North Korea Coastal Artillery Threat - Tufts University€¦ · North Korea Coastal Artillery...
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North Korea Coastal Artillery Threat Vulnerability Analysis and Shelter Status in South Korea South Korea (SK) and North Korea (NK) have been under an armistice after the Korean War, and there have been many provocations on the Korean Penin- sula for about 70 years. Especially, there have been many engagements between SK and NK military in the Yellow sea because there is no buffer zone like DMZ, which is a border barrier on the Korean Penin- sula. On November 23, 2010, NK coastal artillery hit SK Yeonpyeong island, and 44 islanders and marines were wounded in the attack, which destroyed 25 homes and damaged 78 more. SK was attacked be- cause NK coastal artilleries were hidden in tunnels and frequent NK coastal artillery drills made it diffi- cult to distinguish NK had conducted drills or actual attack. The danger of NK coastal artillery still exists in SK and protecting civilians from the NK threat is the most significant mission of SK authorities and military. This project focuses on identifying whether the area in SK that are vulnerable to NK coastal artillery at- tack. Understanding which part of SK are most vul- nerable to NK coastal artillery attack will allow SK authorities and military to prepare for NK threats. Background NK Coastal Artillery Vulnerability Analysis: This process was divided into two steps. The first part of the analysis looked at SK area where NK coastal artillery attack is possible. The area was calculated from the 27km buffer set from NK coastal artillery. Next part of the analysis looked at Census data for the social vulnerability fac- tors. A map was created for each of the four social vulnerability factors: Total population, under 18, over 65, and foreigner. After calculation of the social vulnerability factors, the point scores of the four fac- tors were combined. Shelter Accessibility: This process involved in shel- ters locations and distances. After entering the loca- tion of the shelter, the accessibility and capacity of the shelter were compared. Methodology As a result of analyzing the Yeonpyeong island prov- ocation, NK used 76.2 mm direct fire guns and 130 mm towed field guns as the coastal artillery. The maximum range of 76.2mm is 12 km and the maxi- mum range of 130mm is 27km. SK areas, located within 27km of the NK coastal artillery, are most at- risk and vulnerable. Further, NK coastal artilleries are located along the coastline on the west coast. Baengnyeong is- land, Daecheong island, and Yeonpyeong is- land are located in the NK coastal artillery range, 130 mm NK Coastal Artillery Positions Most At-Risk and Vulnerable Area in SK SK Shelters Data Sources Limitation The exact location of NK Coast Artillery is SK military secret and could not be used in this project. Using the exact location of the NK coastal artillery, we can identify the exact SK vulnerability area and increase the reliability of the project. Conclusion Cartographer: Youngdae Yoo Course: DHP P207 GIS for Int'l Applications Date: May 7, 2019 Professor Patrick Florance Jinchol-ri and Bukpo-ri are the most at-risk and vul- nerable area. Daecheong-ri, Socheong-ri, and Yeonpyeong-ri are next most vulnerable area. In the following order, vulnerability are lowered: Yeonhwa- ri, Nampo-ri, Gaeul-ri. Jinchol-ri has 12 shelters but shelter accessibility is bad. Bukpo–ri has a low shelter number bur shelter accessibility is good because there are many shelters around. As a result, Jinchol-ri’s shelters needs rein- forcement. Future analyses can consider additional variables. Current shelters in vulnerable area are sufficient for residents. However, Baengyeong, Daecheong, and Yeonpyeong islands are famous for tourists. By ana- lyzing the area of the shelter where the number of sightseeing places and the number of visitors, it is possible to calculate the area where the shelter is needed. Sources: Data.go.kr, Korean Statistical Information Service , Global Administrative Areas (GADM), Statis- tical Geographic Information Service, Google images SK Area Township Popula- tions Shelter number Shelter Capacity Baengnyeong Island Jinchol-ri 2,552 12 2,884 Bukpo-ri 1,574 5 1,063 Gaeul-ri 353 3 438 Yeonhwa-ri 471 3 491 Nampo-ri 420 4 608 Sub-total 5,370 27 5,484 Daecheong Island Daecheong-ri 1,290 7 1,310 Socheong-ri 236 2 349 Sub-total 1,526 9 1,659 Yeonpyeong Island Yeonpyeong-ri 2,141 10 2,872
Transcript of North Korea Coastal Artillery Threat - Tufts University€¦ · North Korea Coastal Artillery...
North Korea Coastal Artillery Threat Vu l n e ra b i l i t y A n a l y s i s a n d S h e l t e r S t a t u s i n S o u t h K o r e a
South Korea (SK) and North Korea (NK) have been under an armistice after the Korean War, and there have been many provocations on the Korean Penin-sula for about 70 years. Especially, there have been many engagements between SK and NK military in the Yellow sea because there is no buffer zone like DMZ, which is a border barrier on the Korean Penin-sula. On November 23, 2010, NK coastal artillery hit SK Yeonpyeong island, and 44 islanders and marines were wounded in the attack, which destroyed 25 homes and damaged 78 more. SK was attacked be-cause NK coastal artilleries were hidden in tunnels and frequent NK coastal artillery drills made it diffi-cult to distinguish NK had conducted drills or actual attack. The danger of NK coastal artillery still exists in SK and protecting civilians from the NK threat is the most significant mission of SK authorities and military.
This project focuses on identifying whether the area in SK that are vulnerable to NK coastal artillery at-tack. Understanding which part of SK are most vul-nerable to NK coastal artillery attack will allow SK authorities and military to prepare for NK threats.
B a c k g r o u n d
N K C o a s t a l A r t i l l e r y
Vulnerability Analysis: This process was divided
into two steps. The first part of the analysis looked at
SK area where NK coastal artillery attack is possible.
The area was calculated from the 27km buffer set
from NK coastal artillery. Next part of the analysis
looked at Census data for the social vulnerability fac-
tors. A map was created for each of the four social
vulnerability factors: Total population, under 18,
over 65, and foreigner. After calculation of the social
vulnerability factors, the point scores of the four fac-
tors were combined.
Shelter Accessibility: This process involved in shel-
ters locations and distances. After entering the loca-
tion of the shelter, the accessibility and capacity of
the shelter were compared.
M e t h o d o l o g y
As a result of analyzing the Yeonpyeong island prov-ocation, NK used 76.2 mm direct fire guns and 130 mm towed field guns as the coastal artillery. The maximum range of 76.2mm is 12 km and the maxi-mum range of 130mm is 27km. SK areas, located within 27km of the NK coastal artillery, are most at-risk and vulnerable. Further, NK coastal artilleries are located along the coastline on the west coast.
Baengnyeong is-land, Daecheong island, and Yeonpyeong is-land are located in the NK coastal artillery range,
130 mm NK Coastal Artillery Positions
Most At-Risk and Vulnerable Area in SK
S K S h e l t e r s
D a t a S o u r c e s
L i m i t a t i o n
The exact location of NK Coast Artillery is SK military secret and could not be used in this project. Using the exact location of the NK coastal artillery, we can identify the exact SK vulnerability area and increase the reliability of the project.
C o n c l u s i o n
Cartographer: Youngdae Yoo
Course: DHP P207 GIS for Int'l Applications
Date: May 7, 2019
Professor Patrick Florance
Jinchol-ri and Bukpo-ri are the most at-risk and vul-nerable area. Daecheong-ri, Socheong-ri, and Yeonpyeong-ri are next most vulnerable area. In the following order, vulnerability are lowered: Yeonhwa-ri, Nampo-ri, Gaeul-ri.
Jinchol-ri has 12 shelters but shelter accessibility is bad. Bukpo–ri has a low shelter number bur shelter accessibility is good because there are many shelters around. As a result, Jinchol-ri’s shelters needs rein-forcement.
Future analyses can consider additional variables. Current shelters in vulnerable area are sufficient for residents. However, Baengyeong, Daecheong, and Yeonpyeong islands are famous for tourists. By ana-lyzing the area of the shelter where the number of sightseeing places and the number of visitors, it is possible to calculate the area where the shelter is needed.
Sources: Data.go.kr, Korean Statistical Information
Service , Global Administrative Areas (GADM), Statis-
tical Geographic Information Service, Google images
SK Area Township Popula-
tions
Shelter
number
Shelter
Capacity
Baengnyeong
Island
Jinchol-ri 2,552 12 2,884
Bukpo-ri 1,574 5 1,063
Gaeul-ri 353 3 438
Yeonhwa-ri 471 3 491
Nampo-ri 420 4 608
Sub-total 5,370 27 5,484
Daecheong
Island
Daecheong-ri 1,290 7 1,310
Socheong-ri 236 2 349
Sub-total 1,526 9 1,659
Yeonpyeong
Island Yeonpyeong-ri 2,141 10 2,872
