North West Youth Unemployment Dave Simmonds Centre for Economic & Social Inclusion.
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Transcript of North West Youth Unemployment Dave Simmonds Centre for Economic & Social Inclusion.
North West Youth Unemployment
Dave SimmondsCentre for Economic & Social Inclusion
Almost the worst ...
Young people hit the hardest
(UK percentage point change)
0
1
2
3
4
5
Recession 16-24 (left axis) 25-64 (left axis)
Hit over 18s the hardest
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24Age
Unemployed Change in number of unemployed since Apr 2007-Mar 2008
Long-term unemployment
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
Jul-
05
Oct
-05
Jan
-06
Apr-
06
Jul-
06
Oct
-06
Jan
-07
Apr-
07
Jul-
07
Oct
-07
Jan
-08
Apr-
08
Jul-
08
Oct
-08
Jan
-09
Apr-
09
Jul-
09
Oct
-09
Jan
-10
Apr-
10
Jul-
10
Oct
-10
Jan
-11
Apr-
11
Jul-
11
Up to 6 months Over 6 and up to 12 months Over 12 months Recession
North West young people in education and the labour force, Spring 2011Labour market participation
Ed
uc
ati
on
pa
rtic
ipa
tio
nN
ot
en
rolle
dIn
Le
arn
ing
In employment ILO unemployed Inactive
NEET147,000
LearningParticipation47%UK 48%
Not inLearning53%UK 52%
76,0009%
71,0008%
40,0005%
How is the North West different from the UK?
Only 25% NEET not claiming benefits
NW Youth Claimants
NW Youth claimant count doubled now back to recession level
24% of North West young JSA are long-term
15,000
Employer demand: A gloomy picture, but some occupations are
doing better Analysed JCP vacancies and new claims for
26 occupational groups Half of them are either good or not bad For example:
– Elementary: administration, cleaning, security– Operatives: Process, plant & machine,
assemblers, construction, drivers, mobile machine
– Sales related– Skilled: metal, textile etc– Caring personal services
Apprenticeships in GM(% of young people starting)
14.6%
10.5%
7.3%
11.5%10.6%
14.3% 13.9%14.9%
11.6%11.1%
9.1%
North West, 12.2%
National, 9.9%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
Bolto
n
Bury
Manchester
Oldh
am
Rochdale
Salfo
rd
Stockport
Tameside
Trafford
Wiga
n GM
Challenges for NW
Increase ‘learning participation’ 16/17 NEETs – learning + workEmployer demand for young people,
especially new ApprenticeshipsAccess to support for non-JSA claimantsPre-Work Programme - helping Jobcentre
PlusWork Programme – maximise performance
A million reasons to act Wage subsidies to create temporary
jobs for Work Programme young people
Preparing school leavers for world of work:• Delivering high quality careers
advice Increasing recruitment of young
people:• Increase apprenticeships for
unemployed A single 16-24 Youth Employment and
Skills service
The Work Programme Challenge
Performance expectations: high in a difficult labour market
Finance: recognition of economy and local economies
Capacity and capability: skilled staff and stimulating innovation, especially in-work support
Supply chain: difficult period, now need to invest Partnership and co-operation: local authorities,
skills, health, housing etc + Primes working together Scrutiny and transparency: the more the better Customers: coping with fears and meeting
expectations A high performing Work Programme means
fewer long-term unemployed