November 2016 Shareholder Presentation · 2020-02-06 · this presentation is to provide...

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Transcript of November 2016 Shareholder Presentation · 2020-02-06 · this presentation is to provide...

Page 1: November 2016 Shareholder Presentation · 2020-02-06 · this presentation is to provide information only and the contents of the presentation do not purport to provide investment
Page 2: November 2016 Shareholder Presentation · 2020-02-06 · this presentation is to provide information only and the contents of the presentation do not purport to provide investment

November 2016 Shareholder Presentation

Page 3: November 2016 Shareholder Presentation · 2020-02-06 · this presentation is to provide information only and the contents of the presentation do not purport to provide investment

Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by MAM Pty Ltd and Wilson Asset Management (International) Pty Ltd (Wilson Asset Management) for use in conjunction with a verbal presentation and should be read in that context. This presentation Information for the graphs, charts and quoted indices contained in this presentation has been sourced from WAM Capital Ltd, WAM Leaders Ltd, WAM Research Ltd and WAM Active Ltd unless otherwise stated. This presentation is proprietary to Wilson Asset Management. It may not be reproduced, disseminated, quoted or referred to, in whole or in part, without the express consent of Wilson Asset Management. The information in this presentation is only intended for Australian residents. The purpose of this presentation is to provide information only and the contents of the presentation do not purport to provide investment or financial advice. We strongly suggest that investors consult a financial advisor prior to making any investment decision. The presentation does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any person and should not be used as the basis for making investment, financial or other decisions. The information is selective and may not be complete or accurate for your particular purposes and should not be construed as a recommendation to invest in any particular investment or security, or listed investment company offered by Wilson Asset Management. The information provided in this presentation is given in good faith and is believed to be accurate at the time of compilation. Neither Wilson Asset Management, WAM Capital Ltd, WAM Leaders Ltd, WAM Research Ltd, WAM Active Ltd nor their respective directors or employees (Wilson Asset Management parties) make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy, reliability, timeliness or completeness of the information. To the extent permissible by law, Wilson Asset Management parties disclaim all liability (whether arising in contract, tort, negligence or otherwise) for any error, omission, loss or damage (whether direct, indirect, consequential or otherwise). Performance figures quoted in the report are past performance. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. None of the Wilson Asset Management parties guarantee or make any representation as to the performance of the listed investment companies, the maintenance or repayment of capital, the price at which shares may trade or any particular rate of return. This presentation includes “forward looking statements” within the meaning of securities laws of applicable jurisdictions. Forward looking statements can generally be identified by the use of the words “anticipate”, “believe”, “expect”, “project”, “forecast”, “estimate”, “likely”, “intend”, “should”, “could”, “may”, “target”, “plan” “guidance” and other similar expressions. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of any Wilson Asset Management party, that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statement. Actual results, performance or achievements may vary materially from any projections and forward looking statements and the assumptions on which those statements are based. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward looking statements and Wilson Asset Management assumes no obligation to update such information. This presentation is not, and does not constitute, an offer to sell or the solicitation, invitation or recommendation to purchase, any securities and neither this presentation nor anything contained in it forms the basis of any contract or commitment. Without limiting this, this presentation does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities in the United States.

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Agenda

1. Wilson Asset Management and our listed investment companies 2. Market and investment insights – Market overview and outlook – Investment themes and trends

3. Investment portfolio – What worked – What didn’t work – What we like

4. Questions

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About us

1

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About us

Investing in opportunities. For you. For good.

1 Page 6

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Our team

Geoff Wilson Chairman & Portfolio Manager

Chris Stott

Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager

Martin Hickson

Senior Equity Analyst & Dealer

John Ayoub

Senior Equity Analyst

Kate Thorley

Chief Executive Officer

Matthew Haupt

Portfolio Manager

Tobias Yao

Senior Equity Analyst

Oscar Oberg

Equity Analyst

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How we invest

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Pre-tax net tangible assets One-year total shareholder return

Fully franked dividend yield* Performance (p.a. since August 1999)

197.56c 23.6%

6.4% 18.2%

As at 31 October 2016 *As at 14 November 2016

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Pre-tax net tangible assets Gross assets

107.77c $388.6m

As at 31 October 2016 *As at 14 November 2016

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Share price* Option price*

$1.115 $0.039

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Pre-tax net tangible assets One-year total shareholder return

Fully franked dividend yield* Performance (p.a. since July 2010)

129.17c 28.4%

5.4% 21.0%

As at 31 October 2016 *As at 14 November 2016

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Pre-tax net tangible assets One-year total shareholder return

Fully franked dividend yield* Performance (p.a. since January 2008)

105.14c 26.5%

4.4% 12.9%

As at 31 October 2016 *As at 14 November 2016

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Market and investment insights

2

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2

Market and investment insights

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Market outlook

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The Australian equity market

Is a correction coming?

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The Australian equity market

Is a correction coming?

Signs of economic strength are returning…

… but are not strong enough for the RBA to raise rates – yet

… when it does, equities could come under pressure

Valuations remain elevated given the growth outlook

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The Australian equity market

Will small caps continue to outperform?

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The Australian equity market

Will small caps continue to outperform?

Source: Goldman Sachs

1900

1900

2013 2014 2015 2016

S&P/ASX 100

S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries

Rela

tive

per

form

ance

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The Australian economy

Australian housing has peaked

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The Australian economy

Australian housing has peaked

8500

11000

13500

16000

18500

21000

1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016

Australian housing approvals Housing approvals

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

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The global economy

The era of cheap money is ending

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The global economy

The era of cheap money is ending Centrals banks have attempted to stimulate the economy post GFC with monetary policy

Printing money to provide liquidity

Lowering interest rates

Causing significant overvaluation in equity prices

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8%

United States Australia Japan Germany

10-year government bond rates

Source: UBS

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The global economy

Outcome of the US election

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The global economy

Outcome of the US election

Uncertainty on policy decisions and execution; slim Republican majority Tax reform and infrastructure building could create fiscal stimulus Trade protectionism would have negative impacts US economic indicators and company earnings are positive overall

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Investment themes and trends

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01

The rise of self managed super funds

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01

The rise of self managed super funds 1/3 of all superannuation assets are held in SMSFs

$622bn of assets under management

16% of the market cap of the ASX is owned by SMSFs

Source: Credit Suisse

Investment exposure:

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02

Cashless society and online shopping

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02

Cashless society and online shopping Integrated the best retailers neither exclusively online or offline

Decelerated rate of growth in online shopping

Transition from bricks-and-mortar to clicks-and-mortar

Payments technology bring convenience and efficiency to electronic transactions

Investment exposure:

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Top holdings

Company ASX Code Owned by

Eclipx Group Limited ECX WAM, WLE, WAX

Nick Scali Limited NCK WAM, WAX

Orora Limited ORA WLE

Reliance Worldwide Corporation (Aust) Limited RWC WLE

Ardent Leisure Group AAD WAM, WLE, WAX

Aristocrat Leisure Limited ALL WAM, WLE, WAA

Helloworld Limited HLO WAM, WAX

ALS Limited ALQ WAM, WAA

Hunter Hall Global Value Limited HHV WAM, WAA

Century Australia Investment Limited CYA WAM, WAA

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Investment portfolio

3

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$0.50

$0.70

$0.90

$1.10

$1.30

$1.50

$1.70

$1.90

$2.10

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What worked

Mayne Pharma (ASX: MYX)

Why it rated – Highly accretive acquisition – Growth potential – Pipeline of drugs awaiting FDA approval

Why it worked – Successful execution on acquisition – New drugs approved by the FDA – Acquisition of large portfolio

Sold out average $1.94

Started buying at $0.62

Page 33 Source: IRESS

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$5.00

$7.00

$9.00

$11.00

$13.00

$15.00

$17.00

What didn’t work

The Reject Shop (ASX: TRS)

Why it rated – Appointment of CEO Ross Sudano – Cost reducing strategies

Why it didn’t work – Impacted by price competition – Sales growth disappointing – Share price has continued to fall – We were late to sell

Sold out average $9.27

Started buying at $5.87

Page 34 Source: IRESS

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$0.09

$0.10

$0.11

$0.12

$0.13

$0.14

$0.15

$0.16

$0.17

$0.18

What we like

Armidale Investment Corporation (ASX:AIK)

Started buying at $0.11

Background – Integrated commercial finance company – $42 billion industry

Catalysts – Simplifying corporate structure to a tax

consolidated group – Transition to operating company – Earnings accretive acquisitions

Source: IRESS

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$3.50

$4.00

$4.50

$5.00

$5.50

$6.00

What we like

Nick Scali (ASX: NCK)

Started buying at $3.80

Background – Furniture retailer with 42 stores – Market cap $450 million – Block line purchased at a discount

Catalysts – Acquisitions overseas – Earning upgrades – Continued Australian market share gains

Source: IRESS

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Questions

4

Page 38: November 2016 Shareholder Presentation · 2020-02-06 · this presentation is to provide information only and the contents of the presentation do not purport to provide investment

Get in touch [email protected] Telephone. +61 2 9247 6755 Level 11, 139 Macquarie Street Sydney NSW 2000 GPO Box 4658, Sydney NSW 2001