Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA (NAS) Q1 2004 · 202 302 402 502 602 702 802 Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04...
Transcript of Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA (NAS) Q1 2004 · 202 302 402 502 602 702 802 Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04...
Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA(NAS)
Q1 2004
Presentation
Oslo – Frankfurt – London
25-27 May 2004
2
● Q1 results in line with expectations, and a strong financial position maintained
● Established as Norway’s low-fare carrier
● Consolidating our position and achieving profitability in second half 2004
3
● Q1 results in line with expectations, and a strong financial position maintained
● Established as Norway’s low-fare carrier
● Consolidating our position and achieving profitability in second half 2004
4
Turnover up 55% from Q1 2003● 236 Mill NOK in turnover in Q1 2004, compared to 153
in Q1 2003● 90% increase in passenger volume from Q1 2003.
(400.000 passengers in Q1 2004, 210.000 in Q1 2003)● Growth driven by increased production● Rapid expansion accomplished with continuously
higher load-factor
50
100
150
200
250
300Mill
55 %
0Q4 02 Q1 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04
5
EBITDA level as expected ● EBITDA result of -49.9 MNOK in Q1 2004, versus -34
MNOK in Q1 2003● EBITDA result includes 6 MNOK in “one offs”● “One offs” relates to:
– 2.5 MNOK in additional costs for redelivery of leased Fokker F-50 planes
– 3.5 MNOK in additional costs on pre-sold tickets due to introduction of VAT on public transportation from march 01.
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Q4 02 Q1 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04
Mill
6
Increase in cash holdings
● Positive cash flow from operations of 12.2 MNOK, driven by high pre-sales levels for spring / summer-travel
● Sold off 3 financially leased Fokker F-50 planes and made down payment of related debt
Cash Flow statement
20032004 2003
Operating activities 12 208 32 751 61 498Investments 18 814 -4 829 -28 637Financial activities -20 652 -3 143 217 938
Net change 10 370 24 779 250 799Cash balance per 1 January 314 036 63 237 63 237Cash balance per 31 March 324 407 88 016 314 036
First Quarter
7
Strong financial position
● Total assets of 560 MNOK● Cash position of 324 MNOK.
IPO proceeds constitutes 235 MNOK● Equity-share of 40%
FIXED ASSETS 2004 2003 EQUITY 2004 2003Intangible assets 78 844 30 254Tangible fixed assets 26 612 57 743 Paid-in euity 263 532 71 157Financial fixed assets 13 988 13 014 Retained earnings -40 043 9 723TOTAL FIXED ASSETS 119 445 101 011 TOTAL EQUITY 223 490 80 880
CURRENT ASSETS LIABILITIESMaterial and consumables 3 874 8 599 Provisions 35 359 14 933Receivables 113 037 85 724 Other long-term liabilities 29 770Cash and bank deposits 324 407 88 016 Current liabilities 301 915 157 766TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS 441 318 182 339 TOTAL LIABILITIES 337 273 202 470
TOTAL ASSETS 560 763 283 350 TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 560 763 283 350
No of shares 18085230 79021Nominal share value 0,1 13
First Quarter
8
● Q1 results in line with expectations, and a strong financial position maintained
● Established as Norway’s low-fare carrier
● Consolidating our position and achieving profitability in second half 2004
9
Expansion concluded
Sept. 04Sept. 02 Sept. 03
Number of passangers 65 879 129 298
Fleet 6 8
Airborne hours (ABH) 769 1 311
Avail. Seat Kilom. (ASK) (mill) 57 119
Manyears 254 300 57 %
326 %
205%
83%11
2345 (1)
243 (1)
400
Growth share 02-03
Loadfactor (RPK/ASK) 51 % 64 % Growth share 03-04
Share of Norwegian market ~5% ~10%
(1) Subject to change
10
33 routes by end June 2004
11
Low cost position established
Cost / ASK versus average sector length (1)
KLM
lberia
RyanairEasyjet
LufthansaAir France
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
øre
km
Q304 Q402
Norwegian**
British Airways
Braathens(2003*)(2003)
(2003)
SAS
(1) Source: Goodbody Stockbrokers & Annual Reports. 2002 numbers unless specified
*) Braathens numbers ex. lease costs
**) Norwegian numbers with lease costs included, constitutes ~6 øre/ASK
12
Increasing efficiency further
2
102
202
302
402
502
602
702
802
Q1 04 Q2 04 Q3 04 Q4 04
Hours
-
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
Pilot utilization (ABH pr pliot) (1) Average ABH pr plane pr day
● ABH per pilot is expected to increase from 500 to 700 during 2004
● ABH per plane per day is expected to increase from 5.5 to more than 7 hours during 2004
● Distribution costs per sold seat has gone down with more than 40 % since Q1 2003
● Distribution costs has mainly been reduced due to ticket-less travel and higher internet penetration
Distribution cost per sold seat
-42 %
20
40
60
80
Q1 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04
NO
K
13
47 % increase in load factor
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Q1 03 Q1 04
Mill
0 %
10 %
20 %
30 %
40 %
50 %
60 %
70 %RPK / ASK
load factor RPK ASK
47 %
14
● Q1 results in line with expectations, and a strong financial position maintained
● Established as Norway’s low-fare carrier
● Consolidating our position and achieving profitability in second half 2004
15
Focus is on consolidating ourdomestic market position
● Optimize domestic productionprogramme with current fleet
● Improve product / timetable in ”peak-period” on key domesticroutes
● Focus on maintaining market shares and managing yield levelson key domestic routes
● Actively optimize excess capacityutilization
Mar
ket a
ttrac
tiven
ess
Competitive strengthWeak Strong
High
Low
Consolidate
market position
16
Seasonal variations expected to positively effect load-factors
Total PAX volume OSL 2003/2004
300 000
500 000
700 000
900 000
1 100 000
1 300 000
Janu
arFebru
arMars Apri
l
MaiJu
ni Juli
Augus
tSep
tembe
rOkto
ber
Novem
berDes
ember
International Domestic 2004
17
Lower prices stimulates demand
● Norwegian commenced Oslo – Arlanda on September 1, 2003
Stockholm 2002 vs. 2003
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
Janu
arFeb
ruar
Mars April
Mai
Juni Juli
Augus
tSep
tembe
rOkto
ber
Novembe
rDese
mber
PAX
Stockholm 2002 Stockholm 2003
18
Our route portfolio matures
● Load-factor development on 4 main domestic routes sincestart-up (Stavanger, Bergen, Trondheim and Tromsø)
Main routs
20 %
30 %
40 %
50 %
60 %
70 %
80 %
Sep 02 Sep 03 Apr 04
19
Aggressive pricing hits yield
0,00
0,30
0,60
0,90
1,20
1,50
1,80
Q4 02 Q1 03 Q2 03 Q3 03 Q4 03 Q1 04
NOK / RPK
● Yield levels will continue to fall as a consequence of longer flights in 2004: the average sector length is expected to increase from 60 min in January to more than 70 min for the full year
● Domestic price campaigns impacted yield levels in Q1. Continued price campaigns domestically and aggressive competitor pricing is expected to put further pressure on the yield
● Increased demand, maturity and optimization of production should increase average price without affecting low-fare position
20
2004 expected to be somewhatbetter than 2003
● A continued price pressure domestically, will lead to an EBITDA level for Q2 which is somewhat better than Q1
● Higher passenger volumes and continued competitor-drivenprice pressure is expected for Q3 & Q4
● If the current price pressure prevails for the whole year, a negative EBITDA level for 2004 is expected, althoughsomewhat better than the result in 2003
Summary: ● Q1 results in line with expectations, and a
strong financial position maintained● Established as Norway’s low-fare carrier● Consolidating our position and achieving
profitability in second half 2004