North Central Texas Council of Governments and

Mobility 2045

MetroTex Association of Realtors M-Power Day May 3, 2019

Dan Lamers, P.E.

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Prosperity and Mobility

• Region is Prospering • Adding 100,000+ Population Annually • Adding 60,000+ Jobs Annually

• Corporate Relocations • Toyota • Liberty Mutual • State Farm • “Next Amazon”

• Mobility Key Factor

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Agenda

• Regional Perspective

• NCTCOG

• Mobility 2045

• Planning Context and Constraints

North Central Texas Council of Governments

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North Central Texas Council of Governments • Established in 1966 • Voluntary Association Assisting Local

Governments • PLANNING for Common Needs • COOPERATING for Mutual Benefit • COORDINATING for Sound Regional Development

• 238 Member Governments • 16 Counties • 169 Cities • 22 School Districts • 31 Special Districts

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NCTCOG Region and Metropolitan Planning Area (MPA) for Transportation Departments

• Transportation • Research and information

Emergency Preparedness • Environment and Development

• Workforce Development • Administration • Public Affairs • Community Service and Regional

Training • Executive Director’s Office

Three TxDOT Districts

• Dallas • Fort Worth • Paris

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NCTCOG Transportation Department

• Federally Designated as the Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) in 1974

• MPO Federal Requirements • Metropolitan Transportation Plan – 20 Years • Transportation Improvement Program – 4 Years • Unified Planning Work Program – 2 Years • Congestion Management Process (>200,000) • Transportation Conformity

(Nonattainment Areas) • Public Involvement

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Dallas-Fort Worth MPO Governance

• Transportation Decisions Regional Transportation Council (Created 1974)

• 27 City Elected Officials Each Represents ~260,000 Residents

• 10 County Elected Officials • 7 Transportation Providers

• Fiduciary Agent NCTCOG Executive Board (Created 1966)

13 Members

Regional Perspective

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Regional Perspective

• 12 Counties • 2nd Largest Metropolitan Planning Area by Land Area

Area

• Home to 22 Fortune 500 Firms • Projected to be ranked 11th globally in metro GDP • Represents 32% of State’s Economy

Economy

• Freeways: 4,712 in 2018 / 6,062 by 2045 • Priced Facilities: 1,102 in 2018 / 1,020 by 2045

Lane Miles

• 2017: 7.2 Million • 2045: 11.2 Million • 4th Largest Metropolitan Area by Population • 1 Million People Added Per Decade Since 1960

Population

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DFW Roadway Congestion Levels

$28 Billion Roadway Infrastructure Investment

Since 2000

Mobility 2045

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What is the Metropolitan Transportation Plan?

• Required by Law • Referred to as the Mobility Plan

Represents a Blueprint for the Region’s Multimodal Transportation System

Covers at Least a 20-Year Timeframe

Responds to Goals

Identifies Policies, Programs, and Projects for Continued Development

Guides the Expenditure of Federal and State Funds

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Mobility 2045 Goals

• Mobility • Improve Transportation Options • Support Travel Efficiency Strategies • Ensure Community Access to System and Process

• Quality of Life • Enhance Environment and Life Styles • Encourage Sustainable Development

• System Sustainability • Ensure Adequate Maintenance, Safety and Reliability • Pursue Long Term, Sustainable Financial Resources

• Implementation • Provide Timely Planning and Implementation • Develop Cost Effective Projects and Programs

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Mobility 2045: Focus on Connections and Options

Emerging Technologies

Non-Motorized Connections

Regional Passenger Rail

Toll Managed Lane System

High-Speed Rail

Freight

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Mobility Plan Process

Freeways/Tollways and Arterials Additional Roadway Capacity

HOV/Managed Lanes Increase Auto Occupancy

Rail and Bus Induce Switch to Transit

Growth, Development, and Land Use Strategies More Efficient Land Use & Transportation Balance

Management, Operations and Technology Improve Efficiency & Remove Trips from System Traffic Signals and Bicycle & Pedestrian Improvements

Infrastructure Maintenance Maintain & Operate Existing Facilities Bridge Replacements

Publ

ic In

volv

emen

t

Environmental Justice

Air Quality

Financial Constraint Technology (AV/CV)

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Mobility 2045 Expenditures

Freeways/Tollways and Arterials Additional Roadway Capacity

HOV/Managed Lanes Increase Auto Occupancy

Rail and Bus Induce Switch to Transit

Growth, Development, and Land Use Strategies More Efficient Land Use & Transportation Balance

Management, Operations, and Technology Improve Efficiency & Remove Trips from System Traffic Signals and Bicycle & Pedestrian Improvements

Infrastructure Maintenance Maintain & Operate Existing Facilities Bridge Replacements

Total Expenditures1

$ 36.8 $ 9.5

$ 3.2

$ 33.3

$ 53.6

Max

imize

Ex

istin

g Sy

stem

Stra

tegi

c In

fras

truc

ture

In

vest

men

t

$136.42

Notes: 1 Actual dollars, in billions. Values may not sum due to independent rounding. 2 Balances to reasonably expected revenue, demonstrating financial constraint.

Regional Veloweb

Major Transit Corridor Recommendations

• Connected System

• “One Seat Ride”

• 3 Stations

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What is Hyperloop?

• New Mode of Transportation Consisting of Moving Passenger and Cargo Vehicles Through a Near-Vacuum Tube Using Electric Propulsion

• Autonomous Pod Levitates Above the Track and Glides at 700+ MPH Over Long Distances

Passenger pod

Cargo pod

Source: Virgin Hyperloop One

Major Roadway Recommendations

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Regional Performance Measures

Regional System Performance

Lane Miles at Level of Service ABC, DE, and F

Regional System Performance 2018 2045 No-Build Population 7,429,723 11,246,531 11,246,531 Employment 4,793,363 7,024,227 7,024,227 Vehicle Miles of Travel (Daily) 212,232,952 331,495,638 332,500,169 Hourly Capacity (Miles) 44,794,000 54,330,341 44,297,513 Vehicle Hours Spent in Delay (Daily) 1,680,685 3,788,105 6,654,772 Increase in Travel Time Due to Congestion 40.94% 59.32% 101.65% Annual Cost of Congestion (Billions) $12.1 $27.3 $47.9

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Congestion and Delay

Planning Context and Constraints

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Roadway Recommendations Map Major Roadway Recommendations

Roadway Expenditures

$ 52 B Regional

Roadway Needs

$ 389 B Shortfall $ 327 B

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Tolled Managed Lanes

• Purpose: Manage Congestion • Effect: Increase Mobility and Reliability

Guaranteed 50 mph Speed on Tolled Managed Lanes

• Speeds 50% Faster for Non-Tolled Lanes • Speeds 75% Faster for Tolled Lanes

• Managed Lanes Have Free Periods • Drivers Have Choice and Predictability • Project Funding Supplement • Demand Based Pricing • System Connectivity

Source: LBJ Express

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Transportation Project Process

Idea

Feasibility Study

Environmental Review

Funding Process

Right of Way

Final Design

Implementation

Mobility Plan

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Highway Cost Index vs Gas Tax Rates

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

Inde

x

Texas Highway Cost Index, 1999-2018

Highway Cost Index Linear (Dec. 1998-Dec. 2003 Data)

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Ozone Design Value Trend

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Levels of Vehicle Automation

Vehicle Electrification

For more information: https://www.nctcog.org/trans/plan/vehicles/auto

Emerging Technologies

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Questions?

Kevin Feldt Program Manager kfeldt@nctcog.org (817) 704-2529

Dan Lamers Senior Program Manager dlamers@nctcog.org (817) 695-9263

www.nctcog.org/mobility2045