of  Buyable  Pins  trending  among  its  users.  Featured  items  range  from  denim  shirts  to  sweaters  to  scarves,  among  other  categories.  

• Buyable  Pins  are  only  available  on  mobile,  and  this  decision  reflects  trends  in  advertisers’  and  consumers’  digital  priorities.  Marketers  spent  approximately  $8.2  billion  on  mobile  advertising  in  the  first  half  of  2015,  up  54%,  according  to  the  Interactive  Advertising  Bureau.  According  to  comScore,  time  spent  on  mobile  dominates  time  spent  on  desktop  at  a  ratio  of  60/40.  

Amazon’s  Next  Chapter?  Opening  a  Physical  Bookstore  (November  3)  Retailing  Today  

• Amazon’s  first  permanent  physical  store  opened  in  its  hometown  of  Seattle  on  Tuesday.  “We’ve  applied  20  years  of  online  bookselling  experience  to  build  a  store  that  integrates  the  benefits  of  offline  and  online  book  shopping,”  said  Jennifer  Cast,  Vice  President  of  Amazon  Books.  

• The  physical  space  looks  similar  to  a  Barnes  &  Noble,  but  there  are  some  distinguishing  merchandising  features.  For  example,  the  books  are  presented  face  out  and  under  each  one  is  a  review  card  with  the  Amazon.com  customer  rating  and  a  review.  Pricing  is  the  same  as  offered  on  Amazon.com.  Also,  the  store  will  carry  products  such  as  the  Kindle,  Echo,  Fire  TV  and  Fire  Tablet.  

American  Eagle  to  Acquire  Menswear  Brand  Todd  Snyder  (November  2)  The  New  York  Times  

• American  Eagle  Outfitters  will  pay  $11  million  to  acquire  upscale  men’s  fashion  brand  Todd  Snyder,  the  retailer  said  Tuesday,  marking  the  company’s  latest  move  away  from  a  focus  on  deep  discounting.  

• The  deal  includes  Todd  Snyder’s  Tailgate  brand  of  collegiate  sportswear,  which  American  Eagle  plans  to  expand  to  up  to  200  on-­‐campus  stores,  and  the  Todd  Snyder  New  York  line,  which  sells  at  high-­‐end  department  stores,  including  Bergdorf  Goodman  and  Neiman  Marcus.  

Target  to  Offer  Free  US  Shipping  for  Holiday  Season  (October  30)  Fox  Business  

• For  the  second  year  in  a  row,  Target  will  drop  shipping  fees  for  all  online  orders  during  the  holiday  shopping  season,  from  November  1  to  December  25.  The  company  normally  requires  a  minimum  online  order  of  $25  to  qualify  for  free  shipping.  CEO  Brian  Cornell  expects  the  shopping  season  to  be  driven  by  discounts  designed  to  lure  shoppers  who  remain  cautious  about  making  purchases.  Last  month,  the  retailer  said  it  will  price-­‐match  its  largest  rivals  both  in  stores  and  online.  

• Walmart,  one  of  Target’s  main  competitors,  said  it  will  stick  to  its  normal  policy  of  waiving  shipping  fees  only  for  online  orders  that  exceed  $50.  Target  expects  its  ship-­‐from-­‐store  program,  which  has  recently  expanded  to  460  stores,  to  become  a  differentiator  in  speeding  up  delivery  times.  Target  also  said  it  will  expand  its  online  grocery  partnership  with  Instacart  to  six  stores  from  the  current  two  during  the  holidays.  

   

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November 6, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

EUROPEAN  RETAIL  EARNINGS  

Company  

    Revenues  ($  Mil.)   Change   Change  in     Gross  Margin  (%)   Change   Net  Income  ($  Mil.)   Change   Store  Fleet  EOP  

Period   2015   2014   (%)  Reporting  Currency   2015   2014   (BP)   2015   2014   (%)   2015   2014  

Marks  &  Spencer   1HE  Sep.  26     7,629     8,226     (7.3)   1.0     N/A   N/A   N/A     263.0     378.4     (30.5)   1,363     1,285    

Primark   FYE  Sep.  12   8,286     8,192     1.1     8.0     N/A   N/A   N/A     1,030.5     1,072.4     (3.9)   293     N/A    

Pets  At  Home   1HE  Oct.  8   624     639     (2.2)   6.0     N/A   N/A   N/A   N/A   N/A   N/A   408     385    

Supergroup  Plc   1HE  Oct.  24   394     347     13.6     22.4     N/A   N/A   N/A   N/A   N/A   N/A   827,000     679,000    

Hugo  Boss   3QE  Sep.  30     828   949   (12.8)   3.9   64.5   64.1   37.8   98.4   151.9   (35.2)   1,105   N/A  

Source:  Company  reports  

 EUROPE  RETAIL  HEADLINES  Ted  Baker  Opens  Its  First  Amsterdam  Outlet  (November  3)  Theretailbulletin.com  

• British  luxury  clothing  retailer  Ted  Baker  has  opened  its  first  Dutch  outlet,  in  collaboration  with  Dynamic  Resources,  which  provided  project  management  for  the  store.  The  historical  art–themed  store  is  spread  over  two  floors,  and  houses  Ted  Baker’s  autumn/winter  2015  menswear,  womenswear  and  accessories  collections.  

• Dynamic  Resources  is  also  managing  the  opening  of  Ted  Baker’s  US  and  Canada  stores,  theming  each  outlet  with  the  features  and  culture  of  the  local  area.  Gerry  Walsh,  Managing  Director  of  Dynamic  Group  Europe,  remarked  on  Ted  Baker’s  independent  outlook  and  “quirky  sense  of  humor,”  features  that  are  characteristic  of  the  British  brand’s  400  stores  and  concessions  across  33  countries,  each  of  which  is  uniquely  themed  around  the  local  area.  

Alibaba  Finds  New  Partners  in  the  Netherlands  (November  2)  Warc.com  

• Chinese   e-­‐commerce   giant   Alibaba   has   announced   a   partnership   with   several   top   Dutch  brands.  As  a  result  of  this  venture,  brands  such  as  Albert  Heijn,  Attent  and  Royal  Ahold  will  now  have  access  to  the  Chinese  market  through  Tmall  Global,  Alibaba’s  B2C  website.  

• KLM   Royal   Dutch   Airlines   and   the   Netherlands   Board   of   Tourism   &   Conventions   will  collaborate  with   the  online   giant’s   travel   platform,  Alitrip.   Tmall  Global   is   also   expected   to  open  flagship  stores  for  some  of  the  leading  Dutch  supermarkets.  

German  Banks  Launch  Paydirekt  to  Rival  PayPal  (November  2)  Ecommercenews.eu  

• German   banks   have   unveiled   Paydirekt,   which   intends   to   rival   PayPal,   the   long-­‐standing  online   payment   system.   Paydirekt   is   the   result   of   an   industry-­‐wide   cooperation   between  German   private,   cooperative   and   savings   banks   that   was   spurred   by   several   complaints  about  the  dominance  of  PayPal.  

• Paydirekt’s  website  is  already  live,  but  the  payment  system  will  not  be  fully  operational  until  the  end  of  this  year.  Though  the  system  follows  strict  German  banking  regulations,   foreign  shoppers  will  also  be  able  to  use  Paydirekt   if  they  have  an  account  with  online  access  with  one  of  the  participating  banks.  

Marks  &  Spencer  Looking  for  Acquisitions  to  Expand  Fashion  Division  (November  2)  Retaildetail.eu  

• British   department   store   chain   Marks   &   Spencer   is   surveying   potential   acquisitions   in   an  attempt  to  stimulate  sales.  CEO  Mark  Bolland  is  reportedly  considering  niche  fashion  brands  as   potential   acquisition   targets,   including   luxury   fashion   and   home   furnishings   chain   The  White  Company.  

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November 6, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

• While  M&S  has  its  own  group  of  popular  brands,  such  as  Autograph  and  Per  Una,  expanding  through  an  external  acquisition  would  be  a  first  for  the  retailer.  Sources  stated  that  Bolland  hopes   shoppers  will   be  drawn   to  buying  M&S’s   clothing   if   the   retailer   creates  a   “house  of  brands.”  The  board  has  not  yet  approved  the  proposal.  

Sephora  to  Launch  in  Iran  Next  Year  (October  30)  Reuters.com  

• LVMH-­‐owned  Sephora  plans  to  open  several  shops  in  Iran  next  year.  The  French  company  is  one  of  the  first  big  cosmetics  retailers  from  Europe  to  make  direct  investments  in  the  Middle  Eastern  nation  as  it  emerges  from  years  of  economic  sanctions.  

• Sources  familiar  with  the  matter  mentioned  that  “Sephora  is  currently  finalizing  talks  with  its  partner   in   Iran”   and   that   “talks   are   already   quite   advanced  with   their   distributors.”  While  several  managers  from  LVMH  and  Sephora  have  been  making  trips  to  Iran  over  the  last  two  months,  the  companies  declined  to  comment  on  the  matter.  

ASIA  TECH  HEADLINES  Report:  Apple  Supplier  Freezes  Hiring,  Shuts  Production  Line  Due  to  Low  Demand  for  iPhone  6s  (November  3)  TechinAsia  

• International   analysts   have   recently   been   lowering   their   iPhone   6s   sales   estimates   in  response  to  lower-­‐than-­‐expected  demand  for  the  new  smartphone.  

• Chinese   tech  media   reported   on  Monday   that   an   Apple   supplier   in   Shanghai,   a   Pegatron  subsidiary  called  Changshuo,  has  frozen  iPhone  6s-­‐related  hiring  and  shut  down  a  production  line  to  cut  its  6s  output.  

More  than  40%  of  China’s  E-­‐Commerce  Products  Are  Fakes,  Says  Government  Report  (November  3)  TechinAsia  

• According   to   Beijing   Business   Today,   the   law   enforcement   and   inspection   team   of   the  National   People’s   Congress   Standing  Committee   compiled   information   from   inspections  of  14   different   e-­‐commerce   product   categories   in   2014   and   found   that   only   58.7%   of   the  inspected  goods  were  genuine.  

• Neither   the   sample   size   nor   a   copy   of   the   full   report   is   available   online.   The   definition   of  “fake”  is  broad,  and  encompasses  dangerous  fake  products  such  as  cosmetics  with  unlisted  ingredients  as  well  as  brand-­‐name  clothing  knock-­‐offs  and  the  like.  

Retail  Therapy:  Cashing  in  on  China’s  Singles’  Day  (November  2)  e27.co  

• Last   year,   Alibaba’s   Singles’   Day   sales   hit   a   record   278  million   orders  worth   around   ¥57.1  billion   (US$9.3   billion).   The   commercial   promotion   started   in   2009,   when   Alibaba   began  offering  huge  discounts  for  the  anti-­‐Valentine’s  Day  holiday.  

• This   year,   JD.com   and   Tencent   announced   a   partnership   to   “provide   merchants   with  innovative   mobile   marketing   solutions   ahead   of   this   year’s   Singles’   Day   promotion.”   The  extent  of  this  partnership  should  become  clearer  as  the  event  date  nears.  

Nissan  Will  Sell  Semiautonomous  Cars  by  the  End  of  2016  (November  2)  TechinAsia  

• Nissan   began   testing   a   self-­‐driving   prototype   of   its   electric   Leaf   car,   which   was   equipped  with  a  miniature  laser  scanner  and  a  360-­‐degree  camera,  on  busy  highways  and  crowded  city  streets  in  the  greater  Tokyo  area  last  week.  

• Nissan  plans  to  sell  vehicles  equipped  with  “Piloted  Drive”  autonomous  driving  technology  in  three   stages.   Stage   one   is   expected   to   be   available   by   2016   and   will   allow   autonomous  driving   under   heavy   highway   traffic   conditions.   Stage   two   will   enable   lane   changing   on  

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November 6, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

highways,   and   should   be   available   by   2018.   Stage   three,   expected   by   2020,   will   have   the  additional  ability  to  navigate  urban  roads  and  intersections.  

iProperty  to  be  Sold  for  US$534  Million  in  One  of  the  Largest  Southeast  Asian  Web  Firm  Buyouts  (November  2)  TechinAsia  

• News  Corp  subsidiary  REA  Group,  which  owns  property  sites  in  Australia,  China,  the  US  and  Europe,  will  buy  iProperty  in  a  deal  valued  at  A$751  million  (US$534  million),  making  it  one  of  the  largest  acquisitions  of  a  Southeast  Asian  Internet  company  in  recent  memory.  

• iProperty  booked  A$24.8  million   (US$17.7  million)   in   revenue   in   the   first   three  quarters  of  this   year,   though   it   saw  a  net   loss  after   tax  of  A$1.55  million   (US$1.11  million)   in   the   first  half.  

LATAM  RETAIL  HEADLINES  Gaia:  Mexican  Furniture  Revolutionaries  (November  4)  BBC.com  

• Gaia   is   a   Mexican   furniture-­‐making   startup   founded   by   a   Harvard   MBA   and   one   other  partner   that   recorded  monthly   sales  of  US$5,000   in   its   first  month  and  US$500,000   in   the  same  month  a  year  later.  

• Mexico’s  furniture  market  is  highly  attractive:  the  country’s  population  stands  at  roughly  120  million  people  and  the  average  age  is  25–26,  meaning  many  consumers  there  are  just  a  few  years  away  from  making  peak  furniture  purchases.  

Coty  to  Buy  Brazilian  Hypermarcas  Beauty  Businesses  for  US$1  Billion  (November  2)  Company  press  release  

• Coty  announced  the  purchase  of  Hypermarcas’  beauty  businesses  for  about  US$1  billion.  

• Included  in  the  acquisition  are  leading  Brazilian  hair  care,  hair  color,  nail  care,  men’s  and  skin  care  brands  that  generated  revenues  of  US$253.5  million  in  2014.  

Five  Reasons  E-­‐Retailers  Are  Attracted  to  Investing  in  Mexico  (November  2)  Econsultancy.com  

• E-­‐commerce   in   Mexico   has   grown   at   a   rate   of   400%   over   the   last   five   years,   and   online  shopping  sales  are  predicted  to  increase  by  another  150%  by  2018  versus  2013.  

• Mexico   is   experiencing   increased   Internet   usage,   growing   popularity   in   credit   card   usage,  improving   attitudes   toward   purchasing   online,   increasing   familiarity   with   US   brands   and  growing  use  of  social  media.  

New  El  Palacio  de  Hierro  Flagship  Raises  the  Bar  for  Mexican  Luxury  Shopping  (November  2)  Forbes.com  

• This  week,  the  level  of   luxury  shopping  in  Mexico  City  will  be  raised  as  El  Palacio  de  Hierro  opens  a  US$300  million,  650,000-­‐square-­‐foot  flagship  store  in  the  Polanco  district.  

• The   new   flagship   will   focus   on   affluent   international   travelers,   and   offer   VIP   shopping  services,   including   private   salons,   and   a   wide   selection   of   both   international   and   local  designers,  as  well  as  a  large  technology  lab  with  stores  from  Apple,  Samsung  and  Sony.  

Strong  Walmex  3Q  Profits  Underscore  Strength  of  Mexican  Retail  (October  28)  Company  press  release  and  Bloomberg  

• Walmex  reported  an  11.6%   increase   in   third-­‐quarter  net  sales  and  a  21.5%   increase   in  net  income,  which  beat  analysts’  expectations.  

• Retail  sales  are  benefiting  from  the  lowest  rate  of  inflation  in  50  years,  which  has  increased  purchasing  power,  despite  falling  oil  production  and  softness  in  exports.  

 

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November 6, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

 

EARNINGS  CALENDAR    

Company  

Earnings  Release  Period   Date  

Sales  ($  Mil.)       EPS  

Currency  Consensus  TY   LY  Actual  

 

Consensus  TY   LY  Actual  

Adidas     3Q  15   Nov.  5   4,518   4,015    

1.49   1.34   EUR  

Kate  Spade     3Q  15   Nov.  5   281   250    

0.04   0.04   USD  

Coty   1Q  16   Nov.  5   1,133   1,182    

0.30   0.26   USD  

Ralph  Lauren     2Q  16   Nov.  5   1,960   1,994    

1.74   2.21   USD  

Unicharm   3Q  15     Nov.  6   997,000   152,400    

21.10   19.74   JPY  

Iconix  Brand  Group   3Q  15   Nov.  9   107   95    

0.53   0.37   USD  

Tencent     3Q  15   Nov.  10   25,458   19,808    

0.86   0.70   CNY  

Macy’s   3Q  16   Nov.  11   6,114   6,195    

0.53   0.61   USD  

Fossil  Group   3Q  15   Nov.  11   795   895    

1.19   1.96   USD  

Yoox  Net-­‐A-­‐Porter   3Q  15   Nov.  11   190   128    

0.02   0.03   EUR  

Burberry     1H  16   Nov.  12   1,164   1,100    

0.29   0.24   GBP  

Gildan  Activewear     3Q  15   Nov.  12   702   694    

0.52   0.47   USD  

Nordstrom     3Q  16   Nov.  12   3,381   3,140    

0.73   0.76   USD  

Dillard’s   3Q  16   Nov.  12   1,517   1,499    

1.26   1.21   USD  

Kohl’s   3Q  16   Nov.  12   4,423   4,374    

0.72   0.70   USD  

J  Sainsbury     1H  16   Nov.  12   12,494   12,667    

0.12   0.14   GBP  

JC  Penney   3Q  16   Nov.  13   2,877   2,764    

(0.56)   (0.76)   USD  

Urban  Outfitters     3Q  16   Nov.  16   871   815    

0.42   0.35   USD  

Home  Depot   3Q  16   Nov.  17   21,772   20,516    

1.32   1.11   USD  

Wal-­‐Mart   3Q  16   Nov.  17   117,971   119,001    

0.98   1.15   USD  

TJX     3Q  16   Nov.  17   7,733   7,366    

0.85   0.85   USD  

Target   3Q  16   Nov.  18   17,563   17,732    

0.86   0.53   USD  

Lowe’s   3Q  16   Nov.  18   14,314   13,681    

0.78   0.59   USD  

Loblaw     3Q  15   Nov.  18   13,918   13,599    

0.98   0.63   CAD  

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November 6, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

     

EVENT  CALENDAR        

Event   Location   Date(s)   FBIC  Presenting  

UJA  –  Tech  Mission  to  Israel   Tel  Aviv,  Israel   November  7–13    

Carrefour  Management  Meeting   New  York,  NY   November  9   Deborah  Weinswig  

Restaurant  Finance  &  Development  Conference   Las  Vegas,  NV   November  9–11    

Fast  Company  Innovation  Festival   New  York,  NY   November  9–13    

Techweek  Los  Angeles       Los  Angeles,  CA   November  9–15    

CES  Unveiled  New  York   New  York,  NY   November  10    

McDonald’s  Investor  Day   New  York,  NY   November  10    

WWD  –  Digital  Forum  LA   Los  Angeles,  CA   November  10    

IoT  –  Connected  Entertainment  &  Smart  Home   Amsterdam,  Netherlands   November  10–11    

Trinity  Board  Meeting     Macau,  SAR   November  11   Deborah  Weinswig  

Israeli  Pavilion  at  Content  and  Communication  World   New  York,  NY   November  11–12    

World  Retail  Congress  LatAm   São  Paulo,  Brazil   November  12–13    

Hasbro  Investor  Day   TBA   November  16    

TreeHouse  Foods  Investor  Day   Rosemont,  IL   November  16    

Connected  Car  Expo   Los  Angeles,  CA   November  16    

LSCo  –  Lean  Startup  Conference   San  Francisco,  CA   November  16–19    

QConn  –  International  Software  Development     San  Francisco,  CA   November  16–20    

Retail  World  Trade  Fair   Berlin,  Germany   November  18–19    

IDTechEx  Conference   Santa  Clara,  CA   November  18–19    

The  Retail  Marketing  Society  –  Wearable  Technology   New  York,  NY   November  19   Jing  Wang  

Pepcom  –  Wine,  Dine  &  Demo!   New  York,  NY   November  19    

Women's  Entrepreneurship  Day  at  the  UN   New  York,  NY   November  19    

Drapers  Fashion  Forum   London,  UK   November  19    

WWD  &  Variety  –  Style  Makers     Los  Angeles,  CA   November  19    

Kellogg  Investor  Day   Chicago,  IL   November  20    

Wired  Retail  with  Valtech   London,  UK   November  23    

Hugo  Boss  Investor  Day   TBA   November  24    

Marketing  Festival  2015  –  Digital  Marketing   Brno,  Czech  Republic   November  26–28    

ICSC  –  Retail  Stratergy  &  Trends  Forum   Berlin,  Germany   November  26–27    

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DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

 Deborah  Weinswig,  CPA  Executive  Director—Head  of  Global  Retail  &  Technology  Fung  Business  Intelligence  Centre  New  York:  917.655.6790    Hong  Kong:  852.6119.1779  [email protected]    Filippo  Battaini  [email protected]  

Marie  Driscoll,  CFA  [email protected]  

John  Harmon,  CFA  [email protected]  

Aragorn  Ho  [email protected]  

John  Mercer  [email protected]  

Shoshana  Pollack  [email protected]  

Kiril  Popov  [email protected]  

Jing  Wang    [email protected]  

Steven  Winnick  [email protected]  

 HONG  KONG:  10th  Floor,  LiFung  Tower  888  Cheung  Sha  Wan  Road,  Kowloon  Hong  Kong  Tel:  852  2300  2470    LONDON:  242-­‐246  Marylebone  Road  London,  NW1  6JQ  United  Kingdom  Tel:  44  (0)20  7616  8988    NEW  YORK:  1359  Broadway,  9th  Floor  New  York,  NY  10018  Tel:  646  839  7017      FBICGROUP.COM